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Fenerbahce vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 May 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 82-76
22-14 16-19 17-15 27-28
Position#1
Record26-11
FormWLWLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Position#3
Record25-14
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game83.1
EuropeEuroleagueEuroleague - Semi-finals· Etihad Arena
European cup2024Neutral venue
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Panathinaikos
29 Dec 2026
FEN v PAO
upcoming
16 Dec 2025
FEN77
PAO81
23 May 2025
FEN82
PAO76
25 Oct 2024
FEN76
PAO81
17 Oct 2023
FEN83
PAO69
18 Nov 2022
FEN107
PAO77
08 Apr 2022
FEN59
PAO62
15 Jan 2021
FEN100
PAO74
08 Feb 2019
FEN85
PAO66
17 Jan 2018
FEN67
PAO62
25 Apr 2017
FEN79
PAO61
19 Jan 2017
FEN84
PAO63
30 Dec 2015
FEN82
PAO75
04 Dec 2014
FEN84
PAO62
23 Jan 2014
FEN77
PAO72
01 Nov 2012
FEN73
PAO64
02 Feb 2012
FEN56
PAO77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Bayern
#7
W
89-77
89
77
+12
87avg 82
A10/04
Euroleague
Tofas
#4
W
89-88
89
88
+1
84avg 82
A13/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
W
95-80
95
80
+15
95avg 82
H18/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Paris
#9
W
83-78
83
78
+5
74avg 82
H22/04
Euroleague
Paris
#9
W
89-72
89
72
+17
86avg 82
H24/04
Euroleague
Paris
#9
W
98-88 OT
98
88
+10
95avg 82
A29/04
Euroleague
Merkezefendi
#14
L
63-79
63
79
-16
53avg 82
A02/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#13
W
78-67
78
67
+11
81avg 82
H06/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
62-72
62
72
-10
51avg 82
A10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
W
94-70
94
70
+24
85avg 82
H17/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-13
18-18
22-21
21-25
23-29
15-24
19-16
32-19
20-20
27-12
23-29
25-19
18-22
31-20
14-20
20-16
29-20
32-18
15-19
13-15
20-18
26-22
17-21
17-19
18-26
19-21
13-16
13-16
27-13
19-20
16-20
16-14
7-17
26-15
20-23
9-17
23-16
30-16
22-20
19-18
161.1Avg total
84.0Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)83.881.0164.8+2.770%
Season at home (19)84.080.2164.2+3.874%
Season away (18)83.581.9165.4+1.667%
Last 10 (10)84.077.1161.1+6.980%
Last 5 (5)79.075.2154.2+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)84.382.4166.6+1.964%
vs Weaker (18)88.980.2169.1+8.789%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#9
W
88-68
88
68
+20
87avg 86
H06/04
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
111-104 OT
111
104
+7
113avg 86
H11/04
Euroleague
Peristeri
#9
W
97-82
97
82
+15
95avg 86
A14/04
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
87-83
87
83
+4
79avg 86
H22/04
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
76-79
76
79
-3
71avg 86
H24/04
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
81-77
81
77
+4
76avg 86
A30/04
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
82-85
82
85
-3
80avg 86
A02/05
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
75-67
75
67
+8
73avg 86
H06/05
Euroleague
Promitheas
#5
W
101-69
101
69
+32
107avg 86
H12/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
W
97-59
97
59
+38
101avg 86
A14/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
22-12
19-22
22-11
23-26
24-23
30-28
19-19
24-16
21-23
24-23
28-20
21-18
19-30
24-24
23-11
29-17
13-19
18-14
16-29
20-23
25-16
18-15
18-23
18-21
15-17
26-22
23-25
18-10
23-20
12-16
22-21
29-19
29-26
19-13
24-11
24-18
18-20
31-13
24-8
166.8Avg total
89.5Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)87.383.1170.5+4.264%
Season at home (20)93.383.2176.6+10.180%
Season away (19)81.083.0164.0-2.047%
Last 10 (10)89.577.3166.8+12.280%
Last 5 (5)87.271.4158.6+15.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)87.783.1170.8+4.667%
vs Weaker (17)92.478.1170.5+14.494%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +4.1+4.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +4.1+4.1
FenerbahcePanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#7
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A10/04
Euroleague
Tofas
#4
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A13/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H18/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Paris
#9
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H22/04
Euroleague
Paris
#9
W
61-38
61
38
+23
H24/04
Euroleague
Paris
#9
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A29/04
Euroleague
Merkezefendi
#14
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A02/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#13
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H06/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H17/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
83.6Avg total
45.6Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.839.083.8+5.863%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.637.484.1+9.276%-
Last 30 away (13)42.341.183.4+1.246%-
Last 10 (10)45.638.083.6+7.680%-
Last 5 (5)43.036.879.8+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)43.840.584.4+3.355%-
vs Weaker (18)45.138.883.9+6.367%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#9
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H06/04
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H11/04
Euroleague
Peristeri
#9
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A14/04
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H22/04
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H24/04
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A30/04
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A02/05
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H06/05
Euroleague
Promitheas
#5
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H12/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A14/05
Basket League
83.7Avg total
44.0Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.239.683.8+4.670%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.138.883.9+6.375%-
Last 30 away (14)43.140.483.6+2.764%-
Last 10 (10)44.039.783.7+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)43.838.081.8+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.841.283.1+0.658%-
vs Weaker (17)45.639.284.8+6.576%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.8
55.9%
54.5%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.8
39.3%
36.2%32.4
🏀 Free throws16.314.3
87.7%
78.0%14.3
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 88.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.9
57.4%
54.5%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.9
38.5%
36.2%29.7
🏀 Free throws21.717.4
80.2%
78.0%17.4
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WLWLWWWWWW
Panathinaikos
WWWLWLWWWW
#1
League position
#3
+9.3
Net rating
+17.8
120.7
Offensive rating
123.5
111.4
Defensive rating
105.7
57.2%
Effective FG%
57.6%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
16.3%
Turnover %
16.2%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
36.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.35
39.3%
3-point %
38.5%
56.3%
Assist %
67.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence120.7 · 123.5Defence111.4 · 105.7Shooting57.2% · 57.6%3-point %39.3% · 38.5%Ball care16.3% · 16.2%Off. rebounds32.7% · 36.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Fenerbahce wins
6
Panathinaikos wins
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/25HGalatasaray94-70
10/05/25ABesiktas62-72
06/05/25HKarsiyaka78-67
02/05/25AMerkezefendi63-79
29/04/25AParis98-88 OT
24/04/25HParis89-72
22/04/25HParis83-78
18/04/25HBahcesehir Kol.95-80
13/04/25ATofas89-88
10/04/25ABayern89-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/25APromitheas97-59
12/05/25HPromitheas101-69
06/05/25HAnadolu Efes75-67
02/05/25AAnadolu Efes82-85
30/04/25AAnadolu Efes81-77
24/04/25HAnadolu Efes76-79
22/04/25HAnadolu Efes87-83
14/04/25APeristeri97-82
11/04/25HCrvena zvezda111-104 OT
06/04/25HPeristeri88-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW70%
HomeWWLWW74%
AwayWWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %70%74%67%
Points / game83.884.083.5
Allowed / game81.080.281.9
Point differential+2.7+3.8+1.6
Avg total164.8164.2165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%47%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won82% (11)80% (5)83% (6)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW64%
HomeLWWLW80%
AwayLWWWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392019
Win %64%80%47%
Points / game87.393.381.0
Allowed / game83.183.283.0
Point differential+4.2+10.1-2.0
Avg total170.5176.6164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (16)43% (7)56% (9)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos38271171%86.181.3+4.8
2 Fenerbahce37261170%83.881.0+2.7
3 Panathinaikos39251464%87.383.1+4.2
4 Monaco39241562%86.483.1+3.3
5 Anadolu Efes39221756%85.782.0+3.7
6 Barcelona39221756%87.684.7+2.9
7 Bayern36201656%87.088.1-1.0
8 Real Madrid40221855%84.282.1+2.0
9 Paris38201853%85.885.6+0.2
10 Crvena zvezda35181751%83.181.6+1.5
11 Olimpia Milano34171750%85.486.7-1.2
12 Partizan34161847%81.880.1+1.6
13 Zalgiris Kaunas34151944%77.479.0-1.6
14 Baskonia34142041%82.683.6-1.1
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne34132138%80.985.3-4.4
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv34112332%85.989.8-3.9
17 Virtus Bologna3492526%79.283.7-4.5
18 Alba Berlin3452915%78.791.3-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce2216172782
Panathinaikos1419152876
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