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Lusitania vs Ovarense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 20:15
Final 82-85
22-18 21-18 12-28 27-21
Position#12
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game87.0
Lusitania
Portugal
vs
Ovarense 🏆
Portugal
Position#5
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game82.0
PortugalLPBRound 3· Pavilhão Municipal de Angra do Heroísmo
Other2023-24
Meetings · Lusitania v Ovarense
07 Oct 2023
LUSI82
OVAR85
18 Mar 2023
LUSI66
OVAR72
04 Feb 2023
LUSI88
OVAR81
09 Oct 2021
LUSI79
OVAR77
07 Nov 2020
LUSI75
OVAR69
14 Mar 2020
LUSI v OVAR
upcoming
16 May 2019
LUSI77
OVAR86
07 Apr 2019
LUSI72
OVAR69
06 Oct 2018
LUSI67
OVAR73
15 Apr 2018
LUSI79
OVAR71
07 Oct 2017
LUSI79
OVAR75
05 Apr 2017
LUSI79
OVAR82
14 Jan 2017
LUSI73
OVAR78
23 Jan 2016
LUSI78
OVAR94
02 May 2015
LUSI73
OVAR86
07 Feb 2015
LUSI72
OVAR80
22 Feb 2014
LUSI77
OVAR68
02 Feb 2013
LUSI45
OVAR55
21 Apr 2012
LUSI67
OVAR64
25 Nov 2011
LUSI57
OVAR88
04 Dec 2010
LUSI63
OVAR73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ovarense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#4
L
71-72
71
72
-1
no box
H02/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
59-98
59
98
-39
no box
A08/04
LPB
Ovarense
#8
L
67-72
67
72
-5
no box
A15/04
LPB
FC Porto
#3
W
97-92
97
92
+5
no box
H22/04
LPB
Imortal
#2
L
77-82
77
82
-5
no box
A29/04
Taca de Portugal
Benfica
#1
L
74-107
74
107
-33
no box
A06/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
65-99
65
99
-34
no box
A10/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
73-93
73
93
-20
no box
H14/05
LPB
Imortal
#8
L
66-80
66
80
-14
-2avg 34
H23/09
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
80-94
80
94
-14
71avg 34
A30/09
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-26
20-17
20-19
20-10
19-15
19-28
11-25
10-30
18-14
9-16
21-24
19-18
32-18
16-26
24-21
25-27
17-14
16-25
26-21
18-22
18-31
18-26
19-24
19-26
22-19
14-29
11-24
18-27
18-27
27-15
21-28
7-23
17-20
16-14
15-27
18-19
17-28
14-23
24-23
25-20
161.8Avg total
72.9Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)73.087.0160.0-14.00%
Season at home (1)66.080.0146.0-14.00%
Season away (1)80.094.0174.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)72.988.9161.8-16.010%
Last 5 (5)71.694.6166.2-23.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)75.587.2162.7-11.623%
vs Similar (5)78.675.6154.2+3.060%
vs Weaker (2)86.581.0167.5+5.5100%
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOvarense
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
66-115
66
115
-49
no box
H22/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
no box
A06/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
70-75
70
75
-5
no box
A10/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
82-74
82
74
+8
no box
H13/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
58-57
58
57
+1
no box
A16/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
59-88
59
88
-29
no box
A20/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
79-91 OT
79
91
-12
no box
A22/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
44-115
44
115
-71
no box
H25/05
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
76-79
76
79
-3
65avg 70
A23/09
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
81-85
81
85
-4
74avg 70
H30/09
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-28
15-32
18-29
23-26
19-19
17-28
28-23
13-21
17-27
22-18
16-15
15-15
20-19
23-17
19-15
20-23
21-12
13-15
8-11
16-19
16-17
17-28
13-21
13-22
27-17
11-22
16-14
22-23
16-28
7-36
14-31
7-20
16-28
18-20
24-13
18-18
15-12
17-23
20-28
29-22
156.2Avg total
69.2Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)78.582.0160.5-3.50%
Season at home (1)81.085.0166.0-4.00%
Season away (1)76.079.0155.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)69.287.0156.2-17.820%
Last 5 (5)67.891.6159.4-23.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)70.184.8155.0-14.718%
vs Similar (5)77.674.0151.6+3.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)92.073.0165.0+19.050%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: -7.9-7.9Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -3.3-3.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: -7.9-7.9Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -3.3-3.3
LusitaniaOvarense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#4
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H02/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A08/04
LPB
Ovarense
#8
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A15/04
LPB
FC Porto
#3
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H22/04
LPB
Imortal
#2
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A29/04
Taca de Portugal
Benfica
#1
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A06/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A10/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H14/05
LPB
Imortal
#8
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H23/09
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A30/09
LPB
78.9Avg total
35.8Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.141.080.1-1.943%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.140.381.4+0.856%-
Last 30 away (14)36.841.878.6-5.029%-
Last 10 (10)35.843.178.9-7.320%-
Last 5 (5)36.246.482.6-10.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)37.543.080.5-5.436%-
vs Similar (5)38.235.874.0+2.440%-
vs Weaker (2)47.036.583.5+10.5100%-
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
25-60
25
60
-35
H22/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A06/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A10/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H13/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A16/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A20/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A22/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
23-64
23
64
-41
H25/05
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A23/09
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H30/09
LPB
78.3Avg total
33.7Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.141.676.7-6.530%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.540.173.6-6.636%-
Last 30 away (16)36.542.879.3-6.325%-
Last 10 (10)33.744.678.3-10.920%-
Last 5 (5)32.046.278.2-14.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)34.043.377.3-9.318%-
vs Similar (5)37.838.876.6-1.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)37.532.570.0+5.050%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.0
52.8%
51.0%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.0
27.5%
33.5%21.0
🏀 Free throws17.013.0
76.5%
69.3%13.0
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.019.0
41.3%
51.0%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.57.5
34.9%
33.5%22.5
🏀 Free throws24.518.5
75.5%
69.3%18.5
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 07 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lusitania
LLLLLLWLLL
Ovarense
LLLLLWWLLL
#12
League position
#5
-18.3
Net rating
-3.8
93.9
Offensive rating
101.2
112.1
Defensive rating
105.0
48.0%
Effective FG%
44.8%
59.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
20.7%
Turnover %
14.9%
20.0%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.36
27.5%
3-point %
34.9%
53.8%
Assist %
56.6%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence93.9 · 101.2Defence112.1 · 105.0Shooting48.0% · 44.8%3-point %27.5% · 34.9%Ball care20.7% · 14.9%Off. rebounds20.0% · 29.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)10% · 20%
■ Lusitania   ■ Ovarense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Lusitania wins
6
Ovarense wins
DateGameScore
15/04/23Ovarense v Lusitania72-67
18/03/23Lusitania v Ovarense66-72
04/02/23Lusitania v Ovarense88-81
19/11/22Ovarense v Lusitania84-81
23/01/22Ovarense v Lusitania79-66
09/10/21Lusitania v Ovarense79-77
27/02/21Ovarense v Lusitania87-97
07/11/20Lusitania v Ovarense75-69
01/12/19Ovarense v Lusitania76-70
16/05/19Lusitania v Ovarense77-86
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/23AGalomar80-94
23/09/23HImortal66-80
14/05/23HSporting CP73-93
10/05/23ASporting CP65-99
06/05/23ABenfica74-107
29/04/23AImortal77-82
22/04/23HFC Porto97-92
15/04/23AOvarense67-72
08/04/23ASporting CP59-98
02/04/23HOliveirense71-72
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/23HSporting CP81-85
23/09/23AVitoria76-79
25/05/23HBenfica44-115
22/05/23ABenfica79-91 OT
20/05/23ABenfica59-88
16/05/23AOliveirense58-57
13/05/23HOliveirense82-74
10/05/23AOliveirense70-75
06/05/23ASporting CP77-91
22/04/23HBenfica66-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game73.066.080.0
Allowed / game87.080.094.0
Point differential-14.0-14.0-14.0
Avg total160.0146.0174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ovarense
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game78.581.076.0
Allowed / game82.085.079.0
Point differential-3.5-4.0-3.0
Avg total160.5166.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica220100%108.568.0+40.5
2 FC Porto110100%91.076.0+15.0
3 Oliveirense110100%74.062.0+12.0
4 Sporting CP220100%89.580.5+9.0
5 Portimonense220100%82.576.0+6.5
6 Galomar32167%84.382.7+1.7
7 Vitoria21150%72.591.5-19.0
8 Imortal31233%79.078.0+1.0
9 CD Povoa31233%79.384.3-5.0
10 Ovarense2020%78.582.0-3.5
11 Lusitania2020%73.087.0-14.0
12 Esgueira3030%70.089.7-19.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lusitania2221122782
Ovarense1818282185
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