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Pato vs Mogi Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 90-106
28-30 20-26 20-21 22-29
Position#14
Record6-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Mogi 🏆
Brazil
Position#16
Record5-11
FormWLLWL
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game77.9
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Pato v Mogi
13 Mar 2026
PATO72
MOGI80
21 Dec 2024
PATO90
MOGI106
25 Mar 2024
PATO100
MOGI73
11 Mar 2022
PATO79
MOGI70
04 Apr 2021
PATO73
MOGI62
01 Apr 2020
PATO v MOGI
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mogi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
80-81
80
81
-1
74avg 73
A31/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
70-81
70
81
-11
64avg 73
A02/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
76-84
76
84
-8
64avg 73
H12/11
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
66-65
66
65
+1
62avg 73
H17/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
98-78
98
78
+20
100avg 73
H28/11
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
103-110 OT
103
110
-7
88avg 73
H03/12
NBB
Minas
#1
L
70-97
70
97
-27
63avg 73
A05/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
91-97
91
97
-6
85avg 73
A13/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
94-98
94
98
-4
86avg 73
A16/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
85-81
85
81
+4
75avg 73
H19/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
26-19
19-28
19-19
22-22
19-21
19-19
10-19
13-22
12-20
29-25
22-17
15-15
21-20
12-9
18-21
27-20
20-11
25-14
26-33
28-29
23-26
25-24
22-19
19-30
19-22
14-23
18-22
18-16
29-26
20-26
24-29
22-21
24-19
26-27
22-31
22-18
16-23
22-19
25-21
170.5Avg total
83.3Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)82.184.0166.1-1.938%
Season at home (8)85.480.4165.8+5.062%
Season away (8)78.987.6166.5-8.812%
Last 10 (10)83.387.2170.5-3.930%
Last 5 (5)88.696.6185.2-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)79.990.6170.4-10.722%
vs Similar (16)78.480.7159.1-2.338%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)88.075.0163.0+13.080%
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#13
W
78-74
78
74
+4
70avg 61
H01/11
NBB
Franca
#2
L
68-77
68
77
-9
59avg 61
A06/11
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
66-68
66
68
-2
59avg 61
A08/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
79-89
79
89
-10
65avg 61
A15/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
82-85
82
85
-3
84avg 61
H27/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
74-71
74
71
+3
73avg 61
H29/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
53-73
53
73
-20
30avg 61
H02/12
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
69-76
69
76
-7
57avg 61
A06/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
70-66
70
66
+4
60avg 61
A09/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
70-72
70
72
-2
60avg 61
H17/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
17-19
24-19
23-17
12-17
14-18
34-21
8-21
14-22
22-10
16-18
14-18
12-19
23-19
16-28
28-23
21-22
17-20
26-12
18-31
24-18
16-18
18-23
16-12
16-20
11-14
9-19
17-20
14-18
19-22
19-18
17-18
17-20
7-17
22-10
24-19
21-14
16-11
15-18
18-29
146.0Avg total
70.9Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)70.277.9148.1-7.631%
Season at home (9)70.177.0147.1-6.944%
Season away (7)70.479.0149.4-8.614%
Last 10 (10)70.975.1146.0-4.230%
Last 5 (5)67.271.6138.8-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)69.178.9148.0-9.830%
vs Similar (6)75.077.0152.0-2.050%
vs Weaker (1)104.061.0165.0+43.0100%
This opponent (Pato) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -2.5-2.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -2.5-2.5
PatoMogi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A31/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A02/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H12/11
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H17/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H28/11
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H03/12
NBB
Minas
#1
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A05/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A13/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A16/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H19/12
NBB
82.6Avg total
41.1Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.239.881.0+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.537.579.9+5.067%-
Last 30 away (15)39.942.182.0-2.147%-
Last 10 (10)41.141.582.6-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)44.046.090.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)42.245.287.4-3.044%-
vs Similar (16)39.138.978.0+0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)46.032.878.8+13.2100%-
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#13
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H01/11
NBB
Franca
#2
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A06/11
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A08/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A15/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H27/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H29/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H02/12
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A06/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A09/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H17/12
NBB
68.4Avg total
32.7Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.938.472.2-4.530%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.936.572.4-0.644%-
Last 30 away (14)31.640.572.1-8.914%-
Last 10 (10)32.735.768.4-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)32.234.466.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)32.638.871.3-6.222%-
vs Similar (6)36.038.774.7-2.750%-
vs Weaker (1)51.027.078.0+24.0100%-
This opponent (Pato) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.117.4
52.6%
50.9%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.111.9
38.3%
33.0%35.7
🏀 Free throws17.012.0
70.6%
72.7%12.0
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 69.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.216.3
49.1%
50.9%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.4
29.7%
33.0%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.015.1
71.9%
72.7%15.1
They take 58.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pato
WLLLLWWLLL
Mogi
LWLLWLLLLW
#14
League position
#16
-5.4
Net rating
-5.7
108.7
Offensive rating
96.8
114.1
Defensive rating
102.5
54.9%
Effective FG%
47.2%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
18.3%
Turnover %
18.5%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.36
38.3%
3-point %
29.7%
56.7%
Assist %
58.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 96.8Defence114.1 · 102.5Shooting54.9% · 47.2%3-point %38.3% · 29.7%Ball care18.3% · 18.5%Off. rebounds26.9% · 23.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Pato   ■ Mogi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Pato wins
2
Mogi wins
DateGameScore
25/03/24Pato v Mogi100-73
08/11/23Mogi v Pato70-87
11/03/22Pato v Mogi79-70
10/01/22Mogi v Pato68-72
04/04/21Pato v Mogi73-62
06/01/21Mogi v Pato78-63
18/11/19Mogi v Pato73-64
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/24HSao Jose85-81
16/12/24ABrasilia94-98
13/12/24ABauru91-97
05/12/24AMinas70-97
03/12/24HFlamengo103-110 OT
28/11/24HBotafogo98-78
17/11/24HPaulistano66-65
12/11/24HVasco76-84
02/11/24AUniao Corinthians70-81
31/10/24ACaxias do Sul80-81
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/24HCorinthians Paulista70-72
09/12/24AUnifacisa70-66
06/12/24ACearense69-76
02/12/24HPinheiros53-73
29/11/24HCaxias do Sul74-71
27/11/24HUniao Corinthians82-85
15/11/24ASao Jose79-89
08/11/24ABauru66-68
06/11/24AFranca68-77
01/11/24HSao Paulo78-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW38%
HomeLWWLW62%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %38%62%12%
Points / game82.185.478.9
Allowed / game84.080.487.6
Point differential-1.9+5.0-8.8
Avg total166.1165.8166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Mogi
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL31%
HomeWLWLL44%
AwayLLLLW14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %31%44%14%
Points / game70.270.170.4
Allowed / game77.977.079.0
Point differential-7.6-6.9-8.6
Avg total148.1147.1149.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)57% (7)50% (2)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas1614288%83.270.1+13.1
2 Flamengo1613381%83.971.5+12.4
3 Brasilia1711665%83.881.4+2.4
4 Franca1610662%80.976.9+4.0
5 Pinheiros1610662%75.974.1+1.8
6 Sao Paulo1610662%79.978.4+1.5
7 Bauru1610662%80.179.7+0.4
8 Vasco169756%74.272.7+1.5
9 Uniao Corinthians158753%78.180.6-2.5
10 Paulistano167944%77.974.8+3.1
11 Sao Jose1771041%74.975.1-0.2
12 Unifacisa1771041%74.976.8-1.9
13 Corinthians Paulista156940%80.481.6-1.2
14 Pato1661038%82.184.0-1.9
15 Mogi1651131%70.277.9-7.6
16 Botafogo1651131%71.680.3-8.8
17 Cearense1741324%69.177.4-8.3
18 Caxias do Sul1631319%72.179.8-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pato2820202290
Mogi30262129106
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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