PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Palencia vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 83-52
22-18 20-11 19-12 22-11
Position#3
Record6-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game72.5
vs
Position#4
Record6-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game80.2
SpainPrimera FEBRound 9
Other2025-26
Meetings · Palencia v Estudiantes
19 Feb 2027
PAL v EST
upcoming
22 Nov 2025
PAL83
EST52
19 Oct 2024
PAL80
EST87
05 May 2023
PAL74
EST66
13 Feb 2022
PAL66
EST62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estudiantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Castello
#17
L
96-101 OT
96
101
-5
86avg 78
A02/05
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
W
87-68
87
68
+19
82avg 78
H09/05
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
W
78-69
78
69
+9
66avg 78
A28/09
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
90-73
90
73
+17
77avg 78
H03/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
W
107-58
107
58
+49
106avg 78
A11/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
89-64
89
64
+25
86avg 78
H17/10
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
L
75-80
75
80
-5
50avg 78
A26/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
59-79
59
79
-20
44avg 78
H31/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
102-77
102
77
+25
91avg 78
A08/11
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
W
88-80
88
80
+8
79avg 78
H14/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
21-22
27-23
19-21
28-18
25-18
17-17
17-15
19-21
20-17
13-17
26-14
22-12
26-18
20-20
22-23
28-11
32-13
22-24
25-10
18-18
30-13
17-21
24-12
23-22
16-20
17-10
19-28
21-14
20-17
12-27
6-21
18-23
42-10
18-27
24-17
32-20
12-16
19-19
25-25
162.0Avg total
87.1Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.072.5158.5+13.575%
Season at home (4)81.574.0155.5+7.575%
Season away (4)90.571.0161.5+19.575%
Last 10 (10)87.174.9162.0+12.270%
Last 5 (5)82.676.0158.6+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)85.087.0172.0-2.00%
vs Similar (4)87.584.2171.8+3.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)86.577.6164.1+8.972%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstudiantes
Date
Competition
Tizona Burgos
#9
W
105-88
105
88
+17
101avg 80
H04/05
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
88-100
88
100
-12
70avg 80
A09/05
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
W
101-87
101
87
+14
92avg 80
A26/09
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
93-88
93
88
+5
79avg 80
H05/10
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
W
82-70
82
70
+12
72avg 80
A12/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
88-82
88
82
+6
74avg 80
H19/10
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
78-79
78
79
-1
74avg 80
H26/10
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
95-68
95
68
+27
90avg 80
A01/11
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
87-92
87
92
-5
74avg 80
H09/11
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
99-76
99
76
+23
95avg 80
H16/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-26
23-20
24-22
28-20
20-29
18-25
26-17
24-29
32-25
23-20
23-22
23-20
31-10
23-27
19-29
20-22
22-13
20-19
29-18
11-20
24-28
26-20
19-23
19-11
18-24
21-16
21-17
18-22
24-10
20-20
23-13
28-25
27-16
20-22
19-17
21-37
24-28
30-15
22-17
23-16
174.6Avg total
91.6Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)90.480.2170.6+10.175%
Season at home (5)89.083.4172.4+5.660%
Season away (3)92.775.0167.7+17.7100%
Last 10 (10)91.683.0174.6+8.670%
Last 5 (5)89.479.4168.8+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)86.091.5177.5-5.50%
vs Similar (7)89.087.6176.6+1.457%
vs Weaker (19)87.675.0162.6+12.689%
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +8.0+8.0Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.7-0.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +8.0+8.0Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.7-0.7
PalenciaEstudiantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Castello
#17
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A02/05
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H09/05
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A28/09
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H03/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
W
60-24
60
24
+36
A11/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H17/10
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A26/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H31/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
60-33
60
33
+27
A08/11
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H14/11
Primera FEB
81.5Avg total
47.2Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.138.183.3+7.073%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.735.380.0+9.593%-
Last 30 away (15)45.541.086.5+4.553%-
Last 10 (10)47.234.381.5+12.980%-
Last 5 (5)46.434.681.0+11.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.039.083.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (4)47.542.590.0+5.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)44.837.482.2+7.476%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tizona Burgos
#9
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H04/05
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A09/05
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A26/09
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H05/10
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A12/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H19/10
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H26/10
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A01/11
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H09/11
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H16/11
Primera FEB
88.9Avg total
47.6Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.339.986.2+6.480%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.140.789.8+8.393%-
Last 30 away (15)43.639.182.7+4.567%-
Last 10 (10)47.641.388.9+6.380%-
Last 5 (5)46.839.886.6+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)42.042.884.8-0.850%-
vs Similar (7)48.744.493.1+4.371%-
vs Weaker (19)46.437.684.0+8.789%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.1
52.2%
51.5%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.4
34.1%
33.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.313.8
75.4%
73.4%13.8
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.321.2
50.1%
51.5%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.1
34.3%
33.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.513.5
69.2%
73.4%13.5
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Palencia
WWLLWWWWWL
Estudiantes
WLWLWWWWLW
#3
League position
#4
-11.7
Net rating
-13.9
106.7
Offensive rating
107.8
118.4
Defensive rating
121.7
51.8%
Effective FG%
50.7%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
60.6%
16.8%
Turnover %
16.2%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.1%
3-point %
34.3%
64.2%
Assist %
52.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 107.8Defence118.4 · 121.7Shooting51.8% · 50.7%3-point %34.1% · 34.3%Ball care16.8% · 16.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Palencia   ■ Estudiantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Palencia wins
3
Estudiantes wins
DateGameScore
16/03/25Estudiantes v Palencia104-98
19/10/24Palencia v Estudiantes80-87
05/05/23Palencia v Estudiantes74-66
08/01/23Estudiantes v Palencia73-83
18/06/22Estudiantes v Palencia89-62
08/05/22Estudiantes v Palencia71-73
13/02/22Palencia v Estudiantes66-62
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/25HOviedo88-80
08/11/25AZamora102-77
31/10/25HAlicante59-79
26/10/25AMelilla75-80
17/10/25HHestia Menorca89-64
11/10/25AEstela107-58
03/10/25HCartagena90-73
28/09/25APalmer Basket78-69
09/05/25HReal Betis87-68
02/05/25ACastello96-101 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/25HFuenlabrada99-76
09/11/25HLeyma Coruna87-92
01/11/25ACartagena95-68
26/10/25HObradoiro CAB78-79
19/10/25HAlicante88-82
12/10/25AMelilla82-70
05/10/25HGipuzkoa93-88
26/09/25AOviedo101-87
09/05/25ASan Pablo Burgos88-100
04/05/25HTizona Burgos105-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW75%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game86.081.590.5
Allowed / game72.574.071.0
Point differential+13.5+7.5+19.5
Avg total158.5155.5161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Estudiantes
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW75%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %75%60%100%
Points / game90.489.092.7
Allowed / game80.283.475.0
Point differential+10.1+5.6+17.7
Avg total170.6172.4167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%20%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leyma Coruna880100%93.877.9+15.9
2 Alicante76186%88.976.4+12.4
3 Palencia86275%86.072.5+13.5
4 Estudiantes86275%90.480.2+10.1
5 Obradoiro CAB86275%84.978.4+6.5
6 Ourense74357%81.379.3+2.0
7 Fibwi Palma74357%76.978.0-1.1
8 Zamora84450%89.087.9+1.1
9 Fuenlabrada84450%82.087.1-5.1
10 Estela73443%77.086.3-9.3
11 Oviedo83538%81.980.6+1.2
12 Tizona Burgos83538%86.590.6-4.1
13 Hestia Menorca72529%81.181.0+0.1
14 Gipuzkoa82625%78.580.6-2.1
15 Cartagena82625%69.886.2-16.5
16 Palmer Basket71614%71.788.1-16.4
17 Melilla81712%76.686.4-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Palencia2220192283
Estudiantes1811121152
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.