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Paris vs Barcelona Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 16 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 69-85
13-30 16-22 23-16 17-17
Position#16
Record5-10
FormLWWLL
Points / game91.3
Allowed / game93.2
vs
Position#8
Record10-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game84.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 16· Adidas Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Paris v Barcelona
08 Apr 2027
PRS v BAR
upcoming
16 Dec 2025
PRS69
BAR85
03 Jan 2025
PRS79
BAR90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Barcelona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Valencia
#3
W
90-86
90
86
+4
85avg 90
H13/11
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#7
W
91-75
91
75
+16
87avg 90
A15/11
LNB
Olympiacos
#1
L
86-98
86
98
-12
82avg 90
A21/11
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
L
89-90
89
90
-1
79avg 90
A25/11
Euroleague
Monaco
#1
L
103-109
103
109
-6
90avg 90
A02/12
French Cup
Monaco
#10
L
104-125
104
125
-21
85avg 90
A04/12
Euroleague
Saint Quentin
#14
W
99-69
99
69
+30
95avg 90
H07/12
LNB
Le Portel
#16
W
110-80
110
80
+30
107avg 90
H09/12
LNB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
105-108
105
108
-3
95avg 90
H11/12
Euroleague
Nancy
#10
L
90-97
90
97
-7
82avg 90
A13/12
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
22-35
30-22
23-15
16-15
27-18
26-16
22-26
29-21
20-37
20-17
17-23
32-17
13-29
21-13
23-31
25-33
33-32
16-15
29-29
29-35
17-23
24-33
34-34
36-20
12-19
21-17
30-13
21-15
32-23
24-16
33-26
29-28
27-20
17-32
32-28
26-22
15-25
24-31
25-19
190.4Avg total
96.7Scored
93.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)91.393.2184.5-1.933%
Season at home (8)91.990.8182.6+1.138%
Season away (7)90.796.0186.7-5.329%
Last 10 (10)96.793.7190.4+3.040%
Last 5 (5)101.695.8197.4+5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)90.297.0187.2-6.825%
vs Similar ◀ (14)90.693.2183.8-2.629%
vs Weaker (11)100.280.9181.1+19.382%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Bayern
#14
W
75-74
75
74
+1
69avg 83
A12/11
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
88-81
88
81
+7
77avg 83
H14/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
91-83
91
83
+8
58avg 83
H16/11
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
73-74
73
74
-1
63avg 83
A20/11
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#15
W
72-61
72
61
+11
68avg 83
A23/11
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
88-78
88
78
+10
82avg 83
H26/11
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
89-79
89
79
+10
84avg 83
A05/12
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
102-71
102
71
+31
101avg 83
H07/12
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
W
98-85
98
85
+13
90avg 83
H12/12
Euroleague
Manresa
#10
W
89-62
89
62
+27
87avg 83
A14/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
23-17
18-25
14-17
20-19
25-24
16-24
27-14
19-19
20-24
31-19
21-21
19-18
27-17
9-23
18-16
14-17
18-12
14-17
26-15
20-19
25-25
23-21
20-13
21-17
25-22
17-18
26-22
16-14
22-16
35-21
29-20
21-22
21-17
30-17
26-29
28-21
22-16
21-17
18-8
161.3Avg total
86.5Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)86.484.2170.6+2.267%
Season at home (7)88.786.7175.4+2.071%
Season away (8)84.482.0166.4+2.462%
Last 10 (10)86.574.8161.3+11.790%
Last 5 (5)93.275.0168.2+18.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)90.393.0183.3-2.733%
vs Similar ◀ (14)85.986.2172.1-0.357%
vs Weaker (13)86.176.5162.5+9.677%
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +5.0+5.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +5.0+5.0
ParisBarcelona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#3
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H13/11
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#7
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A15/11
LNB
Olympiacos
#1
L
49-58
49
58
-9
A21/11
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A25/11
Euroleague
Monaco
#1
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A02/12
French Cup
Monaco
#10
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A04/12
Euroleague
Saint Quentin
#14
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H07/12
LNB
Le Portel
#16
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H09/12
LNB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H11/12
Euroleague
Nancy
#10
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A13/12
LNB
95.7Avg total
47.6Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.046.593.5+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.447.695.0-0.350%-
Last 30 away (16)46.845.492.2+1.344%-
Last 10 (10)47.648.195.7-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)48.846.094.8+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)49.048.897.8+0.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.848.292.0-4.429%-
vs Weaker (11)49.541.791.2+7.773%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#14
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A12/11
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H14/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H16/11
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A20/11
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#15
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A23/11
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H26/11
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A05/12
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H07/12
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H12/12
Euroleague
Manresa
#10
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A14/12
ACB
79.7Avg total
42.6Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.241.483.6+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.644.587.1-1.943%-
Last 30 away (16)41.838.880.6+3.162%-
Last 10 (10)42.637.179.7+5.590%-
Last 5 (5)44.237.882.0+6.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.047.788.7-6.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)42.643.385.9-0.636%-
vs Weaker (13)42.038.080.0+4.077%-
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 96.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.0
52.4%
60.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.113.3
39.0%
35.9%39.9
🏀 Free throws20.716.3
78.7%
78.2%16.3
They take 72.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.821.6
55.7%
60.4%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.810.2
38.1%
35.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws15.612.2
78.2%
78.2%12.2
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paris
LLWWLLLLWW
Barcelona
WWWWWWLWWW
#16
League position
#8
+4.1
Net rating
+16.8
118.4
Offensive rating
120.4
114.3
Defensive rating
103.6
55.3%
Effective FG%
56.2%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
19.0%
Turnover %
15.5%
39.6%
Off. rebound %
35.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.24
39.0%
3-point %
38.1%
57.7%
Assist %
57.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence118.4 · 120.4Defence114.3 · 103.6Shooting55.3% · 56.2%3-point %39.0% · 38.1%Ball care19.0% · 15.5%Off. rebounds39.6% · 35.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Paris   ■ Barcelona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Paris wins
1
Barcelona wins
DateGameScore
03/01/25Paris v Barcelona79-90
15/11/24Barcelona v Paris87-103
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25ANancy90-97
11/12/25HZalgiris Kaunas105-108
09/12/25HLe Portel110-80
07/12/25HSaint Quentin99-69
04/12/25AMonaco104-125
02/12/25AMonaco103-109
25/11/25ADubai89-90
21/11/25AOlympiacos86-98
15/11/25AJL Bourg91-75
13/11/25HValencia90-86
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/25AManresa89-62
12/12/25HOlympiacos98-85
07/12/25HMoraBanc Andorra102-71
05/12/25ACrvena zvezda89-79
26/11/25HLyon-Villeurbanne88-78
23/11/25AGran Canaria72-61
20/11/25AAnadolu Efes73-74
16/11/25HBaskonia91-83
14/11/25HVirtus Bologna88-81
12/11/25ABayern75-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paris
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL33%
HomeLLLWL38%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %33%38%29%
Points / game91.391.990.7
Allowed / game93.290.896.0
Point differential-1.9+1.1-5.3
Avg total184.5182.6186.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)25% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Barcelona
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayLWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %67%71%62%
Points / game86.488.784.4
Allowed / game84.286.782.0
Point differential+2.2+2.0+2.4
Avg total170.6175.4166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%29%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1612475%89.382.8+6.5
2 Valencia1611569%89.985.5+4.4
3 Barcelona1510567%86.484.2+2.2
4 Panathinaikos1610662%88.285.8+2.5
5 Monaco159660%90.583.7+6.7
6 Zalgiris Kaunas159660%87.082.1+4.9
7 Fenerbahce159660%80.379.2+1.1
8 Crvena zvezda169756%85.181.9+3.2
9 Real Madrid169756%84.783.2+1.5
10 Olimpia Milano169756%85.184.0+1.1
11 Olympiacos158753%86.784.0+2.7
12 Virtus Bologna157847%80.982.7-1.8
13 Dubai167944%86.488.1-1.6
14 Partizan156940%82.186.5-4.3
15 Maccabi Tel Aviv1661038%89.392.2-2.9
16 Paris1551033%91.393.2-1.9
17 Baskonia1551033%85.889.5-3.7
18 Bayern1551033%78.184.1-5.9
19 Anadolu Efes1551033%80.286.3-6.1
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne1531220%76.686.3-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paris1316231769
Barcelona3022161785
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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