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Panathinaikos vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Oct 2016
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 70-59
23-14 23-11 15-16 9-18
Position#5
Record2-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game80.0
Panathinaikos 🏆
vs
Crvena zvezda
Position#7
Record2-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game73.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 4
European cup2016
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Crvena zvezda
16 Dec 2026
PAO v CZV
upcoming
20 Mar 2026
PAO82
CZV74
11 Apr 2025
PAO111
CZV104
28 Dec 2023
PAO82
CZV65
10 Mar 2023
PAO75
CZV66
25 Feb 2022
PAO79
CZV73
19 Mar 2021
PAO82
CZV86
20 Mar 2018
PAO91
CZV71
28 Oct 2016
PAO70
CZV59
14 Jan 2016
PAO63
CZV74
13 Feb 2015
PAO74
CZV69
06 Dec 2013
PAO69
CZV63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#4
L
75-84
75
84
-9
H19/04
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#3
L
88-90
88
90
-2
H24/09
Gomelsky Cup
Unics Kazan
#4
W
69-58
69
58
+11
H25/09
Gomelsky Cup
PAOK
#9
W
88-69
88
69
+19
H05/10
Greek Cup
Promitheas
#9
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H09/10
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H14/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
63-88
63
88
-25
A17/10
Basket League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
77-81
77
81
-4
A21/10
Euroleague
Koroivos
#12
W
96-65
96
65
+31
H23/10
Basket League
Bamberg
#13
W
84-83
84
83
+1
A26/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
20-22
18-14
20-28
21-27
21-15
23-20
23-28
12-15
12-18
24-12
21-13
18-19
26-21
20-17
24-12
20-17
23-19
24-14
14-21
20-15
17-15
14-22
33-24
17-23
15-27
17-18
14-20
19-22
11-13
28-22
19-24
24-9
27-17
21-21
24-18
20-15
22-22
20-26
22-20
157.0Avg total
80.5Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.780.0161.7+1.767%
Season at home (1)84.076.0160.0+8.0100%
Season away (2)80.582.0162.5-1.550%
Last 10 (10)80.576.5157.0+4.060%
Last 5 (5)80.878.6159.4+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)77.081.0158.0-4.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.981.2158.1-4.242%
vs Weaker (16)79.967.5147.4+12.481%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#2
W
70-65
70
65
+5
A09/06
Super League
MZT Skopje
#13
W
91-69
91
69
+22
H30/09
ABA League
Cedevita
#3
W
88-64
88
64
+24
H03/10
ABA League
Zadar
#12
W
103-66
103
66
+37
A06/10
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#6
W
96-76
96
76
+20
H09/10
ABA League
Darussafaka
#9
L
70-73
70
73
-3
H13/10
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
67-56
67
56
+11
A17/10
ABA League
Galatasaray
#12
W
85-83
85
83
+2
A21/10
Euroleague
Igokea
#5
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H23/10
ABA League
Barcelona
#11
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H26/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
23-17
15-9
14-17
27-20
22-10
20-16
22-23
15-7
23-25
28-12
22-20
23-23
26-12
24-11
30-20
32-14
24-17
21-24
19-21
24-17
20-13
8-16
18-27
19-17
23-15
11-11
14-13
17-30
30-17
22-20
16-16
21-12
19-17
7-20
21-17
9-16
31-15
20-17
16-17
149.7Avg total
81.4Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.073.7150.7+3.367%
Season at home (2)73.069.0142.0+4.050%
Season away (1)85.083.0168.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.468.3149.7+13.190%
Last 5 (5)73.268.6141.8+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.881.2152.0-10.50%
vs Similar ◀ (4)67.275.2142.5-8.025%
vs Weaker (22)83.767.5151.2+16.395%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +8.3+8.3Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.1+0.1
PanathinaikosCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H19/04
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#3
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H24/09
Gomelsky Cup
Unics Kazan
#4
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H25/09
Gomelsky Cup
PAOK
#9
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H05/10
Greek Cup
Promitheas
#9
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H09/10
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H14/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A17/10
Basket League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A21/10
Euroleague
Koroivos
#12
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H23/10
Basket League
Bamberg
#13
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A26/10
Euroleague
75.3Avg total
38.2Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.035.574.6+3.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.134.974.1+4.262%-
Last 30 away (14)38.936.275.1+2.750%-
Last 10 (10)38.237.175.3+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.435.674.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.035.065.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.839.677.4-1.842%-
vs Weaker (16)40.232.272.4+7.969%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#2
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A09/06
Super League
MZT Skopje
#13
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H30/09
ABA League
Cedevita
#3
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H03/10
ABA League
Zadar
#12
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A06/10
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#6
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H09/10
ABA League
Darussafaka
#9
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H13/10
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A17/10
ABA League
Galatasaray
#12
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A21/10
Euroleague
Igokea
#5
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H23/10
ABA League
Barcelona
#11
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H26/10
Euroleague
78.2Avg total
44.6Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.636.177.8+5.570%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.132.274.3+9.981%-
Last 30 away (14)41.140.681.7+0.457%-
Last 10 (10)44.633.678.2+11.090%-
Last 5 (5)42.633.876.4+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.542.281.8-2.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)37.237.074.2+0.250%-
vs Weaker (22)42.834.977.7+8.082%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.717.0
50.5%
50.7%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.3
37.8%
37.3%31.0
🏀 Free throws21.015.3
73.0%
75.6%15.3
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.122.2
59.9%
50.7%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.9
36.4%
37.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.714.1
71.8%
75.6%14.1
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/9 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WWLLWWWWLL
Crvena zvezda
WWWWLWWWWW
#5
League position
#7
+1.4
Net rating
+20.8
114.6
Offensive rating
113.3
113.1
Defensive rating
92.5
53.3%
Effective FG%
57.9%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
12.4%
Turnover %
15.4%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
22.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.8%
3-point %
36.4%
61.0%
Assist %
72.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence114.6 · 113.3Defence113.1 · 92.5Shooting53.3% · 57.9%3-point %37.8% · 36.4%Ball care12.4% · 15.4%Off. rebounds28.7% · 22.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Panathinaikos wins
3
Crvena zvezda wins
DateGameScore
11/03/16Crvena zvezda v Panathinaikos69-67
14/01/16Panathinaikos v Crvena zvezda63-74
09/04/15Crvena zvezda v Panathinaikos69-68
13/02/15Panathinaikos v Crvena zvezda74-69
06/12/13Panathinaikos v Crvena zvezda69-63
01/11/13Crvena zvezda v Panathinaikos86-90 OT
Panathinaikoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/16ABamberg84-83
23/10/16HKoroivos96-65
21/10/16ACSKA Moscow77-81
17/10/16AOlympiacos63-88
14/10/16HZalgiris Kaunas84-76
09/10/16HPromitheas81-71
05/10/16HPAOK88-69
25/09/16HUnics Kazan69-58
24/09/16HMaccabi Tel Aviv88-90
19/04/16HBaskonia75-84
Crvena zvezdalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/16HBarcelona76-65
23/10/16HIgokea68-66
21/10/16AGalatasaray85-83
17/10/16AKK Krka Novo mesto67-56
13/10/16HDarussafaka70-73
09/10/16HMega Bemax96-76
06/10/16AZadar103-66
03/10/16HCedevita88-64
30/09/16HMZT Skopje91-69
09/06/16APartizan70-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game81.784.080.5
Allowed / game80.076.082.0
Point differential+1.7+8.0-1.5
Avg total161.7160.0162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeLW50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game77.073.085.0
Allowed / game73.769.083.0
Point differential+3.3+4.0+2.0
Avg total150.7142.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow440100%95.282.0+13.2
2 Fenerbahce440100%81.273.2+8.0
3 Real Madrid43175%90.082.0+8.0
4 Olympiacos43175%85.280.0+5.2
5 Crvena zvezda32167%77.073.7+3.3
6 Panathinaikos32167%81.780.0+1.7
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv42250%91.088.5+2.5
8 Darussafaka42250%81.580.5+1.0
9 Baskonia42250%84.886.0-1.2
10 Olimpia Milano42250%87.892.2-4.5
11 Bamberg31233%79.379.0+0.3
12 Barcelona31233%68.770.7-2.0
13 Anadolu Efes41325%80.286.8-6.5
14 Zalgiris Kaunas41325%74.081.5-7.5
15 Unics Kazan4040%79.087.5-8.5
16 Galatasaray4040%86.598.8-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos232315970
Crvena zvezda1411161859
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