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CSKA Moscow vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 77-78
20-18 21-17 18-23 18-20
Position#1
Record20-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game81.4
CSKA Moscow
vs
Panathinaikos 🏆
Position#7
Record12-13
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game79.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 26
European cup2018
Meetings · CSKA Moscow v Panathinaikos
02 Dec 2021
CMO97
PAO77
14 Apr 2021
CMO93
PAO86
15 Mar 2019
CMO77
PAO78
25 Oct 2017
CMO81
PAO63
21 Oct 2016
CMO81
PAO77
04 Oct 2015
CMO81
PAO80
16 Apr 2015
CMO100
PAO80
14 Apr 2015
CMO93
PAO66
25 Apr 2014
CMO74
PAO44
18 Apr 2014
CMO77
PAO51
16 Apr 2014
CMO77
PAO74
28 Sep 2013
CMO72
PAO49
14 Feb 2013
CMO86
PAO69
11 May 2012
CMO66
PAO64
14 Dec 2011
CMO91
PAO75
01 Dec 2010
CMO68
PAO72
03 Oct 2009
CMO72
PAO78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSKA Moscow winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMoscow
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#15
W
99-69
99
69
+30
134avg 114
H01/02
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
W
70-57
70
57
+13
no box
H03/02
VTB United League
Real Madrid
#3
W
82-78
82
78
+4
110avg 114
H08/02
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#2
L
68-71
68
71
-3
no box
A11/02
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#12
W
79-69
79
69
+10
no box
A15/02
VTB United League
Gran Canaria
#14
W
107-85
107
85
+22
136avg 114
H21/02
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
W
97-81
97
81
+16
no box
A01/03
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#3
L
72-73 OT
72
73
-1
no box
A04/03
VTB United League
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
101-95
101
95
+6
134avg 114
H08/03
Euroleague
Zielona Gora
#13
W
115-74
115
74
+41
no box
A11/03
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
24-27
20-14
27-8
24-19
11-12
16-9
19-17
22-20
12-20
30-21
18-17
18-10
12-16
18-15
20-30
24-16
13-20
30-16
12-17
29-20
27-22
27-22
24-21
21-23
30-27
21-14
25-17
14-12
17-16
10-19
21-15
27-24
24-19
25-23
25-29
33-18
21-15
37-24
24-17
164.2Avg total
89.0Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)88.681.4169.9+7.280%
Season at home (12)89.580.0169.5+9.592%
Season away (13)87.782.6170.3+5.169%
Last 10 (10)89.075.2164.2+13.880%
Last 5 (5)98.481.6180.0+16.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)88.082.2170.2+5.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)88.376.5164.8+11.773%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#13
W
80-55
80
55
+25
no box
A04/02
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#2
L
66-85
66
85
-19
91avg 107
A08/02
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#5
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
H13/02
Greek Cup
PAOK
#2
W
79-73
79
73
+6
no box
A17/02
Greek Cup
Khimki M.
#13
W
94-85
94
85
+9
124avg 107
H22/02
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#14
W
88-78
88
78
+10
no box
A25/02
Basket League
Gran Canaria
#14
W
99-80
99
80
+19
128avg 107
A28/02
Euroleague
Rethymno
#10
W
87-75
87
75
+12
no box
A03/03
Basket League
Darussafaka
#16
W
91-67
91
67
+24
128avg 107
A07/03
Euroleague
Panionios
#12
W
96-71
96
71
+25
no box
H10/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
18-12
24-12
15-12
18-24
11-24
17-15
20-22
–
–
–
–
29-15
17-21
13-22
20-15
33-21
32-29
13-17
16-18
24-29
23-14
19-18
22-17
28-26
22-19
23-21
26-14
24-15
26-21
16-21
21-18
20-17
26-20
20-16
25-14
22-19
30-13
20-22
24-17
146.9Avg total
80.0Scored
66.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)79.479.4158.8-0.048%
Season at home (12)85.479.4164.8+6.075%
Season away (13)73.879.4153.2-5.623%
Last 10 (10)80.066.9146.9+13.190%
Last 5 (5)92.274.2166.4+18.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)77.482.8160.2-5.440%
vs Similar (8)74.979.8154.6-4.925%
vs Weaker (17)83.966.2150.1+17.8100%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +4.7+4.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +4.7+4.7
CSKA MoscowPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#15
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H01/02
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H03/02
VTB United League
Real Madrid
#3
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H08/02
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#2
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A11/02
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#12
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A15/02
VTB United League
Gran Canaria
#14
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H21/02
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A01/03
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#3
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A04/03
VTB United League
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H08/03
Euroleague
Zielona Gora
#13
W
54-33
54
33
+21
A11/03
VTB United League
80.7Avg total
43.1Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.138.983.0+5.273%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.540.084.5+4.569%-
Last 30 away (17)43.738.181.8+5.676%-
Last 10 (10)43.137.680.7+5.590%-
Last 5 (5)48.639.287.8+9.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)44.042.886.8+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)44.138.382.4+5.877%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#13
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A04/02
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#2
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A08/02
Euroleague
PAOK
#2
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A17/02
Greek Cup
Khimki M.
#13
W
65-50
65
50
+15
H22/02
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#14
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A25/02
Basket League
Gran Canaria
#14
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A28/02
Euroleague
Rethymno
#10
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A03/03
Basket League
Darussafaka
#16
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A07/03
Euroleague
Panionios
#12
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H10/03
Basket League
87.1Avg total
47.3Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.337.781.0+5.672%-
Last 30 at home (12)47.337.384.7+10.083%-
Last 30 away (17)40.437.978.4+2.565%-
Last 10 (9)47.339.887.1+7.689%-
Last 5 (5)49.038.687.6+10.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)38.041.479.4-3.440%-
vs Similar (8)40.641.081.6-0.438%-
vs Weaker (16)46.234.981.1+11.4100%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.622.7
54.6%
52.7%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.18.1
38.4%
37.0%24.3
🏀 Free throws22.618.4
81.4%
76.7%18.4
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀69%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.8 pts a game · 69% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.6 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.326.9
56.9%
52.7%53.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.65.2
29.5%
37.0%15.6
🏀 Free throws13.18.6
65.6%
76.7%8.6
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CSKA Moscow
WWLWWWLWWW
Panathinaikos
WWWWWWWWLW
#1
League position
#7
+14.3
Net rating
+0.4
125.9
Offensive rating
109.1
111.6
Defensive rating
108.7
55.6%
Effective FG%
53.5%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
16.4%
Turnover %
16.5%
42.9%
Off. rebound %
33.4%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.20
38.4%
3-point %
29.5%
61.7%
Assist %
57.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence125.9 · 109.1Defence111.6 · 108.7Shooting55.6% · 53.5%3-point %38.4% · 29.5%Ball care16.4% · 16.5%Off. rebounds42.9% · 33.4%Free throws0.36 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)80% · 90%
■ CSKA Moscow   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
CSKA Moscow wins
3
Panathinaikos wins
DateGameScore
28/12/18Panathinaikos v CSKA Moscow96-84
19/01/18Panathinaikos v CSKA Moscow70-75
25/10/17CSKA Moscow v Panathinaikos81-63
31/03/17Panathinaikos v CSKA Moscow85-80 OT
21/10/16CSKA Moscow v Panathinaikos81-77
04/10/15CSKA Moscow v Panathinaikos81-80
22/04/15Panathinaikos v CSKA Moscow55-74
20/04/15Panathinaikos v CSKA Moscow86-85
16/04/15CSKA Moscow v Panathinaikos100-80
14/04/15CSKA Moscow v Panathinaikos93-66
CSKA Moscowlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/19AZielona Gora115-74
08/03/19HOlimpia Milano101-95
04/03/19AKhimki M.72-73 OT
01/03/19AOlympiacos97-81
21/02/19HGran Canaria107-85
15/02/19AParma Perm79-69
11/02/19AUnics Kazan68-71
08/02/19HReal Madrid82-78
03/02/19HLokomotiv Kuban70-57
01/02/19HBuducnost99-69
Panathinaikoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/19HPanionios96-71
07/03/19ADarussafaka91-67
03/03/19ARethymno87-75
28/02/19AGran Canaria99-80
25/02/19AKolossos Rhodes88-78
22/02/19HKhimki M.94-85
17/02/19APAOK79-73
13/02/19HOlympiacos20-0
08/02/19AFenerbahce66-85
04/02/19ALavrio80-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLWWWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %80%92%69%
Points / game88.689.587.7
Allowed / game81.480.082.6
Point differential+7.2+9.5+5.1
Avg total169.9169.5170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%42%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)100% (4)57% (7)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW48%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayLLLWW23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %48%75%23%
Points / game79.485.473.8
Allowed / game79.479.479.4
Point differential-0.0+6.0-5.6
Avg total158.8164.8153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%42%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2521484%84.675.6+9.1
2 CSKA Moscow2520580%88.681.4+7.2
3 Real Madrid2620677%86.577.0+9.6
4 Anadolu Efes2617965%84.279.0+5.2
5 Barcelona25151060%77.876.4+1.5
6 Olimpia Milano26141254%87.085.5+1.5
7 Baskonia25131252%81.979.8+2.1
8 Olympiacos26131350%77.577.0+0.4
9 Panathinaikos25121348%79.479.4-0.0
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv26121446%78.979.1-0.2
11 Bayern26121446%79.280.6-1.4
12 Zalgiris Kaunas26111542%78.778.9-0.2
13 Khimki M.2691735%78.681.7-3.2
14 Gran Canaria2671927%78.788.4-9.7
15 Buducnost2561924%74.784.8-10.1
16 Darussafaka2632312%73.685.0-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CSKA Moscow2021181877
Panathinaikos1817232078
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