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Sao Jose vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 77-89
23-25 23-17 16-30 15-17
Position#10
Record17-16
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game77.8
vs
Pato 🏆
Brazil
Position#14
Record12-21
FormWWLLL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game83.5
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Lineu de Moura
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sao Jose v Pato
29 Dec 2026
SAO v PATO
upcoming
22 Nov 2025
SAO 86
PATO71
18 Apr 2025
SAO 77
PATO89
06 Nov 2023
SAO 100
PATO69
10 Jan 2023
SAO 96
PATO69
20 Nov 2019
SAO 81
PATO71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Jose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pato winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao JoseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJose
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#12
L
78-93
78
93
-15
66avg 71
A13/02
NBB
Franca
#2
L
68-105
68
105
-37
57avg 71
H16/02
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
83-78
83
78
+5
77avg 71
H27/02
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
68-71
68
71
-3
59avg 71
A03/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
77-72
77
72
+5
68avg 71
A07/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
80-89
80
89
-9
60avg 71
A17/03
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
84-71
84
71
+13
71avg 71
H31/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
78-66
78
66
+12
70avg 71
H02/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
76-77 OT
76
77
-1
63avg 71
A09/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
77-73
77
73
+4
67avg 71
A11/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-28
27-25
20-28
18-12
17-22
15-26
16-27
20-30
28-17
15-19
15-23
25-19
27-18
14-17
16-15
11-21
16-12
20-16
22-23
19-21
15-25
22-21
18-23
25-20
20-24
16-16
26-18
22-13
18-18
16-13
24-21
20-14
17-27
22-16
18-13
14-15
20-19
19-20
17-15
21-19
156.4Avg total
76.9Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)78.277.8156.0+0.452%
Season at home (16)79.577.0156.5+2.562%
Season away (17)77.078.5155.5-1.541%
Last 10 (10)76.979.5156.4-2.650%
Last 5 (5)79.075.2154.2+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)81.088.6169.6-7.660%
vs Similar ◀ (18)78.377.3155.7+1.050%
vs Weaker (7)82.073.1155.1+8.971%
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Bauru
#4
L
91-94
91
94
-3
87avg 74
H05/02
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
86-98
86
98
-12
70avg 74
A14/02
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
76-91
76
91
-15
73avg 74
A16/02
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
81-91
81
91
-10
67avg 74
A28/02
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
98-80
98
80
+18
124avg 74
H14/03
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
94-77
94
77
+17
97avg 74
A26/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
69-65
69
65
+4
62avg 74
A28/03
NBB
Minas
#1
L
72-75
72
75
-3
64avg 74
H03/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
67-76
67
76
-9
59avg 74
H05/04
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
76-90
76
90
-14
67avg 74
A16/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
26-23
19-27
31-26
19-18
24-29
21-29
22-22
29-26
27-24
13-19
7-22
12-19
22-27
22-25
25-20
25-15
22-24
28-19
23-22
26-14
20-23
23-20
25-20
19-19
23-17
16-19
11-10
15-21
17-12
20-17
20-25
11-20
16-17
13-18
27-21
21-27
14-27
27-18
14-18
164.7Avg total
81.0Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)81.383.5164.8-2.336%
Season at home (17)83.981.4165.3+2.553%
Season away (16)78.585.8164.3-7.319%
Last 10 (10)81.083.7164.7-2.730%
Last 5 (5)75.676.6152.2-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)80.190.9171.0-10.80%
vs Similar ◀ (15)81.779.1160.8+2.760%
vs Weaker (6)83.085.2168.2-2.233%
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.1-0.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.1-0.1
Sao JosePato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#12
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A13/02
NBB
Franca
#2
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H16/02
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H27/02
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A03/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A07/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A17/03
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H31/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H02/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A09/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A11/04
NBB
77.6Avg total
37.7Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.337.276.4+2.163%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.536.476.8+4.177%-
Last 30 away (17)38.437.876.1+0.653%-
Last 10 (10)37.739.977.6-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.039.876.8-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.640.880.4-1.260%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)39.236.876.1+2.467%-
vs Weaker (7)39.135.474.6+3.757%-
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H05/02
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A14/02
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A16/02
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A28/02
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H14/03
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A26/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A28/03
NBB
Minas
#1
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H03/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H05/04
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A16/04
NBB
82.3Avg total
40.3Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.940.681.5+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.938.678.4+1.350%-
Last 30 away (14)42.143.085.1-0.957%-
Last 10 (10)40.342.082.3-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)36.439.475.8-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.443.682.0-5.122%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)41.137.878.9+3.367%-
vs Weaker (6)44.243.387.5+0.867%-
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sao Josetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Jose: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.415.7
44.4%
50.9%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.310.2
31.6%
33.0%30.6
🏀 Free throws18.913.7
72.5%
72.7%13.7
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.316.3
48.9%
50.9%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.012.6
38.2%
33.0%37.8
🏀 Free throws12.99.7
75.2%
72.7%9.7
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sao Jose
WLWWLWLWLL
Pato
LLLWWWLLLL
#10
League position
#14
-4.2
Net rating
-3.8
99.0
Offensive rating
109.6
103.2
Defensive rating
113.4
45.8%
Effective FG%
53.1%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
16.4%
Turnover %
17.9%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.19
31.6%
3-point %
38.2%
66.4%
Assist %
66.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence99.0 · 109.6Defence103.2 · 113.4Shooting45.8% · 53.1%3-point %31.6% · 38.2%Ball care16.4% · 17.9%Off. rebounds28.5% · 31.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Sao Jose   ■ Pato
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Sao Jose wins
1
Pato wins
DateGameScore
19/12/24Pato v Sao Jose85-81
05/02/24Pato v Sao Jose80-88
06/11/23Sao Jose v Pato100-69
10/01/23Sao Jose v Pato96-69
17/10/22Pato v Sao Jose61-71
20/11/19Sao Jose v Pato81-71
Sao Joselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/25ACaxias do Sul77-73
09/04/25AUniao Corinthians76-77 OT
02/04/25HUnifacisa78-66
31/03/25HCearense84-71
17/03/25APinheiros80-89
07/03/25ACorinthians Paulista77-72
03/03/25ABotafogo68-71
27/02/25HBauru83-78
16/02/25HFranca68-105
13/02/25APaulistano78-93
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/25AMogi76-90
05/04/25HFranca67-76
03/04/25HMinas72-75
28/03/25ASao Paulo69-65
26/03/25APaulistano94-77
14/03/25HBrasilia98-80
28/02/25AFlamengo81-91
16/02/25ABotafogo76-91
14/02/25AVasco86-98
05/02/25HBauru91-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Jose
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW52%
HomeWLWWW62%
AwayLWLLW41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %52%62%41%
Points / game78.279.577.0
Allowed / game77.877.078.5
Point differential+0.4+2.5-1.5
Avg total156.0156.5155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)67% (3)29% (7)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Pato
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL36%
HomeWLWLL53%
AwayLLWWL19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %36%53%19%
Points / game81.383.978.5
Allowed / game83.581.485.8
Point differential-2.3+2.5-7.3
Avg total164.8165.3164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%24%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)60% (5)33% (6)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas3429585%82.270.9+11.3
2 Flamengo3426876%84.776.1+8.6
3 Franca3425974%84.675.6+9.0
4 Brasilia33191458%81.280.1+1.1
5 Bauru33191458%78.678.3+0.3
6 Pinheiros33181555%76.775.0+1.7
7 Uniao Corinthians33181555%78.079.5-1.5
8 Vasco34181653%76.476.1+0.3
9 Sao Jose33171652%78.277.8+0.4
10 Corinthians Paulista33161748%80.879.6+1.1
11 Unifacisa34161847%75.375.4-0.1
12 Paulistano34151944%77.876.2+1.6
13 Pato33122136%81.383.5-2.3
14 Sao Paulo33122136%76.079.7-3.7
15 Caxias do Sul33112233%74.681.1-6.5
16 Mogi34112332%74.581.2-6.7
17 Cearense34102429%72.178.0-5.9
18 Botafogo3392427%72.882.0-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sao Jose2323161577
Pato2517301789
← all games of the day
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