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Palencia vs Ourense Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 83-77
16-22 23-17 13-26 31-12
Position#3
Record9-6
FormLWLWL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game74.1
vs
Position#11
Record7-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game82.1
SpainPrimera FEBRound 17
Other2025-26
Meetings · Palencia v Ourense
24 Oct 2026
PAL84
OURE80
16 Jan 2026
PAL83
OURE77
14 Dec 2024
PAL114
OURE81
09 Apr 2023
PAL86
OURE80
03 Jan 2021
PAL87
OURE69
07 Feb 2020
PAL87
OURE80
30 Dec 2018
PAL76
OURE88
01 Apr 2018
PAL74
OURE72
16 Dec 2016
PAL83
OURE77
08 Apr 2016
PAL78
OURE65
16 Jan 2015
PAL62
OURE64
28 Feb 2014
PAL74
OURE72
11 Jan 2013
PAL73
OURE75
15 Apr 2011
PAL67
OURE62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ourense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Alicante
#10
L
59-79
59
79
-20
44avg 76
H31/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
102-77
102
77
+25
91avg 76
A08/11
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
W
88-80
88
80
+8
79avg 76
H14/11
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
83-52
83
52
+31
no box
H22/11
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
75-82
75
82
-7
60avg 76
A07/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
64-76
64
76
-12
40avg 76
H12/12
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
93-86
93
86
+7
85avg 76
A17/12
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
67-73
67
73
-6
58avg 76
A20/12
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
91-76
91
76
+15
81avg 76
H28/12
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
85-87
85
87
-2
76avg 76
H04/01
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
20-17
12-27
6-21
18-23
42-10
18-27
24-17
32-20
12-16
19-19
25-25
22-18
20-11
19-12
22-11
22-22
25-24
12-12
16-24
11-20
13-24
15-16
25-16
18-25
26-25
27-17
22-19
17-25
14-15
17-18
19-15
25-23
29-14
22-25
15-14
29-26
20-20
21-13
15-28
157.5Avg total
80.7Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.174.1157.2+8.960%
Season at home (8)81.173.4154.5+7.862%
Season away (7)85.375.0160.3+10.357%
Last 10 (10)80.776.8157.5+3.950%
Last 5 (5)80.079.6159.6+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.087.0172.0-2.00%
vs Similar (4)84.082.8166.8+1.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)85.176.8162.0+8.367%
This opponent (Ourense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OurenseSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOurense
Date
Competition
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
84-80
84
80
+4
79avg 71
H01/11
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
91-65
91
65
+26
82avg 71
H08/11
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
L
76-83
76
83
-7
72avg 71
A16/11
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
99-77
99
77
+22
85avg 71
A23/11
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
W
98-75
98
75
+23
92avg 71
H06/12
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
77-94
77
94
-17
68avg 71
A17/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
77-89
77
89
-12
63avg 71
H20/12
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
73-75
73
75
-2
54avg 71
A28/12
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
75-92
75
92
-17
61avg 71
A04/01
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
W
96-93
96
93
+3
89avg 71
H10/01
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
26-19
18-18
17-23
24-15
25-20
24-22
18-8
22-20
19-20
16-19
19-24
24-17
23-13
19-23
33-24
32-19
24-16
24-22
18-18
23-19
25-29
21-29
8-17
12-27
21-20
20-19
24-23
23-24
16-13
16-22
18-16
18-24
25-18
14-32
18-18
20-28
23-21
24-19
29-25
166.9Avg total
84.6Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)83.182.1165.3+1.050%
Season at home (6)88.078.5166.5+9.583%
Season away (8)79.584.9164.4-5.425%
Last 10 (10)84.682.3166.9+2.350%
Last 5 (5)79.688.6168.2-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)79.185.0164.1-5.925%
vs Similar (9)82.286.4168.7-4.233%
vs Weaker (9)82.780.4163.1+2.256%
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.6+0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.6+0.6
PalenciaOurense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alicante
#10
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H31/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
60-33
60
33
+27
A08/11
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H14/11
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H22/11
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A07/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H12/12
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A17/12
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A20/12
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H28/12
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H04/01
Primera FEB
82.8Avg total
43.6Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.138.383.4+6.873%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.735.279.9+9.494%-
Last 30 away (14)45.641.887.4+3.850%-
Last 10 (10)43.639.282.8+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)40.443.483.8-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)46.542.589.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar (4)48.044.092.0+4.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)44.537.081.5+7.575%-
This opponent (Ourense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H01/11
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H08/11
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A16/11
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A23/11
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H06/12
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A17/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H20/12
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A28/12
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A04/01
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H10/01
Primera FEB
85.0Avg total
44.8Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.940.982.8+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.138.881.8+4.362%-
Last 30 away (17)41.042.583.5-1.547%-
Last 10 (10)44.840.285.0+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)41.244.685.8-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.040.880.8-0.850%-
vs Similar (9)44.043.787.7+0.356%-
vs Weaker (9)42.338.380.7+4.056%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.0
53.8%
51.5%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.3
32.9%
33.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.413.4
77.0%
73.4%13.4
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ourensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ourense: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.019.5
43.3%
51.5%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.59.0
38.3%
33.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws25.519.5
76.5%
73.4%19.5
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/2 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Palencia
LWLWLLWWWL
Ourense
WLLLLWWLWW
#3
League position
#11
-11.0
Net rating
-9.1
107.8
Offensive rating
110.9
118.8
Defensive rating
120.0
52.0%
Effective FG%
48.2%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
57.9%
15.1%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.37
32.9%
3-point %
38.3%
64.7%
Assist %
54.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.8 · 110.9Defence118.8 · 120.0Shooting52.0% · 48.2%3-point %32.9% · 38.3%Ball care15.1% · 0.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Palencia   ■ Ourense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Palencia wins
3
Ourense wins
DateGameScore
23/04/25Ourense v Palencia94-84
14/12/24Palencia v Ourense114-81
09/04/23Palencia v Ourense86-80
11/12/22Ourense v Palencia66-82
03/01/21Palencia v Ourense87-69
24/10/20Ourense v Palencia75-68
07/02/20Palencia v Ourense87-80
20/10/19Ourense v Palencia72-81
21/04/19Ourense v Palencia52-55
30/12/18Palencia v Ourense76-88
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26HObradoiro CAB85-87
28/12/25HTizona Burgos91-76
20/12/25AFuenlabrada67-73
17/12/25AFibwi Palma93-86
12/12/25HGipuzkoa64-76
07/12/25ALeyma Coruna75-82
22/11/25HEstudiantes83-52
14/11/25HOviedo88-80
08/11/25AZamora102-77
31/10/25HAlicante59-79
Ourenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HObradoiro CAB96-93
04/01/26AEstudiantes75-92
28/12/25AOviedo73-75
20/12/25HGipuzkoa77-89
17/12/25ALeyma Coruna77-94
06/12/25HMelilla98-75
23/11/25ATizona Burgos99-77
16/11/25AFibwi Palma76-83
08/11/25HCartagena91-65
01/11/25HHestia Menorca84-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL60%
HomeWWLWL62%
AwayLWLWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %60%62%57%
Points / game83.181.185.3
Allowed / game74.173.475.0
Point differential+8.9+7.8+10.3
Avg total157.2154.5160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ourense
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW50%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayLWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %50%83%25%
Points / game83.188.079.5
Allowed / game82.178.584.9
Point differential+1.0+9.5-5.4
Avg total165.3166.5164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leyma Coruna1615194%92.978.4+14.5
2 Obradoiro CAB1512380%91.979.3+12.6
3 Estudiantes1511473%86.379.5+6.9
4 Alicante1510567%87.380.2+7.1
5 Palencia159660%83.174.1+8.9
6 Gipuzkoa159660%79.175.1+4.0
7 Hestia Menorca158753%83.578.3+5.2
8 Ourense147750%83.182.1+1.0
9 Fuenlabrada147750%80.183.4-3.4
10 Fibwi Palma168850%77.681.6-4.0
11 Oviedo157847%82.580.1+2.3
12 Zamora167944%85.287.6-2.4
13 Estela156940%77.385.4-8.1
14 Tizona Burgos1541127%84.590.0-5.5
15 Cartagena1531220%72.585.8-13.3
16 Palmer Basket1531220%69.585.3-15.8
17 Melilla1521313%76.687.4-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Palencia1623133183
Ourense2217261277
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