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Palencia vs Estela Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 85-77
20-16 30-17 13-27 22-17
Position#6
Record17-8
FormWWLWL
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game80.7
vs
Position#14
Record8-16
FormWWWLL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game83.3
SpainPrimera FEBRound 26· Pabellon Municipal de Deportes
Other2024-25
Meetings · Palencia v Estela
10 Mar 2027
PAL v ESTE
upcoming
08 May 2026
PAL100
ESTE70
21 Mar 2025
PAL85
ESTE77
24 Mar 2023
PAL94
ESTE72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Zamora
#13
W
79-75
79
75
+4
68avg 77
H10/01
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
83-59
83
59
+24
83avg 77
A18/01
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
W
89-88
89
88
+1
79avg 77
H01/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
W
96-95
96
95
+1
97avg 77
A07/02
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
85-87
85
87
-2
78avg 77
H12/02
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
87-85
87
85
+2
79avg 77
A16/02
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
W
90-78
90
78
+12
81avg 77
H01/03
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#16
L
83-92
83
92
-9
71avg 77
A08/03
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
W
88-71
88
71
+17
80avg 77
H12/03
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
98-104
98
104
-6
86avg 77
A16/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
18-19
24-18
13-11
24-19
13-14
25-13
21-13
19-20
26-20
22-19
22-29
22-28
20-20
23-21
31-26
24-21
20-18
18-22
23-26
21-21
27-21
22-23
17-20
23-15
16-18
24-18
27-27
22-26
29-22
19-20
13-24
22-15
23-19
26-19
17-18
22-29
36-30
18-22
22-23
171.2Avg total
87.8Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)87.580.7168.2+6.868%
Season at home (12)89.277.8167.1+11.483%
Season away (13)85.883.3169.2+2.554%
Last 10 (10)87.883.4171.2+4.470%
Last 5 (5)89.286.0175.2+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)82.888.3171.2-5.517%
vs Similar (7)83.188.6171.7-5.429%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)89.877.2167.0+12.588%
This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstelaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstela
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#4
L
75-92
75
92
-17
65avg 66
H04/01
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
L
78-87
78
87
-9
67avg 66
A12/01
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
L
59-83
59
83
-24
44avg 66
H18/01
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
L
87-90
87
90
-3
74avg 66
A31/01
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
L
77-88
77
88
-11
64avg 66
A11/02
Primera FEB
Castello
#17
W
96-76
96
76
+20
86avg 66
H15/02
Primera FEB
Moron
#18
W
87-68
87
68
+19
81avg 66
A02/03
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
W
83-72
83
72
+11
77avg 66
H08/03
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
L
70-94
70
94
-24
59avg 66
A12/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
101-108 OT
101
108
-7
94avg 66
H16/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
21-26
17-20
20-23
24-13
14-27
22-26
18-21
19-24
14-13
13-25
13-21
17-17
18-17
29-31
23-25
16-18
19-29
26-16
16-25
20-19
25-17
18-19
33-21
13-24
29-13
23-23
22-8
19-16
21-16
22-18
21-22
18-19
16-24
24-24
12-27
29-17
15-18
14-22
19-20
167.1Avg total
81.3Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)76.383.3159.6-7.033%
Season at home (12)81.181.2162.2-0.150%
Season away (12)71.585.5157.0-14.017%
Last 10 (10)81.385.8167.1-4.530%
Last 5 (5)87.483.6171.0+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)71.585.9157.4-14.518%
vs Similar (10)81.681.0162.6+0.640%
vs Weaker (3)85.382.7168.0+2.767%
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.6-1.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.6-1.6
PalenciaEstela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zamora
#13
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H10/01
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A18/01
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H01/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A07/02
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H12/02
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A16/02
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H01/03
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#16
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A08/03
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H12/03
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
58-59
58
59
-1
A16/03
Primera FEB
87.3Avg total
45.1Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.640.684.2+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.638.181.7+5.580%-
Last 30 away (15)43.543.286.7+0.347%-
Last 10 (10)45.142.287.3+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)48.243.291.4+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.040.383.3+2.767%-
vs Similar (7)41.746.788.4-5.029%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.538.282.8+6.376%-
This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#4
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H04/01
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A12/01
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H18/01
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A31/01
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A11/02
Primera FEB
Castello
#17
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H15/02
Primera FEB
Moron
#18
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A02/03
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H08/03
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A12/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H16/03
Primera FEB
77.4Avg total
38.4Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.139.576.6-2.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.637.176.8+2.564%-
Last 30 away (16)34.841.676.4-6.819%-
Last 10 (10)38.439.077.4-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)41.036.677.6+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)36.340.977.2-4.624%-
vs Similar (10)37.235.672.8+1.670%-
vs Weaker (3)41.045.086.0-4.033%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.1
52.2%
51.8%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.4
34.1%
33.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.313.8
75.4%
73.6%13.8
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estelatheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Palencia wins
0
Estela wins
DateGameScore
18/01/25Estela v Palencia59-83
24/03/23Palencia v Estela94-72
26/11/22Estela v Palencia67-77
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/25AEstudiantes98-104
12/03/25HCartagena88-71
08/03/25AReal Valladolid83-92
01/03/25HOviedo90-78
16/02/25AGipuzkoa87-85
12/02/25HSan Pablo Burgos85-87
07/02/25AAlicante96-95
01/02/25HFuenlabrada89-88
18/01/25AEstela83-59
10/01/25HZamora79-75
Estelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/25HGipuzkoa101-108 OT
12/03/25AFuenlabrada70-94
08/03/25HAlicante83-72
02/03/25AMoron87-68
15/02/25HCastello96-76
11/02/25AReal Betis77-88
31/01/25ATizona Burgos87-90
18/01/25HPalencia59-83
12/01/25ACartagena78-87
04/01/25HEstudiantes75-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL68%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayWWWLL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %68%83%54%
Points / game87.589.285.8
Allowed / game80.777.883.3
Point differential+6.8+11.4+2.5
Avg total168.2167.1169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)67% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Estela
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL33%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %33%50%17%
Points / game76.381.171.5
Allowed / game83.381.285.5
Point differential-7.0-0.1-14.0
Avg total159.6162.2157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)60% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Pablo Burgos2523292%89.675.7+13.9
2 Estudiantes2522388%88.078.4+9.6
3 Fuenlabrada2521484%85.574.9+10.6
4 Real Betis2620677%83.575.2+8.3
5 Palencia2517868%87.580.7+6.8
6 Obradoiro CAB2415962%81.074.2+6.7
7 Tizona Burgos26151158%90.288.7+1.5
8 Cartagena25121348%78.284.4-6.2
9 Ourense26111542%82.783.8-1.1
10 Zamora25101540%78.982.7-3.8
11 Gipuzkoa2591636%77.780.2-2.6
12 Hestia Menorca2591636%74.577.6-3.1
13 Oviedo2591636%77.781.5-3.8
14 Estela2481633%76.383.3-7.0
15 Alicante2581732%76.279.8-3.6
16 Real Valladolid2571828%77.285.0-7.8
17 Castello2671927%80.688.8-8.2
18 Moron2532212%73.383.6-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Palencia2030132285
Estela1617271777
← all games of the day
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