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Panathinaikos vs Iraklis Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 97-82
27-26 24-26 24-15 22-15
Position#2
Record8-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game91.1
Allowed / game72.6
vs
Position#8
Record4-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game83.1
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 11· Telekom Center Athens
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Iraklis
13 Dec 2026
PAO v IRA
upcoming
20 Dec 2025
PAO97
IRA82
14 Feb 2022
PAO70
IRA58
27 Dec 2020
PAO106
IRA74
25 Nov 2019
PAO130
IRA81
09 Mar 2011
PAO101
IRA68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Iraklis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Aris
#5
W
82-77
82
77
+5
74avg 86
H16/11
Basket League
Dubai
#11
W
103-82
103
82
+21
106avg 86
H20/11
Euroleague
Mykonos
#7
W
78-65
78
65
+13
75avg 86
A22/11
Basket League
Partizan
#15
W
91-69
91
69
+22
96avg 86
H25/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
79-89
79
89
-10
74avg 86
H05/12
Euroleague
Panionios
#13
W
110-66
110
66
+44
115avg 86
H07/12
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
89-96
89
96
-7
83avg 86
A11/12
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#4
W
101-63
101
63
+38
107avg 86
A13/12
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#4
W
81-77
81
77
+4
70avg 86
A16/12
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
93-82
93
82
+11
82avg 86
H18/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
18-36
20-12
21-14
25-24
20-24
30-14
28-20
16-19
23-20
19-12
20-14
27-31
21-13
25-6
18-19
22-19
22-19
17-27
18-24
30-21
23-13
34-12
23-20
26-21
18-33
15-26
30-16
33-14
32-14
18-22
18-13
17-16
24-21
9-20
31-20
22-17
23-29
20-16
28-20
167.3Avg total
90.7Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)91.172.6163.7+18.689%
Season at home (4)94.074.0168.0+20.0100%
Season away (5)88.871.4160.2+17.480%
Last 10 (10)90.776.6167.3+14.180%
Last 5 (5)94.876.8171.6+18.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)86.090.0176.0-4.00%
vs Similar (14)85.987.3173.2-1.443%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)90.575.9166.4+14.793%
This opponent (Iraklis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IraklisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIraklis
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#11
W
78-69
78
69
+9
63avg 76
A29/10
ENBL
Olympiacos
#1
L
87-103
87
103
-16
76avg 76
A02/11
Basket League
Newcastle Eagles
#18
W
85-71
85
71
+14
80avg 76
H05/11
ENBL
Spartak Pleven
#20
W
72-69
72
69
+3
69avg 76
H12/11
ENBL
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
86-71
86
71
+15
85avg 76
H16/11
Basket League
Maroussi
#12
W
92-87
92
87
+5
91avg 76
A23/11
Basket League
Newcastle Eagles
#18
W
108-80
108
80
+28
114avg 76
A03/12
ENBL
AS Karditsas
#11
W
87-80
87
80
+7
83avg 76
A06/12
Basket League
Aris
#5
L
80-82
80
82
-2
71avg 76
H13/12
Basket League
Dubrava
#13
L
67-72
67
72
-5
53avg 76
A17/12
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
12-20
24-20
15-12
23-22
17-28
27-26
20-27
23-18
20-24
18-13
24-16
19-11
18-21
17-15
18-22
19-23
27-21
27-14
13-13
23-20
20-26
25-17
24-24
30-10
25-25
30-22
23-23
18-22
19-11
25-14
25-33
16-21
21-18
18-17
25-26
16-11
21-19
18-14
12-28
162.6Avg total
84.2Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.083.1165.1-1.144%
Season at home (5)78.078.8156.8-0.840%
Season away (4)87.088.5175.5-1.550%
Last 10 (10)84.278.4162.6+5.870%
Last 5 (5)86.880.2167.0+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)79.584.0163.5-4.517%
vs Similar (8)80.172.9153.0+7.275%
vs Weaker (16)74.467.6141.9+6.875%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: -2.5-2.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: -2.5-2.5
PanathinaikosIraklis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#5
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H16/11
Basket League
Dubai
#11
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H20/11
Euroleague
Mykonos
#7
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A22/11
Basket League
Partizan
#15
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H25/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H05/12
Euroleague
Panionios
#13
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H07/12
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A11/12
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#4
W
65-28
65
28
+37
A13/12
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A16/12
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H18/12
Euroleague
88.4Avg total
46.5Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.141.886.9+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.642.188.7+4.664%-
Last 30 away (16)43.841.685.4+2.156%-
Last 10 (10)46.541.988.4+4.650%-
Last 5 (5)49.639.889.4+9.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.043.091.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (14)42.643.786.4-1.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)47.240.087.2+7.273%-
This opponent (Iraklis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IraklisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#11
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A29/10
ENBL
Olympiacos
#1
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A02/11
Basket League
Newcastle Eagles
#18
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H05/11
ENBL
Spartak Pleven
#20
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H12/11
ENBL
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H16/11
Basket League
Maroussi
#12
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A23/11
Basket League
Newcastle Eagles
#18
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A03/12
ENBL
AS Karditsas
#11
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A06/12
Basket League
Aris
#5
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H13/12
Basket League
Dubrava
#13
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A17/12
ENBL
80.2Avg total
41.4Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.035.974.9+3.170%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.336.273.5+1.160%-
Last 30 away (15)40.735.676.3+5.180%-
Last 10 (10)41.438.880.2+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)41.836.678.4+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)37.743.381.0-5.717%-
vs Similar (8)39.037.276.2+1.862%-
vs Weaker (16)39.532.471.9+7.194%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 90.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.522.7
57.5%
54.1%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.6
36.1%
34.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.715.9
80.7%
74.4%15.9
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Iraklistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iraklis: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.2
52.7%
54.1%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.1
35.4%
34.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.715.7
72.4%
74.4%15.7
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WWWLWLWWWW
Iraklis
LLWWWWWWLW
#2
League position
#8
+19.7
Net rating
+7.4
122.3
Offensive rating
109.9
102.6
Defensive rating
102.5
56.1%
Effective FG%
52.9%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
15.1%
Turnover %
17.7%
35.3%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.1%
3-point %
35.4%
67.5%
Assist %
61.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence122.3 · 109.9Defence102.6 · 102.5Shooting56.1% · 52.9%3-point %36.1% · 35.4%Ball care15.1% · 17.7%Off. rebounds35.3% · 31.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Iraklis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Panathinaikos wins
0
Iraklis wins
DateGameScore
14/05/22Iraklis v Panathinaikos59-81
14/02/22Panathinaikos v Iraklis70-58
20/04/21Iraklis v Panathinaikos66-100
27/12/20Panathinaikos v Iraklis106-74
25/11/19Panathinaikos v Iraklis130-81
09/03/11Panathinaikos v Iraklis101-68
04/12/10Iraklis v Panathinaikos44-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv93-82
16/12/25AFenerbahce81-77
13/12/25AAEK Athens101-63
11/12/25AOlimpia Milano89-96
07/12/25HPanionios110-66
05/12/25HValencia79-89
25/11/25HPartizan91-69
22/11/25AMykonos78-65
20/11/25HDubai103-82
16/11/25HAris82-77
Iraklislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/25ADubrava67-72
13/12/25HAris80-82
06/12/25AAS Karditsas87-80
03/12/25ANewcastle Eagles108-80
23/11/25AMaroussi92-87
16/11/25HKolossos Rhodes86-71
12/11/25HSpartak Pleven72-69
05/11/25HNewcastle Eagles85-71
02/11/25AOlympiacos87-103
29/10/25ARigas Zelli78-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %89%100%80%
Points / game91.194.088.8
Allowed / game72.674.071.4
Point differential+18.6+20.0+17.4
Avg total163.7168.0160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%75%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Iraklis
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL44%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%40%50%
Points / game82.078.087.0
Allowed / game83.178.888.5
Point differential-1.1-0.8-1.5
Avg total165.1156.8175.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos10100100%95.276.7+18.5
2 Panathinaikos98189%91.172.6+18.6
3 PAOK108280%85.180.7+4.4
4 AEK Athens106460%81.779.7+2.0
5 Peristeri95456%77.381.0-3.7
6 Promitheas105550%84.384.9-0.6
7 Aris94544%82.380.7+1.7
8 Iraklis94544%82.083.1-1.1
9 Mykonos104640%75.180.6-5.5
10 AS Karditsas93633%78.984.8-5.9
11 Maroussi92722%86.491.7-5.2
12 Kolossos Rhodes92722%74.481.1-6.7
13 Panionios111109%78.493.5-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos2724242297
Iraklis2626151582
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