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PAOK vs Lavrio Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 15:15
Final 66-65 (OT)
14-10 18-10 8-22 14-12 12-11
Position#10
Record6-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game78.6
PAOK 🏆
Greece
vs
Position#13
Record4-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game88.9
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 15· P.A.O.K. Sports Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · PAOK v Lavrio
01 Feb 2025
PAK69
LAV74
21 Jan 2024
PAK66
LAV65
29 Jan 2023
PAK93
LAV68
02 Oct 2021
PAK73
LAV89
18 Nov 2020
PAK83
LAV65
04 Apr 2020
PAK v LAV
upcoming
30 Mar 2019
PAK99
LAV88
15 Apr 2018
PAK92
LAV87
19 Apr 2017
PAK82
LAV65
15 Feb 2017
PAK85
LAV80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lavrio winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
85-97
85
97
-12
84avg 67
A10/12
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#4
L
61-71
61
71
-10
53avg 67
A13/12
Champions League
Galatasaray
#20
L
79-85
79
85
-6
75avg 67
H20/12
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
72-69
72
69
+3
66avg 67
H23/12
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
L
73-80
73
80
-7
70avg 67
A30/12
Basket League
Tofas
#34
L
63-95
63
95
-32
45avg 67
H02/01
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
L
79-85
79
85
-6
68avg 67
H06/01
Basket League
Tofas
#34
W
88-87 OT
88
87
+1
86avg 67
A09/01
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
35-71
35
71
-36
19avg 67
A13/01
Basket League
Tofas
#34
L
71-84
71
84
-13
59avg 67
H16/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
23-28
17-29
23-23
16-16
14-17
10-21
21-17
22-30
22-19
20-27
15-9
28-17
21-12
10-21
13-19
16-20
17-20
18-20
22-20
12-27
14-26
16-24
21-18
21-14
21-24
18-21
19-26
16-23
15-9
23-12
16-26
11-22
13-24
4-11
7-14
19-22
15-18
15-22
22-22
153.0Avg total
70.6Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)73.178.6151.7-5.443%
Season at home (7)76.978.1155.0-1.357%
Season away (7)69.479.0148.4-9.629%
Last 10 (10)70.682.4153.0-11.820%
Last 5 (5)67.284.4151.6-17.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)68.580.7149.2-12.222%
vs Similar ◀ (6)80.378.7159.0+1.767%
vs Weaker (1)67.054.0121.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Lavrio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LavrioGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLavrio
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#7
L
73-100
73
100
-27
55avg 70
A05/11
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
L
88-93
88
93
-5
78avg 70
H13/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
87-89
87
89
-2
77avg 70
A18/11
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
L
68-84
68
84
-16
60avg 70
A26/11
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
54-96
54
96
-42
40avg 70
H02/12
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
L
60-71
60
71
-11
55avg 70
A09/12
Basket League
Aris
#8
W
91-86 OT
91
86
+5
no box
H23/12
Basket League
AEK Athens
#9
L
75-90
75
90
-15
61avg 70
H30/12
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
L
73-88
73
88
-15
60avg 70
A07/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
76-92
76
92
-16
64avg 70
H14/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-33
14-30
19-17
20-20
27-21
16-26
23-22
22-24
23-32
22-18
22-13
20-26
14-21
15-25
23-16
16-22
19-26
6-24
11-25
18-21
9-14
14-20
11-17
26-20
21-20
24-9
15-20
16-27
11-26
26-19
11-26
27-19
17-26
20-15
17-23
19-24
16-25
15-21
23-26
22-20
163.4Avg total
74.5Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.488.9166.3-11.629%
Season at home (7)78.487.0165.4-8.643%
Season away (7)76.390.9167.1-14.614%
Last 10 (10)74.588.9163.4-14.410%
Last 5 (5)75.085.4160.4-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)77.689.2166.8-11.622%
vs Similar ◀ (9)79.681.0160.6-1.456%
vs Weaker (3)81.772.0153.7+9.767%
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -6.7-6.7Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -5.7-5.7Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -6.7-6.7Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -5.7-5.7Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
PAOKLavrio
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A10/12
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#4
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A13/12
Champions League
Galatasaray
#20
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H20/12
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H23/12
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A30/12
Basket League
Tofas
#34
L
26-53
26
53
-27
H02/01
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H06/01
Basket League
Tofas
#34
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A09/01
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
24-46
24
46
-22
A13/01
Basket League
Tofas
#34
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H16/01
Champions League
76.3Avg total
35.8Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.640.377.0-3.730%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.141.479.5-3.333%-
Last 30 away (15)35.139.374.4-4.127%-
Last 10 (10)35.840.576.3-4.720%-
Last 5 (5)31.441.873.2-10.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)35.241.076.3-5.822%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)42.840.082.8+2.850%-
vs Weaker (1)32.026.058.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Lavrio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LavrioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#7
L
34-63
34
63
-29
A05/11
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H13/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A18/11
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A26/11
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
25-50
25
50
-25
H02/12
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A09/12
Basket League
Aris
#8
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H23/12
Basket League
AEK Athens
#9
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H30/12
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A07/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H14/01
Basket League
80.0Avg total
34.9Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.643.281.8-4.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.140.981.0-0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)37.145.582.6-8.527%-
Last 10 (10)34.945.180.0-10.210%-
Last 5 (5)34.639.073.6-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)38.745.584.2-6.828%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.840.080.8+0.856%-
vs Weaker (3)31.339.070.3-7.733%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 69.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.815.6
47.6%
52.4%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.8
32.4%
33.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.915.2
69.4%
71.5%15.2
They take 56.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lavriotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lavrio: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.916.6
49.0%
52.4%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.5
32.2%
33.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.314.3
70.4%
71.5%14.3
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
PAOK
LLWLLLWLLL
Lavrio
LLLWLLLLLL
#10
League position
#13
-16.2
Net rating
-19.1
95.9
Offensive rating
100.3
112.1
Defensive rating
119.3
48.0%
Effective FG%
48.7%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
58.6%
18.6%
Turnover %
18.4%
21.6%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.34
32.4%
3-point %
32.2%
69.7%
Assist %
55.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence95.9 · 100.3Defence112.1 · 119.3Shooting48.0% · 48.7%3-point %32.4% · 32.2%Ball care18.6% · 18.4%Off. rebounds21.6% · 26.8%Free throws0.38 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 10%
■ PAOK   ■ Lavrio
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
PAOK wins
4
Lavrio wins
DateGameScore
29/10/23Lavrio v PAOK86-76
29/01/23PAOK v Lavrio93-68
22/10/22Lavrio v PAOK70-75
30/01/22Lavrio v PAOK59-61
02/10/21PAOK v Lavrio73-89
30/01/21Lavrio v PAOK84-77
18/11/20PAOK v Lavrio83-65
14/12/19Lavrio v PAOK92-88
30/03/19PAOK v Lavrio99-88
08/12/18Lavrio v PAOK64-77
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/24HTofas71-84
13/01/24APeristeri35-71
09/01/24ATofas88-87 OT
06/01/24HMaroussi79-85
02/01/24HTofas63-95
30/12/23APromitheas73-80
23/12/23HAS Karditsas72-69
20/12/23HGalatasaray79-85
13/12/23AHapoel Jerusalem61-71
10/12/23APanathinaikos85-97
Lavriolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24HPanathinaikos76-92
07/01/24AKolossos Rhodes73-88
30/12/23HAEK Athens75-90
23/12/23HAris91-86 OT
09/12/23AApollon Patras60-71
02/12/23HOlympiacos54-96
26/11/23AAS Karditsas68-84
18/11/23APeristeri87-89
13/11/23HMaroussi88-93
05/11/23APromitheas73-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAOK
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL43%
HomeLWWWL57%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%57%29%
Points / game73.176.969.4
Allowed / game78.678.179.0
Point differential-5.4-1.3-9.6
Avg total151.7155.0148.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lavrio
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL29%
HomeLLWLL43%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%43%14%
Points / game77.478.476.3
Allowed / game88.987.090.9
Point differential-11.6-8.6-14.6
Avg total166.3165.4167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LCC W660100%85.867.3+18.5
2 Panathinaikos14140100%85.469.6+15.9
3 Olympiacos1413193%85.367.1+18.2
4 Kibirkstis Vilnius W54180%95.268.4+26.8
5 Klaipedos Neptunas W53260%75.864.2+11.6
6 Peristeri159660%80.573.3+7.3
7 Promitheas159660%87.182.1+5.0
8 Aris158753%77.577.0+0.5
9 PAOK146843%73.178.6-5.4
10 AEK Athens156940%86.584.1+2.5
11 Aistes LSU Kaunas W52340%56.475.0-18.6
12 Kolossos Rhodes145936%79.685.1-5.5
13 Maroussi145936%82.189.4-7.4
14 AS Karditsas1441029%72.578.0-5.5
15 Lavrio1441029%77.488.9-11.6
16 Apollon Patras1431121%67.582.5-15.0
17 Siauliai W5050%66.280.8-14.6
18 Panevezys W4040%56.290.5-34.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
PAOK14188141266
Lavrio101022121165
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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