Panathinaikos vs Barcelona Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Nov 2026

Tip-off: 19:15

Projected 86-82

Projected total 167.8

Final 74-76

17-17 16-15 24-11 17-33

Position#1

Record8-2

FormWLLWW

Points / game87.6

Allowed / game78.7

Panathinaikos

63%

37%

■ PAO 63%■ BAR 37%

Pythia win probability

Barcelona 🏆

Position#4

Record7-3

FormWWWWW

Points / game91.0

Allowed / game88.7

EuroleagueRound 11· Telekom Center Athens

European cup2026

Meetings · Panathinaikos v Barcelona

Sections

Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Panathinaikos, the EuroLeague favourite, will host Barcelona on 13 November 2026 in a contest that the Pythia model expects to tilt decisively toward the Greek side, with a 64% chance of a win versus 36% for the Spanish club. Panathinaikos enters the game with an 8-2 record, averaging 87.6 points scored and 78.7 allowed per game, and sits first in the league; at home they are 6-1, 88.7 points for and 76.7 against, and have won three of their last five outings, including a 115-112 victory over Real Madrid and a 91-101 loss to Aris. Barcelona, meanwhile, is 7-3 overall, 91.0 points for and 88.7 against, and 4-1 on the road, 90.4 points for and 86.2 against, and has won all five of its most recent games, notably a 99-91 win over Breogan and a 93-90 win over Hapoel Tel-Aviv. Historically, Barcelona has won seven of the ten meetings, with the last encounter ending 93-79 in favour of Panathinaikos. Pythia projects a 87-83 scoreline and a 170-point total, with the home team covering the -10.0 line only 29% of the time and the over on 168.5 being 53% likely, while a 5% chance of overtime remains. The next game will see Panathinaikos attempt to extend its home dominance against a Barcelona side that has been flawless on the road.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winLost

63.2%fair 1.58

Best odds1.23

Implied80.8%

Edge-17.6pp

Barcelona winWon

36.8%fair 2.71

Best odds5.01

Implied19.2%

Edge+17.6pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:44 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPanathinaikos

Date

Competition

Partizan

#11

72-55

+17

67avg 84

A13/10

Euroleague

Hapoel Tel-Aviv

#10

81-91

-10

71avg 84

H16/10

Euroleague

Peristeri

95-75

+20

97avg 84

H18/10

Basket League

Baskonia

#20

85-79

84avg 84

H22/10

Euroleague

AS Karditsas

78-64

+14

71avg 84

H24/10

Basket League

Olimpia Milano

#19

80-75

77avg 84

H27/10

Euroleague

Anadolu Efes

#12

68-83

-15

59avg 84

A30/10

Euroleague

Aris

91-101

101

-10

84avg 84

A01/11

Basket League

Real Madrid

115-112 OT

115

112

no box

A04/11

Euroleague

AEK Athens

#10

83-74

no box

A08/11

Basket League

16-16

19-12

20-9

17-18

25-29

21-19

15-20

20-23

26-13

26-16

23-17

20-29

20-21

23-19

20-14

22-25

19-15

12-24

19-17

28-8

18-19

22-18

20-24

20-14

18-21

19-24

14-16

17-22

15-18

29-28

24-33

23-22

24-18

27-30

23-25

27-28

14-19

23-21

21-15

25-19

165.7Avg total

84.8Scored

80.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	87.6	78.7	166.3	+8.9	80%
Season at home (7)	88.7	76.7	165.4	+12.0	86%
Season away (3)	85.0	83.3	168.3	+1.7	67%
Last 10 (10)	84.8	80.9	165.7	+3.9	70%
Last 5 (5)	87.4	89.0	176.4	-1.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	82.8	83.4	166.2	-0.6	40%
vs Similar (8)	88.8	90.0	178.8	-1.2	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	89.2	76.1	165.4	+13.1	88%

This opponent (Barcelona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BarcelonaLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBarcelona

Date

Competition

Maccabi Tel Aviv

#17

90-87

90avg 82

H13/10

Euroleague

Olympiacos

100-105 OT

100

105

-5

92avg 82

H16/10

Euroleague

Joventut Badalona

#14

89-113

113

-24

86avg 82

A18/10

ACB

Olimpia Milano

#19

89-81

83avg 82

A22/10

Euroleague

Basket Zaragoza

99-81

+18

96avg 82

H24/10

ACB

Bayern

#18

88-84

82avg 82

A27/10

Euroleague

Valencia

98-94

91avg 82

H30/10

Euroleague

Unicaja

#10

92-89

84avg 82

A01/11

ACB

Hapoel Tel-Aviv

#10

93-90

no box

A05/11

Euroleague

Breogan

99-91

no box

H08/11

ACB

23-24

17-18

27-22

23-23

30-26

17-31

19-20

26-15

26-23

19-26

23-33

21-31

23-21

21-19

27-24

18-17

24-21

24-19

24-17

27-24

21-17

20-25

23-19

24-23

30-25

14-17

25-26

29-26

25-29

20-25

27-18

20-17

19-21

27-25

27-18

20-26

23-20

16-20

30-30

30-21

185.2Avg total

93.7Scored

91.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	91.0	88.7	179.7	+2.3	70%
Season at home (5)	91.6	91.2	182.8	+0.4	60%
Season away (5)	90.4	86.2	176.6	+4.2	80%
Last 10 (10)	93.7	91.5	185.2	+2.2	80%
Last 5 (5)	94.0	89.6	183.6	+4.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	89.5	99.6	189.1	-10.1	38%
vs Similar (11)	91.5	87.5	179.0	+4.1	64%
vs Weaker (11)	96.3	87.2	183.5	+9.1	91%

This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

Pythia expects about 168 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 165-169 (12%). The market's main line is 170.5.

Over/Under 165.5Actual: Under 165.5

Over 165.5

54.7%

@ 1.48-8.6pp

Under 165.5

45.3%

@ 2.57+8.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.48

Marathon Be

1.48

Bet365

1.47

Betano

1.44

Under

Betano

2.57

1xBet

2.55

Bet365

2.55

Marathon Be

2.17

Over/Under 170.5 · main lineActual: Under 170.5

Over 170.5

42.6%

@ 1.90-8.0pp

Under 170.5

57.4%

@ 2.00+8.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.90

1xBet

1.88

Marathon Be

1.84

WilliamHill

1.80

BetVictor

1.78

Under

Betano

2.00

1xBet

1.96

Bet365

1.95

Pinnacle

1.95

BetVictor

1.93

Over/Under 175.5Actual: Under 175.5

Over 175.5

31.3%

@ 2.25-9.8pp

Under 175.5

68.7%

@ 1.60+9.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

WilliamHill

2.25

Bet365

2.25

BetVictor

2.25

Marathon Be

2.23

1xBet

2.23

Under

WilliamHill

1.60

Betano

1.60

Bet365

1.57

BetVictor

1.57

Marathon Be

1.54

📊 3. Team Totals

Panathinaikos total 85.5Actual: Panathinaikos under 85.5

Over 85.5

51.0%

@ 1.40-16.3pp

Under 85.5

49.0%

@ 2.87+16.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.40

Betano

1.32

Under

Betano

2.87

Bet365

2.72

Panathinaikos total 89.5 · main lineActual: Panathinaikos under 89.5

Over 89.5

35.7%

@ 1.83-18.0pp

Under 89.5

64.3%

@ 2.10+18.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.76

Marathon Be

1.72

WilliamHill

1.67

Betano

1.62

Under

WilliamHill

2.10

Betano

2.07

1xBet

2.04

Marathon Be

2.00

Bet365

1.83

Panathinaikos total 93.5Actual: Panathinaikos under 93.5

Over 93.5

22.5%

@ 2.30-18.0pp

Under 93.5

77.5%

@ 1.57+18.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.30

WilliamHill

2.30

Betano

2.18

Under

Betano

1.57

WilliamHill

1.57

Bet365

1.55

Barcelona total 75.5Actual: Barcelona over 75.5

Over 75.5

73.8%

@ 1.38+6.2pp

Under 75.5

26.2%

@ 2.85-6.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.38

Betano

1.33

Under

Betano

2.85

Bet365

2.80

Barcelona total 79.5 · main lineActual: Barcelona under 79.5

Over 79.5

59.3%

@ 1.85+6.1pp

Under 79.5

40.7%

@ 2.05-6.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

1.85

Bet365

1.80

1xBet

1.78

Marathon Be

1.74

WilliamHill

1.70

Under

WilliamHill

2.05

1xBet

2.02

Betano

2.00

Marathon Be

1.98

Bet365

1.86

Barcelona total 83.5Actual: Barcelona under 83.5

Over 83.5

43.7%

@ 2.35+3.3pp

Under 83.5

56.3%

@ 1.57-3.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.35

WilliamHill

2.30

Betano

2.25

Under

WilliamHill

1.57

Bet365

1.54

Betano

1.52

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

Margin from Panathinaikos's side (positive = Panathinaikos win). Pythia's expected margin is +3.7; Panathinaikos win by 1+ in 55% of simulations.

Spread Panathinaikos -13Actual: Barcelona +13

PAO -13

19.8%

@ 2.32-20.6pp

BAR +13

80.2%

@ 1.57+20.6pp

Best 5 market prices

PAO

1xBet

2.32

Bet365

2.30

Marathon Be

2.29

BAR

1xBet

1.57

Marathon Be

1.55

Bet365

1.55

Spread Panathinaikos -10 · main lineActual: Barcelona +10

PAO -10

28.3%

@ 1.93-21.7pp

BAR +10

71.7%

@ 1.93+21.7pp

Best 5 market prices

PAO

1xBet

1.93

Pinnacle

1.93

Marathon Be

1.89

SBO

1.89

Bet365

1.86

BAR

1xBet

1.93

Pinnacle

1.93

Marathon Be

1.89

SBO

1.89

Bet365

1.83

Spread Panathinaikos -7Actual: Barcelona +7

PAO -7

38.7%

@ 1.54-21.2pp

BAR +7

61.3%

@ 2.35+21.2pp

Best 5 market prices

PAO

Bet365

1.54

Marathon Be

1.53

1xBet

1.53

BAR

Bet365

2.35

Marathon Be

2.28

1xBet

2.28

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PanathinaikosBarcelona

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43
Last 30 (30)	20.7	18.8	39.5	+1.8	47%	27%
Last 30 at home (16)	22.8	18.4	41.2	+4.3	56%	31%
Last 30 away (14)	18.3	19.3	37.6	-1.0	36%	21%
Last 10 (10)	19.5	18.9	38.4	+0.6	30%	10%
Last 5 (5)	17.8	19.0	36.8	-1.2	20%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.8	21.0	37.8	-4.2	20%	20%
vs Similar (8)	19.5	20.2	39.8	-0.8	50%	25%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	22.4	17.5	39.9	+4.8	53%	29%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43
Last 30 (30)	21.2	21.3	42.5	-0.0	53%	43%
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	22.5	43.9	-1.1	47%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	20.1	41.1	+1.0	60%	40%
Last 10 (10)	24.4	22.7	47.1	+1.7	70%	70%
Last 5 (5)	23.6	22.4	46.0	+1.2	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	19.6	24.6	44.2	-5.0	38%	50%
vs Similar (11)	21.5	21.6	43.2	-0.1	55%	45%
vs Weaker (11)	22.1	18.5	40.5	+3.6	64%	36%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.2	41.4	+1.0	63%	37%
Last 30 at home (16)	21.0	19.1	40.1	+1.9	75%	25%
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	21.4	42.9	+0.0	50%	50%
Last 10 (10)	22.1	21.1	43.2	+1.0	70%	30%
Last 5 (5)	24.0	24.2	48.2	-0.2	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	60%	20%
vs Similar (8)	21.5	23.0	44.5	-1.5	38%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.7	19.2	40.9	+2.5	76%	35%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43
Last 30 (30)	22.1	21.7	43.7	+0.4	53%	53%
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	19.7	40.1	+0.7	53%	27%
Last 30 away (15)	23.7	23.7	47.4	+0.1	53%	80%
Last 10 (10)	19.5	22.5	42.0	-3.0	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	19.4	22.4	41.8	-3.0	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	19.5	21.5	41.0	-2.0	38%	50%
vs Similar (11)	22.5	21.4	43.8	+1.1	64%	55%
vs Weaker (11)	23.5	22.1	45.6	+1.5	55%	55%

PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Partizan

#11

35-28

A13/10

Euroleague

Hapoel Tel-Aviv

#10

46-48

-2

H16/10

Euroleague

Peristeri

52-29

+23

H18/10

Basket League

Baskonia

#20

43-40

H22/10

Euroleague

AS Karditsas

31-39

-8

H24/10

Basket League

Olimpia Milano

#19

40-37

H27/10

Euroleague

Anadolu Efes

#12

37-45

-8

A30/10

Euroleague

Aris

44-46

-2

A01/11

Basket League

Real Madrid

51-48

A04/11

Euroleague

AEK Athens

#10

37-40

-3

A08/11

Basket League

81.6Avg total

41.6Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 85.5
Last 30 (30)	41.9	39.0	80.9	+2.8	53%	40%
Last 30 at home (16)	43.8	37.6	81.3	+6.2	62%	44%
Last 30 away (14)	39.7	40.7	80.4	-1.0	43%	36%
Last 10 (10)	41.6	40.0	81.6	+1.6	50%	30%
Last 5 (5)	41.8	43.2	85.0	-1.4	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	35.8	40.0	75.8	-4.2	20%	20%
vs Similar (8)	41.0	43.2	84.2	-2.2	50%	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	44.1	36.8	80.8	+7.3	65%	35%

This opponent (Barcelona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Maccabi Tel Aviv

#17

40-42

-2

H13/10

Euroleague

Olympiacos

47-57

-10

H16/10

Euroleague

Joventut Badalona

#14

45-49

-4

A18/10

ACB

Olimpia Milano

#19

44-40

A22/10

Euroleague

Basket Zaragoza

48-40

H24/10

ACB

Bayern

#18

41-42

-1

A27/10

Euroleague

Valencia

44-42

H30/10

Euroleague

Unicaja

#10

45-54

-9

A01/11

ACB

Hapoel Tel-Aviv

#10

46-46

A05/11

Euroleague

Breogan

39-40

-1

H08/11

ACB

89.1Avg total

43.9Scored

45.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 85.5
Last 30 (30)	43.3	42.9	86.2	+0.4	43%	50%
Last 30 at home (15)	41.8	42.1	83.9	-0.3	47%	40%
Last 30 away (15)	44.8	43.7	88.5	+1.1	40%	60%
Last 10 (10)	43.9	45.2	89.1	-1.3	30%	60%
Last 5 (5)	43.0	44.8	87.8	-1.8	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	39.1	46.1	85.2	-7.0	12%	38%
vs Similar (11)	44.0	43.0	87.0	+1.0	45%	64%
vs Weaker (11)	45.6	40.5	86.2	+5.1	64%	45%

This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Panathinaikos win

PAO win

58.3%

@ 1.34-16.9pp

BAR win

41.7%

@ 3.88+16.9pp

1st half Spread Panathinaikos -6 · main lineActual: Barcelona +6

PAO -6

33.0%

@ 1.93-16.9pp

BAR +6

67.0%

@ 1.92+16.9pp

1st half Over/Under 85.5 · main lineActual: Under 85.5

Over

43.6%

@ 1.90-6.9pp

Under

56.4%

@ 2.00+6.9pp

Panathinaikos 1st half total 45.5 · main lineActual: Panathinaikos under 45.5

Over

36.3%

@ 1.90-14.7pp

Under

63.7%

@ 1.98+14.7pp

Barcelona 1st half total 40.5 · main lineActual: Barcelona under 40.5

Over

52.7%

@ 1.90+3.0pp

Under

47.3%

@ 1.90-3.0pp

1st half: PAO + total 85.5

PAO & over

24.7%

@ 2.60-8.7pp

PAO & under

31.3%

@ 2.70-0.9pp

1st half: Draw + total 85.5

Draw & over

1.8%

@ 29.00-1.2pp

Draw & under

2.2%

@ 29.00-0.8pp

1st half: BAR + total 85.5

BAR & over

17.1%

@ 6.00+2.6pp

BAR & under

22.9%

@ 6.25+9.0pp

1st half Over/Under 87Actual: Under 87

Over

37.7%

@ 2.16-6.9pp

Under

62.3%

@ 1.80+6.9pp

1st half Spread Panathinaikos -5Actual: Barcelona +5

PAO -5

36.9%

@ 1.79-17.4pp

BAR +5

63.1%

@ 2.10+17.4pp

1st half Over/Under 83.5Actual: Under 83.5

Over

51.1%

@ 1.61-6.8pp

Under

48.9%

@ 2.25+6.8pp

1st half Spread Panathinaikos -7.5Actual: Barcelona +7.5

PAO -7.5

28.1%

@ 2.05-16.5pp

BAR +7.5

71.9%

@ 1.65+16.5pp

1st half Over/Under 88.5Actual: Under 88.5

Over

32.8%

@ 2.20-9.5pp

Under

67.2%

@ 1.62+9.5pp

1st half Over/Under 81.5Actual: Under 81.5

Over

58.7%

@ 1.46-5.4pp

Under

41.3%

@ 2.60+5.4pp

1st half Spread Panathinaikos -8.5Actual: Barcelona +8.5

PAO -8.5

24.7%

@ 2.60-11.2pp

BAR +8.5

75.3%

@ 1.46+11.2pp

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Barcelona (regulation)

PAO

56.0%

@ 1.37-12.5pp

Draw

4.0%

@ 23.00-1.2pp

BAR

40.0%

@ 3.54+12.4pp

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42
Last 30 (30)	22.4	18.9	41.4	+3.5	73%	47%
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	18.0	40.1	+4.1	81%	38%
Last 30 away (14)	22.8	20.0	42.8	+2.8	64%	57%
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.0	38.9	+0.9	50%	30%
Last 5 (5)	20.4	22.6	43.0	-2.2	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.2	19.2	39.4	+1.0	60%	40%
vs Similar (8)	22.6	21.5	44.1	+1.1	62%	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	23.0	17.6	40.6	+5.4	82%	41%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42
Last 30 (30)	24.3	23.9	48.2	+0.5	57%	77%
Last 30 at home (15)	25.2	24.7	49.9	+0.5	47%	73%
Last 30 away (15)	23.5	23.0	46.5	+0.5	67%	80%
Last 10 (10)	25.2	22.7	47.9	+2.5	60%	70%
Last 5 (5)	26.4	22.2	48.6	+4.2	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	23.9	26.2	50.1	-2.4	25%	88%
vs Similar (11)	24.6	22.7	47.4	+1.9	64%	64%
vs Weaker (11)	24.4	23.3	47.6	+1.1	73%	82%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.5
Last 30 (30)	21.5	21.6	43.1	-0.1	37%	50%
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	21.2	42.9	+0.6	38%	50%
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	22.1	43.2	-0.9	36%	50%
Last 10 (10)	21.9	20.8	42.7	+1.1	40%	50%
Last 5 (5)	22.4	21.0	43.4	+1.4	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	22.0	20.8	42.8	+1.2	40%	40%
vs Similar (8)	21.9	22.6	44.5	-0.8	50%	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.1	21.4	42.5	-0.2	29%	47%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.5
Last 30 (30)	24.0	22.7	46.7	+1.3	60%	70%
Last 30 at home (15)	25.1	22.9	47.9	+2.2	60%	80%
Last 30 away (15)	22.9	22.5	45.4	+0.3	60%	60%
Last 10 (10)	23.8	22.3	46.1	+1.5	70%	70%
Last 5 (5)	24.6	22.6	47.2	+2.0	80%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	24.0	24.2	48.2	-0.2	38%	75%
vs Similar (11)	22.9	21.7	44.6	+1.2	64%	55%
vs Weaker (11)	25.0	22.5	47.5	+2.5	73%	82%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 85
Last 30 (30)	43.9	40.5	84.4	+3.4	63%	53%
Last 30 at home (16)	43.9	39.2	83.1	+4.7	75%	50%
Last 30 away (14)	43.9	42.1	86.0	+1.9	50%	57%
Last 10 (10)	41.8	39.8	81.6	+2.0	50%	30%
Last 5 (5)	42.8	43.6	86.4	-0.8	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	42.2	40.0	82.2	+2.2	60%	60%
vs Similar (8)	44.5	44.1	88.6	+0.4	38%	75%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	44.1	39.0	83.1	+5.1	76%	41%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 85
Last 30 (30)	48.3	46.6	94.9	+1.7	63%	80%
Last 30 at home (15)	50.3	47.6	97.9	+2.7	60%	87%
Last 30 away (15)	46.3	45.5	91.9	+0.8	67%	73%
Last 10 (10)	49.0	45.0	94.0	+4.0	90%	80%
Last 5 (5)	51.0	44.8	95.8	+6.2	100%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	47.9	50.5	98.4	-2.6	50%	88%
vs Similar (11)	47.5	44.5	92.0	+3.1	73%	73%
vs Weaker (11)	49.4	45.8	95.2	+3.5	64%	82%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

PAO win + total 170.5

🔒 Pro

BAR win + total 170.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: PAO leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: BAR leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (PAO:BAR): PAO wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Barcelona +10	71.7%	1.89	1xBet 1.93	Pinnacle 1.93	Marathon Bet 1.89	SBO 1.89	Bet365 1.83	+21.7pp	Won
Barcelona +12 (3-way)	73.2%	1.77	Marathon Bet 1.77	-	-	-	-	+21.7pp	Won
Panathinaikos under 92	73.6%	1.77	1xBet 1.80	Marathon Bet 1.75	-	-	-	+20.8pp	Won
Barcelona +11	74.8%	1.78	1xBet 1.82	Marathon Bet 1.78	Pinnacle 1.78	Bet365 1.74	-	+20.8pp	Won
Barcelona +13	80.2%	1.56	1xBet 1.57	Marathon Bet 1.55	Bet365 1.55	-	-	+20.6pp	Won
Barcelona +11 (3-way)	70.5%	1.85	Marathon Bet 1.85	-	-	-	-	+20.5pp	Won
Barcelona +10.5	72.6%	1.84	Betfair 1.90	1xBet 1.88	Marathon Bet 1.85	Pinnacle 1.84	SBO 1.83	+20.4pp	Won
Barcelona +12	77.6%	1.67	1xBet 1.69	Pinnacle 1.67	Marathon Bet 1.66	Bet365 1.64	-	+20.2pp	Won
Barcelona +14	82.6%	1.46	Bet365 1.47	Marathon Bet 1.46	1xBet 1.46	-	-	+19.9pp	Won
Barcelona +13.5	80.7%	1.52	Betano 1.53	BetVictor 1.53	1xBet 1.52	Bet365 1.52	Marathon Bet 1.51	+19.8pp	Won
Barcelona +11.5	75.5%	1.71	1xBet 1.76	Marathon Bet 1.72	Pinnacle 1.71	Betano 1.70	BetVictor 1.68	+19.7pp	Won
Panathinaikos under 91.5	71.2%	1.78	WilliamHill 1.80	1xBet 1.78	Betano 1.78	BetVictor 1.78	Marathon Bet 1.74	+19.5pp	Won
Barcelona +14.5	83.0%	1.44	Betano 1.45	BetVictor 1.45	Bet365 1.45	1xBet 1.43	Marathon Bet 1.43	+19.4pp	Won
Barcelona +12.5	78.2%	1.62	1xBet 1.64	Betano 1.62	Pinnacle 1.62	BetVictor 1.62	Marathon Bet 1.61	+19.2pp	Won
Panathinaikos under 91	70.2%	1.83	1xBet 1.85	Marathon Bet 1.81	-	-	-	+18.9pp	Won
Barcelona +15	84.7%	1.40	1xBet 1.41	Bet365 1.40	Marathon Bet 1.38	-	-	+18.8pp	Won
Panathinaikos under 92.5	74.4%	1.63	Betano 1.67	WilliamHill 1.67	Bet365 1.55	-	-	+18.7pp	Won
Barcelona +15.5	85.1%	1.38	BetVictor 1.40	Betano 1.39	1xBet 1.38	Bet365 1.38	Marathon Bet 1.36	+18.4pp	Won
Panathinaikos under 93.5	77.5%	1.56	Betano 1.57	WilliamHill 1.57	Bet365 1.55	-	-	+18.0pp	Won
Panathinaikos under 95.5	82.8%	1.40	Bet365 1.41	Betano 1.40	-	-	-	+17.6pp	Won
Barcelona +16	86.7%	1.33	1xBet 1.34	Bet365 1.34	Marathon Bet 1.32	-	-	+17.2pp	Won
Barcelona +16.5	86.9%	1.33	Betano 1.33	1xBet 1.33	Bet365 1.33	Marathon Bet 1.31	-	+17.0pp	Won
1st half: Panathinaikos under 47.5	74.2%	1.61	Betano 1.65	Bet365 1.57	-	-	-	+16.9pp	Won
Panathinaikos under 94.5	80.3%	1.44	Betano 1.47	Bet365 1.41	-	-	-	+16.6pp	Won
Barcelona +17	88.4%	1.28	1xBet 1.29	Bet365 1.29	Marathon Bet 1.27	-	-	+16.5pp	Won
1st half: Barcelona +7.5	71.9%	1.65	Betano 1.65	-	-	-	-	+16.5pp	Won
Barcelona +17.5	88.6%	1.28	1xBet 1.29	Betano 1.28	Bet365 1.28	Marathon Bet 1.26	-	+16.4pp	Won
Panathinaikos under 97.5	87.3%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	-	+16.3pp	Won
Panathinaikos under 96.5	85.2%	1.31	Betano 1.33	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	+15.5pp	Won
Barcelona +18	90.0%	1.24	1xBet 1.25	Bet365 1.25	Marathon Bet 1.23	-	-	+15.2pp	Won
Barcelona +18.5	90.1%	1.23	Betano 1.24	1xBet 1.24	Bet365 1.23	Marathon Bet 1.22	-	+15.0pp	Won
Panathinaikos under 99.5	90.8%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+14.7pp	Won
1st half: Panathinaikos under 49.5	82.1%	1.39	1xBet 1.41	Bet365 1.37	-	-	-	+14.6pp	Won
Panathinaikos under 100.5	92.3%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+14.5pp	Won
Panathinaikos under 101.5	93.6%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+14.1pp	Won
Barcelona +19.5	91.5%	1.20	Betano 1.21	1xBet 1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	+13.7pp	Won
Barcelona +21.5	93.7%	1.15	Betano 1.15	-	-	-	-	+13.3pp	Won
Barcelona +20.5	92.6%	1.17	Betano 1.17	1xBet 1.17	Bet365 1.16	-	-	+13.3pp	Won
1st half: Panathinaikos under 51.5	88.5%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+13.2pp	Won
Panathinaikos under 98.5	89.2%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+13.0pp	Won
Barcelona +22.5	94.6%	1.12	Betano 1.12	-	-	-	-	+12.3pp	Won
Barcelona +23.5	95.4%	1.10	Betano 1.10	-	-	-	-	+11.8pp	Won
1st half: Panathinaikos under 53.5	93.2%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+11.7pp	Won
Panathinaikos under 103.5	95.6%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+11.3pp	Won
1st half: Barcelona +8.5	75.3%	1.46	1xBet 1.46	Bet365 1.45	-	-	-	+11.2pp	Won
Barcelona +27.5	97.6%	1.07	Betano 1.07	-	-	-	-	+11.2pp	Won
Barcelona +26.5	97.2%	1.06	Betano 1.06	-	-	-	-	+10.5pp	Won
1st half: Barcelona +10.5	81.4%	1.31	1xBet 1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	+10.4pp	Won
Panathinaikos under 102.5	94.7%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+10.3pp	Won
Q1: Panathinaikos under 26.5	83.3%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+10.2pp	Won
Under 179	76.1%	1.39	1xBet 1.41	Bet365 1.40	Marathon Bet 1.37	-	-	+10.2pp	Won
Q1: Panathinaikos under 24.5	71.3%	1.56	Betano 1.60	1xBet 1.55	Bet365 1.52	-	-	+10.2pp	Won
Under 178	74.2%	1.44	1xBet 1.46	Bet365 1.45	Marathon Bet 1.41	-	-	+10.1pp	Won
Panathinaikos under 105.5	97.1%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+10.0pp	Won
Under 177.5	72.8%	1.47	BetVictor 1.50	1xBet 1.48	Betano 1.47	Bet365 1.47	Marathon Bet 1.44	+9.9pp	Won
Under 182.5	81.6%	1.28	Betano 1.28	-	-	-	-	+9.9pp	Won
Under 176	70.2%	1.53	1xBet 1.54	Bet365 1.54	Marathon Bet 1.51	-	-	+9.8pp	Won
Under 177	72.2%	1.49	1xBet 1.50	Bet365 1.50	Marathon Bet 1.46	-	-	+9.7pp	Won
Under 176.5	70.8%	1.52	WilliamHill 1.57	1xBet 1.53	Betano 1.53	Bet365 1.52	BetVictor 1.50	+9.7pp	Won
Under 183.5	83.1%	1.25	Betano 1.25	-	-	-	-	+9.7pp	Won
Under 179.5	76.6%	1.38	Betano 1.39	1xBet 1.38	Bet365 1.38	Marathon Bet 1.36	-	+9.6pp	Won
1st half: Barcelona +12.5	86.4%	1.21	1xBet 1.22	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	+9.5pp	Won
Barcelona +24.5	96.1%	1.08	Betano 1.08	1xBet 1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	+9.4pp	Won
Panathinaikos under 104.5	96.4%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+9.3pp	Won
1st half: Under 96.5	88.7%	1.17	1xBet 1.17	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	+9.2pp	Won
Under 178.5	74.7%	1.42	Betano 1.44	1xBet 1.42	Bet365 1.41	Marathon Bet 1.40	-	+9.2pp	Won
1st half: Panathinaikos under 55.5	96.3%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+9.2pp	Won
1st half: Under 94.5	84.4%	1.23	1xBet 1.24	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	+9.2pp	Won
1st half: Under 90.5	73.7%	1.44	Bet365 1.44	1xBet 1.44	-	-	-	+9.2pp	Won
Panathinaikos under 107.5	98.1%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+9.1pp	Won
Q1: Panathinaikos under 28.5	91.3%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+9.0pp	Won
1st half: Under 92.5	79.4%	1.32	Bet365 1.32	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	+9.0pp	Won
Q1: Barcelona +8.5	85.1%	1.22	1xBet 1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	+8.9pp	Won
Barcelona +25.5	96.6%	1.07	Betano 1.07	1xBet 1.07	Bet365 1.06	-	-	+8.8pp	Won
Panathinaikos under 106.5	97.7%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+8.7pp	Won
Under 181.5	80.0%	1.30	Betano 1.31	1xBet 1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	+8.6pp	Won
Q1: Barcelona +6.5	77.4%	1.35	1xBet 1.36	Bet365 1.35	-	-	-	+8.5pp	Won
Panathinaikos under 109.5	98.8%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+8.4pp	Won
1st half: Barcelona +14.5	90.6%	1.13	1xBet 1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	+8.3pp	Won
Panathinaikos under 108.5	98.5%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Won
Panathinaikos under 110.5	99.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.9pp	Won
1st half: Under 95.5	86.7%	1.18	1xBet 1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	+7.9pp	Won
Panathinaikos under 111.5	99.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.7pp	Won
Under 186.5	87.1%	1.17	Betano 1.18	1xBet 1.17	Bet365 1.16	-	-	+7.7pp	Won
Q1: Panathinaikos under 29.5	94.0%	1.10	1xBet 1.10	-	-	-	-	+7.7pp	Won
Barcelona +29.5	98.3%	1.02	1xBet 1.03	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Won
Barcelona over 74.5	76.9%	1.32	Betano 1.34	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
Q1: Panathinaikos under 30.5	96.2%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
1st half: Under 93.5	82.1%	1.25	1xBet 1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
1st half: Under 91.5	76.6%	1.34	1xBet 1.34	Bet365 1.34	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Barcelona over 73.5	79.9%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Barcelona +30.5	98.2%	1.02	1xBet 1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
1st half: Under 89.5	70.3%	1.48	1xBet 1.48	Bet365 1.47	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Q1: Panathinaikos under 32.5	98.4%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Won
Under 180.5	78.3%	1.32	Betano 1.35	1xBet 1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	+6.9pp	Won
Barcelona over 70.5	87.3%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Under 185.5	85.9%	1.18	Betano 1.20	1xBet 1.17	Bet365 1.16	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Barcelona over 61.5	97.9%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
Barcelona over 72.5	82.6%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
Barcelona over 64.5	95.9%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Barcelona over 63.5	96.7%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Barcelona over 62.5	97.4%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Q1: Under 47.5	77.2%	1.31	1xBet 1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Barcelona over 71.5	85.0%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Barcelona over 75.5	73.8%	1.35	Bet365 1.38	Betano 1.33	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Barcelona over 69.5	89.2%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Under 191.5	92.1%	1.09	1xBet 1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Barcelona over 65.5	95.0%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Under 196.5	95.3%	1.04	1xBet 1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Barcelona over 67.5	92.5%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Q1: Under 49.5	84.7%	1.18	1xBet 1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Barcelona over 66.5	93.8%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Barcelona over 60.5	98.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Barcelona over 68.5	91.0%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Under 195.5	94.8%	1.04	1xBet 1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Barcelona over 58.5	99.0%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Barcelona over 76.5	70.4%	1.41	Bet365 1.43	Betano 1.39	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Lost
Q1: Barcelona over 11.5	96.4%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Q1: Barcelona over 15.5	84.0%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Q1: Barcelona over 17.5	72.7%	1.37	Bet365 1.37	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Lost
Under 184.5	84.5%	1.19	Betano 1.23	1xBet 1.17	Bet365 1.16	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Q1: Under 46.5	72.7%	1.37	1xBet 1.37	Bet365 1.37	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Under 190.5	91.2%	1.09	1xBet 1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
1st half: Barcelona over 30.5	93.4%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Barcelona over 59.5	98.7%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Q1: Under 48.5	81.1%	1.23	1xBet 1.23	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Q1: Barcelona over 10.5	97.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
1st half: Barcelona over 32.5	88.8%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Lost
Under 194.5	94.2%	1.04	1xBet 1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Q1: Barcelona over 12.5	94.4%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
1st half: Barcelona over 29.5	95.2%	1.05	1xBet 1.05	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Barcelona under 100.5	96.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Barcelona under 101.5	96.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
1st half: Barcelona over 34.5	82.2%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Lost
Under 189.5	90.3%	1.09	1xBet 1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Q1: Barcelona over 16.5	78.9%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Barcelona under 99.5	95.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Q1: Barcelona over 13.5	91.6%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Q1: Barcelona over 14.5	88.3%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Barcelona under 98.5	94.3%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
1st half: Barcelona over 36.5	73.8%	1.33	Bet365 1.33	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Lost
Q1: Panathinaikos over 12.5	96.6%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Barcelona under 102.5	97.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Q1: Barcelona under 28.5	94.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Barcelona under 97.5	93.2%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Barcelona under 96.5	91.9%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Q1: Barcelona under 29.5	96.2%	1.02	1xBet 1.02	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Panathinaikos over 68.5	95.3%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
1st half: Panathinaikos over 29.5	96.9%	1.01	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
Q1: Panathinaikos or Barcelona	94.5%	1.04	1xBet 1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Lost
1st half: Barcelona under 50.5	91.3%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
Over 144.5	92.2%	1.04	1xBet 1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	+2.6pp	Won
Q2: Panathinaikos or Barcelona	94.6%	1.02	1xBet 1.03	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Won
1st half: Barcelona under 49.5	88.8%	1.10	1xBet 1.10	-	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Won
Q1: Barcelona under 27.5	91.6%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+2.2pp	Won
Barcelona under 95.5	90.4%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Barcelona under 94.5	88.8%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Overtime: no	94.8%	1.02	Betano 1.02	WilliamHill 1.02	1xBet 1.01	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Q1: Panathinaikos over 14.5	92.3%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Won
Panathinaikos over 69.5	94.3%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Won
1st half: Barcelona under 48.5	85.8%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Won
Barcelona under 91.5	82.4%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Won
Barcelona under 92.5	84.8%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
Over 145.5	91.3%	1.04	1xBet 1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Panathinaikos over 70.5	93.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Barcelona under 90.5	79.9%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Won
Panathinaikos over 71.5	91.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Won
Q1: Over 36.5	78.7%	1.20	1xBet 1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	+0.9pp	Lost
1st half: Barcelona under 46.5	78.7%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+0.9pp	Won
Barcelona under 93.5	86.9%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+0.8pp	Won
Q1: Barcelona under 26.5	87.9%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+0.8pp	Won
Panathinaikos over 72.5	90.1%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+0.7pp	Won
Over 146.5	90.2%	1.04	1xBet 1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	+0.6pp	Won
Panathinaikos +14.5	94.0%	1.01	1xBet 1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	+0.3pp	Won
Barcelona under 88.5	74.1%	1.26	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	-	+0.0pp	Won
Over 149.5	86.6%	1.08	1xBet 1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-0.0pp	Won
Q1: Barcelona under 25.5	83.4%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-0.4pp	Won
Q1: Over 37.5	74.3%	1.25	1xBet 1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-0.4pp	Lost
1st half: Over 75.5	79.0%	1.17	1xBet 1.17	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-0.4pp	Lost
Barcelona under 89.5	77.1%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-0.7pp	Won
Over 154.5	78.7%	1.17	1xBet 1.17	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-0.7pp	Lost
Q1: Barcelona under 24.5	78.2%	1.19	1xBet 1.20	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-0.8pp	Won
Panathinaikos over 73.5	88.3%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	-1.1pp	Won
Over 150.5	85.2%	1.08	1xBet 1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-1.4pp	Lost
Barcelona under 87.5	70.9%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	-1.5pp	Won
Q1: Panathinaikos over 16.5	84.6%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-1.5pp	Won
Panathinaikos over 74.5	86.3%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	-1.7pp	Lost
Panathinaikos +10.5	89.0%	1.02	1xBet 1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-2.1pp	Won
1st half: Over 77.5	73.0%	1.23	1xBet 1.24	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-2.3pp	Lost
Q1: Barcelona under 23.5	72.1%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	-2.4pp	Won
Over 155.5	76.9%	1.17	1xBet 1.17	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-2.5pp	Lost
1st half: Panathinaikos over 35.5	85.0%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-2.5pp	Lost
1st half: Over 76.5	76.1%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	1xBet 1.18	-	-	-	-2.7pp	Lost
Over 151.5	83.8%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	1xBet 1.08	-	-	-	-2.9pp	Lost
Panathinaikos +9.5	87.4%	1.03	1xBet 1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-3.1pp	Won
Panathinaikos over 76.5	81.6%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-3.4pp	Lost
Panathinaikos over 75.5	84.1%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-3.4pp	Lost
Q1: Panathinaikos over 18.5	73.8%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-4.0pp	Lost
Over 156.5	75.0%	1.17	1xBet 1.17	Betano 1.17	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-4.4pp	Lost
Panathinaikos over 78.5	76.0%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-4.5pp	Lost
1st half: Panathinaikos over 37.5	77.7%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	-4.6pp	Lost
Q1: Panathinaikos +3.5	74.2%	1.18	1xBet 1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-4.7pp	Won
Over 157.5	73.0%	1.18	Betano 1.18	-	-	-	-	-5.3pp	Lost
Over 158.5	70.9%	1.20	Betano 1.20	-	-	-	-	-6.0pp	Lost
Panathinaikos over 77.5	78.9%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-6.1pp	Lost
1st half: Panathinaikos +5.5	78.1%	1.10	1xBet 1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-6.9pp	Won
Panathinaikos over 79.5	72.9%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-7.6pp	Lost
Panathinaikos +5.5	78.4%	1.07	Betano 1.07	-	-	-	-	-8.0pp	Won
1st half: Panathinaikos +3.5	71.4%	1.17	1xBet 1.17	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-8.0pp	Won
Panathinaikos +4.5	75.6%	1.08	Betano 1.08	1xBet 1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-11.1pp	Won
Panathinaikos +3.5	72.5%	1.10	Betano 1.10	-	-	-	-	-11.3pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 82.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game

49%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.6	19.6	56.6%	55.2%	39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.6	8.8	34.4%	35.7%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	23.6	17.0	72.0%	77.1%	17.0

They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 91.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game

49%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.5	21.9	58.4%	55.2%	43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.1	11.1	39.5%	35.7%	33.3
🏀 Free throws	19.0	14.2	74.7%	77.1%	14.2

They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.3	19.6	52.5%	55.2%	39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.6	7.9	29.7%	35.7%	23.7
🏀 Free throws	17.2	12.7	73.8%	77.1%	12.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	20.2	55.0%	55.2%	40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.8	11.9	41.3%	35.7%	35.7
🏀 Free throws	19.1	14.6	76.4%	77.1%	14.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.4	19.0	60.4%	55.2%	37.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.2	10.0	36.8%	35.7%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	17.8	13.7	76.8%	77.1%	13.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.3	23.1	58.8%	55.2%	46.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.2	10.4	39.8%	35.7%	31.3
🏀 Free throws	19.8	15.1	76.4%	77.1%	15.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	30.1	18.0	59.8%	55.2%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.2	8.6	30.6%	35.7%	25.9
🏀 Free throws	14.8	11.3	76.1%	77.1%	11.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.3	21.3	55.7%	55.2%	42.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.7	10.5	37.9%	35.7%	31.5
🏀 Free throws	20.5	16.2	79.0%	77.1%	16.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Panathinaikos

WWLLWWWWLW

Barcelona

WWWWWWWLLW

League position

+8.3

Net rating

+0.7

97.5

Offensive rating

105.6

89.3

Defensive rating

104.9

54.5%

Effective FG%

58.8%

49.2%

Opp. effective FG%

58.1%

16.5%

Turnover %

15.3%

0.39

Free-throw rate

0.29

34.4%

3-point %

39.5%

65.1%

Assist %

51.5%

70%

Form (last 10/10)

80%

Profile

■ Panathinaikos ■ Barcelona

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Panathinaikos wins

Barcelona wins

Date	Game	Score
07/04/26	Barcelona v Panathinaikos	79-93
03/10/25	Panathinaikos v Barcelona	96-103
15/01/25	Barcelona v Panathinaikos	82-73
03/12/24	Panathinaikos v Barcelona	90-89
22/03/24	Panathinaikos v Barcelona	89-81
03/11/23	Barcelona v Panathinaikos	80-72
23/03/23	Panathinaikos v Barcelona	74-88
16/12/22	Barcelona v Panathinaikos	74-68
03/02/22	Barcelona v Panathinaikos	86-60
16/12/21	Panathinaikos v Barcelona	82-85

Panathinaikoslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/11/26	A	AEK Athens	83-74
04/11/26	A	Real Madrid	115-112 OT
01/11/26	A	Aris	91-101
30/10/26	A	Anadolu Efes	68-83
27/10/26	H	Olimpia Milano	80-75
24/10/26	H	AS Karditsas	78-64
22/10/26	H	Baskonia	85-79
18/10/26	H	Peristeri	95-75
16/10/26	H	Hapoel Tel-Aviv	81-91
13/10/26	A	Partizan	72-55

Barcelonalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/11/26	H	Breogan	99-91
05/11/26	A	Hapoel Tel-Aviv	93-90
01/11/26	A	Unicaja	92-89
30/10/26	H	Valencia	98-94
27/10/26	A	Bayern	88-84
24/10/26	H	Basket Zaragoza	99-81
22/10/26	A	Olimpia Milano	89-81
18/10/26	A	Joventut Badalona	89-113
16/10/26	H	Olympiacos	100-105 OT
13/10/26	H	Maccabi Tel Aviv	90-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos

Euroleague 2026

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	80%
Home	WWLWW	86%
Away	WLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	7	3
Win %	80%	86%	67%
Points / game	87.6	88.7	85.0
Allowed / game	78.7	76.7	83.3
Point differential	+8.9	+12.0	+1.7
Avg total	166.3	165.4	168.3
Over 170.5	30%	29%	33%
Win by 10+	50%	57%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	10%	0%	33%

Barcelona

Euroleague 2026

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	70%
Home	WLWLW	60%
Away	LWWWW	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	70%	60%	80%
Points / game	91.0	91.6	90.4
Allowed / game	88.7	91.2	86.2
Point differential	+2.3	+0.4	+4.2
Avg total	179.7	182.8	176.6
Over 170.5	80%	80%	80%
Win by 10+	10%	0%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	67% (3)	100% (2)
Overtime %	10%	20%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Panathinaikos	10	8	2	80%	87.6	78.7	+8.9
2	Olympiacos	11	8	3	73%	88.5	80.7	+7.7
3	Valencia	11	8	3	73%	96.4	88.9	+7.5
4	Barcelona	10	7	3	70%	91.0	88.7	+2.3
5	Real Madrid	11	7	4	64%	98.5	90.1	+8.4
6	Crvena zvezda	11	7	4	64%	83.3	77.7	+5.5
7	Fenerbahce	11	7	4	64%	82.9	78.6	+4.3
8	Zalgiris Kaunas	11	7	4	64%	85.6	82.4	+3.3
9	Dubai	11	7	4	64%	86.5	85.6	+0.9
10	Hapoel Tel-Aviv	11	6	5	55%	90.4	87.2	+3.2
11	Partizan	11	6	5	55%	79.5	77.7	+1.7
12	Anadolu Efes	11	5	6	45%	85.9	87.5	-1.5
13	Paris	11	5	6	45%	91.0	94.1	-3.1
14	Besiktas	10	4	6	40%	87.7	90.9	-3.2
15	Lyon-Villeurbanne	10	4	6	40%	88.3	93.0	-4.7
16	Virtus Bologna	11	4	7	36%	86.1	90.7	-4.6
17	Maccabi Tel Aviv	11	3	8	27%	84.3	92.1	-7.8
18	Bayern	11	3	8	27%	86.8	95.2	-8.4
19	Olimpia Milano	11	1	10	9%	81.3	89.3	-8.0
20	Baskonia	11	1	10	9%	79.9	91.9	-12.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Panathinaikos	17	16	24	17	74
Barcelona	17	15	11	33	76

← all games of the day

Panathinaikos vs Barcelona Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Total points distribution

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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