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PAOK vs Rytas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 81-78
17-23 29-11 11-24 24-20
Position#32
Record2-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game77.0
PAOK 🏆
vs
Position#13
Record4-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game79.3
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Final
European cup2022
Meetings · PAOK v Rytas
11 Jan 2023
PAK81
RYT78
11 Nov 2015
PAK81
RYT76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rytas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAOKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#4
W
97-92
97
92
+5
93avg 69
H20/11
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
63-87
63
87
-24
53avg 69
A27/11
Basket League
Sassari
#35
L
78-82
78
82
-4
73avg 69
A29/11
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
92-63
92
63
+29
94avg 69
A04/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
68-88
68
88
-20
58avg 69
H11/12
Basket League
Unicaja
#2
L
85-88
85
88
-3
75avg 69
H13/12
Champions League
Dijon
#22
W
74-69
74
69
+5
70avg 69
A20/12
Champions League
AEK Athens
#5
W
83-71
83
71
+12
no box
A27/12
Basket League
Rytas
#13
L
62-85
62
85
-23
42avg 69
A03/01
Champions League
Apollon Patras
#10
W
97-60
97
60
+37
96avg 69
H08/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-30
23-17
21-23
30-22
16-16
12-28
13-30
22-13
14-19
16-21
25-23
23-19
20-15
25-15
30-16
17-17
14-23
17-25
12-25
25-15
13-25
23-19
24-15
25-29
18-14
10-26
18-14
28-15
20-21
19-15
17-16
27-19
16-23
16-23
12-19
18-20
23-10
27-17
23-13
24-20
158.4Avg total
79.9Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)73.777.0150.7-3.329%
Season at home (3)79.775.3155.0+4.333%
Season away (4)69.278.2147.5-9.025%
Last 10 (10)79.978.5158.4+1.450%
Last 5 (5)80.274.6154.8+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)69.883.9153.6-14.10%
vs Similar (11)79.173.5152.6+5.555%
vs Weaker (11)81.170.9152.0+10.273%
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRytas
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#9
W
85-80
85
80
+5
77avg 80
A27/11
LKL
Peristeri
#24
W
82-71
82
71
+11
82avg 80
A30/11
Champions League
Nevezis
#5
L
70-78
70
78
-8
no box
A07/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
W
109-104 OT
109
104
+5
no box
H10/12
LKL
Bnei Herzliya
#37
L
90-101
90
101
-11
79avg 80
H14/12
Champions League
Siauliai
#9
W
107-101 OT
107
101
+6
no box
H17/12
LKL
Tenerife
#4
W
85-78
85
78
+7
81avg 80
H21/12
Champions League
Nevezis
#8
W
86-84
86
84
+2
85avg 80
A28/12
LKL
PAOK
#32
W
85-62
85
62
+23
89avg 80
H03/01
Champions League
BC Wolves
#3
L
76-88
76
88
-12
64avg 80
H07/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
15-22
17-12
26-24
28-14
16-24
26-15
12-18
19-18
21-16
18-23
12-21
27-23
24-21
18-29
21-17
18-23
17-30
31-16
24-32
22-21
28-27
17-28
24-15
17-20
28-20
23-17
17-21
31-18
23-26
17-19
15-21
23-16
23-16
19-12
20-18
14-24
15-26
24-16
23-22
172.2Avg total
87.5Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.379.3163.6+5.057%
Season at home (4)87.276.2163.5+11.075%
Season away (3)80.383.3163.7-3.033%
Last 10 (10)87.584.7172.2+2.870%
Last 5 (5)87.882.6170.4+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.784.0166.7-1.367%
vs Similar (3)79.085.0164.0-6.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)86.279.5165.7+6.871%
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: -1.5-1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: -1.5-1.5
PAOKRytas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#4
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H20/11
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A27/11
Basket League
Sassari
#35
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A29/11
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A04/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H11/12
Basket League
Unicaja
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H13/12
Champions League
Dijon
#22
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A20/12
Champions League
AEK Athens
#5
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A27/12
Basket League
Rytas
#13
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A03/01
Champions League
Apollon Patras
#10
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H08/01
Basket League
76.7Avg total
36.5Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.838.675.4-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.239.079.2+1.246%-
Last 30 away (17)34.138.372.4-4.229%-
Last 10 (10)36.540.276.7-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)37.038.675.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)33.443.977.2-10.50%-
vs Similar (11)35.837.873.6-2.036%-
vs Weaker (11)40.235.575.7+4.664%-
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#9
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A27/11
LKL
Peristeri
#24
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A30/11
Champions League
Nevezis
#5
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A07/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H10/12
LKL
Bnei Herzliya
#37
L
35-53
35
53
-18
H14/12
Champions League
Siauliai
#9
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H17/12
LKL
Tenerife
#4
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H21/12
Champions League
Nevezis
#8
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A28/12
LKL
PAOK
#32
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H03/01
Champions League
BC Wolves
#3
L
29-50
29
50
-21
H07/01
LKL
86.3Avg total
43.6Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.839.782.5+3.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.738.981.7+3.867%-
Last 30 away (15)42.940.583.4+2.560%-
Last 10 (10)43.642.786.3+0.970%-
Last 5 (5)44.842.887.6+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.045.788.7-2.733%-
vs Similar (3)40.739.079.7+1.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)43.139.082.1+4.067%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.915.4
49.8%
51.4%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.211.0
39.0%
35.2%33.0
🏀 Free throws19.915.1
75.9%
74.3%15.1
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.521.7
53.6%
51.4%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.7
35.5%
35.2%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.216.3
76.9%
74.3%16.3
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
PAOK
WLWWLLWLLW
Rytas
LWWWWLWLWW
#32
League position
#13
+1.2
Net rating
+9.9
108.4
Offensive rating
114.8
107.2
Defensive rating
104.9
54.0%
Effective FG%
53.5%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
18.8%
Turnover %
20.1%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
40.1%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.33
39.0%
3-point %
35.5%
57.6%
Assist %
56.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 114.8Defence107.2 · 104.9Shooting54.0% · 53.5%3-point %39.0% · 35.5%Ball care18.8% · 20.1%Off. rebounds26.6% · 40.1%Free throws0.34 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ PAOK   ■ Rytas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
PAOK wins
1
Rytas wins
DateGameScore
03/01/23Rytas v PAOK85-62
16/12/15Rytas v PAOK81-88
11/11/15PAOK v Rytas81-76
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/23HApollon Patras97-60
03/01/23ARytas62-85
27/12/22AAEK Athens83-71
20/12/22ADijon74-69
13/12/22HUnicaja85-88
11/12/22HOlympiacos68-88
04/12/22AAS Karditsas92-63
29/11/22ASassari78-82
27/11/22APanathinaikos63-87
20/11/22HPromitheas97-92
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/23HBC Wolves76-88
03/01/23HPAOK85-62
28/12/22ANevezis86-84
21/12/22HTenerife85-78
17/12/22HSiauliai107-101 OT
14/12/22HBnei Herzliya90-101
10/12/22HLietkabelis109-104 OT
07/12/22ANevezis70-78
30/11/22APeristeri82-71
27/11/22ASiauliai85-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAOK
Champions League 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL29%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game73.779.769.2
Allowed / game77.075.378.2
Point differential-3.3+4.3-9.0
Avg total150.7155.0147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rytas
Champions League 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW57%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game84.387.280.3
Allowed / game79.376.283.3
Point differential+5.0+11.0-3.0
Avg total163.6163.5163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja87188%89.873.1+16.6
2 Bonn65183%83.273.8+9.3
3 Hapoel Jerusalem65183%80.074.7+5.3
4 Hapoel Holon86275%88.882.2+6.5
5 Murcia86275%85.083.5+1.5
6 Ludwigsburg75271%84.675.7+8.9
7 Tenerife64267%85.371.2+14.2
8 Chemnitz32167%89.076.3+12.7
9 Bilbao64267%79.570.8+8.7
10 FMP Beograd32167%83.376.0+7.3
11 Galatasaray64267%85.778.8+6.8
12 Manresa64267%83.778.3+5.3
13 Levice32167%77.772.7+5.0
14 Strasbourg64267%80.880.2+0.7
15 Benfica117464%79.177.2+1.9
16 AEK Athens85362%77.075.0+2.0
17 Rytas74357%84.379.3+5.0
18 Budivelnyk21150%90.574.0+16.5
19 Darussafaka84450%75.174.5+0.6
20 Voluntari21150%63.564.5-1.0
21 Oostende84450%77.678.8-1.1
22 Dijon84450%78.480.4-2.0
23 Bahcesehir Kol.84450%73.276.2-3.0
24 Peristeri84450%78.984.0-5.1
25 Bamberg21150%85.090.5-5.5
26 Swans Gmunden21150%73.581.5-8.0
27 Den Bosch21150%71.593.5-22.0
28 Limoges73443%74.169.9+4.3
29 Tofas104640%78.275.5+2.7
30 Igokea83538%78.281.2-3.0
31 Bakken Bears83538%75.080.9-5.9
32 Szombathely62433%78.782.3-3.7
33 Nymburk62433%72.877.8-5.0
34 Sassari62433%78.384.7-6.3
35 Reggiana62433%72.779.8-7.2
36 Bnei Herzliya62433%78.088.2-10.2
37 PAOK72529%73.777.0-3.3
38 Karsiyaka82625%81.085.4-4.4
39 Legia61517%72.882.5-9.7
40 VEF Riga61517%68.379.0-10.7
41 Parnu1010%80.082.0-2.0
42 Keravnos1010%65.073.0-8.0
43 Kormend1010%70.079.0-9.0
44 Leicester Riders1010%61.070.0-9.0
45 Breogan1010%64.076.0-12.0
46 Siauliai1010%73.085.0-12.0
47 Opava1010%76.092.0-16.0
48 TFT Skopje1010%77.096.0-19.0
49 Fribourg Olympic1010%70.093.0-23.0
50 Karhu Basket1010%57.081.0-24.0
51 Golden Eagle Ylli1010%67.092.0-25.0
52 Norrkoping1010%51.087.0-36.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
PAOK1729112481
Rytas2311242078
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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