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Ourense vs Fuenlabrada Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 14 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 11:30
Scheduled
Position#6
Record5-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.2/10
Below normal
4.2/10
Below normal
Position#13
Record2-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game80.4
SpainPrimera FEBRound 21
Other2026-27
Meetings · Ourense v Fuenlabrada
14 Feb 2027
OURE v FUE
upcoming
31 Jan 2026
OURE69
FUE72
11 Jan 2025
OURE89
FUE90
04 Nov 2023
OURE68
FUE80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ourense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Fuenlabrada win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OurenseSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOurense
Date
Competition
Melilla
#17
W
93-84
93
84
+9
86avg 69
A03/05
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
70-74
70
74
-4
65avg 69
H08/05
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
W
91-71
91
71
+20
79avg 69
H26/09
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
90-86
90
86
+4
79avg 69
A04/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
L
86-101
86
101
-15
76avg 69
H10/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
L
79-83
79
83
-4
70avg 69
H16/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
80-84
80
84
-4
64avg 69
A24/10
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
83-73
83
73
+10
no box
H31/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
86-84
86
84
+2
no box
A07/11
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#11
W
87-74
87
74
+13
no box
H14/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
24-31
25-18
20-16
13-20
22-27
19-15
16-12
31-15
18-24
22-17
20-15
20-29
30-16
20-21
20-20
28-21
13-31
20-27
25-22
16-16
22-16
22-24
19-27
25-13
20-22
16-25
19-24
23-20
18-20
26-11
16-22
19-17
25-19
19-20
23-28
20-24
23-11
21-16
23-23
165.9Avg total
84.5Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.282.0167.2+3.262%
Season at home (5)85.280.4165.6+4.860%
Season away (3)85.384.7170.0+0.767%
Last 10 (10)84.581.4165.9+3.160%
Last 5 (5)83.079.6162.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)77.584.6162.1-7.114%
vs Similar (7)78.782.4161.1-3.743%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)81.477.4158.9+4.067%
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FuenlabradaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFuenlabrada
Date
Competition
Palencia
#3
W
78-72
78
72
+6
72avg 71
H24/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
51-76
51
76
-25
38avg 71
A29/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
L
82-96
82
96
-14
78avg 71
A26/09
Primera FEB
Gran Canaria
#4
L
68-79
68
79
-11
no box
H03/10
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#11
L
74-77
74
77
-3
64avg 71
A11/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
L
79-84
79
84
-5
73avg 71
A17/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
W
90-76
90
76
+14
87avg 71
H25/10
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
L
66-71
66
71
-5
no box
A31/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
L
84-86
84
86
-2
no box
H07/11
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#15
W
80-74
80
74
+6
no box
A14/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-16
21-22
22-22
22-12
9-26
12-15
12-22
18-13
26-22
23-21
15-25
18-28
15-14
16-19
20-25
17-21
22-18
19-29
16-14
17-16
15-22
23-22
24-23
17-17
23-24
18-21
28-15
21-16
14-17
14-23
22-16
16-15
17-19
19-25
20-19
28-23
15-20
24-21
22-13
19-20
154.3Avg total
75.2Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.980.4158.2-2.525%
Season at home (3)80.780.3161.0+0.333%
Season away (5)76.280.4156.6-4.220%
Last 10 (10)75.279.1154.3-3.930%
Last 5 (5)79.878.2158.0+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)74.381.9156.2-7.638%
vs Similar (10)78.275.6153.8+2.660%
vs Weaker (4)86.078.2164.2+7.875%
This opponent (Ourense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +1.2+1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +1.2+1.2
OurenseFuenlabrada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melilla
#17
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A03/05
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H08/05
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H26/09
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A04/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H10/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H16/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A24/10
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H31/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A07/11
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#11
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H14/11
Primera FEB
84.5Avg total
43.4Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.040.980.8-0.953%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.041.681.6-1.647%-
Last 30 away (13)39.939.979.8+0.062%-
Last 10 (10)43.441.184.5+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)42.235.677.8+6.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.842.180.9-3.343%-
vs Similar (7)40.141.982.0-1.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)41.738.279.9+3.478%-
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FuenlabradaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Palencia
#3
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H24/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A29/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A26/09
Primera FEB
Gran Canaria
#4
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H03/10
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#11
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A11/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A17/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H25/10
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A31/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H07/11
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#15
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A14/11
Primera FEB
77.4Avg total
35.8Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.840.678.4-2.827%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.439.276.6-1.929%-
Last 30 away (16)38.241.980.1-3.725%-
Last 10 (10)35.841.677.4-5.810%-
Last 5 (5)36.442.879.2-6.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.140.877.9-3.725%-
vs Similar (10)37.540.477.9-2.920%-
vs Weaker (4)41.240.581.8+0.850%-
This opponent (Ourense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ourensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ourense: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.2
51.9%
53.0%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.3
30.5%
32.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws25.718.3
71.2%
74.2%18.3
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fuenlabradatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fuenlabrada: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.0
49.7%
53.0%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.8
34.8%
32.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.412.6
72.4%
74.2%12.6
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ourense
WWWLLLWWLW
Fuenlabrada
WLLWLLLLLW
#6
League position
#13
-5.1
Net rating
-7.7
110.3
Offensive rating
105.4
115.4
Defensive rating
113.1
49.6%
Effective FG%
50.7%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.5%
3-point %
34.8%
53.1%
Assist %
57.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 105.4Defence115.4 · 113.1Shooting49.6% · 50.7%3-point %30.5% · 34.8%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.41 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Ourense   ■ Fuenlabrada
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ourense wins
6
Fuenlabrada wins
DateGameScore
07/11/26Fuenlabrada v Ourense84-86
04/02/26Fuenlabrada v Ourense78-71
31/01/26Ourense v Fuenlabrada69-72
06/04/25Fuenlabrada v Ourense81-74
11/01/25Ourense v Fuenlabrada89-90 OT
29/03/24Fuenlabrada v Ourense76-66
04/11/23Ourense v Fuenlabrada68-80
Ourenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCaja 8787-74
07/11/26AFuenlabrada86-84
31/10/26HFibwi Palma83-73
24/10/26APalencia80-84
16/10/26HAlicante79-83
10/10/26HEstela86-101
04/10/26AGipuzkoa90-86
26/09/26HTizona Burgos91-71
08/05/26HOviedo70-74
03/05/26AMelilla93-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ACordoba80-74
07/11/26HOurense84-86
31/10/26AGranada66-71
25/10/26HHestia Menorca90-76
17/10/26AEstela79-84
11/10/26ACaja 8774-77
03/10/26HGran Canaria68-79
26/09/26AAlicante82-96
29/05/26APalencia51-76
24/05/26HPalencia78-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ourense
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW62%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%60%67%
Points / game85.285.285.3
Allowed / game82.080.484.7
Point differential+3.2+4.8+0.7
Avg total167.2165.6170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fuenlabrada
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW25%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %25%33%20%
Points / game77.980.776.2
Allowed / game80.480.380.4
Point differential-2.5+0.3-4.2
Avg total158.2161.0156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alicante880100%92.075.4+16.6
2 Estudiantes87188%89.877.4+12.4
3 Palencia87188%82.573.0+9.5
4 Gran Canaria86275%91.076.5+14.5
5 Estela86275%82.676.8+5.9
6 Ourense85362%85.282.0+3.2
7 Palmer Basket74357%87.486.4+1.0
8 Granada84450%79.180.8-1.6
9 Oviedo84450%78.983.2-4.4
10 Albacete73443%79.484.0-4.6
11 Caja 8783538%75.677.8-2.1
12 Zamora83538%78.081.5-3.5
13 Fuenlabrada82625%77.980.4-2.5
14 Hestia Menorca82625%69.674.6-5.0
15 Cordoba82625%71.076.6-5.6
16 Tizona Burgos82625%85.493.4-8.0
17 Gipuzkoa82625%76.090.5-14.5
18 Fibwi Palma81712%78.089.8-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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