Parma Perm will face Zenit Petersburg in the VTB United League on 15 November 2026, with the model favouring Zenit. Parma Perm sits sixth after nine games, 4-5, averaging 87.4 points and allowing 86.4, while at home they are 2-1 with 95.7 points for and 80.7 against; their last five included a 70-84 loss to Unics Kazan, a 84-106 defeat away to Lokomotiv Kuban, and a 109-68 home win over Samara. Zenit, in fourth place after ten games, 7-3, scores 85.0 and concedes 75.1, and on the road they are 2-3 with 76.4 points for and 77.0 against; their recent five feature four wins and one loss, including a 92-56 home victory over Samara, a 68-80 loss to CSKA Moscow, and an 83-72 win over Dynamo Vladivostok. Historically Zenit has won all ten encounters, most recently 99-85 on 7 October 2026. The Pythia model assigns a 58% chance to Zenit and 42% to Parma, projects a 80-83 score for a 162.9 total, and sees a 57% probability that Parma will cover the 5.0-point spread; the over on 167.5 carries a 38% chance, with a 5% likelihood of overtime. The game will hinge on whether Parma can rebound from recent defeats to challenge a dominant Zenit.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Parma Perm win
41.7%fair 2.40
Best odds2.54
Implied40.4%
Edge+1.3pp
Zenit Petersburg win
58.3%fair 1.72
Best odds1.54
Implied59.6%
Edge-1.3pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 14:24 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Parma Perm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Total points distribution
Pythia expects about 163 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 160-164 (12%). The market's main line is 166.
Over/Under 161
Over 161
53.8%
@ 1.60-3.3pp
Under 161
46.2%
@ 2.28+3.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.60
1xBet
1.53
Marathon Be
1.46
Under
Marathon Be
2.28
1xBet
2.28
Pinnacle
2.13
Over/Under 166 · main line
Over 166
41.4%
@ 1.84-8.4pp
Under 166
58.6%
@ 1.95+8.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.84
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.95
1xBet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.83
Over/Under 171
Over 171
30.0%
@ 2.14-12.3pp
Under 171
70.0%
@ 1.60+12.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
2.14
1xBet
2.14
Under
1xBet
1.60
Marathon Be
1.54
📊 3. Team Totals
Parma Perm total 77.5
Over 77.5
59.6%
Under 77.5
40.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Parma Perm total 81.5 · main line
Over 81.5
44.6%
@ 1.88-5.1pp
Under 81.5
55.4%
@ 1.86+5.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.88
1xBet
1.88
Under
Marathon Be
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Parma Perm total 85.5
Over 85.5
30.6%
Under 85.5
69.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zenit Petersburg total 81.5
Over 81.5
54.5%
Under 81.5
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zenit Petersburg total 85.5 · main line
Over 85.5
39.3%
@ 1.88-10.4pp
Under 85.5
60.7%
@ 1.86+10.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.88
1xBet
1.88
Under
Marathon Be
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Zenit Petersburg total 89.5
Over 89.5
25.7%
@ 2.26-14.5pp
Under 89.5
74.3%
@ 1.52+14.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.26
Under
1xBet
1.52
⚖️ 4. Spread
Winning margin distribution
Margin from Parma Perm's side (positive = Parma Perm win). Pythia's expected margin is -2.5; Parma Perm win by 1+ in 36% of simulations.
Spread Parma Perm +0.5
PPE +0.5
41.7%
ZPE -0.5
58.3%
Best 5 market prices
PPE
No market prices yet.
ZPE
No market prices yet.
Spread Parma Perm +3.5 · main line
PPE +3.5
51.6%
@ 1.94+2.4pp
ZPE -3.5
48.4%
@ 1.82-2.4pp
Best 5 market prices
PPE
Marathon Be
1.94
1xBet
1.94
Pinnacle
1.86
SBO
1.85
ZPE
Marathon Be
1.82
1xBet
1.82
SBO
1.81
Pinnacle
1.80
Spread Parma Perm +6.5
PPE +6.5
62.1%
@ 1.61+1.6pp
ZPE -6.5
37.9%
@ 2.29-1.6pp
Best 5 market prices
PPE
Marathon Be
1.61
1xBet
1.61
Pinnacle
1.50
ZPE
Pinnacle
2.29
Marathon Be
2.20
1xBet
2.20
⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves
Quarter by quarter
Parma PermZenit Petersburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Parma PermLast 10 – 1st quarter points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
W
27-16
27
16
+11
H03/05
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
W
20-17
20
17
+3
A26/09
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
19-23
19
23
-4
A07/10
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#5
W
25-17
25
17
+8
A10/10
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#7
W
31-14
31
14
+17
A13/10
VTB United League
Dynamo Vladivostok
#8
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H17/10
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
D
14-14
14
14
+0
A27/10
VTB United League
Samara
#11
W
23-13
23
13
+10
H03/11
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#2
L
18-23
18
23
-5
A07/11
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
19-23
19
23
-4
H11/11
VTB United League
40.5Avg total
22.2Scored
18.3Allowed
1st quarter
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the quarter
Over 42
Last 30 (30)
20.5
19.7
40.2
+0.8
50%
30%
Last 30 at home (11)
19.9
19.2
39.1
+0.7
64%
36%
Last 30 away (19)
20.8
20.1
40.9
+0.8
42%
26%
Last 10 (10)
22.2
18.3
40.5
+3.9
60%
30%
Last 5 (5)
20.0
19.2
39.2
+0.8
40%
20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)
19.2
19.7
38.9
-0.5
40%
20%
vs Similar (9)
20.8
20.0
40.8
+0.8
44%
33%
vs Weaker (11)
21.5
19.5
41.0
+1.9
64%
36%
This opponent (Zenit Petersburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
This opponent (Parma Perm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half Spread Parma Perm +2 · main line
PPE +2
52.0%
@ 1.87+2.0pp
ZPE -2
48.0%
@ 1.87-2.0pp
2nd half Over/Under 82.5 · main line
Over
44.0%
@ 1.87-6.0pp
Under
56.0%
@ 1.87+6.0pp
Parma Perm 2nd half total 39.5 · main line
Over
51.1%
@ 1.86+0.8pp
Under
48.9%
@ 1.88-0.8pp
Zenit Petersburg 2nd half total 42.5 · main line
Over
42.9%
@ 1.90-6.3pp
Under
57.1%
@ 1.84+6.3pp
2nd half Over/Under 81
Over
49.4%
@ 1.80-2.6pp
Under
50.6%
@ 1.95+2.6pp
2nd half Spread Parma Perm +1
PPE +1
47.7%
@ 1.82-3.6pp
ZPE -1
52.3%
@ 1.92+3.6pp
2nd half Over/Under 79.5
Over
54.7%
@ 1.83+3.7pp
Under
45.3%
@ 1.91-3.7pp
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)
PPE
41.6%
@ 2.04-3.2pp
Draw
4.1%
@ 17.75-1.0pp
ZPE
54.2%
@ 1.83+4.3pp
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Parma Permtheir opponents' shots (defence), last 10 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Parma Perm: 78.5 points a game allowed
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
39.8
19.5
49.0%
-
39.0
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
26.0
8.4
32.3%
-
25.2
🏀Free throws
18.9
14.3
75.7%
-
14.3
Their opponents take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of those shots are threes. Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
Their opponents take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of those shots are threes. Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Parma Permtheir opponents' shots (defence), last 30 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Parma Perm: 75.2 points a game allowed
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.3 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
37.1
18.6
50.2%
-
37.3
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
24.1
8.5
35.3%
-
25.5
🏀Free throws
16.0
12.4
77.3%
-
12.4
Their opponents take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of those shots are threes. Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
Their opponents take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of those shots are threes. Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
💪 9. Team Strengths
Side by side
Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Parma Perm
LLWLWLWLWL
Zenit Petersburg
WLWWWLWWLW
#6
League position
#4
-6.1
Net rating
+2.0
98.6
Offensive rating
110.9
104.8
Defensive rating
108.9
50.6%
Effective FG%
50.8%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
20.7%
Turnover %
15.3%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.3%
3-point %
37.1%
73.9%
Assist %
63.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%
Profile
■ Parma Perm■ Zenit Petersburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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PythiaBasketballBETA
Parma Perm
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv Kuban
Unics Kazan
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
MBA Moscow
Dynamo Vladivostok
Saratov
Enisey
Samara
