Ourense vs Palencia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Apr 2017

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 68-76

22-27 19-12 12-15 15-22

Position#10

Record18-13

FormLWLWW

Points / game76.7

Allowed / game74.7

Ourense

Palencia 🏆

Position#5

Record20-11

FormWWLWL

Points / game82.0

Allowed / game78.6

Primera FEBRound 32

Other2016-17

Meetings · Ourense v Palencia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ourense winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Palencia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ourense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melilla

77-80

-3

A03/02

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

81-71

+10

H11/02

Primera FEB

Peixegalego

#18

86-78

A18/02

Primera FEB

Iberojet Palma

79-82

-3

H25/02

Primera FEB

Araberri

#11

79-73

A04/03

Primera FEB

Barcelona B

#13

69-71

-2

H10/03

Primera FEB

Huesca

#16

81-65

+16

H17/03

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#17

77-93

-16

A24/03

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

62-58

H31/03

Primera FEB

Caceres

#12

71-65

A07/04

Primera FEB

22-28

21-15

18-16

16-21

16-14

13-18

29-18

23-21

18-20

23-21

25-16

20-21

16-18

20-17

22-21

21-26

20-31

23-7

16-19

20-16

21-16

19-22

24-12

5-21

26-12

11-19

21-14

23-20

18-33

23-21

15-14

21-25

18-14

11-15

15-12

18-17

22-13

13-11

15-24

21-17

149.8Avg total

76.2Scored

73.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	76.7	74.7	151.4	+2.0	58%
Season at home (15)	75.7	70.5	146.2	+5.1	60%
Season away (16)	77.6	78.6	156.2	-0.9	56%
Last 10 (10)	76.2	73.6	149.8	+2.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	72.0	70.4	142.4	+1.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	69.8	74.0	143.8	-4.2	50%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	77.9	77.6	155.5	+0.4	50%
vs Weaker (6)	80.5	66.3	146.8	+14.2	100%

This opponent (Palencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Palencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oviedo

89-93 OT

-4

A04/02

Primera FEB

Prat Joventut

#14

88-77

+11

H10/02

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

94-96

-2

A17/02

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

92-83

H24/02

Primera FEB

Melilla

76-88

-12

A04/03

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

79-75

H10/03

Primera FEB

Peixegalego

#18

84-74

+10

A18/03

Primera FEB

Iberojet Palma

78-79

-1

H24/03

Primera FEB

Araberri

#11

90-83

A02/04

Primera FEB

Barcelona B

#13

67-69

-2

H07/04

Primera FEB

16-27

23-14

30-14

7-21

21-18

25-22

21-17

21-20

33-19

17-26

31-28

13-23

22-17

16-14

33-21

21-31

13-20

20-17

22-26

21-25

20-18

18-22

14-16

27-19

23-16

24-17

18-19

19-22

20-21

17-21

22-12

19-25

26-28

19-20

27-16

18-19

22-18

20-13

9-22

16-16

165.4Avg total

83.7Scored

81.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	82.0	78.6	160.7	+3.4	65%
Season at home (16)	81.6	78.6	160.2	+3.1	69%
Season away (15)	82.5	78.7	161.2	+3.7	60%
Last 10 (10)	83.7	81.7	165.4	+2.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	79.6	76.0	155.6	+3.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	65.0	93.0	158.0	-28.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	82.6	82.3	164.9	+0.4	59%
vs Weaker (12)	81.6	72.4	154.0	+9.2	75%

This opponent (Ourense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

OurensePalencia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.0	39.1	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	15.4	34.4	+3.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	22.2	43.2	-1.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.9	39.6	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	17.6	38.6	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.7	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.8	20.8	40.6	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.2	13.7	34.8	+7.5	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.2	40.4	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	18.5	39.9	+2.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	20.0	41.1	+1.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	20.2	41.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	20.2	42.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	22.0	23.0	45.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	20.4	19.7	40.1	+0.7	41%	-
vs Weaker (12)	22.3	18.2	40.5	+4.2	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	17.7	35.9	+0.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.9	18.1	36.1	-0.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.5	17.2	35.8	+1.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	16.6	34.3	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	17.6	33.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	14.5	16.7	31.2	-2.2	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	20.0	18.3	38.3	+1.7	72%	-
vs Weaker (6)	16.7	16.8	33.5	-0.2	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.7	40.1	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	19.4	39.9	+1.0	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	20.0	40.3	+0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	18.6	38.5	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.6	38.2	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	14.0	12.0	26.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	19.4	20.6	40.0	-1.3	35%	-
vs Weaker (12)	22.3	19.0	41.3	+3.3	75%	-

OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melilla

43-43

A03/02

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

29-32

-3

H11/02

Primera FEB

Peixegalego

#18

41-41

A18/02

Primera FEB

Iberojet Palma

36-35

H25/02

Primera FEB

Araberri

#11

43-38

A04/03

Primera FEB

Barcelona B

#13

40-38

H10/03

Primera FEB

Huesca

#16

37-31

H17/03

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#17

41-54

-13

A24/03

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

29-29

H31/03

Primera FEB

Caceres

#12

35-24

+11

A07/04

Primera FEB

73.9Avg total

37.4Scored

36.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	36.7	75.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.0	33.5	70.5	+3.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.4	39.5	78.9	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	36.5	73.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	35.2	71.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	34.3	35.8	70.2	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	39.8	39.1	78.8	+0.7	61%	-
vs Weaker (6)	37.8	30.5	68.3	+7.3	67%	-

This opponent (Palencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oviedo

39-41

-2

A04/02

Primera FEB

Prat Joventut

#14

46-40

H10/02

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

50-45

A17/02

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

38-31

H24/02

Primera FEB

Melilla

33-37

-4

A04/03

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

38-40

-2

H10/03

Primera FEB

Peixegalego

#18

47-33

+14

A18/03

Primera FEB

Iberojet Palma

37-42

-5

H24/03

Primera FEB

Araberri

#11

45-48

-3

A02/04

Primera FEB

Barcelona B

#13

42-31

+11

H07/04

Primera FEB

80.3Avg total

41.5Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	38.9	80.5	+2.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.8	37.9	79.8	+3.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.4	40.0	81.4	+1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	38.8	80.3	+2.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	38.8	80.6	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	36.0	35.0	71.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	39.8	40.4	80.1	-0.6	29%	-
vs Weaker (12)	44.7	37.2	81.8	+7.5	83%	-

This opponent (Ourense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	17.6	36.0	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	16.9	37.3	+3.4	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.8	18.1	34.9	-1.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	16.6	36.6	+3.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	15.2	33.2	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.3	15.5	31.8	+0.8	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.8	19.3	38.2	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.3	14.3	33.7	+5.0	83%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.4	38.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	18.9	37.8	-0.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	17.8	39.1	+3.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	19.1	41.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	17.0	35.0	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	12.0	26.0	38.0	-14.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	20.8	18.6	39.4	+2.1	59%	-
vs Weaker (12)	19.7	17.4	37.1	+2.2	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.6	38.3	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	19.6	38.2	-1.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.7	19.6	38.3	-0.9	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	20.5	39.3	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	20.0	37.6	-2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.2	22.7	41.8	-3.5	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.0	18.5	36.5	-0.5	44%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.8	40.4	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	21.7	42.6	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.0	19.9	37.9	-1.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	22.1	40.3	-3.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	17.0	32.0	49.0	-15.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	21.4	22.3	43.6	-0.9	47%	-
vs Weaker (12)	17.2	17.8	35.1	-0.6	42%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	37.2	74.3	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.9	36.6	75.5	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.4	37.8	73.2	-2.3	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	37.1	75.9	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	35.2	70.8	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	35.5	38.2	73.7	-2.7	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	36.8	37.8	74.7	-1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	39.3	34.3	73.7	+5.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	39.2	78.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.8	40.6	80.4	-0.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.4	37.6	77.0	+1.7	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	41.2	82.1	-0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	37.2	75.0	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	29.0	58.0	87.0	-29.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	42.1	40.9	83.1	+1.2	65%	-
vs Weaker (12)	36.9	35.2	72.2	+1.7	58%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ourense wins

Palencia wins

Date	Game	Score
16/12/16	Palencia v Ourense	83-77
08/04/16	Palencia v Ourense	78-65
20/12/15	Ourense v Palencia	56-63
16/01/15	Palencia v Ourense	62-64
17/10/14	Ourense v Palencia	63-65
28/02/14	Palencia v Ourense	74-72
23/11/13	Ourense v Palencia	59-80
11/01/13	Palencia v Ourense	73-75
05/10/12	Ourense v Palencia	68-93
15/04/11	Palencia v Ourense	67-62

Ourenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/04/17	A	Caceres	71-65
31/03/17	H	San Pablo Burgos	62-58
24/03/17	A	Clavijo	77-93
17/03/17	H	Huesca	81-65
10/03/17	H	Barcelona B	69-71
04/03/17	A	Araberri	79-73
25/02/17	H	Iberojet Palma	79-82
18/02/17	A	Peixegalego	86-78
11/02/17	H	Leyma Coruna	81-71
03/02/17	A	Melilla	77-80

Palencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/04/17	H	Barcelona B	67-69
02/04/17	A	Araberri	90-83
24/03/17	H	Iberojet Palma	78-79
18/03/17	A	Peixegalego	84-74
10/03/17	H	Leyma Coruna	79-75
04/03/17	A	Melilla	76-88
24/02/17	H	Gipuzkoa	92-83
17/02/17	A	Castello	94-96
10/02/17	H	Prat Joventut	88-77
04/02/17	A	Oviedo	89-93 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ourense

Primera FEB 2016-17

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	58%
Home	WLLWW	60%
Away	LWWLW	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	15	16
Win %	58%	60%	56%
Points / game	76.7	75.7	77.6
Allowed / game	74.7	70.5	78.6
Point differential	+2.0	+5.1	-0.9
Avg total	151.4	146.2	156.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	33%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (12)	38% (8)	75% (4)
Overtime %	6%	0%	12%

Palencia

Primera FEB 2016-17

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	65%
Home	WWWLL	69%
Away	LLLWW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	16	15
Win %	65%	69%	60%
Points / game	82.0	81.6	82.5
Allowed / game	78.6	78.6	78.7
Point differential	+3.4	+3.1	+3.7
Avg total	160.7	160.2	161.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	19%	27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	46% (13)	67% (6)	29% (7)
Overtime %	3%	0%	7%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Breogan	31	22	9	71%	89.2	80.5	+8.7
2	Gipuzkoa	31	22	9	71%	75.4	72.1	+3.3
3	San Pablo Burgos	31	21	10	68%	81.5	75.3	+6.1
4	Oviedo	31	20	11	65%	80.6	76.5	+4.1
5	Palencia	31	20	11	65%	82.0	78.6	+3.4
6	Melilla	31	18	13	58%	78.1	75.0	+3.1
7	Ourense	31	18	13	58%	76.7	74.7	+2.0
8	Leyma Coruna	31	18	13	58%	81.1	79.6	+1.5
9	Iberojet Palma	31	17	14	55%	79.2	78.7	+0.5
10	Forca Lleida	31	16	15	52%	76.5	76.1	+0.4
11	Caceres	31	14	17	45%	76.8	81.6	-4.8
12	Araberri	31	13	18	42%	78.5	79.4	-1.0
13	Castello	31	12	19	39%	79.2	80.5	-1.3
14	Barcelona B	31	11	20	35%	73.8	76.0	-2.3
15	Prat Joventut	31	11	20	35%	77.5	81.5	-3.9
16	Huesca	31	10	21	32%	72.0	77.4	-5.4
17	Clavijo	31	9	22	29%	76.5	81.0	-4.5
18	Peixegalego	31	7	24	23%	71.6	81.6	-10.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ourense	22	19	12	15	68
Palencia	27	12	15	22	76

← all games of the day

Ourense vs Palencia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature