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Paris vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 90-79
24-24 25-16 23-20 18-19
Position#16
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game95.0
Paris 🏆
vs
Position#17
Record1-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game85.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 3· Adidas Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Paris v Virtus Bologna
14 Oct 2026
PRS94
VIR96
09 Oct 2025
PRS90
VIR79
28 Nov 2024
PRS81
VIR78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Monaco
#2
W
92-67
92
67
+25
106avg 91
H17/06
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
78-81
78
81
-3
86avg 91
A20/06
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
74-80
74
80
-6
89avg 91
A22/06
LNB
Monaco
#2
W
99-93
99
93
+6
108avg 91
H24/06
LNB
Le Mans
#3
L
87-90
87
90
-3
102avg 91
A20/09
LNB Super Cup
Boulazac
#2
L
80-96
80
96
-16
67avg 91
A21/09
LNB Super Cup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
109-66
109
66
+43
120avg 91
A27/09
LNB
Fenerbahce
#4
L
77-96
77
96
-19
62avg 91
A01/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
101-94
101
94
+7
100avg 91
A03/10
Euroleague
Le Mans
#6
L
89-95
89
95
-6
89avg 91
A06/10
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
21-15
29-17
22-22
23-12
22-21
15-30
18-18
16-20
27-20
13-15
18-25
29-21
25-29
19-31
26-12
23-28
17-24
25-22
22-16
28-24
26-16
16-30
10-26
29-19
28-14
26-17
26-16
19-25
21-18
19-27
18-26
27-20
21-21
26-22
27-31
25-32
20-14
23-14
21-35
174.4Avg total
88.6Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)89.095.0184.0-6.050%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)89.095.0184.0-6.050%
Last 10 (10)88.685.8174.4+2.840%
Last 5 (5)91.289.4180.6+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.096.0176.0-16.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)85.185.5170.6-0.442%
vs Weaker (17)97.985.5183.4+12.582%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
66-85
66
85
-19
57avg 78
H02/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
78-68
78
68
+10
76avg 78
A05/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
84-78
84
78
+6
84avg 78
A07/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
90-87
90
87
+3
89avg 78
H12/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
75-65
75
65
+10
70avg 78
H14/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
96-74
96
74
+22
96avg 78
A17/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
86-93 OT
86
93
-7
74avg 78
H27/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Real Madrid
#2
W
74-68
74
68
+6
66avg 78
H30/09
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
94-103
94
103
-9
86avg 78
A03/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#11
W
105-88
105
88
+17
104avg 78
H06/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
15-17
23-22
8-19
25-15
15-20
14-19
24-14
19-29
23-15
23-15
19-19
20-23
21-22
22-22
27-20
22-21
17-11
19-19
17-14
28-15
22-13
26-23
20-23
22-20
23-22
19-17
19-24
14-19
24-16
17-15
19-18
23-26
23-23
25-26
23-28
25-19
26-13
21-24
33-32
165.7Avg total
84.8Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)84.085.5169.5-1.550%
Season at home (1)74.068.0142.0+6.0100%
Season away (1)94.0103.0197.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)84.880.9165.7+3.970%
Last 5 (5)91.085.2176.2+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.887.5164.2-10.825%
vs Similar ◀ (11)82.476.9159.3+5.582%
vs Weaker (14)88.277.3165.5+10.971%
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.2-0.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.2-0.2
ParisVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#2
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H17/06
LNB
Monaco
#2
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A20/06
LNB
Monaco
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A22/06
LNB
Monaco
#2
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H24/06
LNB
Le Mans
#3
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A20/09
LNB Super Cup
Boulazac
#2
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A21/09
LNB Super Cup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
57-33
57
33
+24
A27/09
LNB
Fenerbahce
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A01/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A03/10
Euroleague
Le Mans
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A06/10
LNB
87.3Avg total
46.7Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.343.391.6+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (14)51.243.294.4+8.071%-
Last 30 away (16)45.843.489.1+2.456%-
Last 10 (10)46.740.687.3+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)48.840.689.4+8.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)54.040.094.0+14.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.843.186.9+0.858%-
vs Weaker (17)51.143.694.8+7.565%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H02/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A05/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A07/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H12/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H14/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
50-28
50
28
+22
A17/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H27/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Real Madrid
#2
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H30/09
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A03/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#11
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H06/10
Lega A
81.3Avg total
42.7Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.938.380.2+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.336.878.1+4.573%-
Last 30 away (15)42.639.782.3+2.947%-
Last 10 (10)42.738.681.3+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)46.037.283.2+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.245.082.2-7.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.538.478.9+2.245%-
vs Weaker (14)44.136.080.1+8.179%-
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.517.0
47.9%
60.4%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.511.0
36.1%
35.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws25.720.0
77.8%
78.2%20.0
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.721.4
56.8%
60.4%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.2
35.5%
35.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws20.716.8
81.2%
78.2%16.8
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paris
LWLWLLWLLW
Virtus Bologna
WLWLWWWWWL
#16
League position
#17
+2.2
Net rating
+6.4
117.7
Offensive rating
119.6
115.6
Defensive rating
113.2
50.8%
Effective FG%
55.4%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
13.1%
Turnover %
15.7%
39.2%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.1%
3-point %
35.5%
61.8%
Assist %
64.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence117.7 · 119.6Defence115.6 · 113.2Shooting50.8% · 55.4%3-point %36.1% · 35.5%Ball care13.1% · 15.7%Off. rebounds39.2% · 32.3%Free throws0.39 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Paris   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Paris wins
0
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
07/02/25Virtus Bologna v Paris77-83
28/11/24Paris v Virtus Bologna81-78
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/25ALe Mans89-95
03/10/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv101-94
01/10/25AFenerbahce77-96
27/09/25AGravelines-Dunkerque109-66
21/09/25ABoulazac80-96
20/09/25ALe Mans87-90
24/06/25HMonaco99-93
22/06/25AMonaco74-80
20/06/25AMonaco78-81
17/06/25HMonaco92-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/25HBasket Napoli105-88
03/10/25AValencia94-103
30/09/25HReal Madrid74-68
27/09/25HOlimpia Milano86-93 OT
17/06/25ABrescia96-74
14/06/25HBrescia75-65
12/06/25HBrescia90-87
07/06/25AOlimpia Milano84-78
05/06/25AOlimpia Milano78-68
02/06/25HOlimpia Milano66-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paris
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
Home--
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game89.0-89.0
Allowed / game95.0-95.0
Point differential-6.0--6.0
Avg total184.0-184.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game84.074.094.0
Allowed / game85.568.0103.0
Point differential-1.5+6.0-9.0
Avg total169.5142.0197.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia220100%91.585.5+6.0
2 Zalgiris Kaunas220100%86.582.5+4.0
3 Monaco32167%89.783.0+6.7
4 Hapoel Tel-Aviv32167%93.390.3+3.0
5 Panathinaikos32167%89.788.7+1.0
6 Partizan32167%83.084.7-1.7
7 Fenerbahce21150%88.580.5+8.0
8 Real Madrid21150%78.575.5+3.0
9 Lyon-Villeurbanne21150%89.587.5+2.0
10 Bayern21150%88.087.5+0.5
11 Virtus Bologna21150%84.085.5-1.5
12 Olympiacos21150%89.592.5-3.0
13 Barcelona21150%95.099.5-4.5
14 Dubai21150%85.089.5-4.5
15 Paris21150%89.095.0-6.0
16 Olimpia Milano31233%83.081.3+1.7
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv31233%91.792.0-0.3
18 Anadolu Efes31233%84.386.0-1.7
19 Baskonia3030%91.796.7-5.0
20 Crvena zvezda2020%85.094.5-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paris2425231890
Virtus Bologna2416201979
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