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Tofas vs Fenerbahce Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 69-74
19-26 14-15 20-17 16-16
Position#4
Record6-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game74.9
vs
Position#2
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game70.8
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 8
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Tofas v Fenerbahce
05 Mar 2027
TOF v FEN
upcoming
27 Sep 2025
TOF80
FEN78
13 Apr 2025
TOF88
FEN89
05 Nov 2023
TOF86
FEN95
31 May 2023
TOF87
FEN98
26 Mar 2023
TOF94
FEN89
16 Apr 2022
TOF78
FEN82
15 Feb 2022
TOF88
FEN93
31 Oct 2020
TOF103
FEN104
17 Nov 2019
TOF76
FEN82
25 Nov 2018
TOF69
FEN74
11 Jun 2018
TOF77
FEN95
09 Jun 2018
TOF91
FEN88
17 Dec 2017
TOF71
FEN88
26 May 2017
TOF73
FEN79
04 Dec 2016
TOF81
FEN72
03 Oct 2014
TOF76
FEN79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Afyon Belediye
#13
L
85-96
85
96
-11
A20/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Limoges
#17
L
81-89
81
89
-8
A23/10
Eurocup
Galatasaray
#3
W
97-82
97
82
+15
H27/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cedevita
#18
W
94-89
94
89
+5
H31/10
Eurocup
Darussafaka
#9
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A04/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Alba Berlin
#4
L
101-106 OT
101
106
-5
H07/11
Eurocup
Banvit
#8
W
88-83
88
83
+5
H10/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gdynia
#23
W
87-77
87
77
+10
A13/11
Eurocup
Sakarya BB
#15
W
73-69
73
69
+4
A17/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
99-105 OT
99
105
-6
H21/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
28-26
9-25
26-17
21-17
16-31
23-19
21-22
26-27
22-21
26-20
23-14
20-25
30-28
24-14
20-22
24-16
14-22
25-17
19-23
17-24
15-28
32-16
28-24
20-20
21-24
20-17
27-22
28-32
28-15
12-15
19-15
17-20
21-25
25-9
10-15
16-18
25-26
30-24
19-22
176.1Avg total
88.7Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.974.9157.7+8.086%
Season at home (3)86.075.3161.3+10.7100%
Season away (4)80.574.5155.0+6.075%
Last 10 (10)88.787.4176.1+1.360%
Last 5 (5)89.688.0177.6+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)81.497.7179.1-16.310%
vs Similar (9)87.381.1168.4+6.278%
vs Weaker (11)86.572.9159.4+13.591%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#12
W
98-69
98
69
+29
A21/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
83-89
83
89
-6
A25/10
Euroleague
Gaziantep
#5
W
67-55
67
55
+12
A27/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#12
W
88-84
88
84
+4
H01/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
86-79 OT
86
79
+7
H05/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#8
W
74-72
74
72
+2
A09/11
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#10
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A11/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#6
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A15/11
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#16
W
100-79
100
79
+21
H20/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A22/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
31-14
20-17
26-18
26-12
26-26
13-28
18-23
16-8
20-15
12-18
19-14
28-26
23-22
14-17
23-19
26-23
18-17
13-13
15-19
18-20
15-13
15-22
26-17
13-20
26-23
24-18
21-16
21-18
18-21
11-14
23-19
25-10
21-27
22-19
32-23
13-16
23-25
19-12
19-17
157.3Avg total
82.7Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.270.8153.0+11.3100%
Season at home (2)82.076.0158.0+6.0100%
Season away (4)82.268.2150.5+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.774.6157.3+8.190%
Last 5 (5)81.074.0155.0+7.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)81.280.0161.2+1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)86.473.9160.2+12.596%
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +3.7+3.7
TofasFenerbahce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Afyon Belediye
#13
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A20/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Limoges
#17
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A23/10
Eurocup
Galatasaray
#3
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H27/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cedevita
#18
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H31/10
Eurocup
Darussafaka
#9
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A04/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Alba Berlin
#4
L
32-52
32
52
-20
H07/11
Eurocup
Banvit
#8
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H10/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gdynia
#23
W
56-47
56
47
+9
A13/11
Eurocup
Sakarya BB
#15
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A17/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H21/11
Eurocup
90.4Avg total
43.1Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.142.684.7-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.543.287.7+1.454%-
Last 30 away (17)40.342.282.5-1.929%-
Last 10 (10)43.147.390.4-4.210%-
Last 5 (5)41.646.488.0-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.647.085.6-8.410%-
vs Similar (9)43.044.187.1-1.133%-
vs Weaker (11)44.637.482.0+7.373%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#12
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A21/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A25/10
Euroleague
Gaziantep
#5
W
36-23
36
23
+13
A27/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#12
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H01/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H05/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#8
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A09/11
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#10
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A11/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A15/11
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#16
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H20/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A22/11
Euroleague
80.4Avg total
42.8Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.736.679.3+6.177%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.635.979.5+7.7100%-
Last 30 away (15)41.937.379.1+4.653%-
Last 10 (10)42.837.680.4+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)38.638.677.2+0.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)43.837.281.0+6.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)43.136.879.9+6.272%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.3 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.522.2
53.4%
54.1%44.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.59.5
44.2%
35.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.212.7
73.8%
75.9%12.7
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.821.2
57.6%
54.1%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.88.5
42.9%
35.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.315.3
83.6%
75.9%15.3
They take 56.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/10 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
LWWWLWWWLL
Fenerbahce
WWWWWWWWLW
#4
League position
#2
-4.2
Net rating
+8.3
112.3
Offensive rating
121.2
116.5
Defensive rating
112.9
57.8%
Effective FG%
60.0%
61.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
15.0%
Turnover %
15.9%
19.6%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
44.2%
3-point %
42.9%
66.3%
Assist %
64.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 121.2Defence116.5 · 112.9Shooting57.8% · 60.0%3-point %44.2% · 42.9%Ball care15.0% · 15.9%Off. rebounds19.6% · 29.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Tofas   ■ Fenerbahce
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tofas wins
9
Fenerbahce wins
DateGameScore
13/06/18Fenerbahce v Tofas94-64
11/06/18Tofas v Fenerbahce77-95
09/06/18Tofas v Fenerbahce91-88
07/06/18Fenerbahce v Tofas86-78
05/06/18Fenerbahce v Tofas103-63
02/05/18Fenerbahce v Tofas98-78
17/12/17Tofas v Fenerbahce71-88
26/05/17Tofas v Fenerbahce73-79
24/05/17Fenerbahce v Tofas92-76
02/04/17Fenerbahce v Tofas90-75
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/18HLokomotiv Kuban99-105 OT
17/11/18ASakarya BB73-69
13/11/18AGdynia87-77
10/11/18HBanvit88-83
07/11/18HAlba Berlin101-106 OT
04/11/18ADarussafaka82-78
31/10/18HCedevita94-89
27/10/18HGalatasaray97-82
23/10/18ALimoges81-89
20/10/18AAfyon Belediye85-96
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/18AMaccabi Tel Aviv74-70
20/11/18HDarussafaka100-79
15/11/18AOlympiacos73-72
11/11/18ABahcesehir Kol.84-77
09/11/18ABaskonia74-72
05/11/18HAnadolu Efes86-79 OT
01/11/18HBayern88-84
27/10/18AGaziantep67-55
25/10/18AAnadolu Efes83-89
21/10/18ABuyukcekmece98-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW86%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game82.986.080.5
Allowed / game74.975.374.5
Point differential+8.0+10.7+6.0
Avg total157.7161.3155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fenerbahce
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2018-19
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.282.082.2
Allowed / game70.876.068.2
Point differential+11.3+6.0+14.0
Avg total153.0158.0150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %17%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce660100%82.270.8+11.3
2 Tofas76186%82.974.9+8.0
3 Anadolu Efes86275%83.074.8+8.2
4 Turk Telekom74357%74.774.4+0.3
5 Karsiyaka84450%78.276.1+2.1
6 Bahcesehir Kol.84450%81.981.4+0.5
7 Besiktas84450%71.871.6+0.1
8 Gaziantep84450%68.170.0-1.9
9 Galatasaray73443%80.081.1-1.1
10 Sakarya BB73443%74.978.1-3.3
11 Buyukcekmece83538%75.181.6-6.5
12 Darussafaka62433%77.776.2+1.5
13 Afyon Belediye62433%82.885.5-2.7
14 Istanbul BB72529%73.180.6-7.4
15 Banvit71614%72.380.4-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas1914201669
Fenerbahce2615171674
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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