Palencia vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Feb 2022

Tip-off: 11:30

Final 66-62

15-14 17-17 15-16 19-15

Position#5

Record10-6

FormLLLWW

Points / game79.8

Allowed / game76.2

Palencia 🏆

Estudiantes

Position#2

Record15-3

FormWWLWW

Points / game78.4

Allowed / game70.3

Primera FEBRound 15

Other2021-22

Meetings · Palencia v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Palencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Leyma Coruna

93-105

105

-12

A09/11

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

#10

85-73

+12

H13/11

Primera FEB

Huesca

#18

103-73

103

+30

A19/11

Primera FEB

Fibwi Palma

#17

76-74

H05/12

Primera FEB

Basquet Girona

62-73

-11

H10/12

Primera FEB

Oviedo

74-79 OT

-5

A04/01

Primera FEB

Prat Joventut

#16

74-83

-9

H28/01

Primera FEB

Castello

82-84

-2

A01/02

Primera FEB

Almansa

#15

68-57

+11

H05/02

Primera FEB

Alicante

#12

72-71

A09/02

Primera FEB

23-22

20-34

25-16

25-33

25-24

18-19

22-19

20-11

24-22

20-22

22-12

37-17

12-16

28-29

17-12

19-17

13-22

18-20

16-12

15-19

16-18

13-12

13-21

23-14

20-19

21-22

17-19

16-23

24-26

17-19

17-18

24-21

16-17

22-9

17-8

13-23

13-22

18-20

16-17

25-12

156.1Avg total

78.9Scored

77.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	79.8	76.2	156.0	+3.6	62%
Season at home (8)	75.4	73.9	149.2	+1.5	62%
Season away (8)	84.2	78.5	162.8	+5.8	62%
Last 10 (10)	78.9	77.2	156.1	+1.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	74.0	74.8	148.8	-0.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	73.1	78.5	151.6	-5.4	25%
vs Similar (16)	75.1	77.8	152.9	-2.7	31%
vs Weaker (6)	84.5	71.2	155.7	+13.3	100%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caceres

71-62

A19/11

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#11

81-60

+21

H05/12

Primera FEB

Granada

58-69

-11

A11/12

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

88-80

H17/12

Primera FEB

Basquet Girona

88-80

H16/01

Primera FEB

Huesca

#18

70-59

+11

H19/01

Primera FEB

Oviedo

75-67

A23/01

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

75-81

-6

A28/01

Primera FEB

Melilla

#13

76-66

+10

H03/02

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

#10

72-54

+18

A09/02

Primera FEB

16-15

14-17

13-15

28-15

17-16

12-16

26-15

26-13

10-21

21-19

11-14

16-15

19-20

20-19

22-22

27-19

22-16

23-25

20-22

23-17

15-16

21-14

13-13

21-16

16-16

16-23

24-19

19-9

19-17

23-26

11-17

22-21

17-18

20-11

26-20

13-17

9-15

19-12

22-10

22-17

143.2Avg total

75.4Scored

67.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	78.4	70.3	148.7	+8.2	83%
Season at home (9)	84.7	71.7	156.3	+13.0	100%
Season away (9)	72.2	68.9	141.1	+3.3	67%
Last 10 (10)	75.4	67.8	143.2	+7.6	80%
Last 5 (5)	73.6	65.4	139.0	+8.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	86.6	94.6	181.2	-8.0	25%
vs Similar (6)	83.0	88.0	171.0	-5.0	17%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	79.1	69.8	148.9	+9.4	88%

This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PalenciaEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.9	40.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	19.5	37.8	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	22.3	42.6	-2.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	20.8	39.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	20.4	38.2	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	20.1	23.0	43.1	-2.9	25%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.1	19.6	38.7	-0.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.8	21.5	40.3	-2.7	17%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.6	39.5	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	19.1	38.3	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	22.1	40.7	-3.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.0	17.0	33.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	16.4	31.6	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.5	26.4	46.9	-5.9	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.8	20.2	38.0	-2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	18.6	17.8	36.4	+0.8	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	18.0	36.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	17.7	35.5	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	18.3	37.7	+1.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	20.6	40.1	-1.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	16.4	34.6	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	16.2	17.1	33.4	-0.9	38%	-
vs Similar (16)	18.1	18.9	36.9	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	23.2	16.8	40.0	+6.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	21.3	41.6	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	19.8	41.1	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	22.8	42.1	-3.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	18.2	37.1	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	17.2	37.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	22.2	25.2	47.5	-3.0	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.0	25.2	46.2	-4.2	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	19.0	17.9	36.9	+1.1	62%	-

PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Leyma Coruna

43-56

-13

A09/11

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

#10

43-43

H13/11

Primera FEB

Huesca

#18

44-44

A19/11

Primera FEB

Fibwi Palma

#17

40-45

-5

H05/12

Primera FEB

Basquet Girona

31-42

-11

H10/12

Primera FEB

Oviedo

29-30

-1

A04/01

Primera FEB

Prat Joventut

#16

41-41

H28/01

Primera FEB

Castello

41-45

-4

A01/02

Primera FEB

Almansa

#15

38-26

+12

H05/02

Primera FEB

Alicante

#12

31-42

-11

A09/02

Primera FEB

79.5Avg total

38.1Scored

41.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	38.9	76.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.2	37.1	73.3	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.6	40.7	80.3	-1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	41.4	79.5	-3.3	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	36.8	72.8	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	36.4	40.1	76.5	-3.8	38%	-
vs Similar (16)	37.1	38.5	75.6	-1.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (6)	42.0	38.3	80.3	+3.7	50%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caceres

30-32

-2

A19/11

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#11

29-32

-3

H05/12

Primera FEB

Granada

31-40

-9

A11/12

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

39-39

H17/12

Primera FEB

Basquet Girona

45-41

H16/01

Primera FEB

Huesca

#18

36-30

H19/01

Primera FEB

Oviedo

32-39

-7

A23/01

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

42-43

-1

A28/01

Primera FEB

Melilla

#13

37-29

H03/02

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

#10

28-27

A09/02

Primera FEB

70.1Avg total

34.9Scored

35.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	41.9	81.1	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.5	38.9	79.4	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.9	44.9	82.8	-6.9	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.9	35.2	70.1	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	33.6	68.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	42.8	51.6	94.4	-8.9	12%	-
vs Similar (6)	38.8	45.3	84.2	-6.5	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	37.6	35.7	73.3	+1.9	50%	-

This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	17.0	35.1	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	16.9	35.7	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	17.1	34.5	+0.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	15.4	33.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	16.6	32.6	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.0	21.0	39.0	-3.0	12%	-
vs Similar (16)	18.4	16.9	35.3	+1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	17.0	12.2	29.2	+4.8	83%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	18.8	39.6	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	18.1	36.4	+0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	16.7	35.5	+2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	15.8	35.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.6	20.4	40.0	-0.8	38%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.7	20.3	41.0	+0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	19.1	16.8	35.9	+2.4	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.1	40.3	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	19.6	38.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	20.6	42.3	+1.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	19.0	40.7	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.6	38.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.8	17.4	36.1	+1.4	38%	-
vs Similar (16)	18.9	21.2	40.1	-2.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (6)	25.5	20.7	46.2	+4.8	83%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	18.9	40.2	+2.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	19.9	40.8	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.8	17.8	39.6	+4.0	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	15.9	37.6	+5.8	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	16.0	35.4	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.8	20.8	40.5	-1.0	38%	-
vs Similar (6)	23.5	22.3	45.8	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	21.3	16.6	37.9	+4.7	69%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	37.1	75.3	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.3	36.5	73.9	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.1	37.7	76.8	+1.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	34.4	74.3	+5.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	35.2	71.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	36.8	38.4	75.1	-1.6	38%	-
vs Similar (16)	37.3	38.1	75.4	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	42.5	32.8	75.3	+9.7	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	37.3	78.2	+3.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.7	38.7	80.4	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.1	35.9	76.0	+4.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	32.6	73.1	+7.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	31.8	70.4	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	39.4	41.1	80.5	-1.8	38%	-
vs Similar (6)	44.2	42.7	86.8	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	40.4	33.4	73.8	+7.1	81%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 83.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.3	21.2	50.1%	51.8%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.1	34.3%	33.7%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	19.5	13.5	69.2%	73.6%	13.5

They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	23.5	58.0%	51.8%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	10.8	43.2%	33.7%	32.4
🏀 Free throws	18.6	14.5	78.0%	73.6%	14.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	21.0	51.0%	51.8%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	8.8	34.1%	33.7%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	15.8	11.5	72.8%	73.6%	11.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	21.1	53.9%	51.8%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	9.9	40.4%	33.7%	29.6
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.7	73.5%	73.6%	15.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Palencia wins

Estudiantes wins

No previous meetings.

Palencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/02/22	A	Alicante	72-71
05/02/22	H	Almansa	68-57
01/02/22	A	Castello	82-84
28/01/22	H	Prat Joventut	74-83
04/01/22	A	Oviedo	74-79 OT
10/12/21	H	Basquet Girona	62-73
05/12/21	H	Fibwi Palma	76-74
19/11/21	A	Huesca	103-73
13/11/21	H	Gipuzkoa	85-73
09/11/21	A	Leyma Coruna	93-105

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/02/22	A	Gipuzkoa	72-54
03/02/22	H	Melilla	76-66
28/01/22	A	Forca Lleida	75-81
23/01/22	A	Oviedo	75-67
19/01/22	H	Huesca	70-59
16/01/22	H	Basquet Girona	88-80
17/12/21	H	Leyma Coruna	88-80
11/12/21	A	Granada	58-69
05/12/21	H	Real Valladolid	81-60
19/11/21	A	Caceres	71-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia

Primera FEB 2021-22

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	62%
Home	WWLLW	62%
Away	LWLLW	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	62%	62%	62%
Points / game	79.8	75.4	84.2
Allowed / game	76.2	73.9	78.5
Point differential	+3.6	+1.5	+5.8
Avg total	156.0	149.2	162.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	25%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	67% (3)	50% (4)
Overtime %	6%	0%	12%

Estudiantes

Primera FEB 2021-22

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	83%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WLWLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	83%	100%	67%
Points / game	78.4	84.7	72.2
Allowed / game	70.3	71.7	68.9
Point differential	+8.2	+13.0	+3.3
Avg total	148.7	156.3	141.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	56%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	6%	11%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Estudiantes	18	15	3	83%	78.4	70.3	+8.2
2	Granada	19	15	4	79%	82.1	73.8	+8.3
3	Forca Lleida	16	11	5	69%	82.9	80.6	+2.3
4	Palencia	16	10	6	62%	79.8	76.2	+3.6
5	Caceres	19	11	8	58%	72.8	75.9	-3.1
6	Leyma Coruna	18	10	8	56%	83.2	78.4	+4.7
7	Oviedo	18	10	8	56%	76.2	75.3	+0.9
8	Gipuzkoa	20	11	9	55%	79.5	77.1	+2.5
9	Castello	19	10	9	53%	77.6	78.4	-0.8
10	Alicante	18	9	9	50%	83.1	77.6	+5.5
11	Almansa	19	9	10	47%	80.2	81.6	-1.4
12	Melilla	17	8	9	47%	75.6	79.6	-4.1
13	Basquet Girona	18	8	10	44%	75.4	72.9	+2.5
14	Real Valladolid	19	8	11	42%	76.5	80.1	-3.6
15	Prat Joventut	18	7	11	39%	78.6	79.2	-0.6
16	Iraurgi SB	18	7	11	39%	76.3	79.1	-2.8
17	Fibwi Palma	17	2	15	12%	71.3	79.4	-8.1
18	Huesca	19	2	17	11%	73.2	86.9	-13.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Palencia	15	17	15	19	66
Estudiantes	14	17	16	15	62

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Palencia vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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