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Ovarense vs CAB Madeira Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 17 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record6-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game76.9
Ovarense
Portugal
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.3/10
Below normal
4.2/10
Below normal
CAB Madeira
Portugal
Position#10
Record1-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game86.4
PortugalLPBRound 21· Arena de Ovar
Other2026-27
Meetings · Ovarense v CAB Madeira
17 Apr 2027
OVAR v CAB
upcoming
17 Dec 2022
OVAR85
CAB 93
04 Dec 2021
OVAR84
CAB 98
29 Dec 2020
OVAR85
CAB 87
15 Feb 2020
OVAR91
CAB 73
24 Nov 2018
OVAR87
CAB 78
13 Dec 2017
OVAR91
CAB 71
18 Mar 2017
OVAR67
CAB 85
12 Nov 2016
OVAR93
CAB 88
16 Jan 2016
OVAR79
CAB 78
25 Oct 2014
OVAR76
CAB 61
01 Mar 2014
OVAR71
CAB 68
07 Apr 2013
OVAR77
CAB 86
07 Apr 2012
OVAR71
CAB 54
20 Nov 2010
OVAR87
CAB 79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ovarense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
CAB Madeira win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOvarense
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#5
W
93-79
93
79
+14
90avg 64
H09/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
72-90
72
90
-18
56avg 64
A13/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
65-69
65
69
-4
48avg 64
H16/05
LPB
Braga
#6
W
96-83
96
83
+13
47avg 64
H03/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
87-71
87
71
+16
81avg 64
A10/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
W
78-69
78
69
+9
63avg 64
H17/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
70-71
70
71
-1
64avg 64
A24/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
78-76
78
76
+2
56avg 64
H31/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
93-87
93
87
+6
no box
A07/11
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
W
89-81
89
81
+8
no box
H14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
21-19
18-15
29-27
23-27
24-25
13-19
12-19
16-10
18-17
18-18
13-24
26-19
26-9
23-20
21-35
17-21
20-17
30-9
20-24
17-12
20-17
25-23
16-17
24-16
12-22
16-14
18-19
23-12
15-24
17-20
23-20
16-26
34-31
26-19
17-11
14-20
23-24
24-26
28-11
159.7Avg total
82.1Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.476.9161.3+7.686%
Season at home (4)85.277.2162.5+8.0100%
Season away (3)83.376.3159.7+7.067%
Last 10 (10)82.177.6159.7+4.570%
Last 5 (5)81.676.8158.4+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.880.3152.2-8.517%
vs Similar (8)82.279.0161.2+3.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)85.377.4162.8+7.981%
This opponent (CAB Madeira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CAB MadeiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadeira
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#1
W
90-72
90
72
+18
81avg 75
H24/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
61-78
61
78
-17
52avg 75
A30/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
72-90
72
90
-18
66avg 75
A31/05
Proliga
Vitoria
#9
L
78-83
78
83
-5
72avg 75
H03/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
69-73
69
73
-4
54avg 75
A10/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
W
93-84
93
84
+9
90avg 75
H17/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
82-93
82
93
-11
76avg 75
A25/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
109-113 OT
109
113
-4
102avg 75
H31/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
L
86-90
86
90
-4
no box
A07/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
62-69
62
69
-7
no box
A14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
28-20
18-19
23-18
26-26
11-22
17-17
7-13
13-30
18-18
27-21
14-21
18-14
24-17
21-25
15-27
20-21
12-18
20-19
17-15
23-22
26-20
25-20
19-22
15-26
20-22
21-18
26-27
20-21
25-24
25-24
20-21
18-20
18-23
30-20
20-27
18-11
13-29
14-12
17-17
164.7Avg total
80.2Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.786.4169.1-3.714%
Season at home (3)93.393.3186.7+0.033%
Season away (4)74.881.2156.0-6.50%
Last 10 (10)80.284.5164.7-4.320%
Last 5 (5)86.489.8176.2-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)79.983.3163.2-3.433%
vs Similar (12)78.876.2155.0+2.558%
vs Weaker (9)84.077.9161.9+6.178%
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -3.0-3.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -3.0-3.0
OvarenseCAB Madeira
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#5
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H09/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A13/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H16/05
LPB
Braga
#6
W
52-28
52
28
+24
H03/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A10/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H17/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A24/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H31/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A07/11
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H14/11
LPB
80.0Avg total
41.4Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.240.581.7+0.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.738.377.9+1.453%-
Last 30 away (15)42.842.785.5+0.127%-
Last 10 (10)41.438.680.0+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.880.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.541.577.0-6.017%-
vs Similar (8)43.439.082.4+4.462%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.340.983.2+1.438%-
This opponent (CAB Madeira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CAB MadeiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#1
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H24/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A30/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A31/05
Proliga
Vitoria
#9
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H03/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A10/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H17/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A25/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H31/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A07/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A14/11
LPB
80.6Avg total
38.7Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.738.779.4+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.936.177.9+5.871%-
Last 30 away (16)39.741.080.7-1.331%-
Last 10 (10)38.741.980.6-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.243.682.8-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.942.183.0-1.233%-
vs Similar (12)37.736.874.5+0.842%-
vs Weaker (9)44.637.882.3+6.878%-
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.519.3
48.9%
51.1%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.76.8
27.5%
31.9%20.4
🏀 Free throws16.412.0
73.2%
71.1%12.0
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CAB Madeiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CAB Madeira: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.616.8
51.5%
51.1%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.611.4
36.1%
31.9%34.2
🏀 Free throws17.412.8
73.6%
71.1%12.8
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ovarense
WWWLWWWLLW
CAB Madeira
LLLLWLLLLW
#3
League position
#10
-5.3
Net rating
+0.5
83.9
Offensive rating
92.5
89.2
Defensive rating
92.1
46.0%
Effective FG%
52.8%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
14.8%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
27.5%
3-point %
36.1%
64.0%
Assist %
64.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence83.9 · 92.5Defence89.2 · 92.1Shooting46.0% · 52.8%3-point %27.5% · 36.1%Ball care14.8% · 16.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Ovarense   ■ CAB Madeira
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Ovarense wins
6
CAB Madeira wins
DateGameScore
17/12/22Ovarense v CAB Madeira85-93
01/10/22CAB Madeira v Ovarense77-80
12/03/22CAB Madeira v Ovarense88-82
04/12/21Ovarense v CAB Madeira84-98
05/03/21CAB Madeira v Ovarense101-103
29/12/20Ovarense v CAB Madeira85-87
15/02/20Ovarense v CAB Madeira91-73
16/11/19CAB Madeira v Ovarense81-76
02/03/19CAB Madeira v Ovarense82-77
24/01/19CAB Madeira v Ovarense71-76
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCA Queluz89-81
07/11/26AOliveirense93-87
31/10/26HFC Porto78-76
24/10/26ASporting CP70-71
17/10/26HCD Povoa78-69
10/10/26AVitoria87-71
03/10/26HBraga96-83
16/05/26HOliveirense65-69
13/05/26AOliveirense72-90
09/05/26HOliveirense93-79
CAB Madeiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ABenfica62-69
07/11/26ACA Queluz86-90
31/10/26HOliveirense109-113 OT
25/10/26AFC Porto82-93
17/10/26HSporting CP93-84
10/10/26ACD Povoa69-73
03/10/26HVitoria78-83
31/05/26ACD Povoa72-90
30/05/26ACD Povoa61-78
24/05/26HCD Povoa90-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ovarense
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game84.485.283.3
Allowed / game76.977.276.3
Point differential+7.6+8.0+7.0
Avg total161.3162.5159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CAB Madeira
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL14%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%33%0%
Points / game82.793.374.8
Allowed / game86.493.381.2
Point differential-3.7+0.0-6.5
Avg total169.1186.7156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %14%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica76186%88.373.6+14.7
2 FC Porto76186%91.681.6+10.0
3 Ovarense76186%84.476.9+7.6
4 Oliveirense64267%92.290.0+2.2
5 Sporting CP74357%83.674.6+9.0
6 Braga74357%88.181.1+7.0
7 CD Povoa74357%75.075.3-0.3
8 CA Queluz63350%87.891.7-3.8
9 Vitoria72529%68.783.9-15.1
10 CAB Madeira71614%82.786.4-3.7
11 Portimonense71614%78.789.0-10.3
12 Esgueira7070%80.397.7-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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