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Pato vs Mogi Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 72-80
13-26 22-19 17-19 20-16
Position#17
Record7-22
FormWWLLL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game79.8
Pato
Brazil
vs
Mogi 🏆
Brazil
Position#8
Record16-14
FormLLWLW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game70.0
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pato v Mogi
13 Mar 2026
PATO72
MOGI80
21 Dec 2024
PATO90
MOGI106
25 Mar 2024
PATO100
MOGI73
11 Mar 2022
PATO79
MOGI70
04 Apr 2021
PATO73
MOGI62
01 Apr 2020
PATO v MOGI
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mogi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
85-91 OT
85
91
-6
78avg 66
H09/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
72-80
72
80
-8
63avg 66
H12/01
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
81-89
81
89
-8
78avg 66
A19/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
67-75
67
75
-8
54avg 66
A21/01
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
75-84
75
84
-9
64avg 66
H02/02
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
84-53
84
53
+31
81avg 66
H05/02
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
93-67
93
67
+26
89avg 66
H12/02
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
59-64
59
64
-5
50avg 66
A18/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
67-82
67
82
-15
56avg 66
A21/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
79-89
79
89
-10
67avg 66
H07/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-26
24-17
15-14
16-13
19-22
17-19
19-22
17-17
20-27
19-26
25-17
17-19
27-17
18-23
4-17
18-18
24-19
21-13
20-23
10-29
17-22
25-14
25-7
17-10
27-19
22-13
18-20
26-15
16-21
24-14
8-10
11-19
14-21
18-21
23-24
12-16
19-21
18-17
19-26
23-25
153.6Avg total
76.2Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)73.579.8153.3-6.224%
Season at home (15)74.976.6151.5-1.733%
Season away (14)72.083.1155.1-11.114%
Last 10 (10)76.277.4153.6-1.220%
Last 5 (5)76.471.0147.4+5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)71.082.2153.2-11.310%
vs Similar (10)79.576.9156.4+2.650%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mogi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Vasco
#20
W
67-60
67
60
+7
63avg 67
A20/01
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
75-81
75
81
-6
65avg 67
A22/01
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
69-70
69
70
-1
63avg 67
A05/02
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
88-76
88
76
+12
77avg 67
H09/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
67-61
67
61
+6
58avg 67
H11/02
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
69-70
69
70
-1
57avg 67
H16/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
75-82
75
82
-7
63avg 67
A18/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
78-68
78
68
+10
76avg 67
H22/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
73-80
73
80
-7
67avg 67
H05/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
72-67
72
67
+5
68avg 67
A09/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-7
16-16
11-18
15-19
16-14
22-29
18-19
19-19
17-19
14-28
24-10
14-13
27-20
19-12
22-20
20-24
16-15
13-10
19-17
19-19
20-15
14-18
17-20
18-17
15-21
16-20
20-21
24-20
31-15
15-19
15-25
17-9
25-21
20-22
11-27
17-10
24-20
10-15
22-9
16-23
144.8Avg total
73.3Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)75.670.0145.7+5.653%
Season at home (15)78.365.3143.7+13.067%
Season away (15)72.974.7147.7-1.840%
Last 10 (10)73.371.5144.8+1.850%
Last 5 (5)73.473.4146.8+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.079.8148.8-10.80%
vs Similar (11)69.571.7141.2-2.336%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)82.965.2148.1+17.686%
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.6+0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.6+0.6
PatoMogi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H09/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H12/01
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A19/01
NBB
Minas
#3
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A21/01
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H02/02
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H05/02
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H12/02
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A18/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A21/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H07/03
NBB
79.6Avg total
40.4Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.640.678.1-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.537.976.5+0.653%-
Last 30 away (15)36.643.279.8-6.627%-
Last 10 (10)40.439.279.6+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.036.676.6+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)36.441.177.5-4.830%-
vs Similar (10)39.939.479.3+0.560%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mogi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#20
W
41-23
41
23
+18
A20/01
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A22/01
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A05/02
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H09/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H11/02
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H16/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A18/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H22/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H05/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A09/03
NBB
73.1Avg total
37.5Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.136.074.2+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.133.574.5+7.687%-
Last 30 away (15)35.238.673.8-3.427%-
Last 10 (10)37.535.673.1+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)38.037.275.2+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.841.874.6-9.020%-
vs Similar (11)34.535.970.5-1.445%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.934.176.9+8.879%-
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.7
51.4%
52.2%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.58.9
29.2%
32.5%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.512.4
63.6%
72.8%12.4
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.915.4
49.8%
52.2%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.79.7
28.0%
32.5%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.113.9
69.2%
72.8%13.9
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pato
LLLWWLLLLL
Mogi
WLWLLWWLLW
#17
League position
#8
-0.7
Net rating
+4.2
85.0
Offensive rating
86.9
85.7
Defensive rating
82.7
47.9%
Effective FG%
45.7%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.7%
17.8%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
29.2%
3-point %
28.0%
56.9%
Assist %
62.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence85.0 · 86.9Defence85.7 · 82.7Shooting47.9% · 45.7%3-point %29.2% · 28.0%Ball care17.8% · 15.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Pato   ■ Mogi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Pato wins
5
Mogi wins
DateGameScore
17/11/25Mogi v Pato86-58
16/04/25Mogi v Pato90-76
21/12/24Pato v Mogi90-106
25/03/24Pato v Mogi100-73
08/11/23Mogi v Pato70-87
11/03/22Pato v Mogi79-70
10/01/22Mogi v Pato68-72
04/04/21Pato v Mogi73-62
06/01/21Mogi v Pato78-63
18/11/19Mogi v Pato73-64
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26HCorinthians Paulista79-89
21/02/26AUnifacisa67-82
18/02/26ACearense59-64
12/02/26HBotafogo93-67
05/02/26HFlamengo84-53
02/02/26HVasco75-84
21/01/26AMinas67-75
19/01/26ACruzeiro81-89
12/01/26HUniao Corinthians72-80
09/01/26HCaxias do Sul85-91 OT
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/26ACaxias do Sul72-67
05/03/26HPinheiros73-80
22/02/26HSao Jose78-68
18/02/26ACorinthians Paulista75-82
16/02/26HCruzeiro69-70
11/02/26HUnifacisa67-61
09/02/26HCearense88-76
05/02/26ABotafogo69-70
22/01/26AFlamengo75-81
20/01/26AVasco67-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL24%
HomeLLWWL33%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %24%33%14%
Points / game73.574.972.0
Allowed / game79.876.683.1
Point differential-6.2-1.7-11.1
Avg total153.3151.5155.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Mogi
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW53%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %53%67%40%
Points / game75.678.372.9
Allowed / game70.065.374.7
Point differential+5.6+13.0-1.8
Avg total145.7143.7147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pinheiros3025583%86.274.6+11.5
2 Franca2923679%89.275.4+13.8
3 Flamengo2822679%86.977.7+9.2
4 Minas2821775%87.082.2+4.7
5 Brasilia3022873%82.171.9+10.2
6 Corinthians Paulista2921872%84.078.0+6.0
7 Bauru31191261%81.077.7+3.3
8 Paulistano30181260%82.278.2+4.0
9 Sao Jose31181358%82.480.4+2.0
10 Uniao Corinthians29161355%79.480.9-1.4
11 Mogi30161453%75.670.0+5.6
12 Unifacisa29151452%80.980.1+0.8
13 Caxias do Sul30131743%72.676.8-4.3
14 Cruzeiro30111937%80.085.8-5.8
15 Rio Claro3092130%77.586.6-9.1
16 Pato2972224%73.579.8-6.2
17 Botafogo3072323%72.982.8-9.9
18 Cearense3062420%75.987.2-11.3
19 Osasco3042613%75.487.6-12.2
20 Vasco3142713%69.679.1-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pato1322172072
Mogi2619191680
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