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PAOK vs Tofas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 02 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 63-95
12-27 14-26 16-24 21-18
Position#32
Record3-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Tofas 🏆
Position#34
Record2-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game91.8
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Final· P.A.O.K. Sports Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · PAOK v Tofas
16 Jan 2024
PAK71
TOF84
02 Jan 2024
PAK63
TOF95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAOKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Hapoel Jerusalem
#4
W
79-77
79
77
+2
77avg 68
H15/11
Champions League
Aris
#8
W
82-76
82
76
+6
79avg 68
H18/11
Basket League
AEK Athens
#9
L
70-90
70
90
-20
57avg 68
A25/11
Basket League
Benfica
#28
W
76-74
76
74
+2
74avg 68
H29/11
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
93-81
93
81
+12
90avg 68
H04/12
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
85-97
85
97
-12
84avg 68
A10/12
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#4
L
61-71
61
71
-10
53avg 68
A13/12
Champions League
Galatasaray
#20
L
79-85
79
85
-6
75avg 68
H20/12
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
72-69
72
69
+3
66avg 68
H23/12
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
L
73-80
73
80
-7
70avg 68
A30/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
22-16
24-17
16-25
30-22
24-12
14-25
14-17
25-17
20-19
8-28
17-26
14-22
25-15
16-15
21-22
23-28
15-19
23-19
32-15
22-17
23-28
17-29
23-23
16-16
14-17
10-21
21-17
22-30
22-19
20-27
15-9
28-17
21-12
10-21
13-19
16-20
17-20
18-20
22-20
157.0Avg total
77.0Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.879.7155.5-3.850%
Season at home (3)78.078.7156.7-0.767%
Season away (3)73.780.7154.3-7.033%
Last 10 (10)77.080.0157.0-3.050%
Last 5 (5)74.080.4154.4-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)69.280.1149.3-10.920%
vs Similar (8)78.177.1155.2+1.075%
vs Weaker (2)77.559.5137.0+18.0100%
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#9
W
79-62
79
62
+17
76avg 80
H18/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#13
W
82-76
82
76
+6
78avg 80
A26/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tortona
#8
L
85-91 OT
85
91
-6
82avg 80
A29/11
Champions League
Bursaspor
#8
W
91-85
91
85
+6
96avg 80
H03/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
82-84
82
84
-2
74avg 80
A09/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Igokea
#49
W
99-65
99
65
+34
107avg 80
H12/12
Champions League
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
102-82
102
82
+20
102avg 80
H16/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Murcia
#2
L
75-90
75
90
-15
71avg 80
H20/12
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#4
L
71-98
71
98
-27
57avg 80
A24/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
88-86
88
86
+2
86avg 80
H29/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-12
27-18
19-15
14-17
19-18
13-17
23-19
27-22
25-23
19-18
17-21
20-19
23-24
24-17
29-17
15-27
12-14
26-30
21-21
23-19
18-11
28-19
27-17
26-18
18-30
33-17
30-7
21-28
17-23
28-25
11-26
19-16
19-26
14-17
17-22
21-33
24-26
24-20
19-17
21-23
167.3Avg total
85.4Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)88.791.8180.5-3.233%
Season at home (3)84.781.0165.7+3.733%
Season away (3)92.7102.7195.3-10.033%
Last 10 (10)85.481.9167.3+3.560%
Last 5 (5)87.084.2171.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.290.0167.2-12.810%
vs Similar (13)87.685.4173.0+2.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)97.484.3181.7+13.1100%
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -6.2-6.2Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.5-1.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -6.2-6.2Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.5-1.5
PAOKTofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Jerusalem
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H15/11
Champions League
Aris
#8
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H18/11
Basket League
AEK Athens
#9
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A25/11
Basket League
Benfica
#28
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H29/11
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H04/12
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A10/12
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#4
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A13/12
Champions League
Galatasaray
#20
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H20/12
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H23/12
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A30/12
Basket League
80.1Avg total
41.6Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.239.777.9-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.640.379.9-0.643%-
Last 30 away (16)36.939.276.2-2.338%-
Last 10 (10)41.638.580.1+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.239.279.4+1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)37.040.877.8-3.830%-
vs Similar (8)41.139.680.8+1.550%-
vs Weaker (2)38.530.068.5+8.5100%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#9
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H18/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#13
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A26/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tortona
#8
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A29/11
Champions League
Bursaspor
#8
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H03/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A09/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Igokea
#49
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H12/12
Champions League
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H16/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Murcia
#2
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H20/12
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#4
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A24/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H29/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
83.5Avg total
43.0Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.141.783.8+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.542.587.0+1.960%-
Last 30 away (15)39.740.980.6-1.133%-
Last 10 (10)43.040.583.5+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)44.642.887.4+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.544.983.4-6.410%-
vs Similar (13)45.740.686.3+5.169%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)40.639.179.7+1.457%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.417.5
50.9%
51.4%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.68.3
38.4%
34.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws23.116.5
71.4%
74.5%16.5
They take 56.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.820.5
51.5%
51.4%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.4
36.8%
34.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws23.118.4
79.7%
74.5%18.4
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
PAOK
LWLLLWWLWW
Tofas
WLLWWLWLWW
#32
League position
#34
-3.9
Net rating
+4.9
107.0
Offensive rating
113.1
110.9
Defensive rating
108.2
53.5%
Effective FG%
52.9%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
19.0%
Turnover %
17.9%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.37
38.4%
3-point %
36.8%
67.8%
Assist %
68.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.0 · 113.1Defence110.9 · 108.2Shooting53.5% · 52.9%3-point %38.4% · 36.8%Ball care19.0% · 17.9%Off. rebounds26.9% · 32.9%Free throws0.41 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ PAOK   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
PAOK wins
0
Tofas wins
No previous meetings.
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23APromitheas73-80
23/12/23HAS Karditsas72-69
20/12/23HGalatasaray79-85
13/12/23AHapoel Jerusalem61-71
10/12/23APanathinaikos85-97
04/12/23HKolossos Rhodes93-81
29/11/23HBenfica76-74
25/11/23AAEK Athens70-90
18/11/23HAris82-76
15/11/23HHapoel Jerusalem79-77
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/23HBahcesehir Kol.88-86
24/12/23AKarsiyaka71-98
20/12/23HMurcia75-90
16/12/23HÇağdaş Bodrum Spor102-82
12/12/23HIgokea99-65
09/12/23ABuyukcekmece82-84
03/12/23HBursaspor91-85
29/11/23ATortona85-91 OT
26/11/23ADarussafaka82-76
18/11/23HTurk Telekom79-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAOK
Champions League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game75.878.073.7
Allowed / game79.778.780.7
Point differential-3.8-0.7-7.0
Avg total155.5156.7154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tofas
Champions League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game88.784.792.7
Allowed / game91.881.0102.7
Point differential-3.2+3.7-10.0
Avg total180.5165.7195.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %33%0%67%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murcia65183%86.271.2+15.0
2 Dijon65183%87.773.5+14.2
3 Hapoel Jerusalem65183%85.573.3+12.2
4 AEK Athens65183%88.076.8+11.2
5 Tortona65183%83.380.7+2.7
6 Strasbourg97278%81.277.4+3.8
7 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
8 Rytas64267%84.875.8+9.0
9 Unicaja64267%81.773.7+8.0
10 Tenerife64267%81.773.8+7.8
11 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
12 Cholet96367%81.980.4+1.4
13 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
14 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
15 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
16 Promitheas63350%86.079.2+6.8
17 Bonn63350%82.878.8+4.0
18 Galatasaray63350%85.582.0+3.5
19 Le Mans63350%79.577.2+2.3
20 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
21 Karsiyaka63350%82.581.2+1.3
22 Hapoel Holon63350%77.276.0+1.2
23 Breogan63350%77.076.5+0.5
24 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
25 Ludwigsburg63350%80.081.7-1.7
26 Darussafaka63350%81.383.3-2.0
27 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
28 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
29 PAOK63350%75.879.7-3.8
30 Peristeri63350%77.282.2-5.0
31 Bursaspor63350%73.278.8-5.7
32 Oostende63350%77.083.2-6.2
33 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
34 Benfica94544%81.778.7+3.0
35 Oldenburg62433%84.082.5+1.5
36 Tofas62433%88.791.8-3.2
37 Szczecin62433%78.882.7-3.8
38 VEF Riga62433%71.876.0-4.2
39 Szombathely62433%76.081.3-5.3
40 Sassari62433%84.890.5-5.7
41 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
42 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
43 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
44 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
45 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
46 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
47 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
48 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
49 Igokea6060%72.587.0-14.5
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Opava6060%72.0102.0-30.0
52 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
53 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
PAOK1214162163
Tofas2726241895
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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