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PAOK vs Iraklis Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 06 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record5-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game71.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
2.8/10
🧊 Cold
3.9/10
Below normal
Position#10
Record1-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game75.8
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 20· P.A.O.K. Sports Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · PAOK v Iraklis
06 Mar 2027
PAK v IRA
upcoming
11 Oct 2025
PAK84
IRA82
16 Oct 2021
PAK72
IRA69
23 Jan 2021
PAK79
IRA72
15 Apr 2020
PAK v IRA
upcoming
31 Oct 2010
PAK78
IRA59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Iraklis win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Mykonos
#12
W
88-85
88
85
+3
81avg 78
A03/10
Basket League
KK Bosna
#21
W
75-72
75
72
+3
67avg 78
A06/10
Eurocup
Lefkadas
#7
W
86-73
86
73
+13
77avg 78
H10/10
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#17
L
86-95
86
95
-9
76avg 78
A13/10
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
88-84
88
84
+4
88avg 78
A17/10
Basket League
Ulm
#14
W
87-78
87
78
+9
78avg 78
H21/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#9
W
65-62
65
62
+3
53avg 78
H24/10
Basket League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
81-84
81
84
-3
77avg 78
A27/10
Eurocup
Iraklis
#10
W
63-53
63
53
+10
58avg 78
A31/10
Basket League
BC Roma
#24
W
113-111
113
111
+2
no box
H03/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
18-20
28-21
28-27
22-18
18-17
19-26
16-11
22-18
20-13
22-23
22-19
22-23
18-27
24-24
22-21
19-21
28-26
15-19
26-18
19-20
27-22
13-13
28-23
20-15
5-14
22-15
18-18
23-26
17-26
18-11
23-21
19-17
15-14
13-11
16-11
29-22
32-38
31-26
21-25
162.9Avg total
83.2Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.071.4149.4+6.6100%
Season at home (2)75.567.5143.0+8.0100%
Season away (3)79.774.0153.7+5.7100%
Last 10 (10)83.279.7162.9+3.580%
Last 5 (5)81.877.6159.4+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)83.490.5173.9-7.125%
vs Similar (9)84.279.1163.3+5.167%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)87.279.9167.2+7.392%
This opponent (Iraklis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IraklisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIraklis
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
68-78
68
78
-10
34avg 70
H04/10
Basket League
MZT Skopje
#46
W
64-59
64
59
+5
61avg 70
A06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Peristeri
#6
L
89-91 OT
89
91
-2
82avg 70
A10/10
Basket League
Wurzburg
#13
W
90-73
90
73
+17
95avg 70
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
AS Karditsas
#5
W
71-53
71
53
+18
67avg 70
H17/10
Basket League
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
85-86
85
86
-1
77avg 70
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lefkadas
#7
L
86-94 OT
86
94
-8
80avg 70
A24/10
Basket League
Tartu Ulikool
#36
L
100-101 OT
100
101
-1
88avg 70
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
PAOK
#2
L
53-63
53
63
-10
40avg 70
H31/10
Basket League
AEK Larnaca
#24
W
81-64
81
64
+17
no box
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
11-31
14-18
18-14
26-21
14-18
15-12
9-8
21-19
31-16
18-24
9-20
22-20
17-17
27-12
24-24
12-10
11-19
29-17
19-7
20-19
14-22
21-19
30-26
18-19
23-22
26-18
11-19
22-24
25-19
22-28
20-18
17-19
14-15
11-13
11-16
21-23
27-11
14-11
19-19
154.9Avg total
78.7Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)73.475.8149.2-2.420%
Season at home (3)64.064.7128.7-0.733%
Season away (2)87.592.5180.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)78.776.2154.9+2.540%
Last 5 (5)81.081.6162.6-0.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)71.780.6152.3-8.914%
vs Similar (16)81.482.2163.7-0.838%
vs Weaker (7)91.677.1168.7+14.471%
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -0.1-0.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -0.1-0.1
PAOKIraklis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mykonos
#12
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A03/10
Basket League
KK Bosna
#21
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A06/10
Eurocup
Lefkadas
#7
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H10/10
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#17
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A13/10
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A17/10
Basket League
Ulm
#14
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H21/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#9
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H24/10
Basket League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A27/10
Eurocup
Iraklis
#10
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A31/10
Basket League
BC Roma
#24
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H03/11
Eurocup
82.1Avg total
40.7Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.241.083.2+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.440.786.1+4.769%-
Last 30 away (14)38.641.480.0-2.936%-
Last 10 (10)40.741.482.1-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.242.884.0-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.043.884.8-2.838%-
vs Similar (9)41.739.381.0+2.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.340.583.8+2.854%-
This opponent (Iraklis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IraklisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H04/10
Basket League
MZT Skopje
#46
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Peristeri
#6
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A10/10
Basket League
Wurzburg
#13
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
AS Karditsas
#5
L
23-29
23
29
-6
H17/10
Basket League
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lefkadas
#7
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A24/10
Basket League
Tartu Ulikool
#36
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
PAOK
#2
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H31/10
Basket League
AEK Larnaca
#24
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
77.0Avg total
39.1Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.940.281.1+0.643%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.237.176.3+2.241%-
Last 30 away (13)43.044.487.4-1.446%-
Last 10 (10)39.137.977.0+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.678.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)37.943.080.9-5.129%-
vs Similar (16)39.340.279.6-0.925%-
vs Weaker (7)47.437.484.9+10.0100%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.818.5
58.2%
50.6%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.5
31.7%
34.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws24.918.5
74.3%
71.2%18.5
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Iraklistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iraklis: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.5
53.1%
50.6%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.8
30.7%
34.1%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.814.5
66.5%
71.2%14.5
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
PAOK
WWLWWWLWWW
Iraklis
WLLLLWWLWL
#2
League position
#10
+5.7
Net rating
-2.2
100.7
Offensive rating
88.3
94.9
Defensive rating
90.5
53.3%
Effective FG%
50.2%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
15.8%
Turnover %
17.5%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.35
31.7%
3-point %
30.7%
55.6%
Assist %
59.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.7 · 88.3Defence94.9 · 90.5Shooting53.3% · 50.2%3-point %31.7% · 30.7%Ball care15.8% · 17.5%Free throws0.42 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ PAOK   ■ Iraklis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
PAOK wins
2
Iraklis wins
DateGameScore
31/10/26Iraklis v PAOK53-63
18/04/26Iraklis v PAOK72-76
11/10/25PAOK v Iraklis84-82
05/03/22Iraklis v PAOK73-84
16/10/21PAOK v Iraklis72-69
10/02/21Iraklis v PAOK61-63
23/01/21PAOK v Iraklis79-72
24/10/20Iraklis v PAOK75-57
28/12/19Iraklis v PAOK99-82
30/01/11Iraklis v PAOK67-86
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26HBC Roma113-111
31/10/26AIraklis63-53
27/10/26ABahcesehir Kol.81-84
24/10/26HAEK Athens65-62
21/10/26HUlm87-78
17/10/26AKolossos Rhodes88-84
13/10/26ALietkabelis86-95
10/10/26HLefkadas86-73
06/10/26AKK Bosna75-72
03/10/26AMykonos88-85
Iraklislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/26HAEK Larnaca81-64
31/10/26HPAOK53-63
28/10/26ATartu Ulikool100-101 OT
24/10/26ALefkadas86-94 OT
21/10/26HDziki Warszawa85-86
17/10/26HAS Karditsas71-53
14/10/26HWurzburg90-73
10/10/26APeristeri89-91 OT
06/10/26AMZT Skopje64-59
04/10/26HOlympiacos68-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAOK
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game78.075.579.7
Allowed / game71.467.574.0
Point differential+6.6+8.0+5.7
Avg total149.4143.0153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Iraklis
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game73.464.087.5
Allowed / game75.864.792.5
Point differential-2.4-0.7-5.0
Avg total149.2128.7180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %40%0%100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos550100%86.465.2+21.2
2 PAOK550100%78.071.4+6.6
3 Panathinaikos54180%90.274.6+15.6
4 Aris54180%83.870.4+13.4
5 AS Karditsas53260%71.471.2+0.2
6 Peristeri53260%81.088.8-7.8
7 Lefkadas52340%78.880.4-1.6
8 Kolossos Rhodes52340%80.682.6-2.0
9 AEK Athens52340%75.879.4-3.6
10 Iraklis51420%73.475.8-2.4
11 Maroussi51420%74.881.2-6.4
12 Mykonos51420%75.482.4-7.0
13 Vikos51420%76.286.2-10.0
14 Promitheas51420%69.685.8-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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