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Parnu vs Rigas Zelli Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 51-87
11-25 11-20 14-17 15-25
Position#11
Record4-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game79.8
vs
Position#3
Record13-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game70.4
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Parnu Spordihall
Other2024
Meetings · Parnu v Rigas Zelli
10 Feb 2027
PAR v RZE
upcoming
08 Oct 2025
PAR76
RZE83
18 Dec 2024
PAR51
RZE87
02 Mar 2024
PAR69
RZE64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Parnu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rigas Zelli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
CSM Oradea
#6
L
67-85
67
85
-18
54avg 71
A06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
76-89
76
89
-13
74avg 71
A09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Spojnia Stargard
#16
L
59-83
59
83
-24
52avg 71
A13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BK Ogre
#5
W
87-76
87
76
+11
84avg 71
A17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
L
74-80
74
80
-6
63avg 71
H28/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
91-94
91
94
-3
89avg 71
A30/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
L
78-80
78
80
-2
75avg 71
H03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
94-71
94
71
+23
92avg 71
A07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
87avg 71
A10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
62-75
62
75
-13
58avg 71
H14/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
17-25
20-23
18-19
17-18
20-23
17-20
22-28
18-19
14-23
12-25
15-16
19-23
28-21
22-17
18-15
19-21
8-14
29-23
18-22
20-21
22-25
23-27
26-21
22-17
19-17
24-24
13-22
21-20
22-18
30-24
21-9
13-28
24-17
26-27
22-13
11-22
19-19
10-13
22-21
160.8Avg total
78.0Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.479.8160.2+0.733%
Season at home (6)75.876.2152.0-0.333%
Season away (6)85.083.3168.3+1.733%
Last 10 (10)78.082.8160.8-4.820%
Last 5 (5)83.483.0166.4+0.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)74.981.2156.2-6.321%
vs Similar (5)77.872.8150.6+5.060%
vs Weaker (6)67.767.7135.3+0.033%
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZelli
Date
Competition
BK Ogre
#5
W
88-71
88
71
+17
79avg 75
H26/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
113-76
113
76
+37
118avg 75
A30/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
W
96-66
96
66
+30
98avg 75
A01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
W
89-76
89
76
+13
85avg 75
H09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
72-61
72
61
+11
60avg 75
H17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
83-66
83
66
+17
84avg 75
A27/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
W
84-70
84
70
+14
79avg 75
H30/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
W
73-58
73
58
+15
67avg 75
H07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
89-42
89
42
+47
87avg 75
A10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
82-62
82
62
+20
78avg 75
H14/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
24-7
17-21
24-20
35-13
25-22
24-17
29-24
14-25
28-18
28-13
26-10
18-17
23-20
20-17
28-22
20-21
13-15
21-14
18-11
20-21
12-12
18-18
33-15
29-19
18-17
19-15
18-19
23-11
12-17
22-20
16-10
15-12
28-9
27-13
19-8
21-12
29-10
17-20
15-20
151.7Avg total
86.9Scored
64.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)84.470.4154.8+14.081%
Season at home (8)83.270.8154.0+12.5100%
Season away (8)85.570.0155.5+15.562%
Last 10 (10)86.964.8151.7+22.1100%
Last 5 (5)82.259.6141.8+22.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.781.8157.5-6.217%
vs Similar (6)88.883.3172.2+5.583%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)84.970.6155.4+14.378%
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +6.5+6.5Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +6.7+6.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +6.5+6.5Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +6.7+6.7
ParnuRigas Zelli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSM Oradea
#6
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Spojnia Stargard
#16
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BK Ogre
#5
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H28/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A30/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H14/12
Latvia-Estonian League
77.4Avg total
36.5Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.738.373.0-3.633%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.535.168.5-1.640%-
Last 30 away (15)36.041.577.5-5.527%-
Last 10 (10)36.540.977.4-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.640.879.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)36.341.878.2-5.521%-
vs Similar (5)33.832.866.6+1.060%-
vs Weaker (6)30.531.762.2-1.250%-
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Ogre
#5
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H26/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
60-35
60
35
+25
A30/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A27/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H30/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
43-21
43
21
+22
A10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
50-22
50
22
+28
H14/12
Latvia-Estonian League
75.1Avg total
43.0Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.138.080.1+4.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.336.979.2+5.560%-
Last 30 away (15)41.939.181.1+2.840%-
Last 10 (10)43.032.175.1+10.970%-
Last 5 (5)41.428.069.4+13.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.039.877.8-1.817%-
vs Similar (6)44.343.087.3+1.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)42.835.778.5+7.161%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.917.4
49.9%
51.9%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.4
37.5%
32.3%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.413.6
70.1%
70.6%13.6
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rigas Zellitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rigas Zelli: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.7
53.2%
51.9%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.811.3
36.7%
32.3%33.9
🏀 Free throws18.212.8
70.3%
70.6%12.8
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Parnu
LLWLLLWLLL
Rigas Zelli
WWWWWWWWWW
#11
League position
#3
-7.8
Net rating
+29.6
106.1
Offensive rating
114.8
113.8
Defensive rating
85.2
52.5%
Effective FG%
54.1%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
42.8%
18.3%
Turnover %
15.0%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.5%
3-point %
36.7%
71.3%
Assist %
72.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 114.8Defence113.8 · 85.2Shooting52.5% · 54.1%3-point %37.5% · 36.7%Ball care18.3% · 15.0%Off. rebounds27.4% · 30.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 100%
■ Parnu   ■ Rigas Zelli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Parnu wins
2
Rigas Zelli wins
DateGameScore
09/11/24Rigas Zelli v Parnu89-76
02/03/24Parnu v Rigas Zelli69-64
25/11/23Rigas Zelli v Parnu85-81
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24HBC Kalev/Cramo62-75
10/12/24AVentspils92-95 OT
07/12/24ATal Tech94-71
03/12/24HRapla78-80
30/11/24ATartu Ulikool91-94
28/11/24HViimsi74-80
17/11/24ABK Ogre87-76
13/11/24ASpojnia Stargard59-83
09/11/24ARigas Zelli76-89
06/11/24ACSM Oradea67-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24HTal Tech82-62
10/12/24AKeila KK89-42
07/12/24HRapla73-58
30/11/24HBC Kalev/Cramo84-70
27/11/24ALatvijas Universitate83-66
17/11/24HValmiera Glass Via72-61
09/11/24HParnu89-76
01/11/24ARapla96-66
30/10/24ATal Tech113-76
26/10/24HBK Ogre88-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeLWLLL33%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game80.475.885.0
Allowed / game79.876.283.3
Point differential+0.7-0.3+1.7
Avg total160.2152.0168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%17%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Rigas Zelli
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %81%100%62%
Points / game84.483.285.5
Allowed / game70.470.870.0
Point differential+14.0+12.5+15.5
Avg total154.8154.0155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VEF Riga1513287%81.868.9+12.9
2 Rigas Zelli1613381%84.470.4+14.0
3 BC Kalev/Cramo118373%84.574.5+10.1
4 Tartu Ulikool139469%83.778.8+4.9
5 Valmiera Glass Via1510567%82.174.5+7.7
6 BK Ogre148657%80.878.1+2.6
7 BK Liepaja147750%80.180.3-0.1
8 Rapla147750%80.483.0-2.6
9 Keila Coolbet126650%78.983.0-4.1
10 Tal Tech167944%78.284.4-6.2
11 Ventspils146843%89.188.9+0.2
12 Parnu124833%80.479.8+0.7
13 Viimsi1331023%69.683.1-13.5
14 Keila KK121118%73.689.2-15.7
15 Latvijas Universitate151147%69.783.5-13.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Parnu1111141551
Rigas Zelli2520172587
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