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Paris vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 105-108
29-28 27-20 17-32 32-28
Position#16
Record5-9
FormLLLWW
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game92.1
vs
Position#5
Record8-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game80.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 15· Adidas Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Paris v Zalgiris Kaunas
01 Oct 2026
PRS82
ZAL78
11 Dec 2025
PRS105
ZAL108
13 Nov 2024
PRS83
ZAL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Limoges
#13
W
115-93
115
93
+22
118avg 90
H09/11
LNB
Panathinaikos
#7
L
95-101
95
101
-6
80avg 90
H11/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
90-86
90
86
+4
85avg 90
H13/11
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#7
W
91-75
91
75
+16
87avg 90
A15/11
LNB
Olympiacos
#1
L
86-98
86
98
-12
82avg 90
A21/11
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
L
89-90
89
90
-1
79avg 90
A25/11
Euroleague
Monaco
#1
L
103-109
103
109
-6
90avg 90
A02/12
French Cup
Monaco
#10
L
104-125
104
125
-21
85avg 90
A04/12
Euroleague
Saint Quentin
#14
W
99-69
99
69
+30
95avg 90
H07/12
LNB
Le Portel
#16
W
110-80
110
80
+30
107avg 90
H09/12
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-27
29-29
34-19
19-18
28-27
15-25
29-20
23-29
15-14
22-35
30-22
23-15
16-15
27-18
26-16
22-26
29-21
20-37
20-17
17-23
32-17
13-29
21-13
23-31
25-33
33-32
16-15
29-29
29-35
17-23
24-33
34-34
36-20
12-19
21-17
30-13
21-15
32-23
24-16
33-26
190.8Avg total
98.2Scored
92.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)90.492.1182.5-1.836%
Season at home (7)90.088.3178.3+1.743%
Season away (7)90.796.0186.7-5.329%
Last 10 (10)98.292.6190.8+5.650%
Last 5 (5)101.094.6195.6+6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)85.393.3178.7-8.033%
vs Similar (16)88.891.6180.4-2.925%
vs Weaker (10)101.279.3180.5+21.990%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
79-75
79
75
+4
70avg 83
H02/11
LKL
Valencia
#3
W
86-77
86
77
+9
80avg 83
H07/11
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
94-68
94
68
+26
97avg 83
A09/11
LKL
Olympiacos
#1
L
78-95
78
95
-17
62avg 83
A12/11
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
L
89-95
89
95
-6
80avg 83
A14/11
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
99-100
99
100
-1
96avg 83
A20/11
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#6
W
81-77
81
77
+4
75avg 83
A23/11
LKL
Baskonia
#18
W
82-67
82
67
+15
75avg 83
H25/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
65-83
65
83
-18
50avg 83
H04/12
Euroleague
Gargzdai
#5
W
108-71
108
71
+37
117avg 83
H07/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
27-17
22-14
15-23
18-17
20-18
23-23
25-19
21-19
24-12
25-25
24-12
14-28
22-22
17-24
25-21
34-24
14-21
16-28
25-22
16-22
21-21
25-19
37-38
20-18
15-19
27-22
19-18
18-24
19-18
17-12
28-13
14-22
16-29
16-9
19-23
29-22
27-18
26-18
26-13
166.9Avg total
86.1Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)85.580.4165.9+5.157%
Season at home (7)82.474.4156.9+8.071%
Season away (7)88.686.4175.0+2.143%
Last 10 (10)86.180.8166.9+5.360%
Last 5 (5)87.079.6166.6+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.095.0173.0-17.00%
vs Similar (7)87.785.4173.1+2.357%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)86.475.7162.1+10.777%
This opponent (Paris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +4.1+4.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +4.1+4.1
ParisZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limoges
#13
W
62-56
62
56
+6
H09/11
LNB
Panathinaikos
#7
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H11/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H13/11
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#7
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A15/11
LNB
Olympiacos
#1
L
49-58
49
58
-9
A21/11
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A25/11
Euroleague
Monaco
#1
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A02/12
French Cup
Monaco
#10
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A04/12
Euroleague
Saint Quentin
#14
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H07/12
LNB
Le Portel
#16
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H09/12
LNB
97.8Avg total
48.4Scored
49.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.745.792.5+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.747.694.3-0.946%-
Last 30 away (17)46.844.391.1+2.553%-
Last 10 (10)48.449.497.8-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)50.049.299.2+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)46.749.095.7-2.333%-
vs Similar (16)43.846.890.6-2.938%-
vs Weaker (10)50.341.291.5+9.180%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H02/11
LKL
Valencia
#3
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H07/11
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A09/11
LKL
Olympiacos
#1
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A12/11
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A14/11
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A20/11
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#6
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A23/11
LKL
Baskonia
#18
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H25/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
30-51
30
51
-21
H04/12
Euroleague
Gargzdai
#5
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H07/12
LKL
81.6Avg total
40.4Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.838.079.8+3.867%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.638.279.9+3.469%-
Last 30 away (14)42.037.779.7+4.364%-
Last 10 (10)40.441.281.6-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.042.681.6-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.050.086.0-14.00%-
vs Similar (7)43.139.983.0+3.371%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)41.636.978.5+4.868%-
This opponent (Paris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 97.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.4
55.1%
60.4%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.713.7
39.5%
35.9%41.1
🏀 Free throws20.515.8
77.1%
78.2%15.8
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.9
51.8%
60.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.1
35.1%
35.9%30.3
🏀 Free throws21.415.0
70.1%
78.2%15.0
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paris
WWLLLLWWLW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLWWLLLWWW
#16
League position
#5
+7.6
Net rating
+7.2
121.6
Offensive rating
115.4
114.0
Defensive rating
108.2
57.1%
Effective FG%
52.2%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
19.1%
Turnover %
15.2%
40.5%
Off. rebound %
36.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
39.5%
3-point %
35.1%
57.5%
Assist %
66.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence121.6 · 115.4Defence114.0 · 108.2Shooting57.1% · 52.2%3-point %39.5% · 35.1%Ball care19.1% · 15.2%Off. rebounds40.5% · 36.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Paris   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Paris wins
1
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
13/03/25Zalgiris Kaunas v Paris83-81
13/11/24Paris v Zalgiris Kaunas83-77
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/25HLe Portel110-80
07/12/25HSaint Quentin99-69
04/12/25AMonaco104-125
02/12/25AMonaco103-109
25/11/25ADubai89-90
21/11/25AOlympiacos86-98
15/11/25AJL Bourg91-75
13/11/25HValencia90-86
11/11/25HPanathinaikos95-101
09/11/25HLimoges115-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25HGargzdai108-71
04/12/25HMaccabi Tel Aviv65-83
25/11/25HBaskonia82-67
23/11/25ALietkabelis81-77
20/11/25AReal Madrid99-100
14/11/25ADubai89-95
12/11/25AOlympiacos78-95
09/11/25ANevezis94-68
07/11/25HValencia86-77
02/11/25HRytas79-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paris
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL36%
HomeLLLLW43%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %36%43%29%
Points / game90.490.090.7
Allowed / game92.188.396.0
Point differential-1.8+1.7-5.3
Avg total182.5178.3186.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL57%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayLWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %57%71%43%
Points / game85.582.488.6
Allowed / game80.474.486.4
Point differential+5.1+8.0+2.1
Avg total165.9156.9175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%43%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1410471%90.483.8+6.6
2 Valencia1510567%89.385.1+4.3
3 Monaco149564%90.883.1+7.6
4 Crvena zvezda149564%86.381.9+4.4
5 Barcelona149564%85.684.1+1.4
6 Olympiacos138562%86.481.8+4.6
7 Fenerbahce138562%79.678.5+1.1
8 Panathinaikos159660%88.786.3+2.4
9 Zalgiris Kaunas148657%85.580.4+5.1
10 Real Madrid148657%84.282.5+1.7
11 Olimpia Milano158753%84.984.1+0.7
12 Virtus Bologna147750%81.482.9-1.6
13 Dubai146843%85.687.4-1.8
14 Paris145936%90.492.1-1.8
15 Baskonia145936%85.789.1-3.4
16 Partizan145936%82.487.2-4.9
17 Bayern145936%77.483.7-6.3
18 Maccabi Tel Aviv1551033%88.892.1-3.3
19 Anadolu Efes1551033%80.286.3-6.1
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne1531220%76.686.3-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paris29271732105
Zalgiris Kaunas28203228108
← all games of the day
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