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Osaka vs Toyama Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 03:05
Final 104-102
27-17 29-22 27-27 21-36
Position#17
Record16-26
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game81.8
Osaka 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#24
Record10-32
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game90.0
JapanB League· Ookini Arena Maishima
Other2025-26
Meetings · Osaka v Toyama
16 Dec 2026
OSAK v TOYA
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
OSAK76
TOYA93
14 Mar 2026
OSAK104
TOYA102
08 Oct 2023
OSAK86
TOYA77
07 Oct 2023
OSAK93
TOYA73
20 Nov 2022
OSAK69
TOYA66
19 Nov 2022
OSAK86
TOYA94
27 Mar 2022
OSAK85
TOYA69
26 Mar 2022
OSAK89
TOYA88
09 Mar 2022
OSAK76
TOYA66
10 Mar 2018
OSAK92
TOYA82
09 Mar 2018
OSAK99
TOYA85
06 Dec 2016
OSAK98
TOYA93
05 Dec 2016
OSAK85
TOYA79
28 Dec 2014
OSAK66
TOYA82
27 Dec 2014
OSAK68
TOYA84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Osaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toyama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OsakaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsaka
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
94-89
94
89
+5
80avg 75
H28/01
B League
Akita
#26
W
93-80
93
80
+13
89avg 75
A31/01
B League
Akita
#26
L
76-77
76
77
-1
70avg 75
A01/02
B League
Gunma
#5
L
65-81
65
81
-16
59avg 75
A07/02
B League
Gunma
#5
L
68-84
68
84
-16
59avg 75
A08/02
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
64-71
64
71
-7
51avg 75
H14/02
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
79-93
79
93
-14
76avg 75
H15/02
B League
Chiba
#6
L
82-90
82
90
-8
76avg 75
H07/03
B League
Chiba
#6
L
78-94
78
94
-16
75avg 75
H08/03
B League
Shimane
#14
W
75-67
75
67
+8
65avg 75
A11/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
15-21
23-13
36-26
20-28
22-9
29-20
22-23
20-17
14-23
17-22
25-15
14-29
24-13
17-15
10-24
18-19
14-31
20-14
16-20
12-23
12-15
25-16
15-17
16-20
23-34
13-15
27-24
25-25
17-20
24-19
16-26
29-18
18-29
12-19
19-28
15-16
16-16
24-25
20-10
160.0Avg total
77.4Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)79.681.8161.4-2.238%
Season at home (22)80.484.0164.4-3.632%
Season away (20)78.779.4158.1-0.745%
Last 10 (10)77.482.6160.0-5.230%
Last 5 (5)75.683.0158.6-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.288.8165.9-11.60%
vs Similar (10)77.676.7154.3+0.960%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)84.178.0162.1+6.162%
This opponent (Toyama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToyama
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
87-91
87
91
-4
84avg 77
A28/01
B League
Alvark
#8
L
66-75
66
75
-9
58avg 77
A31/01
B League
Alvark
#8
L
69-70
69
70
-1
66avg 77
A01/02
B League
Saga
#12
L
67-92
67
92
-25
57avg 77
H07/02
B League
Saga
#12
L
69-91
69
91
-22
60avg 77
H08/02
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
98-101
98
101
-3
92avg 77
H14/02
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
115-93
115
93
+22
106avg 77
H15/02
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
70-83
70
83
-13
60avg 77
A07/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
69-103
69
103
-34
62avg 77
A08/03
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
L
85-92
85
92
-7
77avg 77
A11/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
21-21
24-26
19-24
13-26
23-8
17-23
13-18
24-21
24-18
8-23
13-8
18-18
25-33
16-20
8-21
22-24
22-26
11-18
14-23
28-25
17-15
17-25
36-36
31-21
29-29
30-27
25-16
25-25
18-20
22-16
5-22
24-34
19-27
14-25
12-17
14-23
30-17
24-31
17-21
168.6Avg total
79.5Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)81.790.0171.7-8.424%
Season at home (20)80.591.0171.6-10.520%
Season away (22)82.789.2171.9-6.527%
Last 10 (10)79.589.1168.6-9.610%
Last 5 (5)87.494.4181.8-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)82.291.8174.0-9.617%
vs Similar (6)81.586.5168.0-5.033%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Osaka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -4.4-4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -4.4-4.4
OsakaToyama
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OsakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H28/01
B League
Akita
#26
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A31/01
B League
Akita
#26
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A01/02
B League
Gunma
#5
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A07/02
B League
Gunma
#5
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A08/02
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
24-38
24
38
-14
H14/02
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
39-54
39
54
-15
H15/02
B League
Chiba
#6
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H07/03
B League
Chiba
#6
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H08/03
B League
Shimane
#14
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A11/03
B League
79.9Avg total
36.4Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.442.081.3-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.943.081.9-4.127%-
Last 30 away (15)39.840.980.7-1.147%-
Last 10 (10)36.443.579.9-7.110%-
Last 5 (5)36.643.279.8-6.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.145.384.4-6.225%-
vs Similar (10)39.038.877.8+0.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)40.240.981.1-0.650%-
This opponent (Toyama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A28/01
B League
Alvark
#8
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A31/01
B League
Alvark
#8
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A01/02
B League
Saga
#12
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H07/02
B League
Saga
#12
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H08/02
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H14/02
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
60-50
60
50
+10
H15/02
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A07/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
43-61
43
61
-18
A08/03
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A11/03
B League
90.1Avg total
45.0Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.446.088.4-3.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.546.991.4-2.436%-
Last 30 away (16)40.645.285.8-4.650%-
Last 10 (10)45.045.190.1-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)47.047.294.2-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)42.547.289.8-4.738%-
vs Similar (6)42.041.283.2+0.867%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Osaka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Osakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osaka: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.419.2
55.8%
53.1%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.89.2
29.9%
33.7%27.6
🏀 Free throws14.511.5
79.3%
73.1%11.5
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.021.4
51.0%
53.1%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.3
29.6%
33.7%21.9
🏀 Free throws22.414.6
65.2%
73.1%14.6
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Osaka
WLLLLLLLWW
Toyama
LLLWLLLLLL
#17
League position
#24
-5.8
Net rating
-10.9
89.8
Offensive rating
87.9
95.6
Defensive rating
98.7
50.6%
Effective FG%
48.5%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
17.0%
Turnover %
15.5%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.34
29.9%
3-point %
29.6%
71.5%
Assist %
68.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence89.8 · 87.9Defence95.6 · 98.7Shooting50.6% · 48.5%3-point %29.9% · 29.6%Ball care17.0% · 15.5%Free throws0.22 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ Osaka   ■ Toyama
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Osaka wins
2
Toyama wins
DateGameScore
16/11/25Toyama v Osaka92-97
15/11/25Toyama v Osaka97-102
08/10/23Osaka v Toyama86-77
07/10/23Osaka v Toyama93-73
20/11/22Osaka v Toyama69-66
19/11/22Osaka v Toyama86-94
27/03/22Osaka v Toyama85-69
26/03/22Osaka v Toyama89-88
09/03/22Osaka v Toyama76-66
27/10/21Toyama v Osaka82-67
Osakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26AShimane75-67
08/03/26HChiba78-94
07/03/26HChiba82-90
15/02/26HKyoto79-93
14/02/26HKyoto64-71
08/02/26AGunma68-84
07/02/26AGunma65-81
01/02/26AAkita76-77
31/01/26AAkita93-80
28/01/26HNagoya Fighting Eagles94-89
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26AKoshigaya Alphas85-92
08/03/26ASeaHorses Mikawa69-103
07/03/26ASeaHorses Mikawa70-83
15/02/26HHokkaido115-93
14/02/26HHokkaido98-101
08/02/26HSaga69-91
07/02/26HSaga67-92
01/02/26AAlvark69-70
31/01/26AAlvark66-75
28/01/26ADiamond Dolphins87-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Osaka
B League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW38%
HomeWLLLL32%
AwayWLLLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422220
Win %38%32%45%
Points / game79.680.478.7
Allowed / game81.884.079.4
Point differential-2.2-3.6-0.7
Avg total161.4164.4158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%23%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)40% (5)43% (7)
Overtime %2%5%0%
Toyama
B League 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL24%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422022
Win %24%20%27%
Points / game81.780.582.7
Allowed / game90.091.089.2
Point differential-8.4-10.4-6.5
Avg total171.7171.6171.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%15%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (14)0% (5)44% (9)
Overtime %2%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki4234881%92.078.5+13.5
2 Diamond Dolphins4233979%83.372.6+10.7
3 Utsunomiya Brex42321076%85.479.7+5.7
4 Chiba42301271%83.075.6+7.4
5 Alvark42301271%81.076.8+4.2
6 SeaHorses Mikawa42291369%84.377.9+6.5
7 Hokkaido42291369%88.485.0+3.4
8 Ryukyu42281467%81.274.8+6.4
9 Gunma42261662%82.574.6+7.9
10 Hiroshima D.42251760%86.482.9+3.5
11 Sendai42251760%80.779.2+1.5
12 NeoPhoenix42231955%84.082.3+1.7
13 Shimane42212150%81.080.4+0.7
14 Saga42212150%81.882.4-0.5
15 Sun Rockers Shibuya42182443%76.881.0-4.2
16 Osaka42162638%79.681.8-2.2
17 Yokohama42162638%78.882.6-3.8
18 Koshigaya Alphas42162638%73.780.3-6.6
19 Nagoya Fighting Eagles42152736%80.583.1-2.5
20 Altiri Chiba42142833%79.683.8-4.2
21 Shiga42142833%80.285.9-5.7
22 Ibaraki Robots42123029%75.180.3-5.1
23 Kyoto42123029%71.580.7-9.2
24 Toyama42103224%81.790.0-8.4
25 Brave Thunders42103224%75.584.1-8.6
26 Akita4273517%73.485.4-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Osaka27292721104
Toyama17222736102
← all games of the day
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