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Pato vs Mogi Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 25 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 100-73
25-14 27-13 21-27 27-19
Position#12
Record12-18
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game79.9
Pato 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#14
Record8-23
FormLWWWW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game79.5
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2023-24
Meetings · Pato v Mogi
13 Mar 2026
PATO72
MOGI80
21 Dec 2024
PATO90
MOGI106
25 Mar 2024
PATO100
MOGI73
11 Mar 2022
PATO79
MOGI70
04 Apr 2021
PATO73
MOGI62
01 Apr 2020
PATO v MOGI
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mogi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#2
W
97-91 OT
97
91
+6
no box
H13/01
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
67-76
67
76
-9
56avg 68
H15/01
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
97-86
97
86
+11
92avg 68
H24/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
80-88
80
88
-8
71avg 68
H05/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
74-80
74
80
-6
57avg 68
H07/02
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
79-89
79
89
-10
65avg 68
A15/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
65-97
65
97
-32
54avg 68
A17/02
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
69-90
69
90
-21
56avg 68
A02/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
79-85
79
85
-6
71avg 68
A04/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
83-73
83
73
+10
80avg 68
H09/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
20-20
19-26
21-18
15-21
16-23
24-18
12-14
24-19
27-30
26-23
20-14
20-28
14-25
18-16
28-19
13-15
20-21
15-24
26-20
15-27
18-20
23-18
23-24
21-23
20-29
11-22
13-23
18-15
13-28
22-20
16-27
26-17
17-23
19-25
17-20
17-17
28-20
25-14
13-22
164.5Avg total
79.0Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)76.779.9156.7-3.240%
Season at home (14)79.676.6156.3+3.057%
Season away (16)74.282.8157.0-8.625%
Last 10 (10)79.085.5164.5-6.530%
Last 5 (5)75.086.8161.8-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.481.0155.4-6.627%
vs Similar (12)75.883.2158.9-7.425%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)82.172.7154.9+9.486%
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Cearense
#8
L
75-93
75
93
-18
63avg 65
A24/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
65-102
65
102
-37
56avg 65
A08/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
81-74
81
74
+7
72avg 65
H14/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
80-94
80
94
-14
61avg 65
H16/02
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
49-77
49
77
-28
21avg 65
A29/02
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
73-79
73
79
-6
68avg 65
A02/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
87-84 OT
87
84
+3
no box
A05/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
79-64
79
64
+15
75avg 65
H09/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
104-61
104
61
+43
103avg 65
H20/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
70-65
70
65
+5
59avg 65
H22/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
20-24
19-22
17-24
10-35
19-30
18-22
18-15
16-18
16-16
22-19
27-21
17-29
21-25
18-14
24-26
5-20
12-14
13-25
19-18
17-23
18-15
18-23
20-18
22-17
18-21
22-21
12-15
18-17
24-15
11-17
26-15
24-16
27-11
23-16
30-18
16-16
20-19
16-21
18-9
155.6Avg total
76.3Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)74.079.5153.5-5.526%
Season at home (16)77.078.6155.6-1.631%
Season away (15)70.880.3151.1-9.520%
Last 10 (10)76.379.3155.6-3.050%
Last 5 (5)82.670.6153.2+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)71.982.3154.2-10.417%
vs Similar (10)75.377.4152.7-2.140%
vs Weaker (2)92.071.0163.0+21.050%
This opponent (Pato) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +3.2+3.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +3.2+3.2
PatoMogi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#2
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H13/01
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H15/01
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H24/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
34-53
34
53
-19
H05/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H07/02
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A15/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A17/02
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A02/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A04/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H09/03
NBB
82.1Avg total
38.3Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.239.777.9-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.238.977.1-0.743%-
Last 30 away (16)38.240.378.5-2.150%-
Last 10 (10)38.343.882.1-5.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.643.882.4-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.542.080.5-3.545%-
vs Similar (12)35.339.875.2-4.525%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)42.635.778.3+6.986%-
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#8
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A24/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
29-65
29
65
-36
A08/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H14/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H16/02
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
17-34
17
34
-17
A29/02
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A02/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A05/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H09/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H20/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H22/03
NBB
76.3Avg total
35.9Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.640.576.1-4.927%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.140.478.5-2.333%-
Last 30 away (15)33.140.673.7-7.520%-
Last 10 (10)35.940.476.3-4.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.834.074.8+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)34.641.776.3-7.122%-
vs Similar (10)35.539.374.8-3.830%-
vs Weaker (2)45.035.580.5+9.550%-
This opponent (Pato) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.2
52.5%
51.8%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.8
32.0%
33.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws15.09.7
64.7%
72.6%9.7
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.616.6
45.4%
51.8%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.2
34.2%
33.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.812.6
67.0%
72.6%12.6
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pato
WLLLLLLWLW
Mogi
WWWWLLLWLL
#12
League position
#14
-9.2
Net rating
-6.1
106.1
Offensive rating
101.8
115.2
Defensive rating
107.9
50.6%
Effective FG%
47.9%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
15.6%
Turnover %
17.2%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.0%
3-point %
34.2%
56.9%
Assist %
63.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 101.8Defence115.2 · 107.9Shooting50.6% · 47.9%3-point %32.0% · 34.2%Ball care15.6% · 17.2%Off. rebounds30.3% · 30.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Pato   ■ Mogi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Pato wins
2
Mogi wins
DateGameScore
08/11/23Mogi v Pato70-87
11/03/22Pato v Mogi79-70
10/01/22Mogi v Pato68-72
04/04/21Pato v Mogi73-62
06/01/21Mogi v Pato78-63
18/11/19Mogi v Pato73-64
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HPaulistano83-73
04/03/24AUnifacisa79-85
02/03/24ACearense69-90
17/02/24AFranca65-97
15/02/24ABauru79-89
07/02/24HSao Paulo74-80
05/02/24HSao Jose80-88
24/01/24HBotafogo97-86
15/01/24HVasco67-76
13/01/24HFlamengo97-91 OT
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/24HCerrado70-65
20/03/24HBrasilia104-61
09/03/24HSao Jose79-64
05/03/24ABotafogo87-84 OT
02/03/24AVasco73-79
29/02/24AFlamengo49-77
16/02/24HUniao Corinthians80-94
14/02/24HCaxias do Sul81-74
08/02/24AMinas65-102
24/01/24ACearense75-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW40%
HomeLWLLW57%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %40%57%25%
Points / game76.779.674.2
Allowed / game79.976.682.8
Point differential-3.2+3.0-8.6
Avg total156.7156.3157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%29%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (6)0% (1)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Mogi
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW26%
HomeWLWWW31%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %26%31%20%
Points / game74.077.070.8
Allowed / game79.578.680.3
Point differential-5.5-1.6-9.5
Avg total153.5155.6151.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)40% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %6%6%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca3025583%87.675.7+11.9
2 Flamengo3025583%84.973.7+11.2
3 Minas3123874%85.974.2+11.7
4 Vasco3022873%76.772.8+3.8
5 Bauru32211166%80.979.0+1.9
6 Unifacisa32201262%84.079.4+4.6
7 Paulistano29181162%75.271.5+3.7
8 Corinthians Paulista30171357%80.778.3+2.5
9 Cearense30161453%78.777.1+1.6
10 Sao Jose32171553%79.377.1+2.3
11 Sao Paulo29151452%78.479.3-1.0
12 Pinheiros30131743%75.478.1-2.7
13 Pato30121840%76.779.9-3.2
14 Uniao Corinthians31102132%74.583.4-8.8
15 Cerrado3082227%75.076.4-1.4
16 Caxias do Sul3082227%71.979.6-7.7
17 Mogi3182326%74.079.5-5.5
18 Botafogo3382524%79.088.2-9.2
19 Brasilia3042613%72.687.8-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pato25272127100
Mogi1413271973
← all games of the day
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