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PAOK vs Iraklis Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 84-82
25-13 16-25 23-22 20-22
Position#3
Record0-1
FormLWWLL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game93.0
PAOK 🏆
Greece
vs
Position#8
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game79.0
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 2· P.A.O.K. Sports Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · PAOK v Iraklis
06 Mar 2027
PAK v IRA
upcoming
11 Oct 2025
PAK84
IRA82
16 Oct 2021
PAK72
IRA69
23 Jan 2021
PAK79
IRA72
15 Apr 2020
PAK v IRA
upcoming
31 Oct 2010
PAK78
IRA59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Iraklis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#3
L
76-89
76
89
-13
66avg 74
A05/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
W
94-69
94
69
+25
94avg 74
H12/04
Basket League
Bilbao
#2
L
65-72
65
72
-7
53avg 74
A16/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#2
W
84-82
84
82
+2
79avg 74
H23/04
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Athens
#3
L
85-89 OT
85
89
-4
75avg 74
A27/04
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
L
76-90
76
90
-14
63avg 74
A03/05
Basket League
Panionios
#8
W
94-78
94
78
+16
89avg 74
H07/05
Basket League
Studentski Centar
#48
W
79-67
79
67
+12
74avg 74
H19/09
Champions League
Bursaspor
#35
L
73-92
73
92
-19
62avg 74
A21/09
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
83-93
83
93
-10
80avg 74
A05/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-14
18-29
16-27
28-19
27-17
14-16
30-18
23-18
12-22
19-16
19-14
15-20
24-24
15-25
24-12
21-21
9-21
16-19
26-18
27-20
17-36
23-11
18-17
18-26
22-23
23-20
28-14
21-21
19-15
26-16
18-14
16-22
9-30
17-24
20-20
27-18
10-20
21-31
27-21
25-21
163.0Avg total
80.9Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)83.093.0176.0-10.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)83.093.0176.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)80.982.1163.0-1.240%
Last 5 (5)81.084.0165.0-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)80.786.9167.6-6.127%
vs Similar (12)80.880.6161.4+0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)69.074.0143.0-5.00%
This opponent (Iraklis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IraklisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIraklis
Date
Competition
Panerythraikos
#6
L
66-68
66
68
-2
no box
A15/03
A2
Psychikou
#5
W
61-52
61
52
+9
no box
H19/03
A2
Near East
#15
W
62-61
62
61
+1
no box
A22/03
A2
Vikos
#7
L
64-75
64
75
-11
no box
A29/03
A2
Proteas Voulas
#8
W
62-53
62
53
+9
no box
H05/04
A2
Proteas Voulas
#8
W
80-55
80
55
+25
no box
H15/04
A2
Proteas Voulas
#8
W
87-82
87
82
+5
no box
A22/04
A2
Koroivos
#4
W
79-58
79
58
+21
no box
H08/05
A2
NE Megaridas
#2
W
94-75
94
75
+19
no box
A10/05
A2
Promitheas
#9
W
90-79
90
79
+11
86avg 86
H04/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
18-14
12-14
15-22
14-15
17-12
14-17
16-8
16-17
13-11
18-18
15-15
21-15
21-16
12-27
10-17
20-11
11-13
12-22
19-7
21-15
22-15
14-11
23-14
33-12
16-24
19-21
19-25
25-17
23-10
15-16
16-15
19-26
25-17
17-12
33-20
28-19
19-24
29-19
14-17
140.3Avg total
74.5Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)90.079.0169.0+11.0100%
Season at home (1)90.079.0169.0+11.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.565.8140.3+8.780%
Last 5 (5)86.069.8155.8+16.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)84.079.0163.0+5.067%
vs Similar (6)74.767.0141.7+7.783%
vs Weaker (21)73.267.9141.0+5.371%
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +2.0+2.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +2.0+2.0
PAOKIraklis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#3
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A05/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H12/04
Basket League
Bilbao
#2
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A16/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#2
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H23/04
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Athens
#3
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A27/04
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A03/05
Basket League
Panionios
#8
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H07/05
Basket League
Studentski Centar
#48
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H19/09
Champions League
Bursaspor
#35
L
26-54
26
54
-28
A21/09
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A05/10
Basket League
78.4Avg total
35.5Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.940.878.7-2.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.438.979.3+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)35.442.878.2-7.420%-
Last 10 (10)35.542.978.4-7.430%-
Last 5 (5)37.445.282.6-7.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)36.543.580.0-7.120%-
vs Similar (12)39.239.278.3+0.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)34.039.073.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Iraklis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IraklisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panerythraikos
#6
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A15/03
A2
Psychikou
#5
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H19/03
A2
Near East
#15
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A22/03
A2
Vikos
#7
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A29/03
A2
Proteas Voulas
#8
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H05/04
A2
Proteas Voulas
#8
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H15/04
A2
Proteas Voulas
#8
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A22/04
A2
Koroivos
#4
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H08/05
A2
NE Megaridas
#2
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A10/05
A2
Promitheas
#9
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H04/10
Basket League
72.4Avg total
40.3Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.434.372.7+4.177%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.234.672.8+3.667%-
Last 30 away (15)38.734.072.7+4.787%-
Last 10 (10)40.332.172.4+8.2100%-
Last 5 (5)46.235.882.0+10.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)37.340.077.3-2.733%-
vs Similar (6)38.034.872.8+3.283%-
vs Weaker (21)38.733.372.0+5.481%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.0
49.2%
54.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.9
33.1%
34.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws23.117.0
73.6%
74.4%17.0
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Iraklistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iraklis: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.717.8
49.9%
54.1%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.1
31.0%
34.9%24.3
🏀 Free throws19.513.5
69.2%
74.4%13.5
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
PAOK
LLWWLLWLWL
Iraklis
WWWWWWLWWL
#3
League position
#8
-2.4
Net rating
-6.2
107.3
Offensive rating
97.5
109.8
Defensive rating
103.7
49.4%
Effective FG%
48.5%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
17.1%
Turnover %
20.4%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.1%
3-point %
31.0%
63.9%
Assist %
57.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 97.5Defence109.8 · 103.7Shooting49.4% · 48.5%3-point %33.1% · 31.0%Ball care17.1% · 20.4%Off. rebounds32.4% · 27.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ PAOK   ■ Iraklis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
PAOK wins
2
Iraklis wins
DateGameScore
05/03/22Iraklis v PAOK73-84
16/10/21PAOK v Iraklis72-69
10/02/21Iraklis v PAOK61-63
23/01/21PAOK v Iraklis79-72
24/10/20Iraklis v PAOK75-57
28/12/19Iraklis v PAOK99-82
30/01/11Iraklis v PAOK67-86
31/10/10PAOK v Iraklis78-59
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/25APanathinaikos83-93
21/09/25ABursaspor73-92
19/09/25HStudentski Centar79-67
07/05/25HPanionios94-78
03/05/25AAS Karditsas76-90
27/04/25AAEK Athens85-89 OT
23/04/25HBilbao84-82
16/04/25ABilbao65-72
12/04/25HAEK Athens94-69
05/04/25AAEK Athens76-89
Iraklislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25HPromitheas90-79
10/05/25ANE Megaridas94-75
08/05/25HKoroivos79-58
22/04/25AProteas Voulas87-82
15/04/25HProteas Voulas80-55
05/04/25HProteas Voulas62-53
29/03/25AVikos64-75
22/03/25ANear East62-61
19/03/25HPsychikou61-52
15/03/25APanerythraikos66-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAOK
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game83.0-83.0
Allowed / game93.0-93.0
Point differential-10.0--10.0
Avg total176.0-176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Iraklis
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game90.090.0-
Allowed / game79.079.0-
Point differential+11.0+11.0-
Avg total169.0169.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Peristeri110100%87.061.0+26.0
2 Olympiacos110100%100.081.0+19.0
3 AS Karditsas110100%91.077.0+14.0
4 Iraklis110100%90.079.0+11.0
5 Panathinaikos110100%93.083.0+10.0
6 AEK Athens110100%87.085.0+2.0
7 Kolossos Rhodes21150%79.076.0+3.0
8 Promitheas21150%86.089.0-3.0
9 PAOK1010%83.093.0-10.0
10 Aris2020%71.082.0-11.0
11 Maroussi2020%84.596.5-12.0
12 Panionios1010%61.087.0-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
PAOK2516232084
Iraklis1325222282
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