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Ventspils vs Parnu Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 95-92 (OT)
28-13 17-24 27-26 13-22 10-7
Position#8
Record5-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game88.2
vs
Position#11
Record4-6
FormWLLLW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game78.7
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Olimpiskais centrs Ventspils
Other2024
Meetings · Ventspils v Parnu
02 Feb 2027
VET v PAR
upcoming
27 Jan 2026
VET80
PAR71
10 Dec 2024
VET95
PAR92
19 Dec 2023
VET91
PAR84
08 Mar 2023
VET91
PAR84
11 Dec 2021
VET81
PAR72
31 Mar 2019
VET94
PAR80
03 Oct 2018
VET97
PAR62
05 Feb 2014
VET89
PAR66
05 Feb 2013
VET103
PAR76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ventspils winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Parnu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VentspilsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVentspils
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#14
W
116-78
116
78
+38
121avg 82
H08/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
91-95
91
95
-4
90avg 82
H18/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
87-93
87
93
-6
77avg 82
A26/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
92-93
92
93
-1
84avg 82
H01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
L
104-110 OT
104
110
-6
94avg 82
A05/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
94-89
94
89
+5
93avg 82
A06/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
89-87
89
87
+2
76avg 82
A13/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
L
63-71
63
71
-8
58avg 82
A17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
L
75-82
75
82
-7
62avg 82
A27/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
W
101-81
101
81
+20
96avg 82
H06/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-15
23-15
33-22
29-26
17-18
33-20
17-28
24-29
22-30
20-19
18-22
27-22
16-22
24-26
27-24
25-21
22-22
23-24
20-19
20-20
18-23
23-13
25-26
28-27
11-19
30-23
33-16
15-29
25-18
14-12
15-17
9-24
21-18
20-26
16-23
18-15
27-20
24-30
35-21
15-10
179.1Avg total
91.2Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)89.388.2177.5+1.242%
Season at home (5)97.086.2183.2+10.860%
Season away (7)83.989.6173.4-5.729%
Last 10 (10)91.287.9179.1+3.340%
Last 5 (5)84.482.0166.4+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.983.0155.9-10.125%
vs Similar (13)90.790.1180.8+0.631%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)92.283.1175.3+9.178%
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Arges Pitesti
#19
W
73-70
73
70
+3
64avg 70
H30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#1
L
70-75
70
75
-5
67avg 70
A02/11
Latvia-Estonian League
CSM Oradea
#6
L
67-85
67
85
-18
54avg 70
A06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
76-89
76
89
-13
74avg 70
A09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Spojnia Stargard
#16
L
59-83
59
83
-24
52avg 70
A13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BK Ogre
#5
W
87-76
87
76
+11
84avg 70
A17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
L
74-80
74
80
-6
63avg 70
H28/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
91-94
91
94
-3
89avg 70
A30/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
L
78-80
78
80
-2
75avg 70
H03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
94-71
94
71
+23
92avg 70
A07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
21-21
23-15
13-16
20-23
8-25
27-12
15-15
12-18
17-25
20-23
18-19
17-18
20-23
17-20
22-28
18-19
14-23
12-25
15-16
19-23
28-21
22-17
18-15
19-21
8-14
29-23
18-22
20-21
22-25
23-27
26-21
22-17
19-17
24-24
13-22
21-20
22-18
30-24
21-9
157.2Avg total
76.9Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)81.178.7159.8+2.440%
Season at home (5)78.676.4155.0+2.240%
Season away (5)83.681.0164.6+2.640%
Last 10 (10)76.980.3157.2-3.430%
Last 5 (5)84.880.2165.0+4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)74.180.6154.6-6.522%
vs Similar (6)78.072.5150.5+5.567%
vs Weaker (6)67.767.7135.3+0.033%
This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.4-0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.4-0.4
VentspilsParnu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VentspilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#14
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H08/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H18/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A26/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A05/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A06/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A13/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A27/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H06/12
Latvia-Estonian League
85.7Avg total
44.4Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.841.485.2+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (13)48.241.289.4+6.977%-
Last 30 away (17)40.541.682.1-1.147%-
Last 10 (10)44.441.385.7+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)42.640.483.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.939.580.4+1.462%-
vs Similar (13)44.143.787.8+0.454%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)46.039.985.9+6.167%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arges Pitesti
#19
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#1
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A02/11
Latvia-Estonian League
CSM Oradea
#6
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Spojnia Stargard
#16
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BK Ogre
#5
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H28/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A30/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
77.3Avg total
36.3Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.037.672.6-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.234.468.6-0.144%-
Last 30 away (14)35.941.377.2-5.429%-
Last 10 (10)36.341.077.3-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)40.039.479.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)36.641.477.9-4.822%-
vs Similar (6)35.032.267.2+2.867%-
vs Weaker (6)30.531.762.2-1.250%-
This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ventspilstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ventspils: 90.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.8
55.9%
51.9%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.710.4
36.2%
32.3%31.2
🏀 Free throws23.617.4
73.7%
70.6%17.4
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.617.3
51.5%
51.9%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.6
37.1%
32.3%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.812.1
68.0%
70.6%12.1
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ventspils
WLLWWLLLLW
Parnu
WLLLWLLLLW
#8
League position
#11
+3.5
Net rating
-5.9
111.8
Offensive rating
106.7
108.3
Defensive rating
112.7
55.2%
Effective FG%
53.3%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
18.7%
Turnover %
17.5%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.2%
3-point %
37.1%
58.3%
Assist %
70.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 106.7Defence108.3 · 112.7Shooting55.2% · 53.3%3-point %36.2% · 37.1%Ball care18.7% · 17.5%Off. rebounds28.7% · 26.7%Free throws0.36 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Ventspils   ■ Parnu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Ventspils wins
2
Parnu wins
DateGameScore
19/12/23Ventspils v Parnu91-84
02/12/23Parnu v Ventspils77-80
08/03/23Ventspils v Parnu91-84
03/12/22Parnu v Ventspils81-75
09/02/22Parnu v Ventspils94-79
11/12/21Ventspils v Parnu81-72
31/03/19Ventspils v Parnu94-80
28/03/19Parnu v Ventspils80-83
10/02/19Parnu v Ventspils72-82
03/10/18Ventspils v Parnu97-62
Ventspilslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/24HBK Liepaja101-81
27/11/24AKeila Coolbet75-82
17/11/24AVEF Riga63-71
13/11/24ALatvijas Universitate89-87
06/11/24AViimsi94-89
05/11/24ARapla104-110 OT
01/11/24HTartu Ulikool92-93
26/10/24ATal Tech87-93
18/10/24HValmiera Glass Via91-95
08/10/24HKeila KK116-78
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24ATal Tech94-71
03/12/24HRapla78-80
30/11/24ATartu Ulikool91-94
28/11/24HViimsi74-80
17/11/24ABK Ogre87-76
13/11/24ASpojnia Stargard59-83
09/11/24ARigas Zelli76-89
06/11/24ACSM Oradea67-85
02/11/24AVEF Riga70-75
30/10/24HArges Pitesti73-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ventspils
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW42%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayLWWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %42%60%29%
Points / game89.397.083.9
Allowed / game88.286.289.6
Point differential+1.2+10.8-5.7
Avg total177.5183.2173.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW40%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%40%40%
Points / game81.178.683.6
Allowed / game78.776.481.0
Point differential+2.4+2.2+2.6
Avg total159.8155.0164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%20%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VEF Riga1413193%81.967.4+14.5
2 Rigas Zelli1411379%84.273.0+11.2
3 Valmiera Glass Via1410471%81.973.3+8.6
4 BC Kalev/Cramo107370%85.575.7+9.8
5 Tartu Ulikool128467%82.278.6+3.6
6 Keila Coolbet95456%79.080.8-1.8
7 BK Ogre137654%79.777.9+1.8
8 Rapla126650%79.883.0-3.2
9 Tal Tech146843%78.187.0-8.9
10 Ventspils125742%89.388.2+1.2
11 BK Liepaja125742%78.680.8-2.2
12 Parnu104640%81.178.7+2.4
13 Viimsi123925%69.082.9-13.9
14 Latvijas Universitate141137%71.182.5-11.4
15 Keila KK100100%75.690.5-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Ventspils281727131095
Parnu13242622792
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