Ourense vs Palencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Dec 2022

Tip-off: 11:45

Final 66-82

20-24 14-20 14-23 18-15

Position#13

Record3-7

FormLWLWL

Points / game72.7

Allowed / game80.4

Ourense

Palencia 🏆

Position#2

Record9-1

FormLWWWW

Points / game80.5

Allowed / game67.2

Primera FEBRound 11

Other2022-23

Meetings · Ourense v Palencia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ourense winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Palencia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ourense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gipuzkoa

62-68

-6

H07/10

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

86-104

104

-18

A11/10

Primera FEB

Castello

78-74

H14/10

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

51-84

-33

A23/10

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

66-79

-13

H29/10

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

77-95

-18

A06/11

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

89-71

+18

H20/11

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

76-86

-10

A26/11

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

76-70

H02/12

Primera FEB

Almansa

#12

66-73

-7

A06/12

Primera FEB

16-16

16-15

16-25

14-12

24-25

18-23

16-33

28-23

21-22

18-18

22-17

17-17

12-13

17-33

13-17

9-21

5-18

20-17

17-20

24-24

16-24

25-22

15-30

21-19

17-15

22-17

26-14

24-25

15-15

20-18

19-27

22-26

23-9

18-20

18-15

17-26

14-18

17-18

22-19

13-18

153.1Avg total

72.7Scored

80.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	72.7	80.4	153.1	-7.7	30%
Season at home (5)	74.2	72.4	146.6	+1.8	60%
Season away (5)	71.2	88.4	159.6	-17.2	0%
Last 10 (10)	72.7	80.4	153.1	-7.7	30%
Last 5 (5)	76.8	79.0	155.8	-2.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	70.6	83.2	153.8	-12.6	20%
vs Similar (8)	74.1	77.0	151.1	-2.9	38%
vs Weaker (17)	77.4	67.7	145.1	+9.7	82%

This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Palencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Valladolid

75-65

+10

H07/10

Primera FEB

Almansa

#12

89-74

+15

A12/10

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#14

88-63

+25

H16/10

Primera FEB

Alicante

#10

82-54

+28

A21/10

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

72-63

H28/10

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

66-75

-9

A06/11

Primera FEB

Castello

77-63

+14

H18/11

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

77-67

+10

A26/11

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

101-81

101

+20

H02/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

78-67

+11

A07/12

Primera FEB

17-17

23-23

22-11

13-14

22-22

22-20

23-10

28-18

24-13

18-20

18-12

18-16

18-12

24-17

22-9

14-16

26-13

17-18

15-16

13-16

12-16

14-16

27-27

17-14

16-18

24-10

20-21

20-13

19-17

14-13

24-24

27-16

24-30

27-19

23-16

21-20

21-22

17-12

19-13

147.7Avg total

80.5Scored

67.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	80.5	67.2	147.7	+13.3	90%
Season at home (5)	82.6	67.0	149.6	+15.6	100%
Season away (5)	78.4	67.4	145.8	+11.0	80%
Last 10 (10)	80.5	67.2	147.7	+13.3	90%
Last 5 (5)	79.8	70.6	150.4	+9.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	66.0	85.5	151.5	-19.5	25%
vs Similar (10)	76.8	72.1	148.9	+4.7	70%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	81.6	71.3	152.9	+10.3	81%

This opponent (Ourense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

OurensePalencia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.1	37.4	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	18.5	39.1	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	17.7	35.8	+0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	17.5	33.8	-1.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	16.2	33.2	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	17.6	18.2	35.8	-0.6	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	15.6	19.4	35.0	-3.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (17)	21.6	17.5	39.1	+4.1	59%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	17.3	37.3	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	16.2	36.6	+4.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.5	18.3	37.8	+1.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	16.8	36.5	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	15.8	35.4	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.0	21.0	39.0	-3.0	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.8	16.6	36.4	+3.2	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	20.5	16.9	37.4	+3.6	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	17.8	36.2	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	17.4	36.3	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	18.1	36.1	-0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	20.1	39.2	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.0	39.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	17.8	21.4	39.2	-3.6	40%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.6	17.6	38.2	+3.0	62%	-
vs Weaker (17)	17.6	16.8	34.4	+0.8	59%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.9	38.0	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.5	17.6	38.1	+2.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	20.1	37.9	-2.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	18.6	39.1	+1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.6	39.0	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.2	20.5	37.8	-3.2	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.6	16.9	36.5	+2.7	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	19.1	19.8	38.9	-0.7	31%	-

OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gipuzkoa

32-31

H07/10

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

42-48

-6

A11/10

Primera FEB

Castello

39-40

-1

H14/10

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

29-46

-17

A23/10

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

25-35

-10

H29/10

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

41-46

-5

A06/11

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

39-32

H20/11

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

35-33

A26/11

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

41-29

+12

H02/12

Primera FEB

Almansa

#12

31-36

-5

A06/12

Primera FEB

73.0Avg total

35.4Scored

37.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	35.9	73.6	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.4	35.9	75.3	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.1	35.8	71.9	+0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.4	37.6	73.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	35.2	72.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	35.4	39.6	75.0	-4.2	40%	-
vs Similar (8)	36.2	37.0	73.2	-0.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (17)	39.2	34.2	73.4	+4.9	71%	-

This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Valladolid

40-40

H07/10

Primera FEB

Almansa

#12

44-44

A12/10

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#14

52-31

+21

H16/10

Primera FEB

Alicante

#10

36-28

A21/10

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

40-29

+11

H28/10

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

25-32

-7

A06/11

Primera FEB

Castello

33-32

H18/11

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

39-30

A26/11

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

51-46

H02/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

42-42

A07/12

Primera FEB

75.6Avg total

40.2Scored

35.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	36.3	75.2	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.9	33.8	74.7	+7.1	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.2	38.4	75.7	-1.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	35.4	75.6	+4.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	36.4	74.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	35.2	41.5	76.8	-6.2	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	39.4	33.5	72.9	+5.9	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	39.6	36.7	76.3	+2.9	56%	-

This opponent (Ourense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.5	38.1	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	18.3	38.3	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	18.7	37.9	+0.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	21.7	40.1	-3.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	17.2	23.8	41.0	-6.6	20%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.8	19.9	39.6	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (17)	20.3	16.3	36.6	+4.0	59%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	18.5	38.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	18.2	39.9	+3.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	18.8	37.5	+0.0	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	15.6	35.5	+4.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	14.0	33.2	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	14.2	23.0	37.2	-8.8	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.5	18.6	39.1	+1.9	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	21.3	17.3	38.6	+4.0	69%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	18.2	35.8	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	16.4	34.7	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.0	19.9	36.9	-2.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	21.1	40.0	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	22.8	42.2	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	18.0	19.8	37.8	-1.8	40%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.1	20.1	38.2	-2.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (17)	17.3	16.8	34.1	+0.5	47%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.5	37.0	+0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.4	18.0	35.4	-0.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	18.9	38.5	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	16.2	36.6	+4.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	20.2	42.8	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.5	21.0	37.5	-4.5	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	16.9	20.0	36.9	-3.1	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	20.1	16.9	37.0	+3.1	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	36.7	73.9	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.3	34.7	73.0	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.3	38.6	74.9	-2.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	42.8	80.1	-5.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	43.8	83.2	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	35.2	43.6	78.8	-8.4	20%	-
vs Similar (8)	37.9	40.0	77.9	-2.1	38%	-
vs Weaker (17)	37.6	33.1	70.6	+4.5	65%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	37.0	75.6	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.0	36.2	75.2	+2.8	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.3	37.7	76.0	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	31.8	72.1	+8.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	34.2	76.0	+7.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	30.8	44.0	74.8	-13.2	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	37.4	38.6	76.0	-1.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	41.4	34.2	75.6	+7.1	81%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ourense wins

Palencia wins

Date	Game	Score
03/01/21	Palencia v Ourense	87-69
24/10/20	Ourense v Palencia	75-68
07/02/20	Palencia v Ourense	87-80
20/10/19	Ourense v Palencia	72-81
21/04/19	Ourense v Palencia	52-55
30/12/18	Palencia v Ourense	76-88
01/04/18	Palencia v Ourense	74-72
10/12/17	Ourense v Palencia	71-74
12/04/17	Ourense v Palencia	68-76
16/12/16	Palencia v Ourense	83-77

Ourenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/12/22	A	Almansa	66-73
02/12/22	H	Caceres	76-70
26/11/22	A	Real Valladolid	76-86
20/11/22	H	Albacete	89-71
06/11/22	A	Melilla	77-95
29/10/22	H	Estela	66-79
23/10/22	A	Leyma Coruna	51-84
14/10/22	H	Castello	78-74
11/10/22	A	Estudiantes	86-104
07/10/22	H	Gipuzkoa	62-68

Palencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/12/22	A	Caceres	78-67
02/12/22	H	Albacete	101-81
26/11/22	A	Estela	77-67
18/11/22	H	Castello	77-63
06/11/22	A	Gipuzkoa	66-75
28/10/22	H	MoraBanc Andorra	72-63
21/10/22	A	Alicante	82-54
16/10/22	H	Oviedo	88-63
12/10/22	A	Almansa	89-74
07/10/22	H	Real Valladolid	75-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ourense

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	30%
Home	LWLWW	60%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	30%	60%	0%
Points / game	72.7	74.2	71.2
Allowed / game	80.4	72.4	88.4
Point differential	-7.7	+1.8	-17.2
Avg total	153.1	146.6	159.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	20%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Palencia

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	90%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWLWW	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	90%	100%	80%
Points / game	80.5	82.6	78.4
Allowed / game	67.2	67.0	67.4
Point differential	+13.3	+15.6	+11.0
Avg total	147.7	149.6	145.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	80%	80%	80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	MoraBanc Andorra	11	10	1	91%	84.3	69.2	+15.1
2	Palencia	10	9	1	90%	80.5	67.2	+13.3
3	Real Valladolid	11	8	3	73%	76.8	68.5	+8.4
4	San Pablo Burgos	11	8	3	73%	79.5	73.7	+5.7
5	Forca Lleida	11	8	3	73%	81.4	78.2	+3.2
6	Estudiantes	10	7	3	70%	81.9	76.6	+5.3
7	Alicante	11	6	5	55%	75.4	77.5	-2.1
8	Estela	11	6	5	55%	71.3	73.6	-2.4
9	Leyma Coruna	10	5	5	50%	80.2	73.3	+6.9
10	Gipuzkoa	10	5	5	50%	73.1	71.6	+1.5
11	Castello	10	4	6	40%	75.4	73.4	+2.0
12	Almansa	11	4	7	36%	76.1	80.1	-4.0
13	Ourense	10	3	7	30%	72.7	80.4	-7.7
14	Melilla	11	3	8	27%	76.0	79.7	-3.7
15	Caceres	11	3	8	27%	69.0	75.6	-6.6
16	Oviedo	11	3	8	27%	70.3	82.7	-12.5
17	Albacete	10	2	8	20%	73.1	80.3	-7.2
18	Iraurgi SB	10	1	9	10%	70.7	86.0	-15.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ourense	20	14	14	18	66
Palencia	24	20	23	15	82

← all games of the day

Ourense vs Palencia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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