Ourense vs Real Valladolid Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Mar 2023

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 82-72

27-17 10-15 24-14 21-26

Position#13

Record8-16

FormLLLWW

Points / game73.1

Allowed / game78.7

Ourense 🏆

Real Valladolid

Position#4

Record16-8

FormWLWLW

Points / game76.0

Allowed / game72.2

Primera FEBRound 25

Other2022-23

Meetings · Ourense v Real Valladolid

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ourense winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Real Valladolid winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ourense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Iraurgi SB

#17

87-72

+15

H07/01

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

62-72

-10

H14/01

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

63-84

-21

A20/01

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

89-88

A28/01

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

76-86

-10

H01/02

Primera FEB

Castello

64-76

-12

A05/02

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

70-80

-10

H18/02

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

69-75

-6

A05/03

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

74-54

+20

H11/03

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

74-66

A18/03

Primera FEB

22-14

14-16

28-20

23-22

14-17

18-16

11-21

19-18

21-20

12-20

12-25

18-19

30-25

19-22

16-18

24-23

12-18

20-23

25-23

19-22

25-17

18-21

11-16

10-22

20-24

14-15

17-23

19-18

11-15

29-20

12-18

17-22

20-11

21-8

15-14

18-21

22-16

13-23

21-14

18-13

148.1Avg total

72.8Scored

75.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	73.1	78.7	151.8	-5.6	33%
Season at home (12)	75.1	74.9	150.0	+0.2	50%
Season away (12)	71.1	82.5	153.6	-11.4	17%
Last 10 (10)	72.8	75.3	148.1	-2.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	70.2	70.2	140.4	+0.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	72.7	82.8	155.5	-10.1	21%
vs Similar (10)	73.6	73.0	146.6	+0.6	50%
vs Weaker (6)	79.2	67.2	146.3	+12.0	83%

This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real Valladolid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Estela

#11

67-60

H07/01

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

68-61

A14/01

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

90-86 OT

H21/01

Primera FEB

Palencia

76-70

H28/01

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

58-77

-19

A01/02

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

80-61

+19

H05/02

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

77-85

-8

A17/02

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

81-75

H05/03

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

71-102

102

-31

A10/03

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

85-66

+19

H18/03

Primera FEB

14-14

15-20

16-10

22-16

15-15

20-15

19-7

14-24

17-22

25-13

8-19

23-19

10-14

22-21

14-19

30-16

17-18

6-14

14-25

21-20

23-13

19-17

18-15

20-16

13-19

21-28

19-23

24-15

21-20

19-17

17-18

24-20

12-27

16-21

18-30

25-24

16-19

23-16

17-14

29-17

149.6Avg total

75.3Scored

74.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	76.0	72.2	148.2	+3.8	67%
Season at home (13)	79.5	66.7	146.2	+12.8	100%
Season away (11)	71.8	78.8	150.6	-7.0	27%
Last 10 (10)	75.3	74.3	149.6	+1.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	78.8	77.8	156.6	+1.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	65.3	72.6	137.9	-7.2	33%
vs Similar (10)	79.1	72.9	152.0	+6.2	70%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	78.5	70.6	149.2	+7.9	82%

This opponent (Ourense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

OurenseReal Valladolid

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.8	37.9	+0.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	18.5	37.5	+0.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	19.1	38.3	+0.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	17.7	37.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	16.6	36.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.4	20.1	39.4	-0.7	21%	-
vs Similar (10)	16.6	15.9	32.5	+0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.7	20.7	43.3	+2.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	17.4	35.9	+1.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.7	16.9	35.6	+1.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.2	18.1	36.3	+0.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.8	18.1	33.9	-2.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	19.6	36.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	15.6	15.6	31.1	+0.0	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.5	18.2	38.7	+2.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	19.0	18.3	37.3	+0.7	27%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	18.5	36.9	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	17.0	35.9	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	20.0	37.9	-2.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	18.4	36.2	-0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	17.4	36.4	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	17.4	20.0	37.4	-2.6	29%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.0	17.5	37.5	+2.5	60%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.0	16.7	34.7	+1.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	18.2	36.5	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	16.9	35.9	+2.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.5	19.6	37.1	-2.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	18.2	36.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	15.9	18.2	34.1	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.5	19.2	38.7	+0.3	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	19.3	17.2	36.5	+2.1	55%	-

OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Iraurgi SB

#17

36-30

H07/01

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

32-33

-1

H14/01

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

33-40

-7

A20/01

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

49-47

A28/01

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

32-41

-9

H01/02

Primera FEB

Castello

43-38

A05/02

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

34-39

-5

H18/02

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

40-35

A05/03

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

41-19

+22

H11/03

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

35-39

-4

A18/03

Primera FEB

73.6Avg total

37.5Scored

36.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	37.3	74.8	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.8	35.5	73.3	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.1	39.1	76.2	-1.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	36.1	73.6	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	34.0	72.6	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	36.7	40.1	76.8	-3.4	36%	-
vs Similar (10)	36.6	33.4	70.0	+3.2	60%	-
vs Weaker (6)	40.7	37.3	78.0	+3.3	67%	-

This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real ValladolidLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Estela

#11

29-34

-5

H07/01

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

35-30

A14/01

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

42-35

H21/01

Primera FEB

Palencia

32-35

-3

H28/01

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

23-32

-9

A01/02

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

42-30

+12

H05/02

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

34-47

-13

A17/02

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

40-37

H05/03

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

28-48

-20

A10/03

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

39-35

H18/03

Primera FEB

70.7Avg total

34.4Scored

36.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	35.6	72.4	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.8	33.8	71.5	+4.0	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.7	37.7	73.4	-2.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.4	36.3	70.7	-1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	39.4	76.0	-2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	31.4	33.8	65.2	-2.3	11%	-
vs Similar (10)	40.0	37.4	77.4	+2.6	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	38.3	35.5	73.7	+2.8	64%	-

This opponent (Ourense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	19.5	37.7	-1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	19.5	39.2	+0.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	19.5	36.2	-2.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	19.2	36.0	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	17.0	32.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	16.5	21.8	38.3	-5.3	21%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.0	18.8	36.8	-0.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.7	15.2	37.8	+7.5	83%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	17.7	34.7	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.8	15.3	32.1	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	20.4	37.6	-3.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.0	18.0	34.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	20.0	37.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.2	21.2	38.4	-4.0	11%	-
vs Similar (10)	16.9	17.6	34.5	-0.7	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	16.8	14.9	31.7	+1.9	73%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	18.9	36.7	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	18.5	36.7	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	19.2	36.7	-1.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	20.0	38.5	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	19.2	35.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	17.9	19.3	37.1	-1.4	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.0	20.8	39.8	-1.8	30%	-
vs Weaker (6)	15.8	14.7	30.5	+1.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	17.9	37.9	+2.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	17.0	38.8	+4.8	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	18.9	36.8	-0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	18.7	41.9	+4.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	18.4	42.8	+6.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	16.7	17.6	34.2	-0.9	56%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.2	17.9	40.1	+4.3	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	20.7	18.1	38.8	+2.6	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.1	38.3	74.4	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.9	38.0	75.9	-0.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.3	38.7	72.9	-4.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.3	39.2	74.5	-3.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.6	36.2	67.8	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	34.4	41.1	75.4	-6.7	14%	-
vs Similar (10)	37.0	39.6	76.6	-2.6	30%	-
vs Weaker (6)	38.5	29.8	68.3	+8.7	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	35.6	72.5	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.6	32.3	70.9	+6.3	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.1	39.3	74.4	-4.2	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	36.7	75.9	+2.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	38.4	80.6	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	33.9	38.8	72.7	-4.9	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	39.1	35.5	74.6	+3.6	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	37.5	33.0	70.5	+4.5	73%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ourense wins

Real Valladolid wins

Date	Game	Score
26/11/22	Real Valladolid v Ourense	86-76
23/12/20	Ourense v Real Valladolid	78-88
18/10/20	Real Valladolid v Ourense	89-87

Ourenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/03/23	A	Albacete	74-66
11/03/23	H	Melilla	74-54
05/03/23	A	Estela	69-75
18/02/23	H	Leyma Coruna	70-80
05/02/23	A	Castello	64-76
01/02/23	H	Estudiantes	76-86
28/01/23	A	Gipuzkoa	89-88
20/01/23	A	Forca Lleida	63-84
14/01/23	H	MoraBanc Andorra	62-72
07/01/23	H	Iraurgi SB	87-72

Real Valladolidlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/03/23	H	Melilla	85-66
10/03/23	A	Leyma Coruna	71-102
05/03/23	H	Estudiantes	81-75
17/02/23	A	Forca Lleida	77-85
05/02/23	H	Iraurgi SB	80-61
01/02/23	A	San Pablo Burgos	58-77
28/01/23	H	Palencia	76-70
21/01/23	H	Caceres	90-86 OT
14/01/23	A	Albacete	68-61
07/01/23	H	Estela	67-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ourense

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	33%
Home	WLLLW	50%
Away	LWLLW	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	33%	50%	17%
Points / game	73.1	75.1	71.1
Allowed / game	78.7	74.9	82.5
Point differential	-5.6	+0.2	-11.4
Avg total	151.8	150.0	153.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	8%	8%	8%

Real Valladolid

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	67%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LWLLL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	13	11
Win %	67%	100%	27%
Points / game	76.0	79.5	71.8
Allowed / game	72.2	66.7	78.8
Point differential	+3.8	+12.8	-7.0
Avg total	148.2	146.2	150.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	54%	18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	100% (2)	0% (2)
Overtime %	8%	15%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	MoraBanc Andorra	25	22	3	88%	83.3	70.1	+13.2
2	Palencia	25	21	4	84%	82.4	71.8	+10.6
3	Leyma Coruna	25	18	7	72%	84.4	75.9	+8.6
4	Forca Lleida	25	17	8	68%	80.4	77.4	+3.0
5	Estudiantes	24	16	8	67%	78.6	73.0	+5.7
6	Real Valladolid	24	16	8	67%	76.0	72.2	+3.8
7	Alicante	24	15	9	62%	75.7	75.2	+0.5
8	Gipuzkoa	24	14	10	58%	77.8	73.0	+4.8
9	San Pablo Burgos	24	14	10	58%	80.3	75.8	+4.6
10	Estela	25	12	13	48%	74.0	77.2	-3.1
11	Castello	24	11	13	46%	75.0	76.2	-1.2
12	Ourense	24	8	16	33%	73.1	78.7	-5.6
13	Caceres	25	8	17	32%	73.5	78.8	-5.4
14	Almansa	24	7	17	29%	72.2	80.0	-7.8
15	Oviedo	25	7	18	28%	68.4	77.4	-9.0
16	Iraurgi SB	24	5	19	21%	71.7	81.0	-9.4
17	Albacete	25	5	20	20%	70.4	77.1	-6.6
18	Melilla	24	4	20	17%	74.2	81.2	-7.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ourense	27	10	24	21	82
Real Valladolid	17	15	14	26	72

← all games of the day

Ourense vs Real Valladolid Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature