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Panathinaikos vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 75-66
9-17 20-25 23-13 23-11
Position#15
Record8-19
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game83.3
vs
Position#11
Record12-15
FormWLLLW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game78.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 28
European cup2022
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Crvena zvezda
16 Dec 2026
PAO v CZV
upcoming
20 Mar 2026
PAO82
CZV74
11 Apr 2025
PAO111
CZV104
28 Dec 2023
PAO82
CZV65
10 Mar 2023
PAO75
CZV66
25 Feb 2022
PAO79
CZV73
19 Mar 2021
PAO82
CZV86
20 Mar 2018
PAO91
CZV71
28 Oct 2016
PAO70
CZV59
14 Jan 2016
PAO63
CZV74
13 Feb 2015
PAO74
CZV69
06 Dec 2013
PAO69
CZV63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
L
68-83
68
83
-15
51avg 74
A01/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
90-95
90
95
-5
no box
A03/02
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
L
91-92
91
92
-1
84avg 74
H10/02
Euroleague
Promitheas
#4
W
87-79
87
79
+8
83avg 74
H13/02
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#23
W
87-80
87
80
+7
no box
H17/02
Greek Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
65-81
65
81
-16
no box
A18/02
Greek Cup
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
76-78
76
78
-2
65avg 74
A23/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
82-87
82
87
-5
74avg 74
H02/03
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#11
W
91-75
91
75
+16
87avg 74
H04/03
Basket League
Monaco
#4
L
70-84
70
84
-14
65avg 74
A08/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
16-22
27-20
11-15
23-21
15-31
27-24
25-19
26-21
23-21
19-27
23-23
14-24
29-16
23-23
21-16
27-10
25-23
19-16
16-31
19-22
21-13
10-29
15-17
21-20
18-20
21-24
16-14
21-18
19-25
14-21
28-23
23-8
19-23
32-21
17-23
17-21
19-21
21-22
13-20
164.1Avg total
80.7Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)79.183.3162.4-4.130%
Season at home (13)84.582.1166.6+2.546%
Season away (14)74.184.4158.6-10.314%
Last 10 (10)80.783.4164.1-2.730%
Last 5 (5)76.881.0157.8-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.085.0160.0-10.09%
vs Similar ◀ (8)81.278.9160.1+2.438%
vs Weaker (10)86.368.7155.0+17.6100%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Igokea
#7
W
104-71
104
71
+33
112avg 77
H05/02
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
89-86
89
86
+3
83avg 77
A09/02
Euroleague
Zadar
#9
W
95-76
95
76
+19
97avg 77
A12/02
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#8
W
89-64
89
64
+25
no box
H16/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#3
W
83-75
83
75
+8
no box
A17/02
Korac cup
Mega Basket
#2
W
96-79
96
79
+17
no box
H18/02
Korac cup
Alba Berlin
#17
L
72-87
72
87
-15
56avg 77
H24/02
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
L
80-87
80
87
-7
no box
A02/03
Euroleague
Cibona
#11
L
81-85
81
85
-4
74avg 77
A05/03
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
94-75
94
75
+19
94avg 77
H08/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-11
34-19
20-11
23-30
18-18
26-16
25-21
20-31
22-18
25-13
26-25
22-20
17-19
18-12
29-17
25-16
15-21
19-23
25-14
24-17
22-23
29-21
27-21
18-14
25-15
19-24
17-21
11-27
23-19
15-22
18-11
24-35
24-22
16-17
27-22
14-24
20-25
29-20
19-22
26-8
166.8Avg total
88.3Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)76.378.6155.0-2.344%
Season at home (13)77.676.1153.7+1.554%
Season away (14)75.181.0156.1-5.936%
Last 10 (10)88.378.5166.8+9.870%
Last 5 (5)84.682.6167.2+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.088.0169.0-7.033%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.076.6154.6+1.450%
vs Weaker (14)87.872.6160.4+15.186%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.5-1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.5-1.5
PanathinaikosCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A01/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A03/02
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H10/02
Euroleague
Promitheas
#4
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H13/02
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#23
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H17/02
Greek Cup
Olympiacos
#1
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A18/02
Greek Cup
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A23/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H02/03
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#11
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H04/03
Basket League
Monaco
#4
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A08/03
Euroleague
81.5Avg total
40.9Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.537.577.0+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.335.978.1+6.473%-
Last 30 away (15)36.739.275.9-2.533%-
Last 10 (10)40.940.681.5+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.438.277.6+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.242.478.5-6.236%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)36.440.576.9-4.125%-
vs Weaker (10)44.330.374.6+14.090%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#7
W
61-30
61
30
+31
H05/02
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A09/02
Euroleague
Zadar
#9
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A12/02
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#8
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H16/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#3
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A17/02
Korac cup
Mega Basket
#2
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H18/02
Korac cup
Alba Berlin
#17
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H24/02
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A02/03
Euroleague
Cibona
#11
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A05/03
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H08/03
Euroleague
82.1Avg total
44.3Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.838.580.3+3.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.439.183.5+5.367%-
Last 30 away (15)39.138.077.1+1.160%-
Last 10 (10)44.337.882.1+6.580%-
Last 5 (5)44.441.686.0+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.342.080.3-3.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.039.879.8+0.250%-
vs Weaker (14)44.537.281.7+7.386%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.918.6
56.5%
53.5%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.7
35.4%
36.2%29.1
🏀 Free throws24.117.5
72.6%
78.5%17.5
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.718.0
55.0%
53.5%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.5
38.9%
36.2%31.5
🏀 Free throws21.216.9
79.7%
78.5%16.9
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
LWLLLWWLLL
Crvena zvezda
WLLLWWWWWW
#15
League position
#11
+5.3
Net rating
+5.5
113.7
Offensive rating
119.7
108.4
Defensive rating
114.2
55.0%
Effective FG%
56.5%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
57.7%
16.5%
Turnover %
15.4%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.36
35.4%
3-point %
38.9%
54.8%
Assist %
73.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.7 · 119.7Defence108.4 · 114.2Shooting55.0% · 56.5%3-point %35.4% · 38.9%Ball care16.5% · 15.4%Off. rebounds26.5% · 30.0%Free throws0.40 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Panathinaikos wins
5
Crvena zvezda wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/23AMonaco70-84
04/03/23HAS Karditsas91-75
02/03/23HAnadolu Efes82-87
23/02/23AOlimpia Milano76-78
18/02/23AOlympiacos65-81
17/02/23HKolossos Rhodes87-80
13/02/23HPromitheas87-79
10/02/23HValencia91-92
03/02/23ABaskonia90-95
01/02/23AReal Madrid68-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/23HAnadolu Efes94-75
05/03/23ACibona81-85
02/03/23ABayern80-87
24/02/23HAlba Berlin72-87
18/02/23HMega Basket96-79
17/02/23APartizan83-75
16/02/23HBorac Mozzart89-64
12/02/23AZadar95-76
09/02/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv89-86
05/02/23HIgokea104-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL30%
HomeLWWLL46%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %30%46%14%
Points / game79.184.574.1
Allowed / game83.382.184.4
Point differential-4.1+2.5-10.3
Avg total162.4166.6158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%31%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won27% (11)29% (7)25% (4)
Overtime %15%23%7%
Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW44%
HomeLWLLW54%
AwayLLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %44%54%36%
Points / game76.377.675.1
Allowed / game78.676.181.0
Point differential-2.3+1.5-5.9
Avg total155.0153.7156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%15%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)43% (7)83% (6)
Overtime %7%8%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2820871%85.075.8+9.2
2 Real Madrid2719870%84.477.7+6.7
3 Barcelona28181064%80.677.3+3.3
4 Fenerbahce27171063%84.680.6+4.1
5 Monaco27171063%83.381.6+1.7
6 Baskonia27151256%86.383.1+3.2
7 Partizan28151354%84.182.4+1.6
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv28151354%82.182.0+0.1
9 Zalgiris Kaunas28151354%75.577.6-2.1
10 Anadolu Efes27131448%81.880.5+1.3
11 Virtus Bologna28131546%78.681.3-2.6
12 Valencia28131546%83.085.7-2.7
13 Crvena zvezda27121544%76.378.6-2.3
14 Olimpia Milano27121544%73.076.3-3.3
15 Bayern28111739%76.979.7-2.9
16 Panathinaikos2781930%79.183.3-4.1
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2882029%74.780.4-5.7
18 Alba Berlin2872125%79.885.0-5.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos920232375
Crvena zvezda1725131166
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