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Lavrio vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 91-86 (OT)
21-20 24-9 15-20 16-27 15-10
Position#13
Record3-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game88.9
Lavrio 🏆
Greece
vs
Position#8
Record6-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game74.5
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 11· Sports Center Lavrio
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Lavrio v Aris
05 Apr 2025
LAV75
ARI89
07 Dec 2024
LAV93
ARI84
23 Dec 2023
LAV91
ARI86
18 Mar 2023
LAV81
ARI70
19 Mar 2022
LAV68
ARI64
09 Dec 2020
LAV92
ARI71
11 Apr 2020
LAV v ARI
upcoming
07 Oct 2018
LAV70
ARI73
21 Oct 2017
LAV70
ARI71
08 Apr 2017
LAV75
ARI70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lavrio winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LavrioGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLavrio
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#9
W
98-93
98
93
+5
97avg 73
A07/10
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
79-76
79
76
+3
71avg 73
H16/10
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
75-111
75
111
-36
60avg 73
A23/10
Basket League
PAOK
#10
W
86-76
86
76
+10
84avg 73
H29/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
L
73-100
73
100
-27
55avg 73
A05/11
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
L
88-93
88
93
-5
78avg 73
H13/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
87-89
87
89
-2
77avg 73
A18/11
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
L
68-84
68
84
-16
60avg 73
A26/11
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
54-96
54
96
-42
40avg 73
H02/12
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
L
60-71
60
71
-11
55avg 73
A09/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-26
24-13
24-25
22-29
22-20
28-17
15-19
14-20
20-31
25-25
9-30
21-25
26-21
26-14
19-22
15-19
20-33
14-30
19-17
20-20
27-21
16-26
23-22
22-24
23-32
22-18
22-13
20-26
14-21
15-25
23-16
16-22
19-26
6-24
11-25
18-21
9-14
14-20
11-17
26-20
165.7Avg total
76.8Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)76.888.9165.7-12.130%
Season at home (4)76.885.2162.0-8.550%
Season away (6)76.891.3168.2-14.517%
Last 10 (10)76.888.9165.7-12.130%
Last 5 (5)71.486.6158.0-15.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)75.288.6163.8-13.417%
vs Similar (9)77.479.1156.6-1.756%
vs Weaker (3)81.772.0153.7+9.767%
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#2
L
65-72
65
72
-7
54avg 66
A14/11
Eurocup
PAOK
#10
L
76-82
76
82
-6
64avg 66
A18/11
Basket League
Ulm
#9
L
88-99 OT
88
99
-11
67avg 66
H22/11
Eurocup
Promitheas
#7
L
73-77
73
77
-4
61avg 66
H25/11
Basket League
Trento
#16
L
67-69
67
69
-2
54avg 66
A29/11
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
W
89-84
89
84
+5
79avg 66
A03/12
Basket League
Gran Canaria
#6
L
65-93
65
93
-28
54avg 66
A06/12
Eurocup
Peristeri
#6
W
81-73
81
73
+8
85avg 66
H10/12
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#17
W
69-60
69
60
+9
57avg 66
H12/12
Eurocup
Turk Telekom
#15
W
95-85
95
85
+10
88avg 66
A19/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-25
26-12
15-16
16-19
22-30
12-24
25-14
17-14
21-19
21-22
17-14
22-26
22-19
6-20
17-24
28-14
17-17
15-15
11-21
24-16
27-15
17-19
28-19
17-31
17-29
21-20
12-23
15-21
18-12
19-18
22-16
22-27
18-16
17-8
12-20
22-16
24-21
22-20
20-18
29-26
156.2Avg total
76.8Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)76.574.5151.0+2.060%
Season at home (6)72.571.8144.3+0.750%
Season away (4)82.578.5161.0+4.075%
Last 10 (10)76.879.4156.2-2.640%
Last 5 (5)79.879.0158.8+0.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)68.679.6148.3-11.09%
vs Similar (14)79.176.4155.6+2.764%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)81.471.2152.6+10.260%
This opponent (Lavrio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
LavrioAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LavrioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#9
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A07/10
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H16/10
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A23/10
Basket League
PAOK
#10
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H29/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
L
34-63
34
63
-29
A05/11
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H13/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A18/11
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A26/11
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
25-50
25
50
-25
H02/12
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A09/12
Basket League
85.5Avg total
39.8Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.943.581.4-5.633%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.840.980.6-1.143%-
Last 30 away (16)36.345.882.1-9.525%-
Last 10 (10)39.845.785.5-5.930%-
Last 5 (5)33.045.478.4-12.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)37.846.284.0-8.322%-
vs Similar (9)40.339.780.0+0.756%-
vs Weaker (3)31.339.070.3-7.733%-
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#2
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A14/11
Eurocup
PAOK
#10
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A18/11
Basket League
Ulm
#9
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H22/11
Eurocup
Promitheas
#7
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H25/11
Basket League
Trento
#16
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A29/11
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A03/12
Basket League
Gran Canaria
#6
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A06/12
Eurocup
Peristeri
#6
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H10/12
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#17
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H12/12
Eurocup
Turk Telekom
#15
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A19/12
Eurocup
75.1Avg total
37.0Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.438.175.5-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.535.572.0+1.160%-
Last 30 away (15)38.240.778.9-2.533%-
Last 10 (10)37.038.175.1-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.035.675.6+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.339.273.5-4.936%-
vs Similar (14)37.937.575.4+0.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)42.837.480.2+5.460%-
This opponent (Lavrio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lavriotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lavrio: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.517.3
50.1%
52.4%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.2
35.7%
33.7%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.414.0
72.2%
71.5%14.0
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.2
49.9%
52.4%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.7
34.5%
33.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.913.3
74.3%
71.5%13.3
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lavrio
LLLLLLWLWW
Aris
WWWLWLLLLL
#13
League position
#8
-16.6
Net rating
-4.0
104.6
Offensive rating
102.0
121.2
Defensive rating
106.0
51.6%
Effective FG%
50.6%
58.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
19.1%
Turnover %
20.4%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.7%
3-point %
34.5%
54.0%
Assist %
47.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 102.0Defence121.2 · 106.0Shooting51.6% · 50.6%3-point %35.7% · 34.5%Ball care19.1% · 20.4%Off. rebounds28.3% · 28.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Lavrio   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Lavrio wins
5
Aris wins
DateGameScore
18/03/23Lavrio v Aris81-70
04/12/22Aris v Lavrio87-61
19/03/22Lavrio v Aris68-64
30/10/21Aris v Lavrio69-73
06/02/21Aris v Lavrio89-94
09/12/20Lavrio v Aris92-71
21/12/19Aris v Lavrio81-70
19/01/19Aris v Lavrio84-70
07/10/18Lavrio v Aris70-73
14/02/18Aris v Lavrio80-69
Lavriolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23AApollon Patras60-71
02/12/23HOlympiacos54-96
26/11/23AAS Karditsas68-84
18/11/23APeristeri87-89
13/11/23HMaroussi88-93
05/11/23APromitheas73-100
29/10/23HPAOK86-76
23/10/23APanathinaikos75-111
16/10/23HKolossos Rhodes79-76
07/10/23AAEK Athens98-93
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/23ATurk Telekom95-85
12/12/23HLietkabelis69-60
10/12/23HPeristeri81-73
06/12/23AGran Canaria65-93
03/12/23AMaroussi89-84
29/11/23ATrento67-69
25/11/23HPromitheas73-77
22/11/23HUlm88-99 OT
18/11/23APAOK76-82
14/11/23AJL Bourg65-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lavrio
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL30%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %30%50%17%
Points / game76.876.876.8
Allowed / game88.985.291.3
Point differential-12.1-8.5-14.5
Avg total165.7162.0168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aris
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW60%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %60%50%75%
Points / game76.572.582.5
Allowed / game74.571.878.5
Point differential+2.0+0.7+4.0
Avg total151.0144.3161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%17%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LCC W550100%86.866.4+20.4
2 Panathinaikos10100100%85.369.0+16.3
3 Olympiacos109190%86.267.1+19.1
4 Kibirkstis Vilnius W54180%95.268.4+26.8
5 Promitheas107370%93.183.8+9.3
6 Klaipedos Neptunas W53260%75.864.2+11.6
7 Aris106460%76.574.5+2.0
8 PAOK116555%76.178.5-2.5
9 Peristeri105550%80.374.4+5.9
10 AEK Athens105550%88.582.9+5.6
11 Aistes LSU Kaunas W52340%56.475.0-18.6
12 Kolossos Rhodes114736%81.687.2-5.5
13 Maroussi114736%83.289.6-6.5
14 Lavrio103730%76.888.9-12.1
15 Apollon Patras102820%66.084.5-18.5
16 AS Karditsas111109%68.979.5-10.6
17 Siauliai W4040%64.880.8-16.0
18 Panevezys W4040%56.290.5-34.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Lavrio212415161591
Aris20920271086
← all games of the day
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