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Ovarense vs CD Povoa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 83-71
17-20 19-21 21-24 26-6
Position#5
Record8-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game77.8
Ovarense 🏆
Portugal
vs
CD Povoa
Portugal
Position#10
Record3-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game81.7
PortugalLPBRound 15· Arena de Ovar
Other2024-25
Meetings · Ovarense v CD Povoa
17 Oct 2026
OVAR78
CD P69
15 Feb 2025
OVAR83
CD P71
21 Oct 2023
OVAR95
CD P93
14 Oct 2023
OVAR92
CD P91
24 Sep 2022
OVAR88
CD P70
19 Dec 2021
OVAR99
CD P71
07 Nov 2021
OVAR86
CD P68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ovarense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CD Povoa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOvarense
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
77-98
77
98
-21
68avg 74
H07/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
79-80
79
80
-1
73avg 74
A14/12
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
87-71
87
71
+16
84avg 74
H21/12
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
81-89 OT
81
89
-8
71avg 74
H04/01
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
W
86-84
86
84
+2
80avg 74
H11/01
LPB
Esgueira
#10
W
92-81
92
81
+11
93avg 74
A19/01
Taca de Portugal
Galomar
#12
W
78-67
78
67
+11
72avg 74
A25/01
LPB
Galomar
#7
W
73-60
73
60
+13
61avg 74
A26/01
Taca da Liga
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
75-82
75
82
-7
60avg 74
A02/02
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
77-88
77
88
-11
65avg 74
A09/02
Taca de Portugal
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
21-29
20-22
19-24
22-29
20-11
17-17
20-23
16-12
22-15
24-18
25-26
8-15
21-24
19-18
19-10
23-22
27-18
12-19
24-25
27-23
27-13
16-26
22-19
14-19
25-12
15-16
24-20
12-23
26-17
22-12
13-8
19-26
21-18
8-20
27-18
25-18
21-26
17-25
14-19
160.5Avg total
80.5Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.177.8156.8+1.362%
Season at home (7)81.080.7161.7+0.357%
Season away (6)76.874.3151.2+2.567%
Last 10 (10)80.580.0160.5+0.550%
Last 5 (5)79.075.6154.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)78.383.4161.7-5.136%
vs Similar (6)76.372.7149.0+3.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)83.876.3160.1+7.489%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
L
66-68
66
68
-2
52avg 65
H07/12
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
78-75
78
75
+3
72avg 65
A15/12
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
72-94
72
94
-22
63avg 65
A18/12
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
L
75-79
75
79
-4
65avg 65
H22/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
53-92
53
92
-39
35avg 65
A29/12
LPB
Imortal
#7
L
80-84 OT
80
84
-4
66avg 65
H04/01
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
53-93
53
93
-40
44avg 65
H11/01
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
60-82
60
82
-22
47avg 65
A19/01
Taca de Portugal
Esgueira
#8
L
80-93
80
93
-13
73avg 65
A25/01
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
L
98-102
98
102
-4
81avg 65
H02/02
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
19-11
14-11
13-22
19-21
21-11
21-29
17-14
22-15
16-25
12-28
22-26
22-21
15-13
11-23
27-22
18-19
15-22
14-21
6-30
17-24
13-17
21-17
21-14
7-22
14-20
18-23
14-28
12-23
18-23
19-15
11-21
12-19
12-28
34-23
22-23
26-29
17-26
24-27
31-20
157.7Avg total
71.5Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)73.481.7155.1-8.421%
Season at home (8)75.582.1157.6-6.612%
Season away (6)70.581.2151.7-10.733%
Last 10 (10)71.586.2157.7-14.710%
Last 5 (5)74.290.8165.0-16.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)73.783.1156.8-9.432%
vs Similar (7)81.083.4164.4-2.429%
vs Weaker (3)85.082.3167.3+2.767%
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -3.6-3.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -3.6-3.6
OvarenseCD Povoa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H07/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A14/12
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H21/12
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H04/01
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H11/01
LPB
Esgueira
#10
W
54-36
54
36
+18
A19/01
Taca de Portugal
Galomar
#12
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A25/01
LPB
Galomar
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A26/01
Taca da Liga
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A02/02
LPB
FC Porto
#1
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A09/02
Taca de Portugal
80.7Avg total
41.4Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.038.479.4+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.738.277.9+1.554%-
Last 30 away (17)42.138.580.6+3.565%-
Last 10 (10)41.439.380.7+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)43.439.082.4+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)41.240.681.9+0.650%-
vs Similar (6)34.733.768.3+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)43.638.381.9+5.278%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H07/12
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A15/12
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A18/12
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H22/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A29/12
LPB
Imortal
#7
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H04/01
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
21-42
21
42
-21
H11/01
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A19/01
Taca de Portugal
Esgueira
#8
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A25/01
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H02/02
LPB
74.8Avg total
33.5Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.841.179.0-3.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.940.279.1-1.353%-
Last 30 away (15)36.842.178.9-5.333%-
Last 10 (10)33.541.374.8-7.830%-
Last 5 (5)29.646.275.8-16.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)37.639.677.2-2.147%-
vs Similar (7)37.441.078.4-3.657%-
vs Weaker (3)43.049.392.3-6.30%-
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.6
50.9%
51.2%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.6
33.0%
32.7%25.8
🏀 Free throws21.014.8
70.5%
69.2%14.8
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 70.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.216.8
49.1%
51.2%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.47.5
27.4%
32.7%22.5
🏀 Free throws21.914.4
65.8%
69.2%14.4
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ovarense
LLWWWWLWLL
CD Povoa
LLLLLLLLWL
#5
League position
#10
+0.5
Net rating
-19.7
107.8
Offensive rating
93.2
107.2
Defensive rating
112.9
50.3%
Effective FG%
45.5%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
16.1%
Turnover %
20.7%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.36
33.0%
3-point %
27.4%
61.0%
Assist %
50.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence107.8 · 93.2Defence107.2 · 112.9Shooting50.3% · 45.5%3-point %33.0% · 27.4%Ball care16.1% · 20.7%Off. rebounds29.2% · 27.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Ovarense   ■ CD Povoa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Ovarense wins
3
CD Povoa wins
DateGameScore
02/11/24CD Povoa v Ovarense69-75
10/02/24CD Povoa v Ovarense87-76
21/10/23Ovarense v CD Povoa95-93
14/10/23Ovarense v CD Povoa92-91 OT
08/12/22CD Povoa v Ovarense65-60
24/09/22Ovarense v CD Povoa88-70
30/01/22CD Povoa v Ovarense73-69
19/12/21Ovarense v CD Povoa99-71
07/11/21Ovarense v CD Povoa86-68
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/25AFC Porto77-88
02/02/25AGalitos Barreiro75-82
26/01/25AGalomar73-60
25/01/25AGalomar78-67
19/01/25AEsgueira92-81
11/01/25HCA Queluz86-84
04/01/25HEsgueira81-89 OT
21/12/24HImortal87-71
14/12/24AOliveirense79-80
07/12/24HBenfica77-98
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/25HCA Queluz98-102
25/01/25AEsgueira80-93
19/01/25AFC Porto60-82
11/01/25HFC Porto53-93
04/01/25HImortal80-84 OT
29/12/24AOliveirense53-92
22/12/24HBenfica75-79
18/12/24AVitoria72-94
15/12/24AVitoria78-75
07/12/24HSporting CP66-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ovarense
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL62%
HomeWLWLW57%
AwayWWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%57%67%
Points / game79.181.076.8
Allowed / game77.880.774.3
Point differential+1.3+0.3+2.5
Avg total156.8161.7151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%29%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %8%14%0%
CD Povoa
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeLLLLL12%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %21%12%33%
Points / game73.475.570.5
Allowed / game81.782.181.2
Point differential-8.4-6.6-10.7
Avg total155.1157.6151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)0% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica1514193%89.876.3+13.5
2 FC Porto1412286%88.878.1+10.6
3 Sporting CP149564%83.478.0+5.4
4 Ovarense138562%79.177.8+1.3
5 Oliveirense159660%86.479.6+6.8
6 Galitos Barreiro157847%77.977.9-0.1
7 Esgueira136746%84.287.2-2.9
8 Imortal156940%77.485.5-8.1
9 CA Queluz134931%82.888.5-5.7
10 Vitoria134931%79.285.0-5.8
11 CD Povoa1431121%73.481.7-8.4
12 Galomar1421214%72.881.3-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ovarense1719212683
CD Povoa202124671
← all games of the day
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