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AEK Athens vs PAOK Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 27 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 71-83
21-20 15-19 16-17 19-27
Position#5
Record6-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game71.7
vs
PAOK 🏆
Greece
Position#6
Record5-4
FormLWLLW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game78.8
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 10
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · AEK Athens v PAOK
16 Jan 2027
AAT v PAK
upcoming
09 Nov 2025
AAT76
PAK78
27 Apr 2025
AAT89
PAK85
05 Apr 2025
AAT89
PAK76
19 Jan 2025
AAT91
PAK68
21 Apr 2024
AAT99
PAK91
25 Nov 2023
AAT90
PAK70
27 Dec 2022
AAT71
PAK83
22 Jan 2022
AAT72
PAK67
16 May 2021
AAT87
PAK81
11 May 2021
AAT102
PAK89
27 Jan 2021
AAT76
PAK56
05 Dec 2020
AAT85
PAK84
28 Mar 2020
AAT v PAK
upcoming
13 Mar 2019
AAT62
PAK63
13 Oct 2018
AAT91
PAK71
19 May 2018
AAT88
PAK93
11 Apr 2018
AAT72
PAK81
25 Feb 2017
AAT77
PAK71
06 May 2015
AAT85
PAK93
13 Feb 2011
AAT73
PAK80
17 Apr 2010
AAT73
PAK90
04 Apr 2009
AAT93
PAK85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
PAOK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Bonn
#1
L
66-73
66
73
-7
59avg 72
H25/10
Champions League
Aris
#7
L
63-76
63
76
-13
58avg 72
H29/10
Basket League
Lavrio
#9
W
84-67
84
67
+17
87avg 72
A05/11
Basket League
Ionikos
#12
W
92-77
92
77
+15
84avg 72
H19/11
Basket League
Bonn
#1
L
72-80
72
80
-8
64avg 72
A23/11
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
67-73
67
73
-6
61avg 72
A28/11
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
73-70
73
70
+3
76avg 72
H03/12
Basket League
Reggiana
#36
W
68-59
68
59
+9
64avg 72
H07/12
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
57-71
57
71
-14
57avg 72
A11/12
Basket League
Karsiyaka
#38
W
80-72
80
72
+8
73avg 72
H21/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-12
20-11
10-29
20-21
18-25
18-22
16-16
11-13
20-14
19-19
19-21
26-13
26-14
25-22
21-21
20-20
17-19
21-20
12-24
22-17
20-15
13-18
15-16
19-24
15-11
19-20
21-25
18-14
13-20
16-19
18-11
21-9
17-25
12-13
19-18
9-15
9-20
15-20
26-16
30-16
144.0Avg total
72.2Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)75.871.7147.4+4.167%
Season at home (5)78.070.8148.8+7.280%
Season away (4)73.072.8145.8+0.250%
Last 10 (10)72.271.8144.0+0.450%
Last 5 (5)69.069.0138.0+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)69.977.9147.8-8.022%
vs Similar ◀ (15)78.178.9157.0-0.753%
vs Weaker (6)81.767.8149.5+13.8100%
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Ionikos
#12
W
82-78
82
78
+4
72avg 69
H29/10
Basket League
Unicaja
#2
L
63-77
63
77
-14
49avg 69
A02/11
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
76-80
76
80
-4
62avg 69
A05/11
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
97-92
97
92
+5
93avg 69
H20/11
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
63-87
63
87
-24
53avg 69
A27/11
Basket League
Sassari
#35
L
78-82
78
82
-4
73avg 69
A29/11
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
92-63
92
63
+29
94avg 69
A04/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
68-88
68
88
-20
58avg 69
H11/12
Basket League
Unicaja
#2
L
85-88
85
88
-3
75avg 69
H13/12
Champions League
Dijon
#22
W
74-69
74
69
+5
70avg 69
A20/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-12
23-20
24-15
19-31
16-19
16-17
22-21
9-20
16-15
22-20
16-18
22-27
23-30
23-17
21-23
30-22
16-16
12-28
13-30
22-13
14-19
16-21
25-23
23-19
20-15
25-15
30-16
17-17
14-23
17-25
12-25
25-15
13-25
23-19
24-15
25-29
18-14
10-26
18-14
28-15
158.2Avg total
77.8Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.878.8158.6+1.056%
Season at home (4)83.881.0164.8+2.875%
Season away (5)76.677.0153.6-0.440%
Last 10 (10)77.880.4158.2-2.640%
Last 5 (5)79.478.0157.4+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)70.983.7154.6-12.90%
vs Similar ◀ (10)78.773.8152.5+4.950%
vs Weaker (12)76.970.9147.8+6.067%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +1.2+1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +1.2+1.2
AEK AthensPAOK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#1
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H25/10
Champions League
Aris
#7
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H29/10
Basket League
Lavrio
#9
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A05/11
Basket League
Ionikos
#12
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H19/11
Basket League
Bonn
#1
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A23/11
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A28/11
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H03/12
Basket League
Reggiana
#36
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H07/12
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A11/12
Basket League
Karsiyaka
#38
L
24-40
24
40
-16
H21/12
Champions League
70.8Avg total
34.9Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.536.373.8+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.735.173.8+3.669%-
Last 30 away (14)36.137.873.9-1.621%-
Last 10 (10)34.935.970.8-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)29.836.266.0-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.935.869.7-1.933%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)37.638.175.7-0.540%-
vs Weaker (6)42.732.775.3+10.083%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ionikos
#12
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H29/10
Basket League
Unicaja
#2
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A02/11
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A05/11
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H20/11
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A27/11
Basket League
Sassari
#35
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A29/11
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A04/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H11/12
Basket League
Unicaja
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H13/12
Champions League
Dijon
#22
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A20/12
Champions League
74.9Avg total
35.3Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.339.275.5-2.933%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.440.079.4-0.642%-
Last 30 away (18)34.238.772.9-4.528%-
Last 10 (10)35.339.674.9-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)34.040.474.4-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.643.677.1-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.538.073.5-2.530%-
vs Weaker (12)38.736.074.7+2.758%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 71.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.417.7
54.6%
53.1%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.9
32.0%
33.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws18.812.7
67.6%
71.9%12.7
They take 57.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.414.8
48.7%
53.1%29.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.5
38.2%
33.3%31.5
🏀 Free throws22.316.0
71.7%
71.9%16.0
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
WLWWLLWWLL
PAOK
WLLWLLWLLW
#5
League position
#6
+1.4
Net rating
-3.8
101.3
Offensive rating
104.6
99.9
Defensive rating
108.4
51.8%
Effective FG%
52.8%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
20.2%
Turnover %
18.4%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
22.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.39
32.0%
3-point %
38.2%
76.6%
Assist %
58.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.3 · 104.6Defence99.9 · 108.4Shooting51.8% · 52.8%3-point %32.0% · 38.2%Ball care20.2% · 18.4%Off. rebounds25.7% · 22.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ AEK Athens   ■ PAOK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
AEK Athens wins
3
PAOK wins
DateGameScore
14/05/22PAOK v AEK Athens96-72
22/01/22AEK Athens v PAOK72-67
16/05/21AEK Athens v PAOK87-81
13/05/21PAOK v AEK Athens81-73
11/05/21AEK Athens v PAOK102-89
13/03/21PAOK v AEK Athens85-87 OT
27/01/21AEK Athens v PAOK76-56
05/12/20AEK Athens v PAOK85-84
07/12/19PAOK v AEK Athens67-71
13/03/19AEK Athens v PAOK62-63
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/22HKarsiyaka80-72
11/12/22APanathinaikos57-71
07/12/22HReggiana68-59
03/12/22HPromitheas73-70
28/11/22AKolossos Rhodes67-73
23/11/22ABonn72-80
19/11/22HIonikos92-77
05/11/22ALavrio84-67
29/10/22HAris63-76
25/10/22HBonn66-73
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/22ADijon74-69
13/12/22HUnicaja85-88
11/12/22HOlympiacos68-88
04/12/22AAS Karditsas92-63
29/11/22ASassari78-82
27/11/22APanathinaikos63-87
20/11/22HPromitheas97-92
05/11/22AKolossos Rhodes76-80
02/11/22AUnicaja63-77
29/10/22HIonikos82-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%80%50%
Points / game75.878.073.0
Allowed / game71.770.872.8
Point differential+4.1+7.2+0.2
Avg total147.4148.8145.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
PAOK
Basket League 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL56%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%75%40%
Points / game79.883.876.6
Allowed / game78.881.077.0
Point differential+1.0+2.8-0.4
Avg total158.6164.8153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos10100100%92.069.3+22.7
2 Panathinaikos97278%82.267.0+15.2
3 Peristeri97278%87.179.3+7.8
4 AEK Athens96367%75.871.7+4.1
5 Aris106460%77.474.1+3.3
6 PAOK95456%79.878.8+1.0
7 Kolossos Rhodes94544%70.476.3-5.9
8 Promitheas83538%79.582.8-3.2
9 Apollon Patras103730%70.276.4-6.2
10 Ionikos92722%78.690.7-12.1
11 AS Karditsas91811%71.084.7-13.7
12 Lavrio91811%69.284.8-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens2115161971
PAOK2019172783
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