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Pato vs Franca Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 20:10
Final 67-76
11-20 16-17 13-18 27-21
Position#14
Record12-19
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Franca 🏆
Brazil
Position#2
Record21-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game76.2
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Pato v Franca
05 Dec 2026
PATO v FRAN
upcoming
18 Dec 2025
PATO71
FRAN93
24 Apr 2025
PATO91
FRAN96
05 Apr 2025
PATO67
FRAN76
16 Nov 2023
PATO87
FRAN83
05 Nov 2022
PATO70
FRAN94
11 Nov 2021
PATO66
FRAN88
03 Dec 2020
PATO64
FRAN86
05 Nov 2019
PATO47
FRAN82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Franca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
78-65
78
65
+13
70avg 74
H20/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
81-74
81
74
+7
70avg 74
H22/01
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
91-94
91
94
-3
87avg 74
H05/02
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
86-98
86
98
-12
70avg 74
A14/02
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
76-91
76
91
-15
73avg 74
A16/02
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
81-91
81
91
-10
67avg 74
A28/02
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
98-80
98
80
+18
124avg 74
H14/03
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
94-77
94
77
+17
97avg 74
A26/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
69-65
69
65
+4
62avg 74
A28/03
NBB
Minas
#1
L
72-75
72
75
-3
64avg 74
H03/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
21-15
16-17
25-13
24-19
17-22
19-15
21-18
15-18
26-23
19-27
31-26
19-18
24-29
21-29
22-22
29-26
27-24
13-19
7-22
12-19
22-27
22-25
25-20
25-15
22-24
28-19
23-22
26-14
20-23
23-20
25-20
19-19
23-17
16-19
11-10
15-21
17-12
20-17
20-25
163.6Avg total
82.6Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)81.983.6165.5-1.739%
Season at home (16)84.981.8166.7+3.256%
Season away (15)78.785.5164.2-6.920%
Last 10 (10)82.681.0163.6+1.650%
Last 5 (5)82.877.6160.4+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)82.692.0174.6-9.411%
vs Similar (16)81.779.6161.3+2.156%
vs Weaker (5)84.484.2168.6+0.240%
This opponent (Franca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FrancaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFranca
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
98-89
98
89
+9
96avg 79
H27/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
91-82
91
82
+9
88avg 79
H03/03
NBB
Quimsa
#9
W
71-69
71
69
+2
57avg 79
A09/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#9
L
78-88
78
88
-10
62avg 79
H12/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#9
W
84-73
84
73
+11
74avg 79
H13/03
Champions League Americas
Bauru
#4
W
93-71
93
71
+22
94avg 79
H18/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
83-71
83
71
+12
90avg 79
A26/03
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
83-74
83
74
+9
79avg 79
A28/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
117-57
117
57
+60
130avg 79
H31/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
73-55
73
55
+18
72avg 79
H02/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
27-15
21-22
26-25
28-23
18-24
18-20
27-15
14-17
21-12
20-30
16-10
17-23
26-24
14-19
21-22
19-16
19-28
27-7
19-22
17-22
30-15
21-18
25-16
21-11
12-15
28-12
22-33
21-17
18-21
24-21
20-15
31-14
33-16
28-13
25-14
22-18
14-14
20-12
17-11
160.0Avg total
87.1Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)84.476.2160.6+8.270%
Season at home (14)86.072.9158.9+13.179%
Season away (16)83.179.1162.1+4.062%
Last 10 (10)87.172.9160.0+14.290%
Last 5 (5)89.865.6155.4+24.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.0103.0175.0-31.00%
vs Similar (1)73.092.0165.0-19.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)86.673.7160.3+12.985%
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +3.5+3.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +3.5+3.5
PatoFranca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H20/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H22/01
NBB
Bauru
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H05/02
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A14/02
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A16/02
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A28/02
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H14/03
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A26/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A28/03
NBB
Minas
#1
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H03/04
NBB
82.4Avg total
41.9Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.940.582.4+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.139.180.1+2.056%-
Last 30 away (14)42.942.185.0+0.964%-
Last 10 (10)41.940.582.4+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.278.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.744.084.7-3.333%-
vs Similar (16)41.438.279.6+3.169%-
vs Weaker (5)46.041.287.2+4.880%-
This opponent (Franca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FrancaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H27/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H03/03
NBB
Quimsa
#9
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A09/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#9
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H12/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#9
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H13/03
Champions League Americas
Bauru
#4
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H18/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A26/03
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A28/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
64-30
64
30
+34
H31/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H02/04
NBB
80.4Avg total
43.2Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.036.578.6+5.573%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.236.379.5+6.967%-
Last 30 away (15)40.936.777.6+4.180%-
Last 10 (10)43.237.280.4+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)43.832.676.4+11.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.040.084.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar (1)32.051.083.0-19.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)42.236.278.4+6.074%-
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.2
50.4%
50.9%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.711.6
36.6%
33.0%34.8
🏀 Free throws13.710.7
78.1%
72.7%10.7
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Francatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Franca: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.9
57.7%
50.9%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.0
36.1%
33.0%30.0
🏀 Free throws21.616.7
77.3%
72.7%16.7
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pato
LWWWLLLLWW
Franca
WWWWWWLWWW
#14
League position
#2
+2.6
Net rating
+20.2
112.4
Offensive rating
116.6
109.8
Defensive rating
96.3
52.5%
Effective FG%
56.1%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
17.4%
Turnover %
15.0%
35.5%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.35
36.6%
3-point %
36.1%
63.1%
Assist %
63.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence112.4 · 116.6Defence109.8 · 96.3Shooting52.5% · 56.1%3-point %36.6% · 36.1%Ball care17.4% · 15.0%Off. rebounds35.5% · 25.7%Free throws0.20 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Pato   ■ Franca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pato wins
9
Franca wins
DateGameScore
28/10/24Franca v Pato93-70
17/02/24Franca v Pato97-65
16/11/23Pato v Franca87-83
31/01/23Franca v Pato88-82
05/11/22Pato v Franca70-94
12/02/22Franca v Pato97-80
11/11/21Pato v Franca66-88
25/02/21Franca v Pato109-68
03/12/20Pato v Franca64-86
05/11/19Pato v Franca47-82
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/25HMinas72-75
28/03/25ASao Paulo69-65
26/03/25APaulistano94-77
14/03/25HBrasilia98-80
28/02/25AFlamengo81-91
16/02/25ABotafogo76-91
14/02/25AVasco86-98
05/02/25HBauru91-94
22/01/25HUniao Corinthians81-74
20/01/25HCaxias do Sul78-65
Francalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/25HUniao Corinthians73-55
31/03/25HCaxias do Sul117-57
28/03/25ACearense83-74
26/03/25AUnifacisa83-71
18/03/25HBauru93-71
13/03/25HQuimsa84-73
12/03/25HQuimsa78-88
09/03/25AQuimsa71-69
03/03/25HPinheiros91-82
27/02/25HCorinthians Paulista98-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL39%
HomeWWLWL56%
AwayLLLWW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %39%56%20%
Points / game81.984.978.7
Allowed / game83.681.885.5
Point differential-1.7+3.2-6.9
Avg total165.5166.7164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%25%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)60% (5)33% (6)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Franca
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW70%
HomeWWWWW79%
AwayLWWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %70%79%62%
Points / game84.486.083.1
Allowed / game76.272.979.1
Point differential+8.2+13.1+4.0
Avg total160.6158.9162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%43%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas3026487%82.771.5+11.1
2 Flamengo3023777%84.775.5+9.3
3 Franca3021970%84.476.2+8.2
4 Brasilia31191261%81.779.8+1.8
5 Vasco31181358%77.375.7+1.6
6 Bauru31181358%78.578.3+0.3
7 Pinheiros30161453%76.675.5+1.1
8 Uniao Corinthians30161453%78.279.4-1.2
9 Sao Jose31161552%78.378.0+0.4
10 Unifacisa31151648%75.275.3-0.1
11 Corinthians Paulista30141647%80.479.2+1.2
12 Paulistano31141745%78.576.7+1.9
13 Pato31121939%81.983.6-1.7
14 Sao Paulo32112134%76.280.1-4.0
15 Caxias do Sul30102033%73.780.7-7.1
16 Mogi31102132%73.880.8-7.0
17 Botafogo3192229%73.581.6-8.0
18 Cearense3182326%71.678.4-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pato1116132767
Franca2017182176
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