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Panathinaikos vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 73-74
32-14 13-19 14-20 14-21
Position#7
Record15-13
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game79.1
Panathinaikos
vs
Real Madrid 🏆
Position#3
Record21-7
FormWWWLL
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game77.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 29
European cup2018
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Real Madrid
03 Feb 2026
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06 Mar 2025
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07 Dec 2023
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06 Oct 2022
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31 Mar 2022
PAO87
MAD86
15 Dec 2020
PAO93
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23 Apr 2019
PAO82
MAD89
28 Mar 2019
PAO73
MAD74
19 Apr 2018
PAO82
MAD89
17 Apr 2018
PAO95
MAD67
24 Nov 2017
PAO82
MAD80
16 Mar 2017
PAO88
MAD82
20 Mar 2015
PAO85
MAD69
25 Jan 2013
PAO54
MAD58
15 Nov 2012
PAO79
MAD68
17 Dec 2009
PAO67
MAD76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#14
W
88-78
88
78
+10
A25/02
Basket League
Gran Canaria
#14
W
99-80
99
80
+19
A28/02
Euroleague
Rethymno
#10
W
87-75
87
75
+12
A03/03
Basket League
Darussafaka
#16
W
91-67
91
67
+24
A07/03
Euroleague
Panionios
#12
W
96-71
96
71
+25
H10/03
Basket League
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
78-77
78
77
+1
A15/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
W
20-0
20
0
+20
A17/03
Basket League
Baskonia
#8
W
72-70
72
70
+2
H20/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
95-83
95
83
+12
A22/03
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#14
W
95-68
95
68
+27
H25/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-29
23-14
19-18
22-17
28-26
22-19
23-21
26-14
24-15
26-21
16-21
21-18
20-17
26-20
20-16
25-14
22-19
30-13
20-22
24-17
18-20
17-21
23-18
20-18
–
–
–
–
26-10
22-17
8-21
16-22
23-20
21-27
28-17
23-19
15-16
29-9
28-21
23-22
149.0Avg total
82.1Scored
66.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)79.679.1158.7+0.554%
Season at home (13)84.478.7163.1+5.777%
Season away (15)75.579.5154.9-4.033%
Last 10 (10)82.166.9149.0+15.2100%
Last 5 (5)72.059.6131.6+12.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)79.282.0161.2-2.860%
vs Similar (9)77.679.4157.0-1.944%
vs Weaker (16)80.960.5141.4+20.4100%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#12
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H22/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A01/03
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
87-66
87
66
+21
A03/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#2
W
101-86
101
86
+15
H07/03
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
83-74
83
74
+9
A09/03
ACB
Khimki M.
#13
W
100-75
100
75
+25
A14/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#8
W
91-57
91
57
+34
H17/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
92-89
92
89
+3
H20/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
76-86
76
86
-10
A22/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
76-82
76
82
-6
H24/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
20-22
29-13
20-26
17-16
20-26
14-14
19-21
24-19
26-12
15-12
22-23
27-25
25-20
25-16
24-25
22-17
21-19
17-12
23-26
24-22
27-16
19-12
30-25
29-13
17-25
23-6
22-13
19-33
31-23
24-19
18-14
18-22
18-17
17-25
23-22
17-17
23-28
17-17
19-20
163.7Avg total
86.7Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)86.477.7164.1+8.675%
Season at home (14)92.478.4170.7+14.093%
Season away (14)80.477.1157.4+3.357%
Last 10 (10)86.777.0163.7+9.770%
Last 5 (5)87.077.8164.8+9.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)83.378.4161.7+4.957%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)86.579.6166.1+7.073%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +6.1+6.1Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: +0.5+0.5
PanathinaikosReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#14
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A25/02
Basket League
Gran Canaria
#14
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A28/02
Euroleague
Rethymno
#10
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A03/03
Basket League
Darussafaka
#16
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A07/03
Euroleague
Panionios
#12
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H10/03
Basket League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A15/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H20/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A22/03
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#14
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H25/03
Basket League
83.2Avg total
46.2Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)43.437.480.8+6.071%-
Last 30 at home (11)49.235.885.0+13.491%-
Last 30 away (17)39.638.578.1+1.259%-
Last 10 (9)46.237.083.2+9.278%-
Last 5 (5)44.634.479.0+10.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)38.442.681.0-4.240%-
vs Similar (9)41.439.380.8+2.144%-
vs Weaker (14)46.434.480.8+12.1100%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H22/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A01/03
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A03/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#2
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H07/03
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A09/03
ACB
Khimki M.
#13
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A14/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#8
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H17/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
50-56
50
56
-6
H20/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A22/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H24/03
ACB
85.6Avg total
44.7Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.839.383.1+4.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.241.486.6+3.860%-
Last 30 away (15)42.437.179.5+5.360%-
Last 10 (10)44.740.985.6+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)44.643.287.8+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)41.438.680.0+2.943%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.339.784.0+4.564%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀66%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.8 pts a game · 66% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.426.9
55.6%
52.7%53.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.95.9
33.0%
37.0%17.7
🏀 Free throws14.910.3
69.1%
76.7%10.3
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.120.5
56.8%
52.7%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.410.1
35.6%
37.0%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.614.6
78.5%
76.7%14.6
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WWWWWWWWWW
Real Madrid
LLWWWWWWLW
#7
League position
#3
+4.9
Net rating
+13.1
111.3
Offensive rating
115.8
106.4
Defensive rating
102.8
53.9%
Effective FG%
55.3%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
16.2%
Turnover %
16.3%
34.1%
Off. rebound %
33.0%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.0%
3-point %
35.6%
56.7%
Assist %
58.8%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.3 · 115.8Defence106.4 · 102.8Shooting53.9% · 55.3%3-point %33.0% · 35.6%Ball care16.2% · 16.3%Off. rebounds34.1% · 33.0%Free throws0.22 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)100% · 70%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Panathinaikos wins
6
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
19/12/18Real Madrid v Panathinaikos89-68
27/04/18Real Madrid v Panathinaikos89-82
25/04/18Real Madrid v Panathinaikos81-74
19/04/18Panathinaikos v Real Madrid82-89
17/04/18Panathinaikos v Real Madrid95-67
08/03/18Real Madrid v Panathinaikos92-75
24/11/17Panathinaikos v Real Madrid82-80
16/03/17Panathinaikos v Real Madrid88-82
16/11/16Real Madrid v Panathinaikos87-84
20/03/15Panathinaikos v Real Madrid85-69
Panathinaikoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/19HKolossos Rhodes95-68
22/03/19AOlimpia Milano95-83
20/03/19HBaskonia72-70
17/03/19AOlympiacos20-0
15/03/19ACSKA Moscow78-77
10/03/19HPanionios96-71
07/03/19ADarussafaka91-67
03/03/19ARethymno87-75
28/02/19AGran Canaria99-80
25/02/19AKolossos Rhodes88-78
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/19HBarcelona76-82
22/03/19ABaskonia76-86
20/03/19HOlimpia Milano92-89
17/03/19HManresa91-57
14/03/19AKhimki M.100-75
09/03/19AJoventut Badalona83-74
07/03/19HFenerbahce101-86
03/03/19AMoraBanc Andorra87-66
01/03/19ABarcelona70-77
22/02/19HBayern91-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW54%
HomeWWWWW77%
AwayLWWWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %54%77%33%
Points / game79.684.475.5
Allowed / game79.178.779.5
Point differential+0.5+5.7-4.0
Avg total158.7163.1154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%38%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL75%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWLLWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %75%93%57%
Points / game86.492.480.4
Allowed / game77.778.477.1
Point differential+8.6+14.0+3.3
Avg total164.1170.7157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%71%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)67% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2823582%83.975.3+8.6
2 CSKA Moscow2822679%87.280.6+6.5
3 Real Madrid2821775%86.477.7+8.6
4 Anadolu Efes28181064%84.279.2+5.0
5 Barcelona28161257%78.376.2+2.1
6 Baskonia28151354%81.678.8+2.9
7 Panathinaikos28151354%79.679.1+0.5
8 Olimpia Milano28141450%86.986.1+0.8
9 Olympiacos28141450%77.577.2+0.3
10 Zalgiris Kaunas28131546%79.578.6+0.9
11 Maccabi Tel Aviv28131546%79.079.0-0.1
12 Bayern28131546%78.680.5-1.9
13 Khimki M.2891932%78.581.9-3.3
14 Gran Canaria2882029%78.687.8-9.2
15 Buducnost2862221%74.384.6-10.3
16 Darussafaka2842414%74.085.4-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos3213141473
Real Madrid1419202174
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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