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Panathinaikos vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 82-65
20-17 18-14 23-19 21-15
Position#2
Record9-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game80.4
vs
Position#16
Record6-10
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game80.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 17· O.A.C.A. Olympic Indoor Hall
European cup2023
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Crvena zvezda
16 Dec 2026
PAO v CZV
upcoming
20 Mar 2026
PAO82
CZV74
11 Apr 2025
PAO111
CZV104
28 Dec 2023
PAO82
CZV65
10 Mar 2023
PAO75
CZV66
25 Feb 2022
PAO79
CZV73
19 Mar 2021
PAO82
CZV86
20 Mar 2018
PAO91
CZV71
28 Oct 2016
PAO70
CZV59
14 Jan 2016
PAO63
CZV74
13 Feb 2015
PAO74
CZV69
06 Dec 2013
PAO69
CZV63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
81-78
81
78
+3
80avg 75
A26/11
Basket League
Partizan
#11
L
87-92 OT
87
92
-5
78avg 75
A30/11
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#12
W
77-53
77
53
+24
77avg 75
H02/12
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
68-71
68
71
-3
64avg 75
A05/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
78-90
78
90
-12
62avg 75
H07/12
Euroleague
PAOK
#10
W
97-85
97
85
+12
101avg 75
H10/12
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
89-81
89
81
+8
84avg 75
A14/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
W
91-90
91
90
+1
79avg 75
A20/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
76-68
76
68
+8
74avg 75
A22/12
Euroleague
Promitheas
#7
W
69-54
69
54
+15
no box
A24/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
17-8
17-23
20-27
21-20
17-19
18-15
22-24
29-14
18-14
17-13
13-12
15-23
16-14
21-13
16-21
23-24
22-22
10-26
23-18
17-22
28-23
29-17
23-23
24-21
21-15
19-24
25-21
22-19
17-28
17-20
35-23
22-24
19-17
18-15
17-12
18-15
16-16
20-13
15-10
157.5Avg total
81.3Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)82.180.4162.5+1.856%
Season at home (8)82.979.5162.4+3.462%
Season away (8)81.481.2162.6+0.150%
Last 10 (10)81.376.2157.5+5.170%
Last 5 (5)84.475.6160.0+8.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.069.0112.0-26.00%
vs Similar (6)75.780.8156.5-5.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)84.573.1157.6+11.486%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
97-83
97
83
+14
94avg 81
H01/12
Euroleague
Cibona
#12
W
84-56
84
56
+28
81avg 81
H03/12
ABA League
Valencia
#14
L
81-85
81
85
-4
85avg 81
A06/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
L
85-87
85
87
-2
79avg 81
A08/12
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#4
W
98-88
98
88
+10
94avg 81
A11/12
ABA League
Alba Berlin
#18
W
85-71
85
71
+14
77avg 81
H14/12
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#9
W
91-77
91
77
+14
87avg 81
A17/12
ABA League
Real Madrid
#1
L
58-72
58
72
-14
49avg 81
H19/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
98-92
98
92
+6
93avg 81
A21/12
Euroleague
Split
#8
W
89-67
89
67
+22
88avg 81
H24/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
21-28
29-21
25-13
21-16
25-13
15-14
23-13
19-25
21-31
25-16
16-13
18-26
25-26
19-15
23-20
22-27
26-13
20-30
30-18
25-22
26-20
20-11
14-18
21-21
25-20
17-24
28-12
20-20
14-25
11-16
13-11
20-20
31-22
28-23
19-27
21-16
26-18
24-17
18-16
164.4Avg total
86.6Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)81.880.5162.3+1.338%
Season at home (8)80.274.8155.0+5.562%
Season away (8)83.486.2169.6-2.912%
Last 10 (10)86.677.8164.4+8.870%
Last 5 (5)84.275.8160.0+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)76.072.0148.0+4.033%
vs Similar (13)82.686.3168.9-3.723%
vs Weaker (14)89.571.9161.4+17.6100%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +4.8+4.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +4.8+4.8
PanathinaikosCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A26/11
Basket League
Partizan
#11
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A30/11
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#12
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H02/12
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A05/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H07/12
Euroleague
PAOK
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H10/12
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A14/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A20/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A22/12
Euroleague
Promitheas
#7
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A24/12
Basket League
78.7Avg total
40.9Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.537.877.2+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.937.981.8+5.967%-
Last 30 away (15)35.137.672.7-2.533%-
Last 10 (10)40.937.878.7+3.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.840.080.8+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)18.542.561.0-24.00%-
vs Similar (6)36.041.377.3-5.317%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)42.336.478.7+6.064%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H01/12
Euroleague
Cibona
#12
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H03/12
ABA League
Valencia
#14
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A06/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A08/12
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A11/12
ABA League
Alba Berlin
#18
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H14/12
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#9
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A17/12
ABA League
Real Madrid
#1
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H19/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A21/12
Euroleague
Split
#8
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H24/12
ABA League
87.9Avg total
44.9Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.239.582.8+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.336.481.7+8.977%-
Last 30 away (17)41.641.983.6-0.353%-
Last 10 (10)44.943.087.9+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)45.840.886.6+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)41.038.779.7+2.333%-
vs Similar (13)39.944.584.5-4.631%-
vs Weaker (14)46.835.181.9+11.7100%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.8
55.0%
53.4%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.0
34.9%
36.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.814.3
72.2%
77.4%14.3
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.220.0
58.5%
53.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.5
37.2%
36.6%31.5
🏀 Free throws18.014.5
80.6%
77.4%14.5
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WWWWWLLWLW
Crvena zvezda
WWLWWWLLWW
#2
League position
#16
+5.4
Net rating
+12.6
109.9
Offensive rating
117.7
104.6
Defensive rating
105.1
54.0%
Effective FG%
57.3%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
17.5%
Turnover %
18.4%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
35.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.9%
3-point %
37.2%
64.2%
Assist %
68.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 117.7Defence104.6 · 105.1Shooting54.0% · 57.3%3-point %34.9% · 37.2%Ball care17.5% · 18.4%Off. rebounds28.7% · 35.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Panathinaikos wins
4
Crvena zvezda wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/23APromitheas69-54
22/12/23AOlimpia Milano76-68
20/12/23AMonaco91-90
14/12/23ALyon-Villeurbanne89-81
10/12/23HPAOK97-85
07/12/23HReal Madrid78-90
05/12/23AAnadolu Efes68-71
02/12/23HAS Karditsas77-53
30/11/23APartizan87-92 OT
26/11/23AKolossos Rhodes81-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/23HSplit89-67
21/12/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv98-92
19/12/23HReal Madrid58-72
17/12/23AStudentski Centar91-77
14/12/23HAlba Berlin85-71
11/12/23AMega Basket98-88
08/12/23ABaskonia85-87
06/12/23AValencia81-85
03/12/23HCibona84-56
01/12/23HAnadolu Efes97-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW56%
HomeWWWWL62%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %56%62%50%
Points / game82.182.981.4
Allowed / game80.479.581.2
Point differential+1.8+3.4+0.1
Avg total162.5162.4162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%38%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %19%25%12%
Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW38%
HomeWLWWL62%
AwayLLLLW12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %38%62%12%
Points / game81.880.283.4
Allowed / game80.574.886.2
Point differential+1.3+5.5-2.9
Avg total162.3155.0169.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (6)-0% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1716194%87.574.5+12.9
2 Virtus Bologna1712571%82.480.4+2.1
3 Barcelona1611569%83.278.3+4.9
4 Fenerbahce1710759%82.181.2+0.9
5 Maccabi Tel Aviv1710759%86.586.7-0.2
6 Panathinaikos169756%82.180.4+1.8
7 Monaco169756%80.779.8+0.9
8 Valencia169756%74.173.8+0.2
9 Baskonia169756%83.183.1+0.0
10 Partizan179853%85.284.2+1.0
11 Olympiacos168850%76.474.4+2.0
12 Bayern167944%79.281.3-2.1
13 Anadolu Efes1771041%81.287.1-5.8
14 Olimpia Milano1661038%79.277.8+1.4
15 Crvena zvezda1661038%81.880.5+1.3
16 Zalgiris Kaunas1751229%78.581.2-2.6
17 Alba Berlin1631319%76.585.8-9.2
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne1721512%78.487.8-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos2018232182
Crvena zvezda1714191565
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