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Panathinaikos vs Fenerbahce Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 69-81
12-18 21-17 19-21 17-25
Position#7
Record5-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Position#2
Record9-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game76.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 11
European cup2018
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Fenerbahce
08 Oct 2026
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13 Feb 2026
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04 Feb 2025
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FEN90
24 May 2024
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09 Feb 2024
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10 Jan 2023
PAO88
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07 Oct 2021
PAO91
FEN87
22 Oct 2020
PAO82
FEN68
07 Dec 2018
PAO69
FEN81
27 Oct 2017
PAO70
FEN68
20 Apr 2017
PAO75
FEN80
18 Apr 2017
PAO58
FEN71
16 Dec 2016
PAO81
FEN70
25 Feb 2016
PAO76
FEN71
30 Oct 2014
PAO91
FEN73
20 Mar 2014
PAO76
FEN67
07 Dec 2012
PAO69
FEN55
09 Feb 2012
PAO72
FEN62
24 Sep 2011
PAO85
FEN88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rethymno
#10
W
88-64
88
64
+24
H29/10
Basket League
Buducnost
#15
W
72-67
72
67
+5
A02/11
Euroleague
Promitheas
#10
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A05/11
Greek Cup
Olympiacos
#6
W
93-80
93
80
+13
H09/11
Euroleague
Panionios
#12
W
88-67
88
67
+21
A12/11
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
62-78
62
78
-16
A16/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H18/11
Basket League
Barcelona
#5
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H21/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
77-86
77
86
-9
A23/11
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#13
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A30/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
25-14
21-20
21-16
18-15
13-16
19-16
22-20
29-24
17-15
15-11
15-18
21-23
20-25
26-14
26-18
28-20
20-17
18-14
22-16
11-19
17-25
18-16
16-18
15-14
17-15
23-22
24-19
13-10
21-15
21-25
21-20
12-20
20-24
23-29
22-13
25-29
19-19
7-11
17-17
150.5Avg total
77.9Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.179.5159.6+0.650%
Season at home (5)88.681.6170.2+7.080%
Season away (5)71.677.4149.0-5.820%
Last 10 (10)77.972.6150.5+5.370%
Last 5 (5)72.476.0148.4-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)62.078.0140.0-16.00%
vs Similar (7)80.780.4161.1+0.343%
vs Weaker (22)87.870.1157.9+17.791%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#12
W
88-84
88
84
+4
H01/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
86-79 OT
86
79
+7
H05/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#8
W
74-72
74
72
+2
A09/11
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#10
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A11/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#6
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A15/11
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#16
W
100-79
100
79
+21
H20/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A22/11
Euroleague
Tofas
#4
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A25/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#5
W
84-65
84
65
+19
A30/11
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#11
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H04/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-26
23-22
14-17
23-19
26-23
18-17
13-13
15-19
18-20
15-13
15-22
26-17
13-20
26-23
24-18
21-16
21-18
18-21
11-14
23-19
25-10
21-27
22-19
32-23
13-16
23-25
19-12
19-17
26-19
15-14
17-20
16-16
23-17
22-19
19-11
20-18
18-28
19-14
18-13
25-17
155.6Avg total
81.7Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)84.876.3161.1+8.590%
Season at home (4)94.580.0174.5+14.5100%
Season away (6)78.373.8152.2+4.583%
Last 10 (10)81.773.9155.6+7.8100%
Last 5 (5)82.471.0153.4+11.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)83.084.3167.3-1.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)85.373.1158.4+12.296%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +3.9+3.9
PanathinaikosFenerbahce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rethymno
#10
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H29/10
Basket League
Buducnost
#15
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A02/11
Euroleague
Promitheas
#10
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A05/11
Greek Cup
Olympiacos
#6
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H09/11
Euroleague
Panionios
#12
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A12/11
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A16/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H18/11
Basket League
Barcelona
#5
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H21/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A23/11
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#13
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A30/11
Euroleague
75.5Avg total
38.2Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.536.278.7+6.363%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.333.176.4+10.275%-
Last 30 away (14)41.639.681.2+1.950%-
Last 10 (10)38.237.375.5+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)34.038.072.0-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)28.044.072.0-16.00%-
vs Similar (7)38.742.080.7-3.343%-
vs Weaker (22)44.434.078.3+10.473%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#12
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H01/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H05/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#8
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A09/11
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#10
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A11/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A15/11
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#16
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H20/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A22/11
Euroleague
Tofas
#4
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A25/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#5
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A30/11
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#11
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H04/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
80.3Avg total
41.1Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.236.578.7+5.773%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.136.379.4+6.893%-
Last 30 away (16)41.436.678.1+4.856%-
Last 10 (10)41.139.280.3+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)41.037.878.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)45.338.784.0+6.7100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)42.336.578.8+5.869%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.421.9
52.9%
52.7%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.76.9
31.8%
37.0%20.7
🏀 Free throws19.614.5
74.0%
76.7%14.5
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.121.6
58.2%
52.7%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.78.7
44.2%
37.0%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.314.3
82.7%
76.7%14.3
They take 56.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
LLWWLWWWWW
Fenerbahce
WWWWWWWWWW
#7
League position
#2
+0.1
Net rating
+11.8
108.3
Offensive rating
122.2
108.2
Defensive rating
110.3
51.1%
Effective FG%
61.0%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
16.1%
Turnover %
15.8%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.8%
3-point %
44.2%
53.8%
Assist %
62.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 122.2Defence108.2 · 110.3Shooting51.1% · 61.0%3-point %31.8% · 44.2%Ball care16.1% · 15.8%Off. rebounds33.1% · 29.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 100%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Fenerbahce
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Panathinaikos wins
7
Fenerbahce wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/18AKhimki M.68-76
23/11/18ABaskonia77-86
21/11/18HBarcelona76-70
18/11/18HOlympiacos79-70
16/11/18AAnadolu Efes62-78
12/11/18APanionios88-67
09/11/18HOlympiacos93-80
05/11/18APromitheas76-68
02/11/18ABuducnost72-67
29/10/18HRethymno88-64
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/18HKarsiyaka80-72
30/11/18ABarcelona84-65
25/11/18ATofas74-69
22/11/18AMaccabi Tel Aviv74-70
20/11/18HDarussafaka100-79
15/11/18AOlympiacos73-72
11/11/18ABahcesehir Kol.84-77
09/11/18ABaskonia74-72
05/11/18HAnadolu Efes86-79 OT
01/11/18HBayern88-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%80%20%
Points / game80.188.671.6
Allowed / game79.581.677.4
Point differential+0.6+7.0-5.8
Avg total159.6170.2149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %90%100%83%
Points / game84.894.578.3
Allowed / game76.380.073.8
Point differential+8.5+14.5+4.5
Avg total161.1174.5152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce109190%84.876.3+8.5
2 CSKA Moscow109190%90.583.4+7.1
3 Real Madrid119282%89.679.1+10.5
4 Anadolu Efes118373%86.981.6+5.3
5 Olympiacos116555%79.978.0+1.9
6 Olimpia Milano116555%86.285.1+1.1
7 Barcelona116555%78.377.8+0.5
8 Panathinaikos105550%80.179.5+0.6
9 Zalgiris Kaunas115645%83.382.3+1.0
10 Bayern115645%79.580.0-0.5
11 Khimki M.114736%78.779.6-0.9
12 Gran Canaria114736%82.089.5-7.5
13 Baskonia103730%81.683.3-1.7
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv113827%76.880.5-3.6
15 Buducnost113827%71.180.1-9.0
16 Darussafaka111109%76.187.9-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos1221191769
Fenerbahce1817212581
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