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Olimpia Milano vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 83-95
20-23 27-21 17-28 19-23
Position#11
Record14-13
FormLWWLL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game85.7
Olimpia Milano
vs
Panathinaikos 🏆
Position#7
Record14-13
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game79.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 28
European cup2018
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Panathinaikos
05 Feb 2027
MIL v PAO
upcoming
11 Dec 2025
MIL96
PAO89
30 Jan 2025
MIL87
PAO75
22 Dec 2023
MIL68
PAO76
23 Feb 2023
MIL78
PAO76
14 Dec 2021
MIL75
PAO54
03 Dec 2020
MIL77
PAO80
22 Mar 2019
MIL83
PAO95
05 Apr 2018
MIL95
PAO96
21 Dec 2016
MIL72
PAO86
11 Dec 2014
MIL66
PAO64
27 Feb 2014
MIL77
PAO75
19 Jan 2012
MIL57
PAO78
18 Nov 2010
MIL71
PAO81
22 Oct 2009
MIL67
PAO75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
111-74
111
74
+37
143avg 114
H10/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#4
L
84-86
84
86
-2
no box
H14/02
Italian Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
87-83
87
83
+4
115avg 114
H21/02
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#13
W
90-88
90
88
+2
116avg 114
A28/02
Euroleague
Torino
#13
W
110-91
110
91
+19
143avg 114
H03/03
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
95-101
95
101
-6
121avg 114
A08/03
Euroleague
Reggiana
#14
W
71-67
71
67
+4
16avg 114
A11/03
Lega A
Olympiacos
#6
W
66-57
66
57
+9
92avg 114
H14/03
Euroleague
Venezia
#2
L
86-87
86
87
-1
117avg 114
H17/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#3
L
89-92
89
92
-3
78avg 114
A20/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-18
30-10
21-21
31-25
22-17
14-24
18-22
30-23
20-22
27-25
17-15
23-21
20-25
25-29
20-19
25-15
35-22
26-12
22-26
27-31
24-27
19-24
23-25
29-25
17-18
17-15
24-18
13-16
19-10
4-13
26-16
17-18
29-20
18-21
14-23
25-23
33-19
23-31
19-24
14-18
171.5Avg total
88.9Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)87.085.7172.8+1.352%
Season at home (13)85.282.8168.1+2.462%
Season away (14)88.788.4177.1+0.343%
Last 10 (10)88.982.6171.5+6.360%
Last 5 (5)81.480.8162.2+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)89.795.0184.7-5.30%
vs Similar ◀ (14)83.482.2165.6+1.257%
vs Weaker (12)86.678.5165.1+8.175%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
PAOK
#2
W
79-73
79
73
+6
no box
A17/02
Greek Cup
Khimki M.
#13
W
94-85
94
85
+9
124avg 105
H22/02
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#14
W
88-78
88
78
+10
no box
A25/02
Basket League
Gran Canaria
#14
W
99-80
99
80
+19
128avg 105
A28/02
Euroleague
Rethymno
#10
W
87-75
87
75
+12
no box
A03/03
Basket League
Darussafaka
#16
W
91-67
91
67
+24
128avg 105
A07/03
Euroleague
Panionios
#12
W
96-71
96
71
+25
no box
H10/03
Basket League
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
78-77
78
77
+1
103avg 105
A15/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
A17/03
Basket League
Baskonia
#8
W
72-70
72
70
+2
63avg 105
H20/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-15
17-21
13-22
20-15
33-21
32-29
13-17
16-18
24-29
23-14
19-18
22-17
28-26
22-19
23-21
26-14
24-15
26-21
16-21
21-18
20-17
26-20
20-16
25-14
22-19
30-13
20-22
24-17
18-20
17-21
23-18
20-18
–
–
–
–
26-10
22-17
8-21
16-22
148.0Avg total
80.4Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)79.079.0158.0+0.152%
Season at home (13)84.478.7163.1+5.777%
Season away (14)74.179.2153.3-5.129%
Last 10 (10)80.467.6148.0+12.8100%
Last 5 (5)71.457.0128.4+14.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.282.0161.2-2.860%
vs Similar ◀ (8)75.479.0154.4-3.638%
vs Weaker (17)80.461.8142.2+18.6100%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: +5.8+5.8Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +4.1+4.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: +5.8+5.8Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +4.1+4.1
Olimpia MilanoPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
59-28
59
28
+31
H10/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H14/02
Italian Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H21/02
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#13
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A28/02
Euroleague
Torino
#13
W
61-34
61
34
+27
H03/03
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A08/03
Euroleague
Reggiana
#14
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A11/03
Lega A
Olympiacos
#6
D
23-23
23
23
+0
H14/03
Euroleague
Venezia
#2
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H17/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#3
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A20/03
Euroleague
85.3Avg total
45.1Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.340.083.3+3.359%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.336.179.5+7.267%-
Last 30 away (14)43.444.187.5-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)45.140.285.3+4.950%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.680.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)46.347.093.3-0.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.439.881.2+1.664%-
vs Weaker (11)45.638.383.9+7.464%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAOK
#2
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A17/02
Greek Cup
Khimki M.
#13
W
65-50
65
50
+15
H22/02
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#14
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A25/02
Basket League
Gran Canaria
#14
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A28/02
Euroleague
Rethymno
#10
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A03/03
Basket League
Darussafaka
#16
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A07/03
Euroleague
Panionios
#12
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H10/03
Basket League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A15/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H20/03
Euroleague
87.3Avg total
48.8Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)43.537.180.6+6.475%-
Last 30 at home (11)49.136.585.5+12.691%-
Last 30 away (17)39.937.577.4+2.465%-
Last 10 (9)48.838.687.3+10.289%-
Last 5 (5)46.234.680.8+11.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.442.681.0-4.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.138.479.5+2.850%-
vs Weaker (15)46.534.681.1+11.9100%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.7
57.1%
52.7%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.910.4
40.2%
37.0%31.2
🏀 Free throws18.014.2
78.9%
76.7%14.2
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀66%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 66% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.626.2
55.0%
52.7%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.35.6
32.4%
37.0%16.8
🏀 Free throws14.69.9
67.8%
76.7%9.9
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LLWWLWWWLW
Panathinaikos
WWWWWWWWWW
#11
League position
#7
+11.1
Net rating
+1.8
120.2
Offensive rating
109.6
109.1
Defensive rating
107.8
58.4%
Effective FG%
53.3%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
14.3%
Turnover %
16.2%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.22
40.2%
3-point %
32.4%
55.8%
Assist %
56.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence120.2 · 109.6Defence109.1 · 107.8Shooting58.4% · 53.3%3-point %40.2% · 32.4%Ball care14.3% · 16.2%Off. rebounds27.0% · 32.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 100%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Olimpia Milano wins
6
Panathinaikos wins
DateGameScore
21/12/18Panathinaikos v Olimpia Milano83-86
05/04/18Olimpia Milano v Panathinaikos95-96 OT
15/12/17Panathinaikos v Olimpia Milano80-72
21/03/17Panathinaikos v Olimpia Milano74-61
21/12/16Olimpia Milano v Panathinaikos72-86
11/12/14Olimpia Milano v Panathinaikos66-64
07/11/14Panathinaikos v Olimpia Milano90-63
27/02/14Olimpia Milano v Panathinaikos77-75
02/01/14Panathinaikos v Olimpia Milano73-57
23/02/12Panathinaikos v Olimpia Milano58-67
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/19AReal Madrid89-92
17/03/19HVenezia86-87
14/03/19HOlympiacos66-57
11/03/19AReggiana71-67
08/03/19ACSKA Moscow95-101
03/03/19HTorino110-91
28/02/19AKhimki M.90-88
21/02/19HMaccabi Tel Aviv87-83
14/02/19HVirtus Bologna84-86
10/02/19HPesaro111-74
Panathinaikoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/19HBaskonia72-70
17/03/19AOlympiacos20-0
15/03/19ACSKA Moscow78-77
10/03/19HPanionios96-71
07/03/19ADarussafaka91-67
03/03/19ARethymno87-75
28/02/19AGran Canaria99-80
25/02/19AKolossos Rhodes88-78
22/02/19HKhimki M.94-85
17/02/19APAOK79-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL52%
HomeLWWWW62%
AwayLWWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %52%62%43%
Points / game87.085.288.7
Allowed / game85.782.888.4
Point differential+1.3+2.4+0.3
Avg total172.8168.1177.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%23%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)57% (7)43% (7)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW52%
HomeWWWWW77%
AwayLLWWW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %52%77%29%
Points / game79.084.474.1
Allowed / game79.078.779.2
Point differential+0.1+5.7-5.1
Avg total158.0163.1153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%38%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2823582%83.975.3+8.6
2 CSKA Moscow2822679%87.280.6+6.5
3 Real Madrid2821775%86.477.7+8.6
4 Anadolu Efes28181064%84.279.2+5.0
5 Barcelona28161257%78.376.2+2.1
6 Baskonia28151354%81.678.8+2.9
7 Olimpia Milano27141352%87.085.7+1.3
8 Panathinaikos27141352%79.079.0+0.1
9 Olympiacos28141450%77.577.2+0.3
10 Zalgiris Kaunas28131546%79.578.6+0.9
11 Maccabi Tel Aviv28131546%79.079.0-0.1
12 Bayern28131546%78.680.5-1.9
13 Khimki M.2891932%78.581.9-3.3
14 Gran Canaria2882029%78.687.8-9.2
15 Buducnost2862221%74.384.6-10.3
16 Darussafaka2842414%74.085.4-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2027171983
Panathinaikos2321282395
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