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Mogi vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 90-76
27-21 27-14 18-27 18-14
Position#16
Record10-23
FormLLWLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game81.3
Mogi 🏆
Brazil
vs
Pato
Brazil
Position#14
Record12-20
FormWWWLL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game83.3
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Prof. Hugo Ramos
Other2024-25
Meetings · Mogi v Pato
27 Dec 2026
MOGI v PATO
upcoming
17 Nov 2025
MOGI86
PATO58
16 Apr 2025
MOGI90
PATO76
08 Nov 2023
MOGI70
PATO87
10 Jan 2022
MOGI68
PATO72
06 Jan 2021
MOGI78
PATO63
18 Nov 2019
MOGI73
PATO64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mogi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
W
97-93 OT
97
93
+4
82avg 64
H04/02
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
62-80
62
80
-18
52avg 64
H08/02
NBB
Franca
#2
L
81-91
81
91
-10
75avg 64
H14/02
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
82-104
82
104
-22
66avg 64
A28/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
77-91
77
91
-14
66avg 64
A12/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
73-93
73
93
-20
56avg 64
A15/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
66-82
66
82
-16
54avg 64
H31/03
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
75-63
75
63
+12
73avg 64
H02/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
75-82 OT
75
82
-7
72avg 64
A09/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
79-96
79
96
-17
62avg 64
A11/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
24-22
18-22
18-16
11-22
15-22
20-18
16-18
21-28
18-20
24-23
18-20
20-20
25-27
21-24
16-33
16-21
26-26
14-29
21-15
16-22
13-30
20-22
24-19
17-20
20-20
13-19
16-23
16-13
31-15
11-26
17-9
19-23
14-8
18-14
13-19
17-28
25-23
15-21
22-24
164.2Avg total
76.7Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)74.081.3155.3-7.330%
Season at home (16)73.178.2151.3-5.244%
Season away (17)74.984.2159.1-9.418%
Last 10 (10)76.787.5164.2-10.820%
Last 5 (5)73.683.2156.8-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)74.283.6157.9-9.424%
vs Similar (5)75.677.8153.4-2.240%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pato) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
81-74
81
74
+7
70avg 74
H22/01
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
91-94
91
94
-3
87avg 74
H05/02
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
86-98
86
98
-12
70avg 74
A14/02
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
76-91
76
91
-15
73avg 74
A16/02
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
81-91
81
91
-10
67avg 74
A28/02
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
98-80
98
80
+18
124avg 74
H14/03
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
94-77
94
77
+17
97avg 74
A26/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
69-65
69
65
+4
62avg 74
A28/03
NBB
Minas
#1
L
72-75
72
75
-3
64avg 74
H03/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
67-76
67
76
-9
59avg 74
H05/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
17-22
19-15
21-18
15-18
26-23
19-27
31-26
19-18
24-29
21-29
22-22
29-26
27-24
13-19
7-22
12-19
22-27
22-25
25-20
25-15
22-24
28-19
23-22
26-14
20-23
23-20
25-20
19-19
23-17
16-19
11-10
15-21
17-12
20-17
20-25
11-20
16-17
13-18
27-21
163.6Avg total
81.5Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)81.483.3164.8-1.938%
Season at home (17)83.981.4165.3+2.553%
Season away (15)78.785.5164.2-6.920%
Last 10 (10)81.582.1163.6-0.640%
Last 5 (5)80.074.6154.6+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)80.190.9171.0-10.80%
vs Similar (16)81.779.6161.3+2.156%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)84.484.2168.6+0.240%
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +0.6+0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +0.6+0.6
MogiPato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H04/02
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
26-44
26
44
-18
H08/02
NBB
Franca
#2
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H14/02
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A28/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A12/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A15/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H31/03
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H02/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A09/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A11/04
NBB
81.4Avg total
38.4Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.240.777.0-4.530%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.839.776.5-2.838%-
Last 30 away (17)35.841.577.3-5.824%-
Last 10 (10)38.443.081.4-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)37.640.478.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)36.141.677.7-5.524%-
vs Similar (5)36.836.473.2+0.460%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pato) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#9
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H22/01
NBB
Bauru
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H05/02
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A14/02
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A16/02
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A28/02
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H14/03
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A26/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A28/03
NBB
Minas
#1
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H03/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H05/04
NBB
81.6Avg total
40.9Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.381.6+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.238.979.2+1.353%-
Last 30 away (13)42.642.284.8+0.562%-
Last 10 (10)40.940.781.6+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.836.475.2+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.443.682.0-5.122%-
vs Similar (16)41.438.279.6+3.169%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)46.041.287.2+4.880%-
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.2
49.2%
50.9%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.5
32.0%
33.0%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.513.8
67.3%
72.7%13.8
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.617.3
50.0%
50.9%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.311.9
36.8%
33.0%35.7
🏀 Free throws13.610.5
77.2%
72.7%10.5
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mogi
LLWLLLLLLW
Pato
LLWWWLLLLW
#16
League position
#14
-14.6
Net rating
-0.4
102.2
Offensive rating
110.6
116.7
Defensive rating
111.0
48.7%
Effective FG%
52.5%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
15.4%
Turnover %
17.5%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.20
32.0%
3-point %
36.8%
61.0%
Assist %
62.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.2 · 110.6Defence116.7 · 111.0Shooting48.7% · 52.5%3-point %32.0% · 36.8%Ball care15.4% · 17.5%Off. rebounds26.2% · 33.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Mogi   ■ Pato
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Mogi wins
5
Pato wins
DateGameScore
21/12/24Pato v Mogi90-106
25/03/24Pato v Mogi100-73
08/11/23Mogi v Pato70-87
11/03/22Pato v Mogi79-70
10/01/22Mogi v Pato68-72
04/04/21Pato v Mogi73-62
06/01/21Mogi v Pato78-63
18/11/19Mogi v Pato73-64
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/25AUniao Corinthians79-96
09/04/25ACaxias do Sul75-82 OT
02/04/25HCearense75-63
31/03/25HUnifacisa66-82
15/03/25ACorinthians Paulista73-93
12/03/25APinheiros77-91
28/02/25AVasco82-104
14/02/25HFranca81-91
08/02/25HBauru62-80
04/02/25HSao Jose97-93 OT
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25HFranca67-76
03/04/25HMinas72-75
28/03/25ASao Paulo69-65
26/03/25APaulistano94-77
14/03/25HBrasilia98-80
28/02/25AFlamengo81-91
16/02/25ABotafogo76-91
14/02/25AVasco86-98
05/02/25HBauru91-94
22/01/25HUniao Corinthians81-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mogi
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL30%
HomeWLLLW44%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %30%44%18%
Points / game74.073.174.9
Allowed / game81.378.284.2
Point differential-7.3-5.2-9.4
Avg total155.3151.3159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)62% (8)50% (2)
Overtime %9%12%6%
Pato
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL38%
HomeWLWLL53%
AwayLLLWW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %38%53%20%
Points / game81.483.978.7
Allowed / game83.381.485.5
Point differential-1.9+2.5-6.9
Avg total164.8165.3164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%24%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)60% (5)33% (6)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas3429585%82.270.9+11.3
2 Flamengo3426876%84.776.1+8.6
3 Franca3425974%84.675.6+9.0
4 Brasilia32191359%81.680.1+1.5
5 Bauru32181456%78.778.6+0.1
6 Uniao Corinthians32181456%78.779.3-0.6
7 Vasco33181555%76.776.2+0.5
8 Pinheiros32171553%76.475.6+0.8
9 Sao Jose33171652%78.277.8+0.4
10 Unifacisa33161748%75.475.3+0.1
11 Corinthians Paulista32151747%80.179.1+1.0
12 Paulistano33141942%77.776.5+1.2
13 Pato32122038%81.483.3-1.9
14 Sao Paulo33122136%76.079.7-3.7
15 Caxias do Sul32112134%73.980.4-6.5
16 Mogi33102330%74.081.3-7.3
17 Cearense3392427%71.878.2-6.3
18 Botafogo3392427%72.882.0-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mogi2727181890
Pato2114271476
← all games of the day
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