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Pato vs Cearense Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Feb 2020
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 84-72
13-10 21-21 24-17 26-24
Position#16
Record2-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game80.8
Pato 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#15
Record4-19
FormWLLLL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game80.1
BrazilNBBRound 17
Other2019-20
Meetings · Pato v Cearense
14 Nov 2025
PATO82
CEAR79
22 Oct 2024
PATO89
CEAR60
29 Nov 2023
PATO75
CEAR76
02 Mar 2023
PATO82
CEAR87
01 Dec 2021
PATO66
CEAR63
14 Nov 2020
PATO69
CEAR76
26 Feb 2020
PATO84
CEAR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#7
L
68-80
68
80
-12
H29/11
NBB
Bauru
#12
L
76-79 OT
76
79
-3
H17/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#8
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H20/12
NBB
Paulistano
#11
W
96-74
96
74
+22
A27/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
63-87
63
87
-24
A29/12
NBB
Brasilia
#13
L
73-76
73
76
-3
A13/01
NBB
Minas
#4
L
76-86
76
86
-10
A15/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
86-106
86
106
-20
H03/02
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
71-86
71
86
-15
H05/02
NBB
Botafogo
#9
L
69-75
69
75
-6
H12/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
17-23
16-17
18-19
17-12
22-18
10-17
15-17
13-26
17-21
26-14
24-17
21-14
21-16
28-27
26-17
7-22
22-12
21-21
13-32
20-14
14-20
22-23
17-19
18-21
19-15
19-31
20-19
17-19
23-27
22-30
24-30
19-22
17-19
16-26
19-19
23-8
18-19
11-26
17-22
158.5Avg total
75.8Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)69.980.8150.7-10.810%
Season at home (10)69.982.3152.2-12.410%
Season away (10)69.979.2149.1-9.310%
Last 10 (10)75.882.7158.5-6.920%
Last 5 (5)75.085.8160.8-10.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)69.581.3150.8-11.812%
vs Similar (3)72.377.7150.0-5.30%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cearense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#4
L
79-82
79
82
-3
H12/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#10
L
55-65
55
65
-10
A28/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
L
57-77
57
77
-20
H15/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#7
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H23/01
NBB
Mogi
#5
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A27/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#14
W
104-83
104
83
+21
A30/01
NBB
Botafogo
#9
L
72-86
72
86
-14
A01/02
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A03/02
NBB
Franca
#2
L
75-97
75
97
-22
H08/02
NBB
Bauru
#12
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H14/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-28
25-11
19-22
19-21
13-19
10-16
18-18
14-12
14-22
10-22
13-17
20-16
14-19
10-21
21-23
33-21
21-14
13-20
20-18
19-26
23-27
31-20
19-21
31-15
20-27
17-21
21-13
14-25
17-24
13-15
13-22
28-17
27-24
13-30
17-22
18-21
14-25
22-14
22-22
20-22
155.5Avg total
74.2Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)75.480.1155.5-4.717%
Season at home (12)75.878.6154.4-2.817%
Season away (11)75.081.7156.7-6.718%
Last 10 (10)74.281.3155.5-7.110%
Last 5 (5)80.085.4165.4-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)72.181.6153.7-9.511%
vs Similar (9)81.484.4165.9-3.022%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)84.557.0141.5+27.5100%
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +2.0+2.0
PatoCearense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#7
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H29/11
NBB
Bauru
#12
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H17/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#8
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H20/12
NBB
Paulistano
#11
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A27/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A29/12
NBB
Brasilia
#13
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A13/01
NBB
Minas
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A15/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H03/02
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H05/02
NBB
Botafogo
#9
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H12/02
NBB
73.1Avg total
36.2Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)32.538.170.6-5.720%-
Last 30 at home (10)32.539.371.8-6.820%-
Last 30 away (10)32.437.069.4-4.620%-
Last 10 (10)36.236.973.1-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)37.636.874.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)32.738.671.4-5.924%-
vs Similar (3)31.035.366.3-4.30%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cearense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#4
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H12/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#10
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A28/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H15/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#7
L
24-40
24
40
-16
H23/01
NBB
Mogi
#5
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A27/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#14
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A30/01
NBB
Botafogo
#9
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A01/02
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A03/02
NBB
Franca
#2
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H08/02
NBB
Bauru
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H14/02
NBB
76.2Avg total
34.3Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.839.775.5-3.927%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.138.374.4-2.143%-
Last 30 away (16)35.540.976.4-5.412%-
Last 10 (10)34.341.976.2-7.620%-
Last 5 (5)39.445.484.8-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)33.840.674.5-6.821%-
vs Similar (9)37.740.778.3-3.022%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)46.026.072.0+20.0100%-
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pato wins
1
Cearense wins
DateGameScore
18/10/19Cearense v Pato78-58
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/20HBotafogo69-75
05/02/20HFlamengo71-86
03/02/20HSao Paulo86-106
15/01/20AMinas76-86
13/01/20ABrasilia73-76
29/12/19ASao Paulo63-87
27/12/19APaulistano96-74
20/12/19HRio Claro80-78
17/12/19HBauru76-79 OT
29/11/19HCorinthians Paulista68-80
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/20HBauru78-83
08/02/20HFranca75-97
03/02/20AFlamengo71-78
01/02/20ABotafogo72-86
30/01/20ASao Jose104-83
27/01/20AMogi73-78
23/01/20HCorinthians Paulista78-84
15/01/20HPinheiros57-77
28/12/19AUnifacisa55-65
12/12/19HMinas79-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2019-20
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL10%
HomeLWLLL10%
AwayLWLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %10%10%10%
Points / game69.969.969.9
Allowed / game80.882.379.2
Point differential-10.8-12.4-9.3
Avg total150.7152.2149.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Cearense
NBB 2019-20
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL17%
HomeLLLLL17%
AwayLLWLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %17%17%18%
Points / game75.475.875.0
Allowed / game80.178.681.7
Point differential-4.7-2.8-6.7
Avg total155.5154.4156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%17%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won12% (8)0% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo2219386%83.976.0+7.9
2 Franca2217577%87.179.2+7.9
3 Sao Paulo2317674%87.381.5+5.8
4 Mogi2215768%82.881.2+1.5
5 Minas2214864%85.279.7+5.5
6 Pinheiros2213959%80.078.9+1.1
7 Unifacisa23121152%82.779.6+3.1
8 Corinthians Paulista22111150%82.778.9+3.9
9 Botafogo23111248%78.380.1-1.7
10 Bauru21101148%80.279.1+1.1
11 Paulistano21101148%79.881.0-1.2
12 Rio Claro2291341%84.489.0-4.6
13 Brasilia2271532%76.084.5-8.5
14 Sao Jose2251723%83.891.2-7.4
15 Cearense2341917%75.480.1-4.7
16 Pato2021810%69.980.8-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pato1321242684
Cearense1021172472
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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