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Palencia vs Cartagena Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 90-73
22-12 26-18 20-20 22-23
Position#3
Record1-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game69.0
vs
Position#16
Record1-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game70.0
SpainPrimera FEBRound 2
Other2025-26
Meetings · Palencia v Cartagena
03 Oct 2025
PAL90
CART73
12 Mar 2025
PAL88
CART71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cartagena winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Estela
#14
W
85-77
85
77
+8
81avg 79
H21/03
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
L
77-84
77
84
-7
59avg 79
A30/03
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
W
84-72
84
72
+12
72avg 79
H04/04
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
L
76-77
76
77
-1
66avg 79
A12/04
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
W
102-79
102
79
+23
93avg 79
H19/04
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
L
84-94
84
94
-10
72avg 79
A23/04
Primera FEB
Moron
#18
W
81-68
81
68
+13
74avg 79
H26/04
Primera FEB
Castello
#17
L
96-101 OT
96
101
-5
86avg 79
A02/05
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
W
87-68
87
68
+19
82avg 79
H09/05
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
W
78-69
78
69
+9
66avg 79
A28/09
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
30-17
13-27
22-17
18-20
22-16
13-17
24-31
15-21
23-11
22-17
24-23
12-18
22-17
18-13
24-29
22-24
31-22
29-16
20-17
17-30
30-20
22-24
15-20
22-21
21-6
9-20
29-21
19-20
21-22
27-23
19-21
28-18
25-18
17-17
17-15
19-21
20-17
13-17
26-14
163.9Avg total
85.0Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)78.069.0147.0+9.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)78.069.0147.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.078.9163.9+6.160%
Last 5 (5)85.280.0165.2+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)85.087.0172.0-2.00%
vs Similar (6)85.783.7169.3+2.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)88.978.4167.3+10.578%
This opponent (Cartagena) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CartagenaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCartagena
Date
Competition
Moron
#18
W
68-64
68
64
+4
56avg 65
A22/03
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
L
76-78
76
78
-2
65avg 65
H29/03
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
L
70-110
70
110
-40
62avg 65
A05/04
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
L
72-85
72
85
-13
58avg 65
H13/04
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
W
87-86
87
86
+1
75avg 65
A19/04
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
W
83-65
83
65
+18
73avg 65
H23/04
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#16
L
75-86
75
86
-11
58avg 65
A26/04
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
W
72-71
72
71
+1
60avg 65
H03/05
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
L
69-84
69
84
-15
51avg 65
A09/05
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
72-70
72
70
+2
67avg 65
H27/09
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
5-16
19-21
27-16
17-11
18-30
24-14
22-17
12-17
21-37
17-23
14-24
18-26
19-34
15-11
14-21
24-19
25-19
22-19
22-24
18-24
16-29
27-14
26-13
14-9
16-25
23-21
18-22
18-18
20-22
23-21
11-8
18-20
12-24
13-24
21-13
23-23
18-16
16-13
23-11
15-30
154.3Avg total
74.4Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)72.070.0142.0+2.0100%
Season at home (1)72.070.0142.0+2.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.479.9154.3-5.550%
Last 5 (5)74.275.2149.4-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)74.184.8158.9-10.833%
vs Similar (10)84.084.1168.1-0.160%
vs Weaker (2)73.570.0143.5+3.5100%
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -8.2-8.2Q2Q2: +7.9+7.9Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -2.0-2.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -8.2-8.2Q2Q2: +7.9+7.9Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -2.0-2.0
PalenciaCartagena
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estela
#14
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H21/03
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A30/03
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H04/04
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A12/04
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H19/04
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A23/04
Primera FEB
Moron
#18
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H26/04
Primera FEB
Castello
#17
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A02/05
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H09/05
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A28/09
Primera FEB
81.2Avg total
43.7Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.739.384.0+5.470%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.536.181.6+9.593%-
Last 30 away (15)43.842.586.3+1.347%-
Last 10 (10)43.737.581.2+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)44.438.683.0+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.039.083.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (6)45.542.387.8+3.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)44.538.583.0+6.074%-
This opponent (Cartagena) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CartagenaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Moron
#18
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A22/03
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H29/03
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
L
38-60
38
60
-22
A05/04
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H13/04
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A19/04
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H23/04
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#16
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A26/04
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H03/05
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
L
25-48
25
48
-23
A09/05
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H27/09
Primera FEB
80.2Avg total
36.9Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.842.680.4-4.830%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.842.080.8-3.233%-
Last 30 away (15)36.843.280.0-6.427%-
Last 10 (10)36.943.380.2-6.420%-
Last 5 (5)36.841.878.6-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)36.242.979.1-6.822%-
vs Similar (10)41.443.484.8-2.040%-
vs Weaker (2)34.535.570.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.1
52.2%
51.5%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.4
34.1%
33.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.313.8
75.4%
73.4%13.8
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cartagenatheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Palencia wins
0
Cartagena wins
DateGameScore
12/03/25Palencia v Cartagena88-71
08/11/24Cartagena v Palencia67-100
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/25APalmer Basket78-69
09/05/25HReal Betis87-68
02/05/25ACastello96-101 OT
26/04/25HMoron81-68
23/04/25AOurense84-94
19/04/25HTizona Burgos102-79
12/04/25AObradoiro CAB76-77
04/04/25HHestia Menorca84-72
30/03/25AZamora77-84
21/03/25HEstela85-77
Cartagenalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/25HFibwi Palma72-70
09/05/25AEstela69-84
03/05/25HOviedo72-71
26/04/25AReal Valladolid75-86
23/04/25HTizona Burgos83-65
19/04/25AHestia Menorca87-86
13/04/25HReal Betis72-85
05/04/25AAlicante70-110
29/03/25HFuenlabrada76-78
22/03/25AMoron68-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game78.0-78.0
Allowed / game69.0-69.0
Point differential+9.0-+9.0
Avg total147.0-147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Cartagena
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game72.072.0-
Allowed / game70.070.0-
Point differential+2.0+2.0-
Avg total142.0142.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zamora110100%96.072.0+24.0
2 Hestia Menorca110100%97.077.0+20.0
3 Leyma Coruna220100%83.067.5+15.5
4 Tizona Burgos110100%106.091.0+15.0
5 Estudiantes110100%101.087.0+14.0
6 Alicante110100%87.076.0+11.0
7 Palencia110100%78.069.0+9.0
8 Cartagena110100%72.070.0+2.0
9 Fibwi Palma1010%70.072.0-2.0
10 Palmer Basket1010%69.078.0-9.0
11 Ourense1010%76.087.0-11.0
12 Oviedo2020%79.594.0-14.5
13 Melilla1010%91.0106.0-15.0
14 Gipuzkoa1010%63.079.0-16.0
15 Obradoiro CAB1010%77.097.0-20.0
16 Estela1010%72.096.0-24.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Palencia2226202290
Cartagena1218202373
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