Ourense vs Palencia Prediction & Stats

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	85.2	85.0	170.2	+0.2	40%
Season at home (3)	85.3	85.0	170.3	+0.3	33%
Season away (2)	85.0	85.0	170.0	+0.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	80.6	84.3	164.9	-3.7	30%
Last 5 (5)	85.2	85.0	170.2	+0.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	78.0	86.2	164.2	-8.2	12%
vs Similar (7)	80.6	79.0	159.6	+1.6	57%
vs Weaker (7)	82.1	77.3	159.4	+4.9	57%

This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Palencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fuenlabrada

83-79

H17/05

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

81-88

-7

A22/05

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

72-78

-6

A24/05

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

76-51

+25

H29/05

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

81-92

-11

A06/06

Primera FEB

Albacete

95-69

+26

A26/09

Primera FEB

Cordoba

#12

70-67

H02/10

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#18

91-76

+15

H09/10

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

77-86

-9

A18/10

Primera FEB

Ourense

#10

84-80

H24/10

Primera FEB

16-23

29-22

11-17

27-17

14-18

15-24

22-27

30-19

16-13

22-21

22-22

12-22

26-9

15-12

22-12

13-18

16-20

24-18

21-28

20-26

25-20

27-14

23-23

20-12

14-12

19-19

16-15

21-21

17-19

27-18

14-17

33-22

22-21

26-14

12-27

17-24

13-25

22-20

25-16

24-19

157.6Avg total

81.0Scored

76.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	83.4	75.6	159.0	+7.8	80%
Season at home (3)	81.7	74.3	156.0	+7.3	100%
Season away (2)	86.0	77.5	163.5	+8.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	81.0	76.6	157.6	+4.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	83.4	75.6	159.0	+7.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	71.7	84.7	156.3	-13.0	0%
vs Similar (2)	90.0	89.5	179.5	+0.5	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	84.4	70.4	154.8	+14.0	92%

This opponent (Ourense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

OurensePalencia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.0	40.3	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	19.9	39.8	+0.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	20.2	40.8	+0.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.3	40.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	18.8	42.8	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	18.8	20.7	39.4	-1.9	31%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.4	20.7	41.1	-0.3	43%	-
vs Weaker (7)	23.4	17.9	41.3	+5.6	86%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	17.9	37.6	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.3	19.1	39.4	+1.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	16.5	35.6	+2.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	18.0	35.9	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.4	37.6	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.3	20.0	40.3	+0.3	67%	-
vs Similar (2)	17.5	21.5	39.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	19.8	17.3	37.2	+2.5	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.9	41.4	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	21.8	42.6	-1.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	19.9	40.0	+0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	23.2	43.7	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.8	42.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	20.8	22.4	43.1	-1.6	56%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.6	18.0	38.6	+2.6	57%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.9	20.4	40.3	-0.6	29%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	17.5	39.7	+4.7	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.6	16.8	40.4	+6.8	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	18.3	38.9	+2.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	18.2	40.8	+4.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	17.0	41.2	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.7	19.3	39.0	+0.3	33%	-
vs Similar (2)	26.0	15.5	41.5	+10.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	22.2	17.4	39.7	+4.8	76%	-

OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obradoiro CAB

21-49

-28

A17/04

Primera FEB

Palencia

42-45

-3

H21/04

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

37-41

-4

A26/04

Primera FEB

Melilla

#17

48-50

-2

A03/05

Primera FEB

Oviedo

35-47

-12

H08/05

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

#17

49-39

+10

H26/09

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

#16

50-45

A04/10

Primera FEB

Estela

41-52

-11

H10/10

Primera FEB

Alicante

38-32

H16/10

Primera FEB

Palencia

45-35

+10

A24/10

Primera FEB

84.1Avg total

40.6Scored

43.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	40.9	81.7	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.8	41.7	82.4	-0.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.7	40.1	80.8	+0.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	43.5	84.1	-2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	40.6	85.2	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	39.5	43.1	82.6	-3.6	38%	-
vs Similar (7)	41.0	38.7	79.7	+2.3	57%	-
vs Weaker (7)	43.3	38.3	81.6	+5.0	71%	-

This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fuenlabrada

45-45

H17/05

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

29-42

-13

A22/05

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

38-34

A24/05

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

41-21

+20

H29/05

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

40-38

A06/06

Primera FEB

Albacete

52-34

+18

A26/09

Primera FEB

Cordoba

#12

33-31

H02/10

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#18

44-37

H09/10

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

48-35

+13

A18/10

Primera FEB

Ourense

#10

35-45

-10

H24/10

Primera FEB

76.7Avg total

40.5Scored

36.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	35.4	77.3	+6.6	83%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.9	35.9	79.8	+8.1	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.7	34.8	74.5	+4.9	86%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	36.2	76.7	+4.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	36.4	78.8	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	40.0	39.3	79.3	+0.7	67%	-
vs Similar (2)	43.5	37.0	80.5	+6.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	42.1	34.8	76.8	+7.3	84%	-

This opponent (Ourense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	22.1	41.3	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.7	21.8	41.4	-2.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	22.6	41.1	-4.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	21.2	41.4	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	22.8	42.8	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	18.9	22.2	41.1	-3.2	38%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.6	21.7	40.3	-3.1	29%	-
vs Weaker (7)	20.3	22.4	42.7	-2.1	57%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	18.6	39.3	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	16.8	37.5	+4.0	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	20.6	41.3	+0.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	20.4	39.2	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	19.6	37.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	14.0	20.7	34.7	-6.7	33%	-
vs Similar (2)	27.0	25.0	52.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	21.0	17.8	38.8	+3.2	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.4	39.1	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	19.1	40.5	+2.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	19.8	37.4	-2.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	19.6	39.4	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.6	42.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.0	18.6	39.6	+2.4	71%	-
vs Weaker (7)	18.6	16.6	35.1	+2.0	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	19.2	40.0	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	18.8	40.7	+3.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	19.6	39.2	+0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	20.0	41.7	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	19.6	42.6	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.7	24.7	42.3	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	19.5	27.5	47.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	21.3	17.8	39.2	+3.5	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	41.5	80.4	-2.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.1	40.8	81.9	+0.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.2	42.4	78.6	-6.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	40.8	80.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	44.4	85.0	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	38.5	43.2	81.7	-4.7	31%	-
vs Similar (7)	39.6	40.3	79.9	-0.7	57%	-
vs Weaker (7)	38.9	39.0	77.9	-0.1	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	37.7	79.3	+3.8	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.6	35.6	78.2	+7.1	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.3	40.2	80.5	+0.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	40.4	80.9	+0.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	39.2	80.2	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	31.7	45.3	77.0	-13.7	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	46.5	52.5	99.0	-6.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	42.3	35.6	78.0	+6.7	84%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Ourensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ourense: 80.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀27%

🏀23%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 23% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game

48%

33%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.9	20.2	51.9%	53.0%	40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.9	7.3	30.5%	32.9%	21.9
🏀 Free throws	25.7	18.3	71.2%	74.2%	18.3

They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 81.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀39%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀24%

🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 24% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game

48%

33%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.6	15.6	47.9%	53.0%	31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.8	10.2	35.4%	32.9%	30.6
🏀 Free throws	25.3	19.2	75.9%	74.2%	19.2

They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.6	19.7	55.3%	53.0%	39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.6	8.6	33.6%	32.9%	25.8
🏀 Free throws	24.6	19.1	77.6%	74.2%	19.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.4	17.3	48.9%	53.0%	34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.5	8.9	31.2%	32.9%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	22.2	15.3	68.9%	74.2%	15.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.5	19.2	46.4%	53.0%	38.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.4	7.2	30.9%	32.9%	21.8
🏀 Free throws	24.1	17.3	71.8%	74.2%	17.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.4	17.7	51.5%	53.0%	35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.0	10.6	36.5%	32.9%	31.8
🏀 Free throws	21.2	15.8	74.4%	74.2%	15.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.6	19.2	55.6%	53.0%	38.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.2	8.0	31.7%	32.9%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	25.4	20.0	78.6%	74.2%	20.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.9	16.1	48.8%	53.0%	32.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.3	9.8	32.2%	32.9%	29.3
🏀 Free throws	20.3	14.5	71.3%	74.2%	14.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Ourense

LLLWWLWLLL

Palencia

WLWWWLWLLW

#10

League position

-5.1

Net rating

+6.0

110.3

Offensive rating

110.8

115.4

Defensive rating

104.8

49.6%

Effective FG%

50.3%

53.3%

Opp. effective FG%

48.0%

0.0%

Turnover %

0.0%

0.41

Free-throw rate

0.41

30.5%

3-point %

35.4%

53.1%

Assist %

58.9%

30%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Ourense ■ Palencia

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ourense wins

Palencia wins

Date	Game	Score
24/10/26	Palencia v Ourense	84-80
21/04/26	Ourense v Palencia	90-93
16/01/26	Palencia v Ourense	83-77
23/04/25	Ourense v Palencia	94-84
14/12/24	Palencia v Ourense	114-81
09/04/23	Palencia v Ourense	86-80
11/12/22	Ourense v Palencia	66-82
03/01/21	Palencia v Ourense	87-69
24/10/20	Ourense v Palencia	75-68
07/02/20	Palencia v Ourense	87-80

Ourenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/10/26	A	Palencia	80-84
16/10/26	H	Alicante	79-83
10/10/26	H	Estela	86-101
04/10/26	A	Gipuzkoa	90-86
26/09/26	H	Tizona Burgos	91-71
08/05/26	H	Oviedo	70-74
03/05/26	A	Melilla	93-84
26/04/26	A	Hestia Menorca	70-73
21/04/26	H	Palencia	90-93
17/04/26	A	Obradoiro CAB	57-94

Palencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/10/26	H	Ourense	84-80
18/10/26	A	Estudiantes	77-86
09/10/26	H	Hestia Menorca	91-76
02/10/26	H	Cordoba	70-67
26/09/26	A	Albacete	95-69
06/06/26	A	Leyma Coruna	81-92
29/05/26	H	Fuenlabrada	76-51
24/05/26	A	Fuenlabrada	72-78
22/05/26	A	Fuenlabrada	81-88
17/05/26	H	Fuenlabrada	83-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ourense

Primera FEB 2026-27

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	40%
Home	WLL	33%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	40%	33%	50%
Points / game	85.2	85.3	85.0
Allowed / game	85.0	85.0	85.0
Point differential	+0.2	+0.3	+0.0
Avg total	170.2	170.3	170.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	0% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Palencia

Primera FEB 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	80%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	80%	100%	50%
Points / game	83.4	81.7	86.0
Allowed / game	75.6	74.3	77.5
Point differential	+7.8	+7.3	+8.5
Avg total	159.0	156.0	163.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	33%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Alicante	6	6	0	100%	89.8	74.0	+15.8
2	Estudiantes	5	5	0	100%	88.8	73.8	+15.0
3	Gran Canaria	5	4	1	80%	91.4	72.2	+19.2
4	Palencia	5	4	1	80%	83.4	75.6	+7.8
5	Estela	5	4	1	80%	84.6	78.2	+6.4
6	Palmer Basket	5	3	2	60%	87.8	85.8	+2.0
7	Granada	5	3	2	60%	81.8	81.4	+0.4
8	Albacete	5	3	2	60%	82.2	87.2	-5.0
9	Oviedo	5	3	2	60%	83.4	89.6	-6.2
10	Ourense	5	2	3	40%	85.2	85.0	+0.2
11	Caja 87	5	2	3	40%	77.0	78.2	-1.2
12	Cordoba	5	2	3	40%	71.6	77.6	-6.0
13	Fuenlabrada	5	1	4	20%	78.6	82.4	-3.8
14	Zamora	5	1	4	20%	73.0	79.6	-6.6
15	Fibwi Palma	5	1	4	20%	81.2	88.6	-7.4
16	Gipuzkoa	5	1	4	20%	80.0	94.4	-14.4
17	Tizona Burgos	6	1	5	17%	87.5	95.0	-7.5
18	Hestia Menorca	5	0	5	0%	70.2	80.6	-10.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

← all games of the day

Ourense vs Palencia Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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