Estudiantes vs Ourense Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Jan 2024

Tip-off: 11:30

Final 97-56

24-6 25-17 28-22 20-11

Position#4

Record12-3

FormWWWLW

Points / game85.2

Allowed / game73.7

Estudiantes 🏆

Ourense

Position#12

Record7-8

FormLLLWL

Points / game71.9

Allowed / game78.7

Primera FEBRound 16· WiZink Center

Other2023-24

Meetings · Estudiantes v Ourense

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ourense winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormEstudiantes

Date

Competition

Clavijo

#18

77-73

70avg 81

A05/11

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#10

80-55

+25

75avg 81

A11/11

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

81-56

+25

85avg 81

H19/11

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

91-92 OT

-1

no box

H26/11

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

84-68

+16

83avg 81

A29/11

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

101-61

101

+40

107avg 81

H03/12

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

75-72

71avg 81

H10/12

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

81-80

76avg 81

A15/12

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

76-78

-2

71avg 81

H20/12

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

91-87

88avg 81

A30/12

Primera FEB

22-16

18-15

21-22

16-20

20-14

17-7

22-19

21-15

17-15

15-10

26-15

23-16

28-18

28-31

17-16

7-15

20-21

23-19

22-19

19-9

31-10

29-20

21-14

20-17

14-19

14-12

24-16

23-25

23-17

22-18

16-24

20-21

16-18

21-26

19-13

20-21

22-16

17-22

23-23

29-26

155.9Avg total

83.7Scored

72.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	85.2	73.7	158.9	+11.5	80%
Season at home (8)	87.0	75.8	162.8	+11.2	62%
Season away (7)	83.1	71.4	154.6	+11.7	100%
Last 10 (10)	83.7	72.2	155.9	+11.5	80%
Last 5 (5)	84.8	75.6	160.4	+9.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	58.5	79.5	138.0	-21.0	0%
vs Similar (9)	87.7	83.9	171.6	+3.8	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	83.0	72.5	155.5	+10.5	68%

This opponent (Ourense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ourense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormOurense

Date

Competition

Fuenlabrada

#10

68-80

-12

57avg 63

H04/11

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

74-50

+24

68avg 63

A12/11

Primera FEB

Real Betis

84-83

84avg 63

H18/11

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

65-99

-34

43avg 63

A24/11

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

72-79

-7

65avg 63

H28/11

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

55-90

-35

40avg 63

A03/12

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

59-65

-6

48avg 63

H09/12

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

55-105

105

-50

37avg 63

A16/12

Primera FEB

Alicante

77-68

76avg 63

H20/12

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

77-106

106

-29

69avg 63

A29/12

Primera FEB

17-23

16-20

12-15

23-22

15-12

17-16

18-13

24-9

24-18

25-28

13-20

22-17

22-22

17-30

14-23

12-24

16-16

23-25

14-23

19-15

10-23

16-21

16-27

13-19

14-24

24-13

8-15

13-13

14-21

15-28

11-39

15-17

20-18

26-11

14-15

17-24

20-29

21-21

16-25

20-31

151.1Avg total

68.6Scored

82.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	71.9	78.7	150.5	-6.8	47%
Season at home (8)	74.2	70.9	145.1	+3.4	62%
Season away (7)	69.1	87.6	156.7	-18.4	29%
Last 10 (10)	68.6	82.5	151.1	-13.9	30%
Last 5 (5)	64.6	86.8	151.4	-22.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	68.8	85.9	154.7	-17.1	25%
vs Similar (12)	75.1	71.9	147.0	+3.2	58%
vs Weaker (2)	70.5	56.0	126.5	+14.5	100%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EstudiantesOurense

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	18.1	39.2	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	19.2	41.1	+2.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	16.7	36.9	+3.5	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	16.4	37.7	+4.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	16.0	37.2	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	9.0	17.0	26.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.4	19.7	41.1	+1.8	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	22.2	17.4	39.6	+4.8	74%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	19.3	36.7	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	18.4	36.7	-0.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.5	20.1	36.7	-3.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	20.6	37.8	-3.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	23.0	38.6	-7.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	18.2	21.6	39.8	-3.4	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	16.8	17.7	34.5	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	14.5	10.5	25.0	+4.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	19.9	40.7	+0.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	17.9	36.6	+0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	18.0	38.4	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	19.6	40.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.0	22.5	40.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.2	21.3	41.6	-1.1	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	19.8	17.5	37.3	+2.3	63%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	19.8	37.9	-1.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	17.5	36.6	+1.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.2	22.0	39.2	-4.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	21.3	41.3	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	18.8	39.2	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	17.1	21.1	38.2	-4.1	12%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.6	18.7	38.2	+0.9	58%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.0	15.5	33.5	+2.5	50%	-

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Clavijo

#18

40-31

A05/11

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#10

37-21

+16

A11/11

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

32-25

H19/11

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

56-49

H26/11

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

43-40

A29/11

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

60-30

+30

H03/12

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

28-31

-3

H10/12

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

45-35

+10

A15/12

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

37-44

-7

H20/12

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

39-38

A30/12

Primera FEB

76.1Avg total

41.7Scored

34.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	37.0	77.9	+3.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.7	39.1	81.8	+3.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.9	34.6	73.5	+4.2	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	34.4	76.1	+7.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	35.6	77.4	+6.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	27.0	39.5	66.5	-12.5	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	41.7	41.0	82.7	+0.7	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	42.0	34.9	76.9	+7.1	84%	-

This opponent (Ourense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fuenlabrada

#10

33-43

-10

H04/11

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

32-28

A12/11

Primera FEB

Real Betis

49-46

H18/11

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

39-52

-13

A24/11

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

39-41

-2

H28/11

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

26-44

-18

A03/12

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

38-37

H09/12

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

29-49

-20

A16/12

Primera FEB

Alicante

46-29

+17

H20/12

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

41-50

-9

A29/12

Primera FEB

79.1Avg total

37.2Scored

41.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.5	39.0	74.6	-3.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.3	35.9	73.3	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.7	42.1	75.9	-8.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	41.9	79.1	-4.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	41.8	77.8	-5.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	35.2	42.7	77.9	-7.4	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	36.4	36.3	72.8	+0.1	58%	-
vs Weaker (2)	32.5	26.0	58.5	+6.5	50%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.5	39.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	17.8	38.6	+3.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	21.5	40.7	-2.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	18.1	39.2	+3.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.0	38.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.0	22.5	37.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.3	19.3	39.7	+1.0	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	20.5	19.3	39.8	+1.3	53%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.8	19.1	34.9	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	15.7	17.3	33.0	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.8	21.0	36.8	-5.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	13.6	21.5	35.1	-7.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.0	24.2	37.2	-11.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	15.0	21.2	36.2	-6.2	19%	-
vs Similar (12)	16.5	17.2	33.7	-0.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.5	14.5	32.0	+3.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.3	38.5	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	17.8	37.4	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.8	18.9	39.6	+1.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	18.5	38.3	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	22.0	44.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	17.5	34.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.6	21.3	43.9	+1.2	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	19.4	16.9	36.4	+2.5	53%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.7	39.3	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	18.4	39.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	21.0	39.5	-2.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	19.1	36.9	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	20.8	36.4	-5.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	18.6	22.0	40.6	-3.4	31%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.8	17.3	38.1	+3.4	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	15.5	36.0	+5.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	37.8	78.1	+2.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.5	35.6	76.1	+4.9	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.0	40.4	80.4	-0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	36.6	77.5	+4.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	40.0	83.0	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	31.5	40.0	71.5	-8.5	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	42.9	40.7	83.6	+2.2	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	39.9	36.2	76.2	+3.7	68%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.3	38.8	74.2	-3.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.3	35.7	72.0	+0.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.3	42.0	76.3	-7.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	31.4	40.6	72.0	-9.2	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.6	45.0	73.6	-16.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	33.6	43.2	76.8	-9.6	19%	-
vs Similar (12)	37.2	34.5	71.8	+2.8	58%	-
vs Weaker (2)	38.0	30.0	68.0	+8.0	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 83.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.3	21.2	50.1%	51.8%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.1	34.3%	33.7%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	19.5	13.5	69.2%	73.6%	13.5

They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Ourensetheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	23.5	58.0%	51.8%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	10.8	43.2%	33.7%	32.4
🏀 Free throws	18.6	14.5	78.0%	73.6%	14.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	21.0	51.0%	51.8%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	8.8	34.1%	33.7%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	15.8	11.5	72.8%	73.6%	11.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	21.1	53.9%	51.8%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	9.9	40.4%	33.7%	29.6
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.7	73.5%	73.6%	15.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Estudiantes wins

Ourense wins

Date	Game	Score
01/02/23	Ourense v Estudiantes	76-86
11/10/22	Estudiantes v Ourense	104-86

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/12/23	A	San Pablo Burgos	91-87
20/12/23	H	Leyma Coruna	76-78
15/12/23	A	Melilla	81-80
10/12/23	H	Forca Lleida	75-72
03/12/23	H	Estela	101-61
29/11/23	A	Castello	84-68
26/11/23	H	Real Valladolid	91-92 OT
19/11/23	H	Hestia Menorca	81-56
11/11/23	A	Fuenlabrada	80-55
05/11/23	A	Clavijo	77-73

Ourenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/12/23	A	Leyma Coruna	77-106
20/12/23	H	Alicante	77-68
16/12/23	A	San Pablo Burgos	55-105
09/12/23	H	Melilla	59-65
03/12/23	A	Forca Lleida	55-90
28/11/23	H	Tizona Burgos	72-79
24/11/23	A	Gipuzkoa	65-99
18/11/23	H	Real Betis	84-83
12/11/23	A	Hestia Menorca	74-50
04/11/23	H	Fuenlabrada	68-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	80%
Home	WLWWL	62%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	8	7
Win %	80%	62%	100%
Points / game	85.2	87.0	83.1
Allowed / game	73.7	75.8	71.4
Point differential	+11.5	+11.2	+11.7
Avg total	158.9	162.8	154.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	47%	50%	43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	33% (3)	100% (3)
Overtime %	7%	12%	0%

Ourense

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	47%
Home	LWLLW	62%
Away	WLLLL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	8	7
Win %	47%	62%	29%
Points / game	71.9	74.2	69.1
Allowed / game	78.7	70.9	87.6
Point differential	-6.8	+3.4	-18.4
Avg total	150.5	145.1	156.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	38%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	7%	0%	14%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Estudiantes	15	12	3	80%	85.2	73.7	+11.5
2	San Pablo Burgos	16	12	4	75%	86.3	76.2	+10.1
3	Leyma Coruna	16	12	4	75%	89.1	79.8	+9.4
4	Gipuzkoa	16	12	4	75%	81.4	74.1	+7.3
5	Tizona Burgos	16	11	5	69%	89.8	84.2	+5.6
6	Real Valladolid	16	11	5	69%	79.4	77.8	+1.6
7	Forca Lleida	16	10	6	62%	78.8	75.2	+3.6
8	Alicante	15	9	6	60%	79.0	76.5	+2.5
9	Oviedo	15	7	8	47%	80.3	79.8	+0.5
10	Ourense	15	7	8	47%	71.9	78.7	-6.8
11	Melilla	16	7	9	44%	74.4	77.7	-3.2
12	Estela	15	6	9	40%	79.3	82.7	-3.5
13	Fuenlabrada	16	6	10	38%	75.2	79.1	-3.9
14	Real Betis	15	4	11	27%	78.1	78.5	-0.5
15	Caceres	15	4	11	27%	73.6	83.3	-9.7
16	Castello	16	4	12	25%	78.1	85.4	-7.2
17	Hestia Menorca	16	4	12	25%	68.8	76.1	-7.3
18	Clavijo	15	2	13	13%	65.0	75.9	-10.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Estudiantes	24	25	28	20	97
Ourense	6	17	22	11	56

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Estudiantes vs Ourense Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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