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Panathinaikos vs Buducnost Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 87-67
23-21 26-15 17-20 21-11
Position#7
Record15-14
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game78.9
vs
Position#15
Record6-23
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game84.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 30
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buducnost winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rethymno
#10
W
87-75
87
75
+12
A03/03
Basket League
Darussafaka
#16
W
91-67
91
67
+24
A07/03
Euroleague
Panionios
#12
W
96-71
96
71
+25
H10/03
Basket League
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
78-77
78
77
+1
A15/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
W
20-0
20
0
+20
A17/03
Basket League
Baskonia
#8
W
72-70
72
70
+2
H20/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
95-83
95
83
+12
A22/03
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#14
W
95-68
95
68
+27
H25/03
Basket League
Real Madrid
#3
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H28/03
Euroleague
Peristeri
#4
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A31/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
26-21
16-21
21-18
20-17
26-20
20-16
25-14
22-19
30-13
20-22
24-17
18-20
17-21
23-18
20-18
–
–
–
–
26-10
22-17
8-21
16-22
23-20
21-27
28-17
23-19
15-16
29-9
28-21
23-22
32-14
13-19
14-20
14-21
22-20
23-16
15-19
12-25
144.4Avg total
77.9Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)79.478.9158.3+0.452%
Season at home (14)83.678.4161.9+5.271%
Season away (15)75.579.5154.9-4.033%
Last 10 (10)77.966.5144.4+11.480%
Last 5 (5)81.475.0156.4+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.279.0159.2+1.260%
vs Similar (8)76.978.6155.5-1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)80.461.6142.0+18.794%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#11
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H04/03
ABA League
Olympiacos
#6
L
76-89
76
89
-13
H08/03
Euroleague
Mega Bemax
#7
W
77-70
77
70
+7
A11/03
ABA League
Baskonia
#8
L
62-82
62
82
-20
A15/03
Euroleague
Cibona
#8
W
91-82
91
82
+9
H17/03
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#2
L
67-76
67
76
-9
A19/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
84-91
84
91
-7
H21/03
Euroleague
Cedevita
#2
L
83-90
83
90
-7
A25/03
ABA League
Barcelona
#5
L
83-95
83
95
-12
A28/03
Euroleague
Cedevita
#2
W
87-72
87
72
+15
H31/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
22-18
15-16
15-8
21-27
13-24
20-22
22-16
17-11
19-18
19-15
22-26
15-23
19-16
15-25
13-18
26-21
19-24
21-23
25-14
16-19
23-17
19-22
9-18
19-27
21-26
18-18
26-20
18-21
20-16
21-28
24-25
22-21
24-23
23-28
14-23
16-17
17-14
25-19
29-22
160.1Avg total
78.5Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)74.684.9159.5-10.321%
Season at home (15)75.980.3156.1-4.440%
Season away (14)73.289.9163.1-16.70%
Last 10 (10)78.581.6160.1-3.140%
Last 5 (5)80.884.8165.6-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)76.189.3165.4-13.26%
vs Similar (6)77.876.7154.5+1.267%
vs Weaker (8)83.671.6155.2+12.088%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.9+0.9
PanathinaikosBuducnost
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rethymno
#10
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A03/03
Basket League
Darussafaka
#16
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A07/03
Euroleague
Panionios
#12
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H10/03
Basket League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A15/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H20/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A22/03
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#14
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H25/03
Basket League
Real Madrid
#3
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H28/03
Euroleague
Peristeri
#4
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A31/03
Basket League
80.3Avg total
45.4Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)44.136.780.8+7.479%-
Last 30 at home (11)49.634.584.2+15.1100%-
Last 30 away (17)40.538.178.5+2.465%-
Last 10 (9)45.434.980.3+10.678%-
Last 5 (5)45.233.678.8+11.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.240.681.8+0.660%-
vs Similar (8)41.638.480.0+3.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)46.334.580.8+11.9100%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#11
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H04/03
ABA League
Olympiacos
#6
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H08/03
Euroleague
Mega Bemax
#7
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A11/03
ABA League
Baskonia
#8
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A15/03
Euroleague
Cibona
#8
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H17/03
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#2
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A19/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H21/03
Euroleague
Cedevita
#2
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A25/03
ABA League
Barcelona
#5
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A28/03
Euroleague
Cedevita
#2
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H31/03
ABA League
80.0Avg total
39.0Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.580.6-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.441.481.8-0.936%-
Last 30 away (16)39.939.779.6+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)39.041.080.0-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.240.279.4-1.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)40.943.284.1-2.344%-
vs Similar (6)35.737.072.7-1.333%-
vs Weaker (8)42.137.679.8+4.550%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀65%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.4 pts a game · 65% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.026.7
54.5%
52.7%53.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.65.8
33.0%
37.0%17.4
🏀 Free throws16.711.6
69.5%
76.7%11.6
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.120.4
50.9%
52.7%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.87.8
35.8%
37.0%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.513.5
69.2%
76.7%13.5
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
LLWWWWWWWW
Buducnost
WLLLLWLWLW
#7
League position
#15
+7.1
Net rating
-4.5
111.9
Offensive rating
105.6
104.8
Defensive rating
110.0
53.2%
Effective FG%
51.9%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
15.6%
Turnover %
16.9%
34.1%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.0%
3-point %
35.8%
56.3%
Assist %
60.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 105.6Defence104.8 · 110.0Shooting53.2% · 51.9%3-point %33.0% · 35.8%Ball care15.6% · 16.9%Off. rebounds34.1% · 27.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Buducnost
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Panathinaikos wins
0
Buducnost wins
DateGameScore
02/11/18Buducnost v Panathinaikos67-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/19APeristeri72-80
28/03/19HReal Madrid73-74
25/03/19HKolossos Rhodes95-68
22/03/19AOlimpia Milano95-83
20/03/19HBaskonia72-70
17/03/19AOlympiacos20-0
15/03/19ACSKA Moscow78-77
10/03/19HPanionios96-71
07/03/19ADarussafaka91-67
03/03/19ARethymno87-75
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/19HCedevita87-72
28/03/19ABarcelona83-95
25/03/19ACedevita83-90
21/03/19HAnadolu Efes84-91
19/03/19AFenerbahce67-76
17/03/19HCibona91-82
15/03/19ABaskonia62-82
11/03/19AMega Bemax77-70
08/03/19HOlympiacos76-89
04/03/19HZadar75-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL52%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayLWWWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %52%71%33%
Points / game79.483.675.5
Allowed / game78.978.479.5
Point differential+0.4+5.2-4.0
Avg total158.3161.9154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%36%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)40% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Buducnost
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeWLLLL40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %21%40%0%
Points / game74.675.973.2
Allowed / game84.980.389.9
Point differential-10.3-4.4-16.7
Avg total159.5156.1163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%13%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)80% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2924583%84.675.8+8.8
2 CSKA Moscow3024680%86.880.3+6.5
3 Real Madrid2922776%85.977.6+8.4
4 Anadolu Efes30201067%85.480.2+5.2
5 Barcelona29171259%78.976.4+2.4
6 Panathinaikos29151452%79.478.9+0.4
7 Baskonia30151550%81.979.6+2.2
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv29141548%79.378.2+1.1
9 Zalgiris Kaunas29141548%79.278.2+1.0
10 Olympiacos29141548%77.277.0+0.1
11 Olimpia Milano30141647%87.387.2+0.1
12 Bayern29131645%78.980.9-2.0
13 Khimki M.2992031%78.381.8-3.5
14 Gran Canaria2982128%77.887.9-10.1
15 Buducnost2962321%74.684.9-10.3
16 Darussafaka2952417%74.685.4-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos2326172187
Buducnost2115201167
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