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Pato vs Mogi Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 01 Apr 2020
Tip-off: 23:00
Postponed
Position#16
Record4-21
FormWWLLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game80.2
vs
Position#5
Record16-10
FormLLWLL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game81.4
BrazilNBBRound 22
Other2019-20
Meetings · Pato v Mogi
13 Mar 2026
PATO72
MOGI80
21 Dec 2024
PATO90
MOGI106
25 Mar 2024
PATO100
MOGI73
11 Mar 2022
PATO79
MOGI70
04 Apr 2021
PATO73
MOGI62
01 Apr 2020
PATO v MOGI
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Mogi win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#13
L
73-76
73
76
-3
A13/01
NBB
Minas
#4
L
76-86
76
86
-10
A15/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
86-106
86
106
-20
H03/02
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
71-86
71
86
-15
H05/02
NBB
Botafogo
#9
L
69-75
69
75
-6
H12/02
NBB
Cearense
#15
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H26/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#10
W
71-61
71
61
+10
H28/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#8
L
57-77
57
77
-20
A04/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#7
L
81-93
81
93
-12
A07/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
L
83-87
83
87
-4
A08/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
14-20
22-23
17-19
18-21
19-15
19-31
20-19
17-19
23-27
22-30
24-30
19-22
17-19
16-26
19-19
23-8
18-19
11-26
17-22
13-10
21-21
24-17
26-24
12-17
17-15
21-17
21-12
15-19
13-20
14-24
15-14
12-25
23-28
26-19
20-21
20-27
13-19
20-14
30-27
157.0Avg total
75.1Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)71.080.2151.2-9.216%
Season at home (12)71.279.7150.8-8.525%
Season away (13)70.880.7151.5-9.98%
Last 10 (10)75.181.9157.0-6.820%
Last 5 (5)75.278.0153.2-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)70.880.5151.3-9.818%
vs Similar (3)72.377.7150.0-5.30%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mogi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#15
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H27/01
NBB
Franca
#2
W
83-82
83
82
+1
H29/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#10
W
96-94
96
94
+2
H02/02
NBB
Brasilia
#13
W
86-70
86
70
+16
A05/02
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H08/02
NBB
Minas
#4
L
71-87
71
87
-16
A11/02
NBB
Paulistano
#11
L
83-94
83
94
-11
H03/03
NBB
Botafogo
#9
W
89-61
89
61
+28
H06/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#7
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A10/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#14
L
89-97
89
97
-8
A12/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
20-13
18-20
26-19
17-11
26-19
24-24
16-28
16-24
27-25
28-18
25-27
18-23
28-15
15-15
25-17
24-22
21-20
14-14
10-18
22-21
17-24
11-21
21-21
10-24
17-28
19-13
37-29
26-16
22-14
16-12
25-19
16-18
19-19
13-21
22-20
19-23
19-20
21-23
30-31
162.4Avg total
81.4Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)82.881.4164.2+1.362%
Season at home (13)83.078.4161.4+4.677%
Season away (13)82.584.5167.0-1.946%
Last 10 (10)81.481.0162.4+0.450%
Last 5 (5)80.483.4163.8-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.684.8165.4-4.138%
vs Similar (14)84.884.9169.6-0.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)81.075.5156.5+5.588%
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.8+0.8
PatoMogi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#13
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A13/01
NBB
Minas
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A15/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H03/02
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H05/02
NBB
Botafogo
#9
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H12/02
NBB
Cearense
#15
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H26/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#10
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H28/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#8
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A04/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#7
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A07/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A08/03
NBB
73.2Avg total
34.7Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)32.338.670.9-6.220%-
Last 30 at home (12)32.338.070.3-5.725%-
Last 30 away (13)32.339.171.4-6.815%-
Last 10 (10)34.738.573.2-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)31.840.272.0-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)32.539.071.5-6.523%-
vs Similar (3)31.035.366.3-4.30%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mogi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#15
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H27/01
NBB
Franca
#2
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H29/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#10
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H02/02
NBB
Brasilia
#13
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A05/02
NBB
Flamengo
#1
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H08/02
NBB
Minas
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A11/02
NBB
Paulistano
#11
L
27-52
27
52
-25
H03/03
NBB
Botafogo
#9
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H06/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#7
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A10/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#14
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A12/03
NBB
79.8Avg total
39.8Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.341.081.3-0.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.738.979.7+1.847%-
Last 30 away (15)39.943.182.9-3.227%-
Last 10 (10)39.840.079.8-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.441.478.8-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.943.485.2-1.538%-
vs Similar (14)39.441.981.3-2.636%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)40.437.077.4+3.438%-
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pato wins
1
Mogi wins
DateGameScore
18/11/19Mogi v Pato73-64
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/20APinheiros83-87
07/03/20ACorinthians Paulista81-93
04/03/20ARio Claro57-77
28/02/20HUnifacisa71-61
26/02/20HCearense84-72
12/02/20HBotafogo69-75
05/02/20HFlamengo71-86
03/02/20HSao Paulo86-106
15/01/20AMinas76-86
13/01/20ABrasilia73-76
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/20ASao Jose89-97
10/03/20ACorinthians Paulista70-78
06/03/20HBotafogo89-61
03/03/20HPaulistano83-94
11/02/20AMinas71-87
08/02/20HFlamengo69-74
05/02/20ABrasilia86-70
02/02/20HUnifacisa96-94
29/01/20HFranca83-82
27/01/20HCearense78-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2019-20
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL16%
HomeLLLWW25%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %16%25%8%
Points / game71.071.270.8
Allowed / game80.279.780.7
Point differential-9.2-8.5-9.9
Avg total151.2150.8151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Mogi
NBB 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL62%
HomeWWLLW77%
AwayLWLLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %62%77%46%
Points / game82.883.082.5
Allowed / game81.478.484.5
Point differential+1.3+4.6-1.9
Avg total164.2161.4167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%8%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)67% (6)75% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo2421388%85.077.1+7.9
2 Franca2520580%87.479.0+8.4
3 Sao Paulo2620677%88.581.6+6.9
4 Minas2617965%86.681.4+5.2
5 Mogi26161062%82.881.4+1.3
6 Pinheiros27151256%81.679.9+1.7
7 Corinthians Paulista26131350%82.378.9+3.4
8 Rio Claro26131350%84.486.7-2.2
9 Botafogo26131350%78.480.7-2.3
10 Unifacisa27131448%83.281.0+2.2
11 Paulistano25111444%81.783.1-1.4
12 Bauru26111542%80.281.0-0.8
13 Brasilia2681831%76.085.9-10.0
14 Sao Jose2772026%86.392.1-5.8
15 Cearense2652119%76.381.0-4.7
16 Pato2542116%71.080.2-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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