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Parnu vs Tallinna Kalev Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 77-93
14-15 23-15 20-36 20-27
Position#9
Record12-16
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game78.8
vs
Position#14
Record5-22
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game81.0
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League
Other2022
Meetings · Parnu v Tallinna Kalev
23 Dec 2023
PAR104
TALL63
15 Mar 2023
PAR77
TALL93
24 Apr 2022
PAR107
TALL76
25 Jan 2022
PAR98
TALL72
19 Apr 2021
PAR88
TALL76
30 Mar 2021
PAR77
TALL66
12 Dec 2020
PAR93
TALL55
03 Nov 2020
PAR98
TALL92
18 Nov 2018
PAR70
TALL65
14 Feb 2018
PAR68
TALL72
06 Oct 2017
PAR72
TALL78
10 Mar 2017
PAR75
TALL84
03 Dec 2016
PAR73
TALL49
21 Apr 2016
PAR87
TALL88
17 Apr 2016
PAR68
TALL75
19 Mar 2016
PAR87
TALL86
10 Nov 2015
PAR74
TALL81
11 Oct 2015
PAR88
TALL93
19 Dec 2014
PAR84
TALL70
10 Oct 2014
PAR65
TALL49
23 Mar 2014
PAR78
TALL75
30 Nov 2013
PAR63
TALL58
06 Jan 2013
PAR76
TALL79
26 Dec 2012
PAR93
TALL75
03 Mar 2012
PAR66
TALL74
10 Feb 2012
PAR68
TALL86
20 Feb 2011
PAR80
TALL104
30 Oct 2010
PAR66
TALL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Parnu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tallinna Kalev winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prometey
#1
L
59-94
59
94
-35
A28/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rakvere Tarvas
#16
W
103-80
103
80
+23
H01/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H04/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#8
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A19/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
79-85
79
85
-6
A01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#5
L
84-91
84
91
-7
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
98-102 OT
98
102
-4
A11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
68-81
68
81
-13
A12/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-28
19-23
15-24
12-19
26-19
28-15
21-21
28-25
20-12
11-19
20-19
21-10
18-26
19-14
14-18
17-21
16-22
22-23
21-17
11-18
19-26
18-16
17-18
25-25
19-16
24-14
22-15
16-20
19-17
17-24
21-23
27-27
18-20
29-26
18-20
22-21
20-10
19-23
15-22
14-26
159.9Avg total
78.2Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)78.978.8157.7+0.143%
Season at home (13)80.974.2155.1+6.862%
Season away (15)77.182.9160.0-5.727%
Last 10 (10)78.281.7159.9-3.530%
Last 5 (5)82.084.8166.8-2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)69.683.3152.9-13.614%
vs Similar (8)72.177.6149.8-5.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)93.174.4167.5+18.875%
This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tallinna KalevLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#11
L
81-83
81
83
-2
H13/01
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
61-67
61
67
-6
H21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rakvere Tarvas
#16
W
92-59
92
59
+33
H25/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A28/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
L
82-87
82
87
-5
A04/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#5
L
92-96 OT
92
96
-4
H11/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#1
L
65-94
65
94
-29
A15/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
L
100-103 OT
100
103
-3
A19/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
L
76-87
76
87
-11
H03/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
20-19
14-29
26-12
20-22
9-17
14-11
18-17
13-12
24-10
33-19
22-18
14-21
23-14
18-28
13-9
18-14
24-24
20-20
20-29
25-12
15-26
19-16
24-29
17-29
15-12
9-28
24-25
26-30
15-18
31-23
19-20
13-26
21-28
19-14
23-19
24-11
23-11
14-16
18-24
160.6Avg total
79.6Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)75.381.0156.3-5.619%
Season at home (15)75.978.3154.2-2.527%
Season away (12)74.784.2158.9-9.68%
Last 10 (10)79.681.0160.6-1.420%
Last 5 (5)82.488.4170.8-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)69.882.3152.1-12.56%
vs Similar (10)81.281.9163.1-0.730%
vs Weaker (3)81.779.0160.7+2.733%
This opponent (Parnu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +0.5+0.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +0.5+0.5
ParnuTallinna Kalev
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prometey
#1
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A28/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rakvere Tarvas
#16
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H01/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H04/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#8
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A19/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A12/03
Latvia-Estonian League
78.7Avg total
39.4Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.838.877.6+0.040%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.235.976.2+4.354%-
Last 30 away (17)37.841.078.8-3.229%-
Last 10 (10)39.439.378.7+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.438.478.8+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)34.640.775.4-6.121%-
vs Similar (8)38.236.574.8+1.838%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)46.837.884.5+9.075%-
This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tallinna KalevLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#11
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H13/01
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rakvere Tarvas
#16
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H25/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A28/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A04/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#5
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H11/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#1
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A15/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A19/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
L
34-54
34
54
-20
H03/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
47-22
47
22
+25
H11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
75.9Avg total
38.0Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.340.076.4-3.727%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.939.876.6-2.929%-
Last 30 away (13)35.640.476.0-4.823%-
Last 10 (10)38.037.975.9+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.840.679.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)33.640.874.4-7.224%-
vs Similar (10)41.539.080.5+2.530%-
vs Weaker (3)34.739.374.0-4.733%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.021.0
46.7%
53.0%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.09.0
45.0%
32.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws11.09.0
81.8%
69.4%9.0
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tallinna Kalevtheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Parnu wins
0
Tallinna Kalev wins
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/23ABK Ogre68-81
11/03/23ABK Liepaja98-102 OT
08/03/23AVentspils84-91
04/03/23HLatvijas Universitate81-65
01/03/23ATal Tech79-85
19/02/23AViimsi70-80
14/02/23ATartu Ulikool68-79
04/02/23HValmiera Glass Via72-60
01/02/23HRakvere Tarvas103-80
28/01/23APrometey59-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/23HTal Tech79-62
03/03/23HValmiera Glass Via76-87
19/02/23AKeila KK100-103 OT
15/02/23APrometey65-94
11/02/23HVentspils92-96 OT
04/02/23ALatvijas Universitate82-87
28/01/23ABK Ogre68-72
25/01/23HRakvere Tarvas92-59
21/01/23HVEF Riga61-67
13/01/23HBK Liepaja81-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL43%
HomeLWWWW62%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %43%62%27%
Points / game78.980.977.1
Allowed / game78.874.282.9
Point differential+0.1+6.8-5.7
Avg total157.7155.1160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%46%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %7%8%7%
Tallinna Kalev
Latvia-Estonian League 2022
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW19%
HomeLWLLW27%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %19%27%8%
Points / game75.375.974.7
Allowed / game81.078.384.2
Point differential-5.6-2.5-9.6
Avg total156.3154.2158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won18% (11)25% (4)14% (7)
Overtime %7%7%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Prometey2928197%95.171.0+24.1
2 BC Kalev/Cramo2722581%86.572.8+13.7
3 VEF Riga2822679%83.769.2+14.4
4 Ventspils29191066%86.480.2+6.2
5 Tartu Ulikool29191066%80.775.6+5.1
6 Rapla29171259%79.275.1+4.2
7 BK Ogre29171259%79.477.6+1.9
8 Viimsi28151354%80.780.2+0.4
9 Parnu28121643%78.978.8+0.1
10 BK Liepaja29121741%78.384.7-6.4
11 Tal Tech28111739%76.879.5-2.7
12 Keila KK29101934%78.487.7-9.3
13 Latvijas Universitate2891932%72.877.3-4.5
14 Valmiera Glass Via2862221%72.892.5-19.8
15 Tallinna Kalev2752219%75.381.0-5.6
16 Rakvere Tarvas272257%70.794.1-23.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Parnu1423202077
Tallinna Kalev1515362793
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