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Monaco vs Paris Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 125-104
35-29 23-17 33-24 34-34
Position#10
Record8-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game81.5
Monaco 🏆
vs
Position#16
Record5-8
FormWWLLL
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game89.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 14· Salle Gaston Medecin
European cup2025
Meetings · Monaco v Paris
21 Jun 2026
MCO96
PRS84
19 Jun 2026
MCO77
PRS88
10 May 2026
MCO95
PRS123
04 Dec 2025
MCO125
PRS104
02 Dec 2025
MCO109
PRS103
22 Jun 2025
MCO80
PRS74
20 Jun 2025
MCO81
PRS78
09 Mar 2025
MCO94
PRS63
24 Oct 2024
MCO80
PRS87
06 Jun 2024
MCO70
PRS77
04 Jun 2024
MCO90
PRS80
17 Feb 2024
MCO93
PRS98
03 Dec 2023
MCO84
PRS62
05 Feb 2023
MCO103
PRS81
31 Oct 2021
MCO100
PRS75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Monaco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
Limoges
#13
W
94-77
94
77
+17
95avg 91
A02/11
LNB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
112-107 OT
112
107
+5
107avg 91
A06/11
Euroleague
Saint Quentin
#14
W
92-84
92
84
+8
89avg 91
H09/11
LNB
Partizan
#15
L
76-78
76
78
-2
69avg 91
A11/11
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
79-91
79
91
-12
73avg 91
A13/11
Euroleague
Le Mans
#6
W
93-84
93
84
+9
88avg 91
A16/11
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
84-52
84
52
+32
79avg 91
A19/11
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#7
L
89-91
89
91
-2
77avg 91
H23/11
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
102-66
102
66
+36
103avg 91
H26/11
Euroleague
Paris
#47
W
109-103
109
103
+6
113avg 91
H02/12
French Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-11
25-17
17-23
21-26
22-26
24-23
25-27
25-20
25-12
23-25
24-20
20-27
20-19
12-17
17-28
27-14
25-23
21-19
18-23
15-26
35-18
16-30
17-20
25-16
14-11
20-10
30-19
20-12
28-27
24-17
19-20
18-27
25-22
25-21
20-10
32-13
33-25
32-33
15-16
29-29
176.3Avg total
93.0Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)88.281.5169.7+6.662%
Season at home (5)94.280.8175.0+13.480%
Season away (8)84.482.0166.4+2.450%
Last 10 (10)93.083.3176.3+9.770%
Last 5 (5)95.479.2174.6+16.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)92.087.0179.0+5.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (17)88.588.5177.0+0.159%
vs Weaker (11)90.575.9166.4+14.573%
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
77-86
77
86
-9
65avg 91
A30/10
Euroleague
Boulazac
#12
W
94-73
94
73
+21
70avg 91
A02/11
LNB
Bayern
#14
L
82-86
82
86
-4
68avg 91
H06/11
Euroleague
Limoges
#13
W
115-93
115
93
+22
118avg 91
H09/11
LNB
Panathinaikos
#7
L
95-101
95
101
-6
80avg 91
H11/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
90-86
90
86
+4
85avg 91
H13/11
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#7
W
91-75
91
75
+16
87avg 91
A15/11
LNB
Olympiacos
#1
L
86-98
86
98
-12
82avg 91
A21/11
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
L
89-90
89
90
-1
79avg 91
A25/11
Euroleague
Monaco
#1
L
103-109
103
109
-6
90avg 91
A02/12
French Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
12-24
26-20
24-19
26-28
23-17
25-20
20-8
19-22
23-31
26-11
14-22
33-27
29-29
34-19
19-18
28-27
15-25
29-20
23-29
15-14
22-35
30-22
23-15
16-15
27-18
26-16
22-26
29-21
20-37
20-17
17-23
32-17
13-29
21-13
23-31
25-33
33-32
16-15
29-29
181.9Avg total
92.2Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)89.389.6178.9-0.338%
Season at home (7)90.088.3178.3+1.743%
Season away (6)88.591.2179.7-2.733%
Last 10 (10)92.289.7181.9+2.540%
Last 5 (5)91.891.6183.4+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)85.393.3178.7-8.033%
vs Similar ◀ (17)88.487.6176.0+0.735%
vs Weaker (9)100.781.9182.6+18.889%
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -6.0-6.0Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +8.0+8.0Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -6.0-6.0Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +8.0+8.0Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
MonacoParis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limoges
#13
W
56-28
56
28
+28
A02/11
LNB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A06/11
Euroleague
Saint Quentin
#14
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H09/11
LNB
Partizan
#15
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A11/11
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A13/11
Euroleague
Le Mans
#6
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A16/11
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
34-21
34
21
+13
A19/11
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#7
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H23/11
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H26/11
Euroleague
Paris
#47
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H02/12
French Cup
88.6Avg total
48.0Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.941.985.7+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.143.790.8+3.462%-
Last 30 away (17)41.440.581.9+0.947%-
Last 10 (10)48.040.688.6+7.480%-
Last 5 (5)50.442.893.2+7.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.038.075.0-1.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)43.945.088.9-1.147%-
vs Weaker (11)42.535.978.4+6.564%-
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
27-47
27
47
-20
A30/10
Euroleague
Boulazac
#12
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A02/11
LNB
Bayern
#14
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H06/11
Euroleague
Limoges
#13
W
62-56
62
56
+6
H09/11
LNB
Panathinaikos
#7
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H11/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H13/11
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#7
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A15/11
LNB
Olympiacos
#1
L
49-58
49
58
-9
A21/11
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A25/11
Euroleague
Monaco
#1
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A02/12
French Cup
95.9Avg total
45.5Scored
50.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.645.391.9+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.846.892.6-0.946%-
Last 30 away (17)47.144.291.3+2.953%-
Last 10 (10)45.550.495.9-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)46.450.296.6-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)46.749.095.7-2.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)43.844.588.3-0.647%-
vs Weaker (9)50.443.493.9+7.067%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 92.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.022.2
61.7%
60.4%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.4
32.2%
35.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws26.822.4
83.6%
78.2%22.4
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 91.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.8
51.6%
60.4%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.411.6
34.7%
35.9%34.8
🏀 Free throws22.017.4
79.1%
78.2%17.4
They take 71.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Monaco
WWLWWLLWWW
Paris
LLLWWLWLWL
#10
League position
#16
+11.4
Net rating
+4.3
119.1
Offensive rating
116.6
107.7
Defensive rating
112.3
56.0%
Effective FG%
51.8%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
16.2%
Turnover %
17.7%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
38.8%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.2%
3-point %
34.7%
67.3%
Assist %
57.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence119.1 · 116.6Defence107.7 · 112.3Shooting56.0% · 51.8%3-point %32.2% · 34.7%Ball care16.2% · 17.7%Off. rebounds28.2% · 38.8%Free throws0.43 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Monaco   ■ Paris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Monaco wins
4
Paris wins
DateGameScore
02/12/25Monaco v Paris109-103
12/10/25Paris v Monaco94-99
24/06/25Paris v Monaco99-93
22/06/25Monaco v Paris80-74
20/06/25Monaco v Paris81-78
17/06/25Paris v Monaco92-67
15/06/25Paris v Monaco94-82
09/03/25Monaco v Paris94-63
05/03/25Paris v Monaco79-91
08/12/24Paris v Monaco111-104 OT
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/25HParis109-103
26/11/25HAnadolu Efes102-66
23/11/25HJL Bourg89-91
19/11/25ALyon-Villeurbanne84-52
16/11/25ALe Mans93-84
13/11/25ACrvena zvezda79-91
11/11/25APartizan76-78
09/11/25HSaint Quentin92-84
06/11/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv112-107 OT
02/11/25ALimoges94-77
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/25AMonaco103-109
25/11/25ADubai89-90
21/11/25AOlympiacos86-98
15/11/25AJL Bourg91-75
13/11/25HValencia90-86
11/11/25HPanathinaikos95-101
09/11/25HLimoges115-93
06/11/25HBayern82-86
02/11/25ABoulazac94-73
30/10/25AOlimpia Milano77-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Monaco
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW62%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %62%80%50%
Points / game88.294.284.4
Allowed / game81.580.882.0
Point differential+6.6+13.4+2.4
Avg total169.7175.0166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%40%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)0% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %8%0%12%
Paris
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL38%
HomeLLLLW43%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %38%43%33%
Points / game89.390.088.5
Allowed / game89.688.391.2
Point differential-0.3+1.7-2.7
Avg total178.9178.3179.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%29%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv139469%90.784.1+6.6
2 Crvena zvezda139469%86.881.4+5.5
3 Panathinaikos139469%89.585.4+4.1
4 Monaco138562%88.281.5+6.6
5 Olympiacos138562%86.481.8+4.6
6 Valencia138562%89.085.8+3.2
7 Fenerbahce138562%79.678.5+1.1
8 Barcelona138562%85.384.5+0.8
9 Zalgiris Kaunas148657%85.580.4+5.1
10 Real Madrid148657%84.282.5+1.7
11 Olimpia Milano137654%84.583.5+1.1
12 Virtus Bologna136746%81.583.3-1.8
13 Dubai136746%86.288.1-1.8
14 Paris135838%89.389.6-0.3
15 Bayern135838%76.883.1-6.2
16 Anadolu Efes145936%80.185.7-5.6
17 Baskonia134931%85.590.0-4.5
18 Partizan134931%81.687.4-5.8
19 Maccabi Tel Aviv1441029%88.692.6-4.1
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne1331023%75.885.8-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Monaco35233334125
Paris29172434104
← all games of the day
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